Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 2.60
TUP-3   Win (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $8.40  
TUP-4   Win (2/1/3/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TUP-5   Win (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 1 1 0 $9.40  
TUP-6   Win (1/6/7/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TUP-7   Win (4/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 3.80
TUP-8   Win (3/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   02/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:51 1:171 1:42   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BODEMONSTER 2 4 3 35 3 1nk 12 (hedg)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00 11% 8.30 3.30 W
NEXT JOURNEY 4 1 11 1 12 2nk 22 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 34% 1.90 0.50 P
TOUR THE WORLD 5 2 4 5 5 3 3 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 28% 2.60 9.50 S
GUARDSMAN PASS 3 3 21 2 22 44 4 (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 4.30  
SOLANDER 1 5 56 4 45 55 5 (leaney patric)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 9.30  
SCR  MANFORALLSEASONS               (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 6.00    
 
TUP-3   02/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:212 :441       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPANY'S DREAM 1 2 1nk 1nk   1 1 (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 3.50 3.20  
COASTAL FOG 3 3 2nk 2nk   2 2 (sepich f)CORBETT W 121 5.00 5.10 P
SIX SHOTS OF T 6 1 3 33   35 35 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 2.50 64% 0.60 1.60 S
HE'S A FLYIN 2 4 5 511   510 4 (potts an)VALDES ALEXIS 121 6.00 9.00  
SUGAR SHANE 7 6 6 4   4 511 (torres-casas alex)LEON A 121 4.50 12% 7.00 6.90  
ENDALE ARCH 4 7 711¾ 713½   614½ 617 (lavanway )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 15.00 41.30  
LEFT THE BAR 5 5 46 612½   718 720¼ (perren lymo)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 3.10  
 
TUP-4   02/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:213 :44 :553     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAZZ HANDS 2 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 1 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 122 1.60 38% 1.70 0.80 W
POVERTY BAY 1 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 2 (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 16% 5.10 5.50 P
SMILING GOODBYE 7 5 3 32   34 3 (peery debbie)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 8% 11.10 4.10 S
STAND TO 6 7 6 5   5 4 (baze)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
RONAMO 3 6 7 6   4 5 (barraza s)MAWING A 122 4.00 11% 8.20 6.90  
ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST 4 3 45 4   613½ 615¾ (oliver kim)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 18.10  
SILVERBULLITBADGER 5 4 5 7   716 716¾ (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 32.90  
 
TUP-5   02/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:101     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRISCO KID 1 5 2nk 11   1 1 (villamar candelar)LEON A 124 4.50 3.70  
NAVY PIER 7 7 7 6   34 2 (chamberlin tina)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 20.60  
KEENEYE GEORGE 5 2 4 3   2 3 (barr)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 5.50 S
BALI STAR 3 4 63 5   5 4 (breashear bill)CORBETT W 124 2.50 78% 0.30 2.40  
SILENT DECLARATION 2 6 31 4   44 5 (pierce l)CRUZ M 124 3.50 2.40 DQ↓6
KAI'S STATEMENT 4 3 1nk 21   6 6 (barraza r)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 3.80  
IMISSBAYMEADOWS 6 1 52 7   7 710¼ (fearon jo)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 5.00 14.50  
 
TUP-6   02/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:094 1:222   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLESSED JOURNEY 1 3 4 31 33 1nk 1 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 30% 2.30 1.20 W
MIKE OPERATOR 6 1 11 11 2 2nk 2 (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 22% 3.60 7.60 P
PAINT ME LUCKY 7 2 31 21 1 3½ 35 (hernandez miguel )LEON A 124 4.50 9% 9.80 2.10 S
RUN TAPPY 8 10 1012¼ 10 910¾ 5 410¼ (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 124 20.00 6% 16.50 19.10  
BODEGA 2 6 7 6 4 4 511¾ (ortiz manuel )CONNING CRYSTAL 124 10.00 14.10  
NORTHERN QUEST (FR) 9 9 911¼ 9 810¼ 6 613 (wheeler travis)MAWING A 124 12.00 36.70  
VICTORY BOULEVARD 3 8 8 8 7 710¼ 715¾ (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 6% 14.80 12.50  
BIG BARREL 4 5 21 4 5 910¾ 818½ (mcfarlane l)CRUZ M 124 5.00 8.50  
10  HELLO HANDSOME 10 7 6 7 6 810¼ 918¾ (brea)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00 30.50  
REELFOOT 5 4 5 5 1016¾ 1024¾ 1042¾ (wheeler tra)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00 44.90  
 
TUP-7   02/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:223 :444 :563     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN SUN DROPS 4 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 1¼ (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 45% 1.20 2.90 W
WILD ARCH 8 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 2¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 33% 2.00 0.80 P
RODEO ROSE 6 6 4 32   3 3 (nunnally jennifer)MAWING A 122 15.00 18.00 S
MINING CRYPTO 1 8 85 53   5 44 (story chad)GARCIA F 124 8.00 3.00  
GOLD COAST GIRL 3 5 7 8   8 5 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 12.00 28.40  
BE TOUGH 2 7 6 7   4 6 (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00 71.40  
MARGOT'S GIRL 5 4 5 4   6 76 (bullene michael)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 17.00  
SIGNATURE COLORS 7 2 3 6   7 8 (toye joe)LEON A 122 6.00 12.70  
SCR  KETANJI               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 116 4.00    
 
TUP-8   02/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:21
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:10 1:363   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRTY SECONDS OUT 3 2 2½ 2½ 1 15 11 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 22% 3.50 0.70 W
COASTAL WATERS 6 3 48 611½ 6 3 21 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 12.40  
BOB'S ALL IN 2 6 5 59 5 25 31 (aspr)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00 20% 4.10 3.60 S
ZUMURUDEE 1 5 6 49 4 58 4 (woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 6.70  
FORT LANGLEY 5 4 33 33 32 47 5 (leaney patricia)CRUZ M 122 6.00 7% 14.40 5.10  
SWEET SAVANT 4 1 1½ 1½ 2 614 616½ (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 7.60  
SCR  CASHANOVA               (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 3.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  LITTLE RED RIFLE               (howe s)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.