Handicappers' Race Results

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Rillito
Saturday - February 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

RIL-4   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $19.20 $19.20 13.20
RIL-5   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
RIL-6   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $3.40  
RIL-7   Win (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
RIL-8   Win (5/6/4/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $3.80  

Simulator Race results

 
RIL-4   02/25/2023 1320ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:23         :23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABE'S GOT APPEAL 1 6       1 1¾ (crotts e)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00 8.60 W
WE ALL AGREE 7 1       3 2¾ (alcoverde ernesto)GAMEZ M 121 6.00 8.60 P
RESTORING DREAMS 6 2       4 3¾ (tate mary)OSUNA MARTIN 126 3.00 3.70 S
RUN FACTOR 3 7       2 41 (nelson amy)HARVEY B 126 2.00 60% 0.70 2.10  
BAPTISM (GB) 5 4       5 5 (torres-casas j)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 4.50 16% 5.30 1.20  
PARTY DRESS 2 3       6 6 (nelson amy)REYES-FRISBY D 121 12.00 25.60  
BIGGER THAN YOU 4 5       7 7 (monteverde alva)BAZAN ANTONIO 121 10.00 27.50  
SCR  LIL' MISS MISCHIEF               (simpson shanno)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 5.00    
 
RIL-5   02/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
1:084         1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROSS EXAMINE 2 6 6 4   23 1 (crotts e)HARVEY B 126 3.00 26% 2.80 1.30 W
BAKERSFIELD BABE 4 3 1nk 1   13 2 (simpson shanno)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 2.00 41% 1.50 0.80 P
CLASSIC CALIFORNIA 1 4 42 3   34 3 (ortega monica)GAMEZ M 121 5.00 8% 11.10 10.30 S
DYNAMIC WOMAN 3 5 56 610½   511½ 416¾ (ybarra rudy)SALAZAR TERESA 121 10.00 27.80  
LUCKY LUPE 6 2 2nk 2   49 521½ (ortega f)OSUNA JESUS 126 4.00 7.80  
WEST COAST ANDY 5 1 3½ 5   612½ 632¼ (torres-casas j)YBARRA MICHAEL 119 6.00 20.00  
SCR  GEBO               (metz jeffrey)ELLIS DEVON 126 8.00    
 
RIL-6   02/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:071         1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTIN'S LADY 1 1 1 12   15 1 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 2.00 0.70  
SHORT JOURNEY 3 3 2 22   25 2 (rosales jorge)YBARRA MICHAEL 119 3.00 33% 2.00 1.30 P
SHACKEY'S LOVE 4 2 32 34   38 3 (ortega monica)OSUNA JESUS 126 5.00 9.20 S
WITCHES DANCE 2 4 4 4   412½ 415¾ (torres-casas j)CARBAJAL KEVIN 121 10.00 30.70  
PIRATE MISCHIEF 5 5 6 5   516½ 527¼ (kern david)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 12.00 12.00  
BELLA VINO 6 6 54 6   620 632 (reyes norma)JENSEN P 121 6.00 25.30  
SCR  IOWA HAWKEYE               (mitchell chris)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.50 39% 1.60    
 
RIL-7   02/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
1:061         1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEFENSE WINS 6 2 2nk 13   16 110½ (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 1.80 52% 0.90 0.60 W
TIGER BY HIS TAIL 2 1 3½ 23   26 210½ (alcoverde ernesto)GAMEZ M 126 3.00 17% 4.80 2.70 P
FIGHT ME 5 3 45 48   49 310½ (figueroa juan)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 8.00 13.90 S
BREXTON 7 6 5 611   510½ 410¾ (metz jeffre)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00 20.70  
LINEMANS CHECK 4 5 68 713   714 515¼ (ortega monica)OSUNA JESUS 126 10.00 38.00  
BLUE GESSAMI 1 4 1nk 33   37 616¾ (bazurto ramon)DEONAUTH P 121 15.00 9.70  
ALEX'S GIRL 3 7 79 5   612½ 717¼ (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 4.00 5.30  
SCR  KATZUMOTO               (kern david)FINN AISLINN 126 12.00    
 
RIL-8   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
See original race card.
1:144         1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD STAR STUDENT 1 2 12 1   14 1 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50 0.90  
MANY AMBITIONS 3 3 22 2   24 2 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 2.00 24% 3.20 1.30 P
ROMEO'S GLORY 4 6 5 46   37 3 (ybarra rudy)OSUNA JESUS 126 4.00 15% 5.80 4.70 S
NUMMY NUM 2 4 32 35   4 4 (warren kayla)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 6.00 12.50  
PREDETERMINATION 6 5 6 6   5 5 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 15.00 22.70  
ADRIENNE'S PROGENY 5 1 4 58   6 619¾ (cruz omar)ELLIS DEVON 121 12.00 8% 11.90 26.60  
SCR  MUSICAL GEM               (torres-casa)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  STAN THE HOT MAN               (torres-casas j)CARBAJAL KEVIN 126 10.00 12% 7.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.