The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Turf Paradise
Wednesday - February 22, 2023

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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TUP-3   02/22/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:48
1:454         1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEF 5 5 5 53 33 1nk 1(silv)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 2.80  
HEY SEQUOIA 6 6 64 6 64 42(baze lisa)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.50 12% 7.70 5.90 P
THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN 7 2 12 11 11 2nk 3(vitali j)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 4.10 S
START A RUNNIN 2 1 22 21 21 34(asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 1.10  
MY CALL 1 7 78 710½ 79 57 510 (moreno carlos)LEON A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 54.20  
LOYALTY SPIRIT 3 4 4 42 5 6612¾ (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 2.50 48% 1.10 6.60  
OSTINI 4 3 32 3 4 713½ 719 (weaver gord)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 19.10  
 
TUP-4   02/22/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:18
:224 :452 1:10     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS IMPORTANT 5 1 11 1nk   11(woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 22% 3.60 1.70 W
HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS 4 4 21 2nk   22(pearman jaymie)CRUZ M 122 2.50 33% 2.10 0.90 P
EVEN PANDURA 3 2 4 4   334 (sanderson b)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50 13.10 S
SILLY NOTION 2 5 3 3   57 4(metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00 11.20  
AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN 1 3 52 5   47 5(schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 12% 7.50 3.30  
SCR  CRIMINAL RECORD               (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 10% 8.80    
 
TUP-5   02/22/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
:211 :441 :56     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY KRISTEN 1 2 12 1   11 1¼ (amescua rene)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 1.30  
MISS GLORIOUS 2 4 33 3   31 2¼ (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.00 2.20 P
WHERE'S FRANKIE 3 1 22 2   21 3(silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 8% 11.80 6.30 S
SINGLE LADY 4 6 5 5   59 4(vita)DA FAUSTO 122 2.50 21% 3.70 3.30  
LARIMAR 6 3 45 45   47 5(gutierrez qu)CRUZ M 122 4.50 42% 1.40 7.70  
ELDORADO DREAM 5 5 6 610   612 610¼ (valerio raymond)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 20.30  
 
TUP-6   02/22/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:17
:24 :462 1:101 1:362   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PISTOL POWER 3 1 2nk 2nk 1nk 16 1(baze lisa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 0.80  
ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 6 6 6 6 4 36 2(elston brent)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 6% 14.90 6.60 P
PASSED BY PAUL 4 3 5 44 33 4310½ (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.50 24% 3.10 3.30 S
BLUE AZUL 1 4 3½ 1nk 2nk 26 411½ (torres-casas alex)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 41% 1.50 3.40  
TELLER 2 5 43 5 5 510 515 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 6.00 9.30  
BOURBON TAN 5 2 1nk 32 612¾ 628 644½ (perkinson cc)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 12.00 29.20  
SCR  OUR DANDY'S BOY               (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 122 10.00    
SCR  RONALD R (IRE)               (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 2.00    
 
TUP-7   02/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:46
:214 :433 :56     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURE ROCKET 2 4 22 2   1nk 1¼ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 14% 6.40 2.00 W
GOLD RUSH CANDY 7 1 12 1   2nk 2¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 58% 0.70 0.70 P
WIND RIVER 1 5 4 3   33 3½ (person a)VERGARA P 124 4.00 6% 14.80 6.30 S
RENEW 6 2 5 4   54(oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 21.90  
PARTYOFSIXTEEN 4 6 6 6   48 5(barraza rami)CRUZ M 124 8.00 13.40  
UNSTOPPABLE ME 3 7 78 711¾   612¼ 6(eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 9.40  
SANSOME 5 3 3 5   715¼ 715¼ (palma milton)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 12.00 27.10  
SCR  HEY JASPER               (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 124 10.00    
 
TUP-8   02/22/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
:224 :454 1:101 1:24   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIRT FLIRT 4 3 37 36 3 3½ 1(barraza s)VERGARA P 122 3.50 30% 2.40 0.80 W
TIME FOR GOLD 2 1 21 2 1nk 1nk 2(diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00 24% 3.20 2.10 P
YES PLEASE 1 2 11 1 2nk 2nk 3(o'brien debbi)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 13.20 S
LOOKIN SO LUCKY 3 4 4 49 4 44(silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 2.00  
SCR  HURRICAIN HUNTER               (eidschun gregor)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  IN THE RED               (pierce michae)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00    
SCR  LOOPY               (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00    
SCR  SO MUCH HAPPY               (howey quinn)ZUNINO L 122 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.