Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Rillito
Saturday - February 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
RIL-4   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $19.20 $13.20 220%
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-7 $72.90 $60.90 508%
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/6/7)-(3/5/1/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00  1-7-6 $682.70 $646.70 1796%
    SFT (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/6/7)-(3/5/1/6/7)-(3/5/1/6/7) 72 $0.50 $36.00  1-7-6-3 $854.25 $818.25 2273%
RIL-5   DD (3/5/1)-(5/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-2 $44.20 $26.20 146%
Simulator Race results
 
RIL-4   02/25/2023 1320ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:23         :23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABE'S GOT APPEAL 1 6       11½ 1¾ (crotts james)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00 8.60 W
7  WE ALL AGREE 7 1       31½ 2¾ (alcoverde ernesto)GAMEZ M 121 6.00 ★ 8.60 P
6  RESTORING DREAMS 6 2       41¾ 3¾ (tate mary)OSUNA MARTIN 126 3.00 ★ 3.70 S
3  RUN FACTOR 3 7       21½ 41 (nelson amy)HARVEY B 126 2.00 60% 0.70 2.10  
5  BAPTISM (GB) 5 4       51¾ 51½ (torres-casas)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 4.50 16% 5.30 1.20  
2  PARTY DRESS 2 3       64¼ 64¼ (nelson amy)REYES-FRISBY D 121 12.00 25.60  
4  BIGGER THAN YOU 4 5       75¼ 74¾ (monteverde al)BAZAN ANTONIO 121 10.00 27.50  
SCR  LIL' MISS MISCHIEF               (simpson shan)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 5.00    
 
RIL-5   02/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
1:084         1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CROSS EXAMINE 2 6 66½ 45½   23 11¾ (crotts e)HARVEY B 126 3.00 26% 2.80 1.30 W
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LITIGATING by POINT GIVEN)
5  BAKERSFIELD BABE 4 3 1nk 11½   13 21¾ (simpson shan)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 2.00 41% 1.50 0.80 P
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of NEWBURG by SKY MESA)
1  CLASSIC CALIFORNIA 1 4 42 33½   34 34½ (ortega monica)GAMEZ M 121 5.00 8% 11.10 10.30 S
  (by BOISTEROUS out of KUKALUKA by COMIC STRIP)
3  DYNAMIC WOMAN 3 5 56 610½   511½ 416¾ (ybarra rudy)SALAZAR TERESA 121 10.00 27.80  
  (by INDY EXPRESS out of RED PEACHES by GHOSTLY MOVES)
7  LUCKY LUPE 6 2 2nk 21½   49 521½ (ortega f)OSUNA JESUS 126 4.00 ★ 7.80  
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of JILLY BAYLEE by STORMIN FEVER)
6  WEST COAST ANDY 5 1 3½ 56½   612½ 632¼ (torres-casas)YBARRA MICHAEL 119 6.00 20.00  
  (by WEST COAST out of SALLIE'S MEMORY by HOLY BULL)
SCR  GEBO               (metz jeffrey)ELLIS DEVON 126 8.00 ★    
  (by LEA out of LYRICS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
RIL-6   02/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:071         1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTIN'S LADY 1 1 11½ 12   15 16¼ (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 2.00 0.70  
  (by IDIOT PROOF out of RICHELLE'S JOY by TIZNOW)
3  SHORT JOURNEY 3 3 21½ 22   25 26¼ (rosales jorg)YBARRA MICHAEL 119 3.00 33% 2.00 1.30 P
  (by CAPITAL ACCOUNT out of FREEDOM JOURNEY by GOOD JOURNEY)
4  SHACKEY'S LOVE 4 2 32 34   38 39¾ (ortega monica)OSUNA JESUS 126 5.00 ★ 9.20 S
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of HEAT DU JOUR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
2  WITCHES DANCE 2 4 42½ 45½   412½ 415¾ (torres-casas)CARBAJAL KEVIN 121 10.00 30.70  
  (by ELUSIVE WARNING out of LADY SORCERESS by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
5  PIRATE MISCHIEF 5 5 64½ 56½   516½ 527¼ (kern davi)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 12.00 ★ 12.00  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of LADY PIRATE by DESERT GOD)
7  BELLA VINO 6 6 54 69½   620 632 (reyes nor)JENSEN P 121 6.00 ★ 25.30  
  (by TEXAS RYANO out of NASHOBA'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  IOWA HAWKEYE               (mitchell chr)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.50 39% 1.60    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of POWEROFVOODOO by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
RIL-7   02/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
1:061         1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DEFENSE WINS 6 2 2nk 13   16 110½ (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 1.80 52% 0.90 0.60 W
2  TIGER BY HIS TAIL 2 1 3½ 23   26 210½ (alcoverde ernesto)GAMEZ M 126 3.00 17% 4.80 2.70 P
6  FIGHT ME 5 3 45 48   49 310½ (figueroa jua)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 8.00 ★ 13.90 S
8  BREXTON 7 6 57½ 611   510½ 410¾ (metz jeff)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00 20.70  
4  LINEMANS CHECK 4 5 68 713   714 515¼ (ortega monica)OSUNA JESUS 126 10.00 ★ 38.00  
1  BLUE GESSAMI 1 4 1nk 33   37 616¾ (bazurto ramon)DEONAUTH P 121 15.00 9.70  
3  ALEX'S GIRL 3 7 79 59½   612½ 717¼ (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 4.00 ★ 5.30  
SCR  KATZUMOTO               (kern david)FINN AISLINN 126 12.00    
 
RIL-8   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
See original race card.
1:144         1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD STAR STUDENT 1 2 12 12½   14 14¼ (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50 0.90  
5  MANY AMBITIONS 3 3 22 22½   24 24¼ (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 2.00 24% 3.20 1.30 P
6  ROMEO'S GLORY 4 6 54½ 46   37 35¾ (ybarra rudy)OSUNA JESUS 126 4.00 15% 5.80 4.70 S
2  NUMMY NUM 2 4 32 35   47½ 47¾ (warren kayla)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 6.00 12.50  
8  PREDETERMINATION 6 5 68½ 69½   58½ 59½ (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 15.00 22.70  
7  ADRIENNE'S PROGENY 5 1 42½ 58   69½ 619¾ (cruz omar)ELLIS DEVON 121 12.00 8% 11.90 26.60  
SCR  MUSICAL GEM               (torres-ca)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  STAN THE HOT MAN               (torres-casas)CARBAJAL KEVIN 126 10.00 12% 7.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.