Handicappers' Race Results
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Turf Paradise
Saturday - March 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-1   Win (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $5.20  
TUP-2   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $17.80  
TUP-3   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 4.20
TUP-4   Win (3/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
TUP-5   Win (7/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TUP-6   Win (4/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
TUP-7   Win (6/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $10.40  
TUP-8   Win (10/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 3.80
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   03/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:23 :454 :572     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DOUBLE PERFECTION 6 2 3.2 1nk   1½ 13 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.00 ★ 1.60  
1  CORN POP 1 4 41¾ 52¾   44½ 23 (howe)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 7% 13.60 6.00 P
4  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY 4 5 52¼ 42½   32½ 33¼ (barrio serg)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 30% 2.30 2.60 S
5  GO LAKER GO 5 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 44¼ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.00 33% 2.00 1.60  
2  ATTORNEY LOUIS 2 6 65¾ 65¼   56 55 (toye joe)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 ★ 23.40  
3  SANSOME 3 3 1nk 31½   612 614¾ (palma milton)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 17.00  
 
TUP-2   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:222 :453 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SPITTEN KITTEN 3 1 11 1½   12 11¼ (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 116 4.00 ★ 7.90  
2  WHISTLING HOME 2 4 21 32   34½ 21¼ (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 1.60 56% 0.80 1.30 P
4  SIGNATURE COLORS 4 2 41½ 2½   22 31¾ (toye joe)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00 ★ 4.70 S
5  RODEO ROSE 5 6 61¾ 42   46 46 (nunnally jennif)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 15% 5.80 1.40  
6  MACLEAN'S BELLA 6 3 51¾ 64   69½ 512¼ (gutierrez jua)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 8.00 ★ 15.60  
1  BE TOUGH 1 5 31½ 52½   59½ 615 (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 12.00  
 
TUP-3   03/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:221 :45       :504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TIM'S BUDDY 5 1 1nk     1nk 12 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 53% 0.90 3.10 W
2  HEY NOW 2 4 44½     43¼ 22 (kenney dan)VERGARA P 122 2.00 ★ 5.80 P
4  TACTICAL ATTACK 4 2 2nk     2nk 32½ (sepich f)CORBETT W 122 3.50 ★ 0.40 S
3  CAPITAL EXPENSE 3 3 32½     33 44 (baze robert)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 2.50 16% 5.30 4.70  
1  AUTISM WARRIOR 1 5 57½     58¼ 57½ (elston brent)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 20.00 32.50  
SCR  RUN FACTOR               (nelson amy)HARVEY B 122 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   03/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:221 :442 1:091     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RECKONING DAY 4 2 11½ 15   15 12¾ (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 12% 7.30 1.90 W
7  LAST RENEGADE 6 1 54 59½   38 22¾ (gutierrez jua)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 6.70  
6  FIRE WHEN READY 5 3 44 36½   25 33½ (matt l)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 21% 3.70 1.80 S
3  MARK YE WELL 3 6 65½ 610½   48 44¾ (brown jared)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 27% 2.70 3.50  
1  FRANKS FIX IT 1 5 21½ 25   512 512 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 5.50  
2  YOLA 2 4 33½ 48   613 618 (schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 14% 6.40 14.20  
SCR  MAJOR MUNNINGS               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.50 ★    
 
TUP-5   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:231 :464 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BELLE MY BELLE 6 6 63 31   2½ 13½ (story chad)CORBETT W 124 3.00 36% 1.80 0.90 W
6  PLUM ROSE 5 1 2½ 1nk   1½ 23½ (gleason m)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 10% 9.10 2.10 P
5  SHES A KILLA QUEEN 4 2 1½ 2nk   31 36 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 118 5.00 ★ 6.10 S
2  PRECIOUS ONE 2 4 52½ 45   45½ 48½ (morales guille)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00 8.40  
1  KEEP IT ROLLIN 1 5 42½ 56½   57 511½ (buechler si)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 24% 3.20 6.40  
3  R HAPPY PLACE 3 3 32 68½   613 619¼ (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 18.50  
SCR  ROSEBUD RYDE               (cham)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00 9% 10.10    
 
TUP-6   03/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:11 1:231   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HAPI HAPI 3 3 2½ 1nk 2nk 1½ 15 (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 122 2.00 32% 2.20 0.40 W
6  PUSH THROUGH 5 4 32½ 31 31½ 32 25 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 15% 5.80 13.40 P
3  ATOMIC CANDY 2 1 1½ 2nk 1nk 2½ 35¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 5% 19.00 3.50 S
7  OF GOOD REPORT 6 5 53½ 41¼ 43 43½ 49¾ (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 ★ 6.70  
1  GOOD BYE PUTIN 1 6 63¾ 52¼ 57½ 58 512½ (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00 10.90  
5  EL NOBLE 4 2 42½ 63¼ 67¾ 610½ 615¼ (palma milton)ZUNINO L 122 10.00 19.90  
SCR  HYPERFOCUS               (rycroft riley)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
TUP-7   03/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:29
See original race card.
:211 :443       :502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DANNYBOB 5 1 2nk     1nk 1¾ (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 4.20  
1  ALBERTA SUN 1 3 42¼     41 2¾ (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 2.50 20% 4.00 0.80 P
3  J T'S LA NENA 3 4 32     3½ 32 (torres-casas alex)NEGRON LUIS 122 8.00 14.00  
5  HEART ON THE RUN 4 5 53¾     62¾ 43 (nunnally jenni)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00 10.40  
2  HOLY TUTTA BELLA 2 6 64¼     51¼ 53¼ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 ★ 28.10  
8  WHERE'S FRANKIE 6 2 1nk     2nk 65¾ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 10% 9.20 1.90  
SCR  GO GO SADIE               (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  MISS GLORIOUS               (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
TUP-8   03/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 7:59
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:104     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MY KACEJJ 6 5 55¾ 58½   45 11 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50 30% 2.40 2.90 W
10  THE GOLDEN EGG 8 3 32½ 46   35 21 (essex charles)VERGARA P 121 3.50 48% 1.10 3.20 P
6  NAPOLEONIC CODE 5 4 42¾ 33½   23½ 31¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.50 ★ 1.60 S
5  YANKEE TEA PARTY 4 2 1nk 12½   13½ 42½ (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00 ★ 3.30  
3  BRIGHT MIND 2 8 810¼ 79½   510½ 59¼ (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 15.00 29.50  
4  DIXON TUFF 3 7 710¼ 69½   610¾ 69¾ (matt l)ZUNINO L 121 15.00 18.10  
2  BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR 1 6 66¼ 811   714¾ 717 (christian bil)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 12.00 ★ 46.80  
9  RECONCILING FORCE 7 1 2nk 22½   820¾ 840¼ (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 121 6.00 14.80  
SCR  MANDELA EFFECT               (bratcher ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 10.00    
SCR  SCOPELLO               (mcfarlane l)LEON A 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.