Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - March 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/6/1/2)-(5/4/6/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(2/5)-(6/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/4/3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/4/3/6)-(2/5/4/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5)-(6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(6/3)-(3/6/2/5) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TUP-3   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/3)-(3/6/2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(3/6/2/5)-(7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-4   WIN (3/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/2/5)-(7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/5)-(7/1/6)-(4/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-5   WIN (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/6)-(7/1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/6)-(7/1/6/5)-(7/1/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/6)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6)-(4/6/3)-(1/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-6   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(1/8)-(10/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-7   WIN (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/8)-(1/8/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/8)-(1/8/2)-(1/8/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/8)-(10/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
TUP-8   WIN (10/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/7)-(10/7/6/5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (10/7)-(10/7/6/5/2)-(10/7/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   03/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORN POP Jan12 Dec08 Nov19 Oct02 Sep20 (ho)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 7% 13.60    
2  ATTORNEY LOUIS Mar05 Feb19 Feb11 Jan24 Jan07 (toye joe)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 ★    
3  SANSOME Feb22 Oct08 Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 (palma milto)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
4  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Feb11 Jan19 Jan02 Dec22 Nov25 (barrio se)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
5  GO LAKER GO Mar06 Feb18 Jan28 Sep17 Aug27 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
6  DOUBLE PERFECTION Mar05 Feb11 Jan19     (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.00 ★    
 
TUP-2   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BE TOUGH Feb28 Jan26 Jan07 Dec20 Nov16 (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
2  WHISTLING HOME Aug08 Jul11 Apr28 Mar28 Feb07 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 1.60 56% 0.80    
3  SPITTEN KITTEN Feb15 Aug29 Aug16 Aug02   (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 116 4.00 ★    
4  SIGNATURE COLORS Feb28 Feb06 Jan09 Dec14 Sep17 (toye joe)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00 ★    
5  RODEO ROSE Feb28 Feb07 Jan28 Jan11 Dec19 (nunnally jenn)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 15% 5.80    
6  MACLEAN'S BELLA Mar06 Aug08 Jul11 May02 Apr07 (gutierrez j)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 8.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   03/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTISM WARRIOR Jan31 Dec22 Sep19 Aug22 Jul18 (elston brent)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 20.00    
2  HEY NOW Aug06 Jul09 Jun27 Apr25 Mar30 (kenney dan)VERGARA P 122 2.00 ★    
3  CAPITAL EXPENSE Feb19 Jan31 Dec14 Sep02 Aug21 (baze robert)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 2.50 16% 5.30    
4  TACTICAL ATTACK Mar07 Feb25 Jan28 Jan07   (sepich f)CORBETT W 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  RUN FACTOR Mar08 Feb25 Nov25 Aug26   (nelson amy)HARVEY B 122 5.00 ★    
6  TIM'S BUDDY Feb19 Jan31 Jan12 Jan05 Dec26 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
 
TUP-4   03/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANKS FIX IT Mar04 Feb13 Jan25 Jan05 Nov28 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00    
2  YOLA Feb25 Feb04 Sep20 Sep05 Aug24 (schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 14% 6.40    
3  MARK YE WELL Feb19 Feb04 Jan23 Jan07 Dec20 (brown jared)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  MAJOR MUNNINGS Mar04 Feb19 Jan26 Jan10 Jul24 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.50 ★    
5  RECKONING DAY Mar04 Feb19 Feb09 Dec18 Oct21 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 12% 7.30    
6  FIRE WHEN READY Feb13 Jan25 Jan09 Dec14 Nov26 (matt l)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
7  LAST RENEGADE Mar04 Feb18 Jan28 Jan10 Dec19 (gutierrez j)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00    
 
TUP-5   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEP IT ROLLIN Feb13 Jan24 Jan04 Dec13 Nov07 (buechler )VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
2  PRECIOUS ONE Feb20 Jan17 Nov15 Sep12 Aug27 (morales guil)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00    
3  R HAPPY PLACE Feb07 Jan09 Sep04 Aug21 Aug06 (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
SCR  ROSEBUD RYDE Feb07 Jan12 Jan02 Nov26 Nov05 (ch)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00 9% 10.10    
5  SHES A KILLA QUEEN Mar05 Feb04 Dec14 Oct15   (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 118 5.00 ★    
6  PLUM ROSE Feb19 Jan11 Dec22 Apr01 Mar15 (gleason m)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 10% 9.10    
7  BELLE MY BELLE Feb27 Feb04 Jan09 Dec14 Nov15 (story chad)CORBETT W 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
TUP-6   03/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD BYE PUTIN Mar01 Feb06 Jan18 Dec26 Nov19 (ferguson cur)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00    
SCR  HYPERFOCUS Feb21 Feb08 Dec11 Nov25 Nov04 (rycroft riley)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
3  ATOMIC CANDY Feb21 Feb02 Jan19 Dec26 Nov21 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  HAPI HAPI Feb15 Jan31 Jan04 Dec19 Nov28 (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 122 2.00 32% 2.20    
5  EL NOBLE Feb15 Jan23 Oct29 Sep24 Aug20 (palma milton)ZUNINO L 122 10.00    
6  PUSH THROUGH Feb25 Mar25 Feb11 Jan08   (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 15% 5.80    
7  OF GOOD REPORT Mar04 Feb16 Feb08 Jan25 Jan12 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   03/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALBERTA SUN Feb25 Feb04 Nov15 Aug03 Jun25 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
2  HOLY TUTTA BELLA Jan25 Jan12 Nov27 Sep12 Aug22 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 ★    
3  J T'S LA NENA Mar08 Feb16 Feb04 Dec14 Nov26 (torres-casas al)NEGRON LUIS 122 8.00    
SCR  GO GO SADIE Feb07 Dec14 Aug27 Aug08 Jul11 (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 122 6.00 ★    
5  HEART ON THE RUN Mar08 Feb07 Jan02 Dec21 Nov29 (nunnally jen)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00    
SCR  MISS GLORIOUS Mar04 Feb22 Nov21 Nov05 Sep30 (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
7  DANNYBOB Apr16         (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00    
8  WHERE'S FRANKIE Feb22 Feb07 Dec17 Nov24 Sep14 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 10% 9.20    
 
TUP-8   03/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MANDELA EFFECT         (bratcher ry)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 10.00    
2  BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR Nov30         (christian b)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 12.00 ★    
3  BRIGHT MIND Feb07         (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 15.00    
4  DIXON TUFF         (matt l)ZUNINO L 121 15.00    
5  YANKEE TEA PARTY Feb26         (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00 ★    
6  NAPOLEONIC CODE Nov05 Sep30 Sep10     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.50 ★    
7  MY KACEJJ Feb26 Feb07       (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  SCOPELLO Feb26         (mcfarlane l)LEON A 121 20.00    
9  RECONCILING FORCE         (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 121 6.00    
10  THE GOLDEN EGG Feb26 Feb07 Jan05     (essex charles)VERGARA P 121 3.50 48% 1.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.