The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Rillito
Sunday - February 19, 2023
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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RIL-2   02/19/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
:464         :464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BLUE CHIP BETTY 5 1 1½     1½ 15½ (lavanway dayso)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.00 14% 6.40 1.50 W
6  MY FUNNY GAL 6 3 3½     2½ 25½ (simpson shanno)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 6.00 6% 16.90 18.10 P
4  LOW DOSE 4 7 4¾     41½ 35¾ (silva pab)ALDERETE JORGE 126 2.00 37% 1.70 1.70 S
3  SASSY EDIE 3 4 53¼     52½ 49 (ortega joe)LEON A 126 8.00 14.70  
7  TRIPDOWNMEMORYLANE 7 2 2½     31½ 59¾ (reyes norma)ELLIS DEVON 126 10.00 24.50  
1  MOUNTAIN PASS 1 6 78¾     79½ 617 (tate mary)DEONAUTH P 126 4.50 22% 3.50 2.60 DQ↓7
2  WISHFUL WON 2 5 68¼     68½ 718¼ (wheeler travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 5.00 ★ 12.00  
 
RIL-3   02/19/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
:444         :444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ROCKY JACK 4 2 2½     2½ 1nk (leon prisci)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 3.50 ★ 3.80  
6  BAPTISM 5 1 1½     1½ 2nk (torres-casas j)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 5.00 26% 2.80 1.20 P
2  A GEM IS A GEM 1 5 54     45½ 36¼ (wheeler travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 2.00 ★ 5.30 S
3  AFTER THE CANDY 2 3 31½     34 47 (silva pablo)LEON A 126 2.50 47% 1.10 2.00  
4  STONUS MAXIMUS 3 4 43     55½ 510½ (wheeler travis)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 6.00 ★ 7.50  
SCR  SMILING MATT               (ortega f)OSUNA JESUS 126 8.00    
 
RIL-4   02/19/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
1:073         1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  COASTAL RUN 3 4 2nk 1nk   11½ 17 (silv)DA FAUSTO 126 2.00 24% 3.20 0.10 W
1  MADISON'S QUARTERS 1 2 37 37   37½ 27 (tate mary)DEONAUTH P 126 2.50 36% 1.70 10.30 P
4  MISS AGGIE BLING 4 1 1nk 2nk   21½ 37½ (rosales jorge)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.50 10% 9.20 4.90 S
5  ORATORY GLORY 5 5 58½ 58¼   48½ 48½ (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 5.00 ★ 11.00  
2  IZANAMI 2 3 48 48   59 510¾ (ybarra rudy)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 8.00 16.00  
SCR  SUE ETTAS GHOST               (silva ju)ARRIOLA-SERRANO JOSE 126 6.00 ★    
 
RIL-5   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($9.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
1:133         1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DRAW THE FOUL 5 2 3½ 12   12 11 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 2.00 ★ 0.80  
3  MORE HONOR 3 5 41½ 43½   32 21 (tate mary)DEONAUTH P 126 6.00 13% 7.00 5.20 P
2  KING LEBRON 2 3 1nk 22   22 34¼ (crotts e)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.00 55% 0.80 8.00 S
4  ROYAL TAP 4 4 2nk 32   42½ 44¼ (torres-casa)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00 ★ 10.60  
1  TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY 1 1 54½ 57½   55½ 56½ (alcoverde ernesto)OSUNA JESUS 126 3.50 7% 12.70 5.00  
6  GUARDING ELK CAMP 6 7 66 69   68½ 610½ (leon alexis)BARRON EZEKIEL 121 12.00 9.10  
7  INCLUDE HOO 7 8 89½ 816   813½ 712¾ (ortega fernando)BAZAN ANTONIO 126 10.00 23.80  
8  TROPHY CHEST 8 6 76½ 714   712 816½ (ybarra rudy)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00 24.60  
 
RIL-6   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
1:134         1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MINEHUNTER 3 1 11 11   11 13 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.00 12% 7.50 1.00 W
4  GONE SOMEWHERE 4 3 21 21   21 23 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.50 5% 19.00 8.30 P
8  FULL DRAW 7 6 31½ 42   32 33½ (ortega monica)ELLIS DEVON 126 3.00 59% 0.70 2.80 S
2  FINAL ROSE 2 5 68½ 57   55 48¼ (mccartney jack)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 10.00 ★ 3.40  
7  HULA KING 6 4 41½ 32   43 58¼ (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 8.00 ★ 10.00  
5  OUTLAW BY NATURE 5 7 712½ 713   610 613½ (crotts e)OSUNA JESUS 126 15.00 15.40  
1  AUTISM SAVANT 1 2 57½ 610½   712 716¼ (torres-casas jesus)GAMEZ M 126 12.00 33.00  
SCR  RIVIERA CHAMP               (birdwell tena)CONNING CRYSTAL 126 6.00    
 
RIL-7   02/19/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($10.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
1:264         1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HPNOTIQ RHYTHM 6 1 11½ 11   11 11¾ (silv)DA FAUSTO 126 8.00 2.20  
3  ROCKED 3 3 43½ 42   41½ 21¾ (metz jeffre)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00 19% 4.10 13.30 P
1  SPEEDING STYLE 1 4 31½ 31   31 33¾ (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 12.00 2.40  
4  EL CHUMELITO 4 6 21½ 21   21 44½ (wheeler travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.50 14% 6.00 15.40  
2  LOLLY EXPRESS 2 5 55 53   63½ 55¼ (bullene micha)CONNING CRYSTAL 126 15.00 13% 6.70 4.70  
5  LADY NOGUEZ 5 7 76¼ 63¼   52½ 65¼ (silva pablo)LEON A 121 3.00 ★ 2.30  
8  PLATINUM GREEK 7 2 66 77¼   78½ 720 (salazar michel)ALDERETE JORGE 121 10.00 19.60  
SCR  HELLO HANDSOME               (breashear bill)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
RIL-8   02/19/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
:462         :462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIM'S BUDDY 1 4 2½     1nk 1½ (asprino alfred)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.50 27% 2.70 1.30 W
2  MINISTERSDON'TLIE 2 5 1½     2nk 2½ (lewis i)BARRON EZEKIEL 126 2.00 2.00  
4  BOTERO 3 3 51½     31 32 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 6.00 41% 1.50 4.90 S
8  RESTORING DREAMS 7 2 41     42½ 43 (tate mary)OSUNA MARTIN 126 8.00 24.00  
5  TIME TO ZOOM 4 7 62     53½ 54¾ (reyes norma)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 12.00 ★ 9.80  
7  DARKSABER 6 1 31     63¾ 66½ (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 3.00 9% 10.00 6.00  
6  FIGHT ME 5 6 74     75¼ 78¼ (figueroa juan)ALDERETE JORGE 126 10.00 16.80  
SCR  CONQUEST MOONMAD               (alcoverde ernesto)OSUNA JESUS 126 15.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.