Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - February 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/4/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/4/5/6)-(2/1/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1)-(4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(4)-(5/3/4/2) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
TUP-3   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/6/5/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/6/5/1)-(4/6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4)-(5/3/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4)-(5/3/4/2)-(3/1) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
TUP-4   WIN (5/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/2)-(5/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/2)-(5/3/4/2)-(5/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/4/2)-(3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/2)-(3/1)-(6) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
TUP-5   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/6/2)-(3/1/6/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/1)-(6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(6)-(3/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
TUP-6   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/3/5/2/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/3/5/2/7)-(6/3/5/2/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6)-(3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (6)-(3/6)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TUP-7   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/6)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TUP-8   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2/4/6)-(1/3/2/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU SPLIT TENS Jan30 Jan19 Dec21 Nov29 Nov08 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  SLEWS HYMN         (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
3  EL MAESTRO Jan18 Dec20 Nov21 Nov05 Sep11 (buffalo marvin)MAWING A 122 4.50    
4  MOSQUITO FLEET Jan19 Dec20 Nov21 Oct08 Sep17 (pierce mi)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 ★    
5  JUNE GLOOM Jan04 Dec18 Dec11 Oct14 Oct09 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 ★    
6  MIRROR IMAGE Sep09 Aug12 Jul24     (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 122 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PANCAKES AND BEER Apr28 Apr06 Mar22 Feb18 Jan19 (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  CIVIL SUIT Feb06 Jan25 Jan07 Sep30 Sep02 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.20 61% 0.60    
3  RATTLEME Jan30 Dec14 Oct14 Sep15 Sep03 (kenney ryan)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00    
4  TRULY A MESS Jan30 Jan17 Nov27 Oct30 Sep30 (bullene micha)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 11% 8.00    
5  BETTY'S BAR Jan30 Sep08 Aug14 Jul28 Jul03 (martinez esteba)CRUZ M 124 5.00 ★    
6  MANDONA Jan17 Jan02 Dec15 Nov22 Nov09 (barraza s)MAWING A 124 3.50 ★    
 
TUP-4   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OUR VALLEY Jan30 Jan07 Dec27 Nov29 Nov12 (mccartney jack)CRUZ M 122 8.00 12% 7.60    
2  BARBARIAN Feb02 Jan11 Dec09 Nov20 Aug17 (fulmer drew)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00 11% 7.90    
3  STAR SAILOR Jan15 Dec30 Nov24 Mar27 Mar12 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 2.00 20% 4.10    
4  BARNFIELD Jan24 Jan07 Oct28 Sep11 Aug04 (person a)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 12% 7.60    
5  SOCAL RED Feb02 Jan21 Dec30 Nov20 Oct28 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 1.80 26% 2.90    
6  HOODLUM Jan21 Jan08 Dec17 Nov27 Oct28 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 5.00    
 
TUP-5   02/15/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIVE EM HECK BECK Feb04 Jan24 Sep14 Aug25 Aug03 (silva jr)VERGARA P 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
2  FAST GALLITO Jan11 Apr26 Apr01 Feb21 Feb01 (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00 ★    
3  TEMPTED MISSION Jan24 Dec26 Dec01 Nov09   (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  NOTACRY Jan30 Jan11 Dec17 Sep15 Aug25 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 ★    
5  LITTLE RED RIFLE Jan30 Jan07 Dec17 Oct01 Sep21 (howe s)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00    
6  GODGUNSNCOUNTRY Jan12 Dec20 Nov23 Nov09 Sep05 (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 124 3.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   02/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 F PT- 5:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAISLEY'S VISION Jan07 Dec26 Nov30 Nov04 Sep19 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 121 8.00    
2  SPITTEN KITTEN Aug29 Aug16 Aug02     (buffalo marvin)MAWING A 121 6.00 ★    
3  AMY D Nov14 Oct04 Aug07     (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 ★    
4  DAHLIA'S DANCER Jan17 Dec26 Dec10 Nov12 Sep05 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 121 4.50    
5  ICE N LEMON Jan12 Nov22 Oct24 Oct11 Sep10 (woolley benn)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 3.50 ★    
6  IZE SHARPIE Nov07 Oct13 Sep23     (hone bart)CORBETT W 121 3.00 67% 0.50    
7  IDA NEEDA DRINK Feb05 Sep05 Aug05 Jul10 Jul01 (alvarez ser)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKIN FOR EIGHT Jan23 Dec22 Nov08 Sep08 Aug14 (silva rodrigu)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 ★    
2  EL NOBLE Jan23 Oct29 Sep24 Aug20 Aug05 (palma milton)CORBETT W 124 15.00    
3  FAMILY BIZ Jan23 Dec27 Nov26 Nov15 Sep19 (krasner cindy)ANAYA V 124 3.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  ASTRONOMICAL Nov15 Sep24 Aug21 Jun04 May21 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 ★    
5  GRAVES MILL ROAD Feb02 Jan19 Dec13 Nov28 Nov04 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 3.00    
6  TWO GUNS Jan19 Nov16 Oct03 Sep23 Aug14 (schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 18% 4.40    
7  STEAL HOME Jan26 Jan09 Dec13 Oct15 Sep25 (krasner cindy)VERGARA P 124 8.00 ★    
8  HAPI HAPI Jan31 Jan04 Dec19 Nov28 Oct22 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 4.50    
 
TUP-8   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROWANGOESHOLLYWOOD Jan31 Jan11 Dec19 Nov25 Oct30 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 49% 1.00    
2  BEAU ROCKS Jan23 Nov14 Oct15 Oct10 Sep18 (nunnally )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 8.00 7% 13.30    
3  SEVEN SISTERS Jan31 Jan11 Dec27 Dec10 Nov07 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
4  SUE ETTAS GHOST Jan31 Jan11 Dec10 Oct29 Oct15 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 ★    
5  FULL OF GRACE Jan06 Dec17 Nov24 Sep23 Aug26 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50    
6  JACANA Jan30 Jan11 Dec10 Nov16 Sep03 (troiani nicco)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 ★    
7  BIG CYN Jan31 Jan11 Dec28 Dec10 Nov26 (chamberlin tina)MAWING A 124 10.00    
8  ATLANTIC PRINCESS Jan31 Dec17 Nov15 Oct05 Aug23 (axmaker cod)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.