Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Rillito
Saturday - February 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
RIL-4   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/6/7)-(3/5/1/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(5/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(5/2/1)-(3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
RIL-5   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1/7)-(5/2/1/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
RIL-6   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3)-(7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3)-(7/2)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
RIL-7   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/3/6/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/2/3/6/4)-(7/2/3/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/2)-(5/6/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
RIL-8   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
RIL-4   02/25/2023 1320ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABE'S GOT APPEAL Jan19 Dec17 Nov14 Jul08 Jun12 (crotts james)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  PARTY DRESS         (nelson amy)REYES-FRISBY D 121 12.00    
3  RUN FACTOR Nov25 Aug26       (nelson amy)HARVEY B 126 2.00 60% 0.70    
4  BIGGER THAN YOU Feb05 Dec17 Nov14 Aug08 Jul18 (monteverde al)BAZAN ANTONIO 121 10.00    
5  BAPTISM (GB) Feb19 Feb11 Dec27 Dec13 Nov21 (torres-casas)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 4.50 16% 5.30    
6  RESTORING DREAMS Feb19 Feb05 Dec27 Nov25 Sep23 (tate mary)OSUNA MARTIN 126 3.00 ★    
7  WE ALL AGREE Feb12 Dec17 Nov25 Nov07 Sep19 (alcoverde ernesto)GAMEZ M 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  LIL' MISS MISCHIEF Aug12 Jun26 May28 May07 Apr18 (simpson shan)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 5.00    
 
RIL-5   02/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC CALIFORNIA Feb11 Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 (ortega monica)GAMEZ M 121 5.00 8% 11.10    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of KUKALUKA by COMIC STRIP)
2  CROSS EXAMINE Feb12 Dec16 Dec04 Nov04 Sep17 (crotts e)HARVEY B 126 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LITIGATING by POINT GIVEN)
3  DYNAMIC WOMAN Feb11 Aug06 Jul23 Jun27 May27 (ybarra rudy)SALAZAR TERESA 121 10.00    
  (by INDY EXPRESS out of RED PEACHES by GHOSTLY MOVES)
SCR  GEBO Feb18 Feb04 Dec17 Nov30 Nov16 (metz jeffrey)ELLIS DEVON 126 8.00 ★    
  (by LEA out of LYRICS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  BAKERSFIELD BABE Feb14 Jan30 Jan09 Nov15 Sep17 (simpson shan)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 2.00 41% 1.50    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of NEWBURG by SKY MESA)
6  WEST COAST ANDY Feb11 Feb04 Jan17 Dec26 Dec14 (torres-casas)YBARRA MICHAEL 119 6.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of SALLIE'S MEMORY by HOLY BULL)
7  LUCKY LUPE Feb04 Jul23 Jul03 Jun05   (ortega f)OSUNA JESUS 126 4.00 ★    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of JILLY BAYLEE by STORMIN FEVER)
 
RIL-6   02/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTIN'S LADY Jan21 Dec18 Dec02     (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 2.00    
  (by IDIOT PROOF out of RICHELLE'S JOY by TIZNOW)
2  WITCHES DANCE Feb18 Feb08 Jan17 Dec26 Nov27 (torres-casas)CARBAJAL KEVIN 121 10.00    
  (by ELUSIVE WARNING out of LADY SORCERESS by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
3  SHORT JOURNEY Feb21 Feb13 Jan23 Jan02 Dec04 (rosales jorg)YBARRA MICHAEL 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by CAPITAL ACCOUNT out of FREEDOM JOURNEY by GOOD JOURNEY)
4  SHACKEY'S LOVE Feb12 Sep03 Aug15 Jul23 Jul11 (ortega monica)OSUNA JESUS 126 5.00 ★    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of HEAT DU JOUR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
5  PIRATE MISCHIEF Feb12 Apr24 Mar26 Mar12 Mar06 (kern davi)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 12.00 ★    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of LADY PIRATE by DESERT GOD)
SCR  IOWA HAWKEYE Jan02         (mitchell chr)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.50 39% 1.60    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of POWEROFVOODOO by UNUSUAL HEAT)
7  BELLA VINO Feb11 Feb05 Sep03 Aug27 Jul31 (reyes nor)MARTINEZ CRISTIAN 121 6.00 ★    
  (by TEXAS RYANO out of NASHOBA'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
RIL-7   02/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE GESSAMI May07 Apr24 Apr11 Mar27 Mar19 (bazurto ramon)DEONAUTH P 121 15.00    
2  TIGER BY HIS TAIL Feb11 Feb04 Nov21 Nov07 Jul09 (alcoverde ernesto)GAMEZ M 126 3.00 17% 4.80    
3  ALEX'S GIRL Feb11 Feb04 Jan21 Apr16   (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 4.00 ★    
4  LINEMANS CHECK Feb11 Feb05 Jan05 Dec10 Nov29 (ortega monica)OSUNA JESUS 126 10.00 ★    
SCR  KATZUMOTO Feb11 Feb04 Jan10 Dec22 Dec10 (kern david)FINN AISLINN 126 12.00    
6  FIGHT ME Feb19 Feb05 Jan05 Dec15 Sep17 (figueroa jua)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 8.00 ★    
7  DEFENSE WINS Feb04 Nov20 Oct30 Oct15 Sep04 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 1.80 52% 0.90    
8  BREXTON Feb11 Feb05 Jan28 Jan03 Dec19 (metz jeff)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00    
 
RIL-8   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD STAR STUDENT Feb18 Aug31 Aug10 Jul18 Jun27 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50    
2  NUMMY NUM Feb05 Jan07 Nov30 Nov12 Oct14 (warren kayla)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 6.00    
SCR  STAN THE HOT MAN Feb18 Feb11 Nov12 Oct29 Oct16 (torres-casas)CARBAJAL KEVIN 126 10.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  MUSICAL GEM Feb18 Feb05 Jan17 Jan05 Dec08 (torres-ca)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00 13% 6.50    
5  MANY AMBITIONS Feb18 Jan29 Jan20 Jan08 Dec03 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 2.00 24% 3.20    
6  ROMEO'S GLORY Feb04 Dec19 Nov29 Nov08 Sep14 (ybarra rudy)OSUNA JESUS 126 4.00 15% 5.80    
7  ADRIENNE'S PROGENY Feb18 Feb04 Mar28 Jan07   (cruz omar)ELLIS DEVON 121 12.00 8% 11.90    
8  PREDETERMINATION Feb11 Jan24 Jan12 Dec22 May06 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.