Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - February 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.60 $1.60 27%
TUP-2   WIN (3/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $16.80 $8.80 110%
    EXA (3/5/2/1)-(3/5/2/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-3 $18.30 $2.30 14%
    DD (6/4/1)-(3/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-1 $33.70 $21.70 181%
TUP-3   WIN (4/7/5/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $13.60 $3.60 36%
    DD (3/5/2/1)-(4/7/5/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-5 $57.70 $37.70 189%
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(3/5/2/1)-(4/7/5/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-1-5 $138.45 $108.45 362%
TUP-4   PK3 (3/5/2/1)-(4/7/5/1/6)-(3/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-5-1/3/6 $206.10 $176.10 587%
    PK4 (6/4/1)-(3/5/2/1)-(4/7/5/1/6)-(3/6/1) 180 $0.50 $90.00  4-1-5-1/3/6 $1190 $1100 1223%
TUP-5   PK3 (4/7/5/1/6)-(3/6/1)-(1/4/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-1/3/6-1 $60.60 $30.60 102%
TUP-6   TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/3/2/5)-(1/4/3/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  4-1-2 $19.50 $1.50 8%
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(1/4/6/7)-(1/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00  1/3/6-1-4 $23.85 $5.85 33%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   02/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:214 :444       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FLYIN BY 4 2 11½ 1½   11 11¾ (johnston ki)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 3.50 23% 3.30 2.80 W
6  SWEET LADY LANA 6 3 21½ 31½   32½ 21¾ (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 24% 3.20 2.40 P
2  WARREN'S MEMORABLE 2 4 43 44½   44½ 32¼ (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 1.60  
5  KEEPINMYPROMISE 5 1 32 2½   21 43¾ (pierce michael )CRUZ M 122 4.50 ★ 13.30  
3  YELLEN 3 5 56 55½   57 55¾ (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 ★ 11.00  
1  SQUARE FOOTAGE 1 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50 18% 4.70 4.50  
 
TUP-2   02/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:223 :45 1:093     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASH FLOOD 1 5 32 2½   11 12¾ (as)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00 7% 13.80 7.40 W
3  SMILING THUNDER 3 1 1½ 1½   21 22¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 1.40 54% 0.90 0.30 P
6  QUEENS RANSOM 6 3 2½ 31½   37 38¼ (johnston ki)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 10.00 16.90  
5  LATER DAYS 5 2 42 43   48½ 49¼ (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 9% 10.50 4.90  
4  LOVE YA MOST 4 4 65½ 55½   510 59¾ (wolf ashlee)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 34.80  
7  JAZZY EINSTEIN 7 7 77½ 712   718 616½ (finch sherry)ANAYA V 122 12.00 ★ 37.80  
2  FEARLESS FACTOR 2 6 54 67½   615 717 (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 4.00 8% 11.80 6.00  
 
TUP-3   02/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:212 :451 :563     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  AWHITESPORTSCOAT 5 6 69½ 610½   43½ 11½ (nunnally jennife)MAWING A 124 2.50 13% 6.50 5.80 W
2  DUSALUT 2 2 22½ 22   1½ 21½ (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 122 12.00 32.80 DQ↓4
3  DURANGO JESS 3 3 34 34½   32½ 32½ (wolf ashlee)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 4.60  
1  J T'S A. T. M. 1 7 46½ 48½   56 42½ (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 3.50 11% 8.00 3.10 S
7  CANNONBALL COMIN 7 5 57 58½   67 52¾ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 18% 4.50 2.30  
6  FIRECRACKER STAND 6 1 12½ 12   2½ 64¾ (bullene mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 7% 13.90 3.10  
4  CAUSE AND EFFECT 4 4 7100 7100   7100 7100 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.50 26% 2.90 7.10  
 
TUP-4   02/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:221 :44 1:08     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OUTSIDE THE LAW 4 1 11½ 13   15 12½ (campo stacy)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 21% 3.70 0.60 W
  (by MACHO UNO out of AGAINST THE LAW by OFFICER)
4  ALBERTA SUN 2 2 21½ 23   25 22½ (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 2.00 ★ 1.80 P
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of DRIFA by TABASCO CAT)
5  BIG HEAT 3 3 38½ 39   35 33¼ (owens kory)CORBETT W 124 3.50 ★ 2.90 S
  (by MR. BIG out of CALIFORNIA HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
2  SEVEN POINTS 1 4 412 417   417 412½ (peacock shane)ZUNINO L 122 10.00 16.90  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of HARD SEVEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  HINDU MISS CHEF               (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 120 5.00 9% 10.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of AWESOME EFFORT by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  REIGN OF FIRE               (si)DA FAUSTO 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
  (by VRONSKY out of RED HOT RENEE by ROAR)
 
TUP-5   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:222 :432 :551     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAY HAPPY 1 4 1nk 2nk   2nk 1¼ (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 3.00 30% 2.40 2.40 W
5  FIRST CALL 5 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (owens kory)VERGARA P 122 2.00 ★ 0.70 P
2  LINCHTOWN 2 3 43 35   35 32¼ (esquibel mark)LEON A 122 6.00 24.60  
3  MARICOPA COUNTY 3 5 65 612   611¼ 45½ (grissom roberta)CORBETT W 122 10.00 33.80  
4  XTREME MAYHEM 4 6 54½ 58   49 57¼ (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 23% 3.30 7.40  
7  YOLA 6 2 32½ 47½   511 612¼ (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 5% 18.70 4.00  
SCR  INGENIERO               (dominguez an)BEVERLY JR 122 10.00 18% 4.40    
 
TUP-6   02/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:222 :432 1:08     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RAMBLIN' MAN 4 6 55 42   34 1hd (owens kory)VERGARA P 124 1.80 18% 4.60 1.30 W
  (by UH OH BANGO out of DOUBLE PUNCH by TWO PUNCH)
1  ANNIE'S BOY 1 1 1nk 1½   11½ 2hd (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 2.00 44% 1.30 1.90 P
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of AWESOME EFFORT by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  FAMOUS ROCK STAR 2 3 31 3½   21½ 33½ (hernandez migue)LEON A 120 10.00 6% 14.90 26.90 S
  (by ROCKY BAR out of FAMOUS GAL by WESTERN FAME)
6  TACTICAL ATTACK 6 2 2nk 2½   44½ 44½ (sepich f)CORBETT W 120 6.00 4.50  
  (by EZ DREAMER out of HOLLYWOOD HOTTIE by CITY ZIP)
5  BRAZEN NOW 5 5 68 69½   511½ 57 (eikleberry )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 ★ 5.00  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SAINT'S CROWN by TIZNOW)
3  MOONLITE GRAHAM 3 4 42 54½   613 611½ (barraza rafael )CRUZ M 122 5.00 ★ 7.70  
  (by UH OH BANGO out of SHESHIMAINTENANCE by INSTAGRAND)
 
TUP-7   02/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:10 1:221   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MR. WHO 4 1 11 11½ 12½ 15 16¼ (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 20% 4.00 1.30 W
1  WESTPHAL 1 2 31½ 42 44½ 45¼ 26¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 ★ 4.50 P
3  STAR SAILOR 3 4 42 32 32½ 25 36¾ (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 6.00 7.40  
2  TWO GUNS 2 3 21 21½ 22½ 35 48¼ (si)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 19% 4.20 2.70  
5  LIGHT CRUISER 5 6 67 58 69¼ 59¾ 511¼ (bullene m)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 6% 16.20 18.30  
6  HOODLUM 6 7 77½ 79¾ 711¼ 711¾ 612 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 5.00 4.80  
7  PUSH THROUGH 7 5 56 68¼ 59 611¾ 715 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 31% 2.30 18.00  
 
TUP-8   02/25/2023 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:24 :492 1:15     1:332   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBILEE LAKE (GB) 1 1 52¾ 41¼   3½ 1¾ (drysdale ne)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 ★ 0.40  
2  SHEZ OUR ARCH 2 7 84¾ 73¾   2½ 2¾ (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 11.90  
8  JERUSALEMA (IRE) 8 6 63¾ 51¾   1½ 36¼ (silva jr)VERGARA P 124 4.00 ★ 4.30 S
7  UNUSUAL DANCER 7 8 74¾ 61¾   41 47¼ (dillenbeck )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00 ★ 63.80  
5  I'LL TAKE THE SOUP 5 3 31½ 2nk   52½ 58½ (kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 10.00 74% 0.30 4.40  
6  PAULINA'S STAR 6 5 41¾ 3.2   68½ 622¾ (miller peter)CRUZ M 124 3.50 ★ 13.40  
3  EXTRA SAUCE 3 4 11½ 1nk   78¾ 722¾ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 29.80  
4  LEGAL MISCHIEF 4 2 21½ 84¼   820¾ 848¾ (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00 67.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.