Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - February 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $11.20  
TUP-3   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $8.80  
TUP-4   Win (5/3/4/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $21.80  
TUP-5   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TUP-6   Win (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 1 1 0 $8.60  
TUP-7   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 0 $4.00  
TUP-8   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:222 :451 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOSQUITO FLEET 4 5 5 3   31 1¾ (pierce mich)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 4.60  
JUNE GLOOM 5 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 2¾ (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 1.50 P
SLEWS HYMN 2 4 4 2nk   2nk 3 (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 42% 1.40 1.30 S
MIRROR IMAGE 6 1 3.2 53   45 4 (garcia valentin )ANAYA V 122 6.00 17.10  
YOU SPLIT TENS 1 6 6 6   5 5 (silva jr)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 3.00 31% 2.20 5.30  
EL MAESTRO 3 3 1nk 42   6 610¼ (buffalo marvin)MAWING A 122 4.50 13.90  
 
TUP-3   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:223 :452 :581     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANDONA 5 3 3 2nk   2½ 1¼ (barraza s)MAWING A 124 3.50 3.40  
BETTY'S BAR 4 2 2 1nk   1½ 2¼ (martinez esteban)CRUZ M 124 5.00 1.40 P
RATTLEME 2 1 1 3.2   3 3 (kenney ryan)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 4.40  
TRULY A MESS 3 4 44 4   4 44 (bullene michael)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 11% 8.00 2.00  
PANCAKES AND BEER 1 5 510 511¼   517½ 511¾ (grissom w)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 8.60  
SCR  CIVIL SUIT               (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.20 61% 0.60    
 
TUP-4   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:18
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:112 1:241   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOODLUM 5 5 5 54 22 11 1hd (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 5.00 9.90  
SOCAL RED 4 4 3 42 34 21 2hd (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 1.80 26% 2.90 0.80 P
STAR SAILOR 2 3 2 2 4 32 3 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 2.00 20% 4.10 1.70 S
BARNFIELD 3 2 43 32 56 5 4 (person a)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 12% 7.60 9.10  
BARBARIAN 1 1 1 1 12 4 5 (fulmer drew)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00 11% 7.90 5.00  
SCR  OUR VALLEY               (mccartney jack)CRUZ M 122 8.00 12% 7.60    
 
TUP-5   02/15/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:113 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIVE EM HECK BECK 1 1 3 3 2nk 11 1 (silva jr)VERGARA P 124 2.00 22% 3.50 1.00 W
TEMPTED MISSION 3 4 11 11 1nk 21 2 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 124 2.50 52% 0.90 1.60 P
LITTLE RED RIFLE 4 5 56 4 4 44 33 (howe s)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00 9.10  
GODGUNSNCOUNTRY 5 3 21 21 3.2 3 4 (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 124 3.00 2.80  
FAST GALLITO 2 2 4 57 5 524 519½ (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00 21.00  
SCR  NOTACRY               (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
 
TUP-6   02/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 F PT- 5:17
See original race card.
:214 :453 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAISLEY'S VISION 1 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 1hd (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 121 8.00 3.30  
IZE SHARPIE 6 5 54 55   2½ 2hd (hone bart)CORBETT W 121 3.00 67% 0.50 6.50 P
AMY D 3 4 3½ 32   5 3 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 5.90 S
IDA NEEDA DRINK 7 7 710 79   75 4 (alvarez sergi)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 5.00 2.50  
ICE N LEMON 5 6 6 67   6 5 (woolley bennie)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 3.50 2.70  
SPITTEN KITTEN 2 3 2nk 2nk   4 6 (buffalo marvin)MAWING A 121 6.00 6.40  
DAHLIA'S DANCER 4 2 4 4   31 78 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 121 4.50 12.50  
 
TUP-7   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:46
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:103 1:23   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPI HAPI 7 5 31 31 1nk 1nk 1 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 4.50 1.00  
STEAL HOME 6 4 5 4 2nk 2nk 2 (krasner cindy)VERGARA P 124 8.00 10.80 P
FAMILY BIZ 3 7 6 6 6 35 33 (krasner cindy)ANAYA V 124 3.50 55% 0.80 3.80 S
LOOKIN FOR EIGHT 1 6 7 7 5 46 4 (silva rodriguez)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 8.20  
GRAVES MILL ROAD 4 2 42 5 75 5 57 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 3.00 2.80  
TWO GUNS 5 3 2nk 1nk 33 67 68 (schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 18% 4.40 12.10  
EL NOBLE 2 1 1nk 2nk 4 7 7 (palma milton)CORBETT W 124 15.00 36.20  
SCR  ASTRONOMICAL               (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00    
 
TUP-8   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:223 :451 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROWANGOESHOLLYWOOD 1 4 1 13   13 1 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 49% 1.00 1.50 W
SEVEN SISTERS 3 3 3 4   33 2 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 4.00 18% 4.60 1.90 P
FULL OF GRACE 5 2 2 23   23 3 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 2.50  
BIG CYN 7 6 5 5   7 4 (chamberlin tina)MAWING A 124 10.00 21.30  
ATLANTIC PRINCESS 8 1 4 3   4 5 (axmaker cody )CONNING CRYSTAL 124 12.00 51.10  
JACANA 6 8 7 7   6 6 (troiani niccolo)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 9.30  
SUE ETTAS GHOST 4 5 6 6   5 76 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 17.00  
BEAU ROCKS 2 7 8 811   812¾ 812¾ (nunnally je)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 8.00 7% 13.30 27.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.