Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - February 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TUP-2   Win (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 1 1 0 $3.40  
TUP-3   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
TUP-4   Win (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
TUP-5   Win (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
TUP-6   Win (7/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
TUP-7   Win (1/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
TUP-8   Win (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 0.20

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   02/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:102     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEAN SHARON 5 1 11 12   14 1 (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.50 50% 1.00 1.00 W
BIG CYN 4 6 31 22   24 2 (chamberlin tina)MAWING A 124 3.50 19% 4.30 2.40 P
TIZ TENACIOUS 3 4 5 3   3 3 (leon prisci)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 8.00 8% 11.00 4.20 S
AMERICAN ROYALTY 6 5 6 6   6 4 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 124 12.00 26.90  
CHICKS DIG MUNNY 2 2 4 5   58 5 (gale bryce)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 10.00 12.50  
RAGING LADY 1 3 21 4   48 611 (torres-casas jesu)CRUZ M 124 4.00 4.10  
SCR  FULL OF GRACE               (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.00    
 
TUP-2   02/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:214 :443 :561     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLEVA 1 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 1¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 0.70  
LONELY PRIVATE 3 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 2¼ (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 1.20 75% 0.30 1.10 P
KELLER'S GOLD 5 4 3 3   3 3 (moreno carlos)LEON A 122 4.00 7.00 S
FASCINATED 4 5 5 56   47 4 (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 122 10.00 17.60  
PERFECT FANNY 2 3 4 4   5 5 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 17.60  
SCR  SWING WEST               (nelson amy)BUTTERFLY L 122 8.00    
 
TUP-3   02/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:223 :45 1:09     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATAR 2 4 1½ 1½   1nk 1 (owens kory)VERGARA P 121 3.50 10% 8.90 1.20 W
JUSTIN AZTECA 6 1 4 2½   2nk 2 (story chad)CORBETT W 121 5.00 6.70  
ECHO CANYON 3 5 5 32   3½ 3 (schnell don)CRUZ M 121 4.00 5.50 S
MOHAMAD 5 2 31 5   5 47 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 6.00 18.60  
RESPECT THE UNION 4 3 2½ 4   4 5 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 121 1.60 63% 0.60 1.40  
NOBLE CRUSADER 1 6 64 66   610¼ 612¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00 11.60  
 
TUP-4   02/27/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:484 1:134     1:322   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE JEFF 5 1 11 11   1 1 (cerin vladimi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 65% 0.50 0.40 W
EXECUTIVE ACTION 4 3 34 3   2 2 (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00 7.30 P
BARNFIELD 3 4 49 47   45 3 (person a)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 6% 14.90 2.80 S
WILLTOBELUCKY 2 2 21 21   35 4 (eikleberry kev)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00 7.60  
FULL VISION 1 5 516 518   517 521¼ (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 12.20  
SCR  OUR VALLEY               (mccartney jack)CRUZ M 122 5.00    
SCR  TODAY MATTERS               (eidschun gregory)MAWING A 122 6.00    
SCR  TWO SOCKS MAC               (dennis clifto)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 20.00    
 
TUP-5   02/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:101     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN HALO 7 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 1 (brinkerhoff v)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 70% 0.40 1.70 W
CAMDEN HIGH 1 6 5 5   3 2 (birdwell tena)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 10.50  
SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL 6 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 3 (moreno carl)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 8.90  
JEWEL OF DENIAL 8 4 4 43   43 42 (hedge rick)MAWING A 124 5.00 4.50  
LIP'S OF WINE 5 7 7 6   6 5 (morales guille)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00 9.20  
BETTY'S BAR 4 3 3.2 3   5 6 (martinez esteban)CRUZ M 124 2.50 5% 19.00 2.00  
LOVELY LOLA 3 8 8 7   7 7 (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 124 12.00 9.90  
TRINNI SUNSET 2 5 6 8   815¾ 822½ (perkins franc)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 56.60  
SCR  POETIC PURSUIT               (eidschun gregory)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-6   02/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:084     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUMPED 6 1 1nk 1½   1½ 13 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.60 44% 1.30 0.30 W
TOIL AND TROUBLE 7 3 31 4   34 23 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 18% 4.50 5.60 P
A VIEW FROM ABOVE 4 2 2nk 2½   2½ 3 (peery debbie)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 5.60 S
ABRAAJ MIRAGE 1 7 5 7   5 45 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 5.00 12% 7.40 10.10  
WEARENOTBADPEOPLE 3 6 6 6   6 56 (valerio raymond)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00 35.80  
PHOENICIAN GHOST 2 4 4 3   4 6 (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 4.00 11.60  
IN THE MIDST 5 5 7 57   79 7 (person kenneth )ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 10.00 25.00  
SCR  ANNA'S IRON MAN               (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 8.00    
 
TUP-7   02/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:093 1:221   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZESTFUL 1 3 3 31 1nk 1½ 1 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 2.50 26% 2.90 1.70 W
GRAY MAGICIAN 4 5 5 42 4 32 2 (silva jr)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 10.70 P
THE BLACK STRAT 2 2 2nk 2nk 2nk 2½ 3 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 3.30  
SHINNY 6 6 6 66 6 4 4 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 4.00 25% 3.10 3.50  
CONVENTION (IRE) 5 4 44 5 5 55 5 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 2.50  
ASTRONOMICAL 3 1 1nk 1nk 31 66 614½ (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 10.00 11.60  
SCR  TORIADOR               (palma milton)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNMACHABLE               (mccartney jack)MAWING A 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
TUP-8   02/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
See original race card.
:231 :462 :591     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLE MY BELLE 3 6 67 55   3 12 (story chad)CORBETT W 124 6.00 21% 3.80 1.10 W
GRANDIOSE SUMMER 6 3 42 2nk   1nk 22 (silva rodrigu)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 3.50 2.80 P
ANGRY EMMY 2 4 32 4   43 3 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00 3.40 S
VALDINI 1 7 721 715½   69 4 (villamar candelar)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 13.90  
KEEPONROCKINMEBABY 5 1 11 1nk   2nk 57 (grissom w)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 5.60  
10  DREAMINGOFBLING 7 2 21 32   56 610 (lawrence heath)MAWING A 124 12.00 16.50  
DEELITEFUL LIZZY 4 5 56 610   712 711¼ (guerra jacq)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 29.80  
SCR  ABOVE THE STARS               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 2.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  BUFFUM'S BEAUTY               (nelson amy)BUTTERFLY L 124 15.00    
SCR  WHEREDIDITGO               (torres-casas alex)CRUZ M 118 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.