Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Rillito
Sunday - February 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
RIL-2   WIN (4/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6/2)-(4/1/5/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (4/1/5/6)-(3/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/6)-(3/6)-(1/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
RIL-3   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/4/2/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/4/2/5)-(3/6/4/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/6)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
RIL-4   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(2/3/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(2/3/1)-(8/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
RIL-5   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1/5/4)-(2/3/1/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(8/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
RIL-6   WIN (8/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/4)-(8/3/4/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/3/4)-(8/3/4/2/7)-(8/3/4/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (8/3/4)-(3/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4)-(3/4/2)-(4/1/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
RIL-7   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(4/1/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
RIL-8   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7/5)-(4/1/7/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
RIL-2   02/19/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOUNTAIN PASS Jan23 Nov28 Nov14 Sep10 Aug08 (tate mary)DEONAUTH P 126 4.50 22% 3.50    
2  WISHFUL WON Jan30 Dec19 Aug29 Jul31 Jul04 (wheeler trav)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 5.00 ★    
3  SASSY EDIE Sep17 Sep11 Sep03 Aug21 Aug10 (ortega joe)LEON A 126 8.00    
4  LOW DOSE Jan30 Jan14 Jan04 Dec21 Nov19 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 126 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  BLUE CHIP BETTY Feb12 Feb05 Oct01 Aug28 Jul17 (lavanway day)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.00 14% 6.40    
6  MY FUNNY GAL Aug21 Aug12 Aug10 Jul10 Jun17 (simpson shan)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 6.00 6% 16.90    
7  TRIPDOWNMEMORYLANE Aug13 Jul23 May03 Apr14 Mar27 (reyes norma)ELLIS DEVON 126 10.00    
 
RIL-3   02/19/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMILING MATT Sep12 Aug08 Feb17 Jan18   (ortega f)OSUNA JESUS 126 8.00    
2  A GEM IS A GEM Feb11 Feb02 Dec13 Sep02 Aug01 (wheeler trav)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 2.00 ★    
3  AFTER THE CANDY Feb05 Jan12 Dec27 Dec13 Nov25 (silva pabl)LEON A 126 2.50 47% 1.10    
4  STONUS MAXIMUS Feb05 Jan10 Dec27 Dec10 Nov29 (wheeler trav)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 6.00 ★    
5  ROCKY JACK Feb13 Jan12 Dec27 Nov21 Oct03 (leon pris)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 3.50 ★    
6  BAPTISM (GB) Feb11 Dec27 Dec13 Nov21 Nov09 (torres-casas)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 5.00 26% 2.80    
 
RIL-4   02/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADISON'S QUARTERS Feb09 Jan19 Nov28 Nov05 Sep19 (tate mary)DEONAUTH P 126 2.50 36% 1.70    
2  IZANAMI Jan19 Jan11 Dec21 Nov05 Sep19 (ybarra rudy)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 8.00    
3  COASTAL RUN Feb07 Jan30 Jan11 Dec15 Jul30 (si)DA FAUSTO 126 2.00 24% 3.20    
4  MISS AGGIE BLING Feb08 Jan18 Jan03 Dec14 Nov26 (rosales jorg)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.50 10% 9.20    
5  ORATORY GLORY Jan23 Apr24 Apr03 Mar26 Mar15 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 5.00 ★    
SCR  SUE ETTAS GHOST Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 Dec10 Oct29 (silva )ARRIOLA-SERRANO JOSE 126 6.00 ★    
 
RIL-5   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY Dec19 Nov28 Nov07 Sep11 Aug28 (alcoverde ernes)OSUNA JESUS 126 3.50 7% 12.70    
2  KING LEBRON Feb02 Aug29 Aug15 Jul18 Jun27 (crotts james)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.00 55% 0.80    
3  MORE HONOR Feb04 Jan09 Dec13 Sep10 Aug29 (tate mary)DEONAUTH P 126 6.00 13% 7.00    
4  ROYAL TAP Feb11 Jan24 Jan04 Dec22 Nov05 (torres-ca)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00 ★    
5  DRAW THE FOUL Feb05 Jan24 Dec26 Dec04 Nov05 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 2.00 ★    
6  GUARDING ELK CAMP Nov07 Oct11 Sep28 Aug24 Aug14 (leon alexis)BARRON EZEKIEL 121 12.00    
7  INCLUDE HOO Feb04 Dec26 Dec10 Nov29 Nov08 (ortega fernan)BAZAN ANTONIO 126 10.00    
8  TROPHY CHEST Nov19 Apr19 Apr03 Mar20 Mar05 (ybarra rudy)BEVERLY JR 121 15.00    
 
RIL-6   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTISM SAVANT Feb11 Jan14 Jan03 Dec10 Nov19 (torres-casas jesu)GAMEZ M 126 12.00    
2  FINAL ROSE Feb02 Jan17 Dec10 Nov26 Apr04 (mccartney ja)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 10.00 ★    
3  MINEHUNTER Feb05 Jan10 Dec13 Feb25 Jan26 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.00 12% 7.50    
4  GONE SOMEWHERE Dec26 Nov30 Oct14 Oct08 Aug29 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.50 5% 19.00    
5  OUTLAW BY NATURE Dec10 Nov19 Sep12 Aug13 May07 (crotts e)OSUNA JESUS 126 15.00    
SCR  RIVIERA CHAMP Feb14 Jan28 Dec10 Nov28 Nov09 (birdwell te)CONNING CRYSTAL 126 6.00    
7  HULA KING Feb05 Jan16 Dec30 Dec09 Nov13 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 8.00 ★    
8  FULL DRAW Feb05 Jan03 Dec10 Nov29 Nov21 (ortega monica)ELLIS DEVON 126 3.00 59% 0.70    
 
RIL-7   02/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEEDING STYLE Feb13 Jan26 Jan11 Dec22 Nov30 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 12.00    
2  LOLLY EXPRESS Feb02 Jan19 Dec22 Dec14 Nov26 (bullene mic)CONNING CRYSTAL 126 15.00 13% 6.70    
3  ROCKED Feb11 Jan23 Jan05 Dec14 Nov15 (metz jeff)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00 19% 4.10    
4  EL CHUMELITO Feb04 Jan18 Dec19 Aug31 Aug13 (wheeler trav)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.50 14% 6.00    
5  LADY NOGUEZ Feb12 Jan31 Jan18 Jan03 Nov14 (silva pabl)LEON A 121 3.00 ★    
SCR  HELLO HANDSOME Jan25 Jan03 Dec19 Nov23 Aug27 (breashear bi)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.00 32% 2.10    
7  HPNOTIQ RHYTHM Jan26 Jan04 Dec22 Nov28 Nov04 (si)DA FAUSTO 126 8.00    
8  PLATINUM GREEK Feb12 Jan29 Jan08 Sep28 Sep16 (salazar mich)ALDERETE JORGE 121 10.00    
 
RIL-8   02/19/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIM'S BUDDY Jan31 Jan12 Jan05 Dec26 Dec15 (asprino alfr)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.50 27% 2.70    
2  MINISTERSDON'TLIE Feb05 Nov05 Sep10 Aug22 Mar12 (lewis i)BARRON EZEKIEL 126 2.00    
SCR  CONQUEST MOONMAD Feb05 Nov09 Apr24 Apr02 Mar26 (alcoverde ernes)OSUNA JESUS 126 15.00 ★    
4  BOTERO Jan18 Jan03 Dec14 Sep19   (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 6.00 41% 1.50    
5  TIME TO ZOOM Jun11 May21 Apr19 Mar26 Feb27 (reyes norma)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 12.00 ★    
6  FIGHT ME Feb05 Jan05 Dec15 Sep17 Sep03 (figueroa jua)ALDERETE JORGE 126 10.00    
7  DARKSABER Feb05 Jan20 Jan02 Dec09 Nov13 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 3.00 9% 10.00    
8  RESTORING DREAMS Feb05 Dec27 Nov25 Sep23 May29 (tate mary)OSUNA MARTIN 126 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.