The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Turf Paradise
Saturday - February 25, 2023

Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

 
TUP-1   02/25/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming  ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
:214 :444       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYIN BY 4 2 1 1½   11 1(johnston kimb)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 3.50 23% 3.30 2.80 W
SWEET LADY LANA 6 3 2 3   32(gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 24% 3.20 2.40 P
WARREN'S MEMORABLE 2 4 43 4   43(valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 1.60  
KEEPINMYPROMISE 5 1 32 2½   21 4(pierce l)CRUZ M 122 4.50 13.30  
YELLEN 3 5 56 5   57 5(toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 11.00  
SQUARE FOOTAGE 1 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50 18% 4.70 4.50  
 
TUP-2   02/25/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming  ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:23
:223 :45 1:093     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASH FLOOD 1 5 32 2½   11 1(aspr)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00 7% 13.80 7.40 W
SMILING THUNDER 3 1 1½ 1½   21 2(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 1.40 54% 0.90 0.30 P
QUEENS RANSOM 6 3 2½ 3   37 3(johnston kimb)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 10.00 16.90  
LATER DAYS 5 2 42 43   44(lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 9% 10.50 4.90  
LOVE YA MOST 4 4 6 5   510 5(wolf ashlee)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 34.80  
JAZZY EINSTEIN 7 7 7 712   718 616½ (finch sherry)ANAYA V 122 12.00 37.80  
FEARLESS FACTOR 2 6 54 6   615 717 (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 4.00 8% 11.80 6.00  
 
TUP-3   02/25/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming  ( Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:53
:212 :451 :563     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWHITESPORTSCOAT 5 6 6 610½   41(nunnally jennifer)MAWING A 124 2.50 13% 6.50 5.80 W
DUSALUT 2 2 2 22   1½ 2(garcia valentin )ANAYA V 122 12.00 32.80 DQ↓4
DURANGO JESS 3 3 34 3   33(wolf ashlee)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 4.60  
J T'S A. T. M. 1 7 4 4   56 4(evans justin)CRUZ M 122 3.50 11% 8.00 3.10 S
CANNONBALL COMIN 7 5 57 5   67 5(silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 18% 4.50 2.30  
FIRECRACKER STAND 6 1 1 12   2½ 6(bullene micha)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 7% 13.90 3.10  
CAUSE AND EFFECT 4 4 7100 7100   7100 7100 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.50 26% 2.90 7.10  
 
TUP-4   02/25/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:24
:221 :44 1:08     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTSIDE THE LAW 4 1 1 13   15 1(campo stacy)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 21% 3.70 0.60 W
ALBERTA SUN 2 2 2 23   25 2(diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 2.00 1.80 P
BIG HEAT 3 3 3 39   35 3(owens kory)CORBETT W 124 3.50 2.90 S
SEVEN POINTS 1 4 412 417   417 412½ (peacock shane)ZUNINO L 122 10.00 16.90  
SCR  HINDU MISS CHEF               (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 120 5.00 9% 10.00    
SCR  REIGN OF FIRE               (silv)DA FAUSTO 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
 
TUP-5   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm  ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:54
:222 :432 :551     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAY HAPPY 1 4 1nk 2nk   2nk 1¼ (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 3.00 30% 2.40 2.40 W
FIRST CALL 5 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (owens kory)VERGARA P 122 2.00 0.70 P
LINCHTOWN 2 3 43 35   35 3(esquibel mark)LEON A 122 6.00 24.60  
MARICOPA COUNTY 3 5 65 612   611¼ 4(grissom w)CORBETT W 122 10.00 33.80  
XTREME MAYHEM 4 6 5 58   49 5(martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 23% 3.30 7.40  
YOLA 6 2 3 4   511 612¼ (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 5% 18.70 4.00  
SCR  INGENIERO               (dominguez ange)BEVERLY JR 122 10.00 18% 4.40    
 
TUP-6   02/25/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
:222 :432 1:08     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAMBLIN' MAN 4 6 55 42   34 1hd (owens kory)VERGARA P 124 1.80 18% 4.60 1.30 W
ANNIE'S BOY 1 1 1nk 1½   12hd (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 122 2.00 44% 1.30 1.90 P
FAMOUS ROCK STAR 2 3 31 3½   23(hernandez miguel )LEON A 120 10.00 6% 14.90 26.90 S
TACTICAL ATTACK 6 2 2nk 2½   44(sepich f)CORBETT W 120 6.00 4.50  
BRAZEN NOW 5 5 68 6   511½ 57 (eikleberry ke)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 5.00  
MOONLITE GRAHAM 3 4 42 5   613 611½ (barraza s)CRUZ M 122 5.00 7.70  
 
TUP-7   02/25/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:58
:233 :463 1:10 1:221   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. WHO 4 1 11 1 1 15 1(chambers mike)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 20% 4.00 1.30 W
WESTPHAL 1 2 3 42 4 42(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 4.50 P
STAR SAILOR 3 4 42 32 3 25 3(evans justin)CRUZ M 122 6.00 7.40  
TWO GUNS 2 3 21 2 2 35 4(silv)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 19% 4.20 2.70  
LIGHT CRUISER 5 6 67 58 6 5511¼ (bullene mic)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 6% 16.20 18.30  
HOODLUM 6 7 7 7 711¼ 711¾ 612 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 5.00 4.80  
PUSH THROUGH 7 5 56 6 59 611¾ 715 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 31% 2.30 18.00  
 
TUP-8   02/25/2023 4950ft TURF FIRM Mdn Opt Clm  ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:28
:24 :492 1:15     1:332   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBILEE LAKE (GB) 1 1 5 4   3½ 1¾ (drysdale neil)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 0.40  
SHEZ OUR ARCH 2 7 8 7   2½ 2¾ (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 11.90  
JERUSALEMA (IRE) 8 6 6 5   1½ 3(silva jr)VERGARA P 124 4.00 4.30 S
UNUSUAL DANCER 7 8 7 6   41 4(dillenbeck br)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00 63.80  
I'LL TAKE THE SOUP 5 3 3 2nk   55(kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 10.00 74% 0.30 4.40  
PAULINA'S STAR 6 5 4 3.2   6622¾ (miller peter)CRUZ M 124 3.50 13.40  
EXTRA SAUCE 3 4 1 1nk   7722¾ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 29.80  
LEGAL MISCHIEF 4 2 2 8   820¾ 848¾ (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00 67.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.