Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Monday - February 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-2   Win (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TUP-3   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-4   Win (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-5   Win (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-6   Win (7/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-7   Win (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-8   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-1   02/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAGING LADY Feb09 Feb01 Jan11 Jan02   (torres-casas jesu)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
CHICKS DIG MUNNY Feb09 Jan23 Dec21 Mar30 Mar21 (gale bryce)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 10.00    
TIZ TENACIOUS Jan23 Jan03 Nov28 Nov04 Sep19 (leon prisci)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 8.00 8% 11.00    
BIG CYN Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 Dec28 Dec10 (chamberlin tina)MAWING A 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
MEAN SHARON Feb19 Jan23 Dec26 Dec15 Nov23 (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
AMERICAN ROYALTY Feb14 Jan31 Oct16 Oct09 Sep18 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 124 12.00    
SCR  FULL OF GRACE Feb15 Jan06 Dec17 Nov24 Sep23 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.00    
 
TUP-2   02/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLEVA Feb13 Jan26 Jan10 Dec19 Nov21 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 3.00    
PERFECT FANNY Jan18 Dec14 Aug24 Jun26 Apr27 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00    
LONELY PRIVATE Jan18 Jan03 Nov21 Nov07 Sep17 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 1.20 75% 0.30    
FASCINATED Jan25 Dec15 Oct02 May30 Apr24 (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 122 10.00    
SCR  SWING WEST Nov17 Nov02 Oct01 Aug27 Aug20 (nelson amy)BUTTERFLY L 122 8.00    
KELLER'S GOLD Jan31 Jan10 Dec03 Nov12 Jun28 (moreno carlos)LEON A 122 4.00    
 
TUP-3   02/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE CRUSADER Feb13 Dec21 Dec01 Nov15 Sep05 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00    
KATAR Feb13 Dec21 Dec01 Nov12   (owens kory)VERGARA P 121 3.50 10% 8.90    
ECHO CANYON Feb13 Jan26 Dec01 Nov15 Oct04 (schnell don)CRUZ M 121 4.00    
RESPECT THE UNION Jan31 Jan05 Sep18 Sep01   (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 121 1.60 63% 0.60    
MOHAMAD Feb14 Jan26 Jan09 Oct29 Oct08 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
JUSTIN AZTECA Jan28 Nov07 Apr13     (story chad)CORBETT W 121 5.00    
 
TUP-4   02/27/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL VISION Feb08 Jan19 Dec20 Nov09 Sep12 (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
WILLTOBELUCKY Jan14 Dec21 Nov29 Nov05 Oct02 (eikleberry kev)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00    
SCR  TODAY MATTERS Feb04 Dec30 Dec16 Nov05 Sep24 (eidschun gregory)MAWING A 122 6.00    
BARNFIELD Feb15 Jan24 Jan07 Oct28 Sep11 (person a)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  TWO SOCKS MAC Feb14 Feb05 Jan24 Oct09 Oct01 (dennis clifto)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 20.00    
EXECUTIVE ACTION Jan30 Dec28 Dec08 Sep11 Jul23 (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00    
UNCLE JEFF Feb04 Jan07 Nov15 Oct21 Oct08 (cerin vladimi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 65% 0.50    
SCR  OUR VALLEY Jan30 Jan07 Dec27 Nov29 Nov12 (mccartney jack)CRUZ M 122 5.00    
 
TUP-5   02/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMDEN HIGH Feb06 Jan10 Dec20 Nov25 Nov08 (bird)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 6.00    
TRINNI SUNSET May06 Apr19 Mar31 Mar22 Mar08 (perkins franc)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
SCR  POETIC PURSUIT Feb02 Jan07 Nov14 Oct02 Jul17 (eidschun gregory)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
LOVELY LOLA Feb12 Feb08 Jan30 Jan08 Apr29 (simpson shannon)ANAYA V 124 12.00    
BETTY'S BAR Feb15 Jan30 Sep08 Aug14 Jul28 (martinez esteban)CRUZ M 124 2.50 5% 19.00    
LIP'S OF WINE Jan30 Dec15 Nov12 Sep19 Aug27 (morales guille)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00    
SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Jan28 Sep10 Jun06 May20 Apr11 (moreno carl)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
GOLDEN HALO Feb04 Jan23 Dec09 Nov11 Oct21 (brinkerhoff v)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 70% 0.40    
JEWEL OF DENIAL Feb06 Jan10 Dec20 Nov16 May14 (hedge rick)MAWING A 124 5.00    
 
TUP-6   02/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABRAAJ MIRAGE Feb07 Jan24 Dec19 Nov19 Aug27 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 5.00 12% 7.40    
PHOENICIAN GHOST Mar11 Jan28       (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 4.00    
WEARENOTBADPEOPLE Feb19 Jan31 Jan19 Dec22 Nov14 (valerio raymond)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00    
A VIEW FROM ABOVE Feb07 Jan11 Nov19 Sep17 Sep03 (peery debbie)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
SCR  ANNA'S IRON MAN Feb05 Jan03 Dec14 Nov01 Oct17 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 8.00    
IN THE MIDST Feb18 Feb04 Jan14 Dec21 Dec01 (person kenneth )ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 10.00    
TRUMPED Feb06 Aug21       (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.60 44% 1.30    
TOIL AND TROUBLE Feb07 Jan24 Dec28 Sep02 Aug13 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
 
TUP-7   02/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZESTFUL Feb11 Jan23 Jan03 Nov22 Oct31 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  UNMACHABLE Feb07 Jan23 Jan10 Aug14 Jul30 (mccartney jack)MAWING A 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
THE BLACK STRAT Feb07 Jan09 Nov28 Oct07 Sep13 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50    
ASTRONOMICAL Nov15 Sep24 Aug21 Jun04 May21 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 10.00    
SCR  TORIADOR Feb07 Jan10 Jun18 May14   (palma milton)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
GRAY MAGICIAN Feb08 Jan30 Dec20 Nov21 Nov08 (silva jr)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00    
CONVENTION (IRE) Jan23 Jan03 Nov26 Oct04 Sep05 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00    
SHINNY Feb07 Jan12 Dec27 Dec08 Nov15 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 4.00 25% 3.10    
 
TUP-8   02/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALDINI Jan21 Dec30 Nov24 Oct10 Mar27 (villamar candelar)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
ANGRY EMMY Feb18 Feb08 Dec04 Nov13 Oct07 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00    
SCR  BUFFUM'S BEAUTY Dec17 Dec03 Nov25 Nov17 Oct29 (nelson amy)BUTTERFLY L 124 15.00    
SCR  WHEREDIDITGO Jan21         (torres-casas alex)CRUZ M 118 8.00    
BELLE MY BELLE Feb04 Jan09 Dec14 Nov15 Sep17 (story chad)CORBETT W 124 6.00 21% 3.80    
DEELITEFUL LIZZY Jan30 Dec22 Mar11 Feb11 Jan16 (guerra jacq)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00    
KEEPONROCKINMEBABY Feb16 Jan30 Jan09 May07 Apr18 (grissom w)ZUNINO L 124 4.00    
SCR  ABOVE THE STARS Jan16 Dec26       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 2.50 55% 0.80    
GRANDIOSE SUMMER Feb08 Jan25 Jan11 Nov22 Sep01 (silva rodrigu)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 3.50    
10  DREAMINGOFBLING Nov12 Sep17 Sep08     (lawrence heath)MAWING A 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.