Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - February 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-4   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-5   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-6   Win (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-7   Win (8/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-3   02/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY CALL Feb01 Sep08 Jul19 Jun26 May31 (moreno carlos)LEON A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
START A RUNNIN Jan25 Jan05 Dec10 Apr19 Mar30 (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 2.00    
LOYALTY SPIRIT Feb01 Nov16 Oct11 Sep18 Aug30 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
OSTINI Feb01 Jan12 Dec15 Nov16 Sep10 (weaver gord)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
CHEF Feb14 Jan25 Jan10 Dec10 Nov19 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
HEY SEQUOIA Feb06 Jan18 Dec19 Dec08 Nov21 (baze lisa)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.50 12% 7.70    
THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN Feb04 Jan17 Jan05 Dec22 Dec10 (vitali j)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00    
 
TUP-4   02/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN Feb07 Sep26 Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 (schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  CRIMINAL RECORD Feb08 Jan25 Jan03 Dec17 Nov19 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 10% 8.80    
SILLY NOTION Jan31 Dec27 Nov30 Nov14 Nov07 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00    
EVEN PANDURA Jan31 Jan14 Dec27 Dec10 Sep14 (sanderson b)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50    
HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS Jan11 Dec17 Oct15 Oct01 Sep18 (pearman jaymie)CRUZ M 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
MISS IMPORTANT Jan31 Dec27 Dec15 Nov21 Jul31 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
TUP-5   02/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY KRISTEN Dec17 Oct30 Oct14 Sep22 Jul09 (amescua rene)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50    
MISS GLORIOUS Nov21 Nov05 Sep30 Sep16 Sep04 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.00    
WHERE'S FRANKIE Feb07 Dec17 Nov24 Sep14 Aug21 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 8% 11.80    
SINGLE LADY Feb07 Jan26 Jan17 Jan03   (vita)DA FAUSTO 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
ELDORADO DREAM Jan26 Jan11 Dec20 Nov23 Nov05 (valerio raymond)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00    
LARIMAR Jan14 Jan04 Dec10 Nov21 Oct22 (gutierrez qu)CRUZ M 122 4.50 42% 1.40    
 
TUP-6   02/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RONALD R (IRE) Feb02 Jan12 Dec15 Nov16 Oct11 (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 2.00    
BLUE AZUL Feb13 Feb04 Jan23 Jan12 Nov29 (torres-casas alex)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 41% 1.50    
TELLER Feb05 Jan17 Nov29 Sep27 Aug28 (silva pablo)LEON A 122 6.00    
PISTOL POWER Feb13 Jan30 Jan12 Dec15 Nov15 (baze lisa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50    
PASSED BY PAUL Feb14 Feb01 Jan10 Dec26 Nov04 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.50 24% 3.10    
BOURBON TAN Feb01 Jan12 Dec15 Nov16 Nov05 (perkinson cc)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Feb13 Feb01 Jan12 Dec15 Nov16 (elston brent)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  OUR DANDY'S BOY Dec10 Nov29 Nov05 Oct07 Sep09 (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 122 10.00    
 
TUP-7   02/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIND RIVER Jan31 Jan12 Dec28 Dec08 Mar28 (person a)VERGARA P 124 4.00 6% 14.80    
PURE ROCKET Jan31 Jan09 Dec13 Nov19 Sep17 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 14% 6.40    
UNSTOPPABLE ME Feb08         (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00    
SCR  HEY JASPER Feb11 Dec22 Oct30 Sep18 Sep04 (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 124 10.00    
PARTYOFSIXTEEN Feb11 May02 Apr13 Mar24 Feb06 (barraza rami)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
SANSOME Oct08 Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 Jul23 (palm)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 12.00    
RENEW Jan10 Dec20 Apr21 Apr04 Mar22 (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 124 6.00    
GOLD RUSH CANDY Feb07 Jan20 Sep03 Aug12 Jun11 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
 
TUP-8   02/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YES PLEASE Jan19 Jan09 Dec15 Nov11 Nov04 (o'brien debbi)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
SCR  SO MUCH HAPPY Jan20 Dec02 Nov07     (howey quinn)ZUNINO L 122 2.50    
SCR  IN THE RED Jan28 Dec15 Sep07 Jul30 Jul03 (pierce michae)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00    
TIME FOR GOLD Jan28 Jan19 Jan02 Dec14 Aug19 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00 24% 3.20    
LOOKIN SO LUCKY Feb11 Jan28 Aug14 Jul30 Jul10 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00    
DIRT FLIRT Jan28 Jan09 Dec14 Nov14 Aug15 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 3.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  LOOPY Jan28 Dec21 Dec08 Nov26 Sep28 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00    
SCR  HURRICAIN HUNTER Jan09 Dec15 Sep18 Aug29 Aug14 (eidschun gregor)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.