Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Sunday - February 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-2   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/1/5)-(3/6/4/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/1)-(2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-3   WIN (3/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1/5)-(3/6/4/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/4/1)-(2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/1)-(2)-(3/4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/6/4/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/6/4/3/5)-(2/6/4/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2)-(3/4)-(5/9/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TUP-5   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/4)-(5/9/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(5/9/6)-(10/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/6)-(5/9/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/6)-(5/9/6/4/1)-(5/9/6/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/9/6)-(10/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/9/6)-(10/2/4)-(2/4/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-7   WIN (10/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/2/4)-(10/2/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/2/4)-(10/2/4/8)-(10/2/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/2/4)-(2/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TUP-8   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   02/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREAMER Jan31 Dec27 Jun18 Jun04 Apr23 (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 8% 11.50    
2  BACK TO BUSINESS Feb14 Jan26 Jan04 Nov26 Oct19 (rosales jor)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 ★    
3  RED PANTY NIGHT Jan26 Dec17 Nov05 Aug18 Jul02 (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
4  CONVINCE Feb09 Jan31 Dec17 Oct29 Oct15 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00 17% 5.10    
5  MISCHIEF MAMA Feb18 Feb06 Jan17 Nov23 Nov05 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00    
SCR  FIRE DIAMONDS Jan11 Nov21 Oct16 Sep10 Aug07 (bullene michael)MAWING A 124 6.00 9% 9.90    
 
TUP-2   02/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERMISTON Feb13 Jan24 Jan07 Nov30 Sep09 (lavanwa)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  MY SON CHRIS Feb12 Dec17 Nov27 Oct30 Oct08 (nelson a)BUTTERFLY L 124 5.00    
3  ARMAVEER Dec16 Nov12 Oct22 Sep25 Aug19 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 0.60 47% 1.10    
4  SUPER INTENSE Feb13 Jan24 Jan07 May07 Apr08 (o'brien dan)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00 13% 6.80    
5  SCRATCH ME Apr24 Mar19 Mar05 Feb01   (ybarra rudy)BEVERLY JR 124 15.00 ★    
6  RIGHT TO SUE Feb06 Aug29 Jul23     (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 4.00 14% 6.40    
 
TUP-3   02/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOT EVEN SMARTER Feb04 Jan12 Dec01 Sep10 Aug29 (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 10% 9.10    
2  MOJAVE (GB) Feb09 Jan26 Sep17 Sep04 Aug21 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 124 10.00    
3  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO Feb02 Jan18 Jan09 Dec13 Jul23 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.00 43% 1.40    
4  HARROVIAN Feb06 Sep17 Aug29 Aug15 Jul30 (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 3.50 13% 6.40    
5  NEW EVERY MORNING Feb09 Jan26 Jan18 Jan04 Dec19 (potts ashle)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 ★    
6  SPENDAHOLIC Feb18 Feb06 Jul04 Jun02 Apr19 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.60 14% 6.20    
 
TUP-4   02/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEPPER MILL Feb01 Nov29 Nov04     (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 121 5.00    
2  GYPSY ROSIE Jan03 Nov20       (martinez a)ANAYA V 121 8.00 73% 0.40    
3  UNRIVALED QUEEN Feb06 Jan12 Dec21 Dec10 Nov14 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 ★    
4  JUANA GALLO Feb06 Jan12 Dec11 Nov25 Oct29 (silva rodrigu)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 3.00 ★    
5  MS FLASHY HARBOR Feb06 Jan10 Sep17 Aug28   (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 10.00 ★    
6  BEYOND AWESOME Jan28 Jan07 Dec21 Dec10 Nov14 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 1.20 ★    
 
TUP-5   02/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GIANT PAYDAY Feb08 Jan09 Dec27 Dec01 Nov21 (eidschun gregor)CRUZ M 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
2  THIRD WHEEL Apr04 Mar02 Jan20     (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 5.00 ★    
3  MAJOR ATTRACTION Jan25 Dec27 Dec01 Nov08 Sep17 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
4  PLAYOFF BOUND Aug03 Jul15 Jun23 May16 Mar30 (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
5  YOU'RE THE CAUSE Feb11 Jan30 Oct16 Sep09 Aug14 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 122 10.00    
6  HEIR (FR) Feb11 Jan25 Dec01 Mar28 Mar07 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 ★    
 
TUP-6   02/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER MAFIOSO Feb07 Jan18 Jan05 Dec08 Nov25 (baze robert)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 12.00 ★    
2  SCOPELLO         (mcfarlane l)LEON A 121 10.00    
SCR  SMOOSE Nov26         (howey quinn)NEGRON LUIS 121 10.00    
4  MY KACEJJ Feb07         (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 ★    
5  THE GOLDEN EGG Feb07 Jan05       (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
6  MONGOLIAN APPLE Feb14 Jan18 Jan05     (vanwinkle david)MAWING A 121 4.50 9% 10.10    
SCR  MANDELA EFFECT         (bratcher ry)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 5.00    
8  YANKEE TEA PARTY         (vitali marcus)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00    
9  YANKEE HUMOR         (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 25% 2.90    
 
TUP-7   02/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DON'TTEASETHETIGER Feb04 Jan10 Dec20 Nov23 Sep17 (oberholtzer)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 12.00 6% 15.70    
2  SINGANDCRYINDUBAI Feb11 Jan10 Dec19 Dec01 Nov21 (brown jared)MAWING A 124 5.00 15% 5.70    
3  GO ADMIRAL GO Feb18 Feb09 Jan30 Dec13 Nov28 (silva pabl)LEON A 124 10.00    
4  JAKE THE GREAT Feb13 Jan24 Apr11 Mar24 Mar07 (bullene michael)CRUZ M 124 12.00 8% 11.70    
5  FLY BUDDY FLY Feb14 Feb06 Jan14 Dec30 Nov19 (torres-casas alex )GARCIA F 124 20.00    
6  SIDE STREET DAVE Jan30 Jan10 Nov30 Nov05 Aug24 (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00    
7  MANY ROSES Feb13 Feb01 Jan12 Dec26 Sep23 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 10.00    
8  ECHO ALPHA SIX Feb18 Jan30 Dec26 Dec10 Nov21 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 ★    
9  TEXAS LONHRO Feb09 Nov19 Oct28 Oct14 Sep23 (ke)DA FAUSTO 124 12.00    
10  DEVIL'S TEETH Feb13 Jan30 Dec10 Nov26 Nov09 (lavanway da)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
TUP-8   02/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD INCLUDED Feb06 Jan24 Dec28 Dec14 Sep27 (caraman micha)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00    
2  RED VENUS Feb07 Jan24 Jan04 Dec10 Nov23 (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 52% 0.90    
3  SASSY CAT Feb07 Dec14 Nov30 Sep29 Jul22 (ax)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
4  LEXOPHILIA Feb16 Dec19 Nov12 Oct06 Sep21 (gutierrez juan )CRUZ M 124 4.50 8% 11.60    
SCR  CLUBHOUSE SAINT Feb12 Jan24 Jan11 Dec26 Nov19 (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 9% 10.70    
6  ALL NATIVE Feb07 Jan24 Dec14 Nov30 Nov04 (eidschun gregory)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 ★    
7  PRANCE Jan18 Dec26 Dec13 Nov12 Aug06 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 7% 12.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.