Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - February 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1/5/3)-(6/4/1/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(3/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(3/5/2/1)-(4/7/5/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-2   WIN (3/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/1)-(3/5/2/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/1)-(3/5/2/1/7)-(3/5/2/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/2/1)-(4/7/5/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/1)-(4/7/5/1/6)-(6) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
TUP-3   WIN (4/7/5/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/1/6)-(4/7/5/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/1/6)-(4/7/5/1/6)-(4/7/5/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/5/1/6)-(6) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5/1/6)-(6)-(1/4/7) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
TUP-4   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (6)-(1/4/7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/2) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
TUP-5   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(1/4/2)-(7/4/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-6   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/3/2/5)-(1/4/3/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(7/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(7/4/2/5)-(5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-7   WIN (7/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5/1)-(7/4/2/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/2/5)-(5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/6/1/7/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/6/1/7/8)-(5/6/1/7/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   02/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SQUARE FOOTAGE Feb06 Jan09 Nov21 Nov12 Sep09 (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
2  WARREN'S MEMORABLE Feb13 Jan24 Dec18 Dec11 Sep18 (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50    
3  YELLEN Feb16 Feb06 Jan18 Aug24 Jul22 (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 ★    
4  FLYIN BY Feb06 Jan24 Dec19 Nov25 Nov08 (johnston ki)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
5  KEEPINMYPROMISE Jan18 Dec19 Dec01 Nov19 Aug26 (pierce michael )CRUZ M 122 4.50 ★    
6  SWEET LADY LANA Feb07 Jan09 Dec14 Nov21 Nov05 (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
 
TUP-2   02/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASH FLOOD Feb11 Jan04 Dec13 Aug27 Aug20 (as)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00 7% 13.80    
2  FEARLESS FACTOR Feb14 Jan24 Jan04 Dec19 Aug12 (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 4.00 8% 11.80    
3  SMILING THUNDER Feb11 Jan24 Jan04 Dec20 Nov25 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 1.40 54% 0.90    
4  LOVE YA MOST Jan04 Dec26 Sep17 Aug29 Apr05 (wolf ashlee)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00    
5  LATER DAYS Feb06 Jan04 Dec19 Nov26 Nov08 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 9% 10.50    
6  QUEENS RANSOM Feb11 Jan26 Jan11 Dec26 Dec10 (johnston ki)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 10.00    
7  JAZZY EINSTEIN Feb09 Jan26 Jan04 Dec19 Nov25 (finch sherry)GARCIA F 122 12.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   02/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J T'S A. T. M. Feb04 Jan26 Jan07 Dec13 Nov21 (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 3.50 11% 8.00    
2  DUSALUT Feb04 Dec20 Sep11 Aug28 Aug07 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 122 12.00    
3  DURANGO JESS Feb06 Jan24 Nov11 Sep22 Sep03 (wolf ashlee)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
4  CAUSE AND EFFECT Feb02 Dec26 Dec01 Nov04 Sep17 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.50 26% 2.90    
5  AWHITESPORTSCOAT Feb04 Jan07 Dec01 Aug13 Jul18 (nunnally jennife)MAWING A 124 2.50 13% 6.50    
6  FIRECRACKER STAND Feb09 Jan31 Jan05 Dec13 Nov09 (bullene mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 7% 13.90    
7  CANNONBALL COMIN Feb04 Jan07 Dec20 Nov23 Nov05 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
TUP-4   02/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HINDU MISS CHEF Feb04 Jan25 Dec20 Nov23 Sep10 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 120 5.00 9% 10.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of AWESOME EFFORT by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  SEVEN POINTS Feb14 Jan14 Dec17 Nov30 Oct23 (peacock shane)ZUNINO L 122 10.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of HARD SEVEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  REIGN OF FIRE Feb18 Feb09 Jan31 Jan19 Jan03 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
  (by VRONSKY out of RED HOT RENEE by ROAR)
4  ALBERTA SUN Feb04 Nov15 Aug03 Jun25 Jun09 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 2.00 ★    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of DRIFA by TABASCO CAT)
5  BIG HEAT Jan25 Aug20 Jul11 Apr21 Mar11 (owens kory)CORBETT W 124 3.50 ★    
  (by MR. BIG out of CALIFORNIA HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
6  OUTSIDE THE LAW Jan26 Jan08 Dec21 Nov05 Sep30 (campo stacy)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by MACHO UNO out of AGAINST THE LAW by OFFICER)
 
TUP-5   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAY HAPPY Feb04 Jan25 Jan09 Dec13 Nov23 (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
2  LINCHTOWN Feb02 Jan12 Dec22 Nov29 Nov15 (esquibel mark)LEON A 122 6.00    
3  MARICOPA COUNTY Dec13 May06 Apr21 Feb18 Feb02 (grissom roberta)CORBETT W 122 10.00    
4  XTREME MAYHEM Jan19 Jan03 Nov29 Nov14 Sep14 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
5  FIRST CALL May03 Apr01 Mar02 Feb10 Jan25 (owens kory)VERGARA P 122 2.00 ★    
SCR  INGENIERO Jan03         (dominguez an)BEVERLY JR 122 10.00 18% 4.40    
7  YOLA Feb04 Sep20 Sep05 Aug24 Aug01 (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 5% 18.70    
 
TUP-6   02/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNIE'S BOY Feb04 Apr21 Mar11 Feb04 Jan19 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of AWESOME EFFORT by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  FAMOUS ROCK STAR Feb04 Jan23 Jan07 Dec26 Dec01 (hernandez migue)LEON A 120 10.00 6% 14.90    
  (by ROCKY BAR out of FAMOUS GAL by WESTERN FAME)
3  MOONLITE GRAHAM Feb09 Dec14 Nov21 Nov05 Jul23 (barraza rafael )CRUZ M 122 5.00 ★    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of SHESHIMAINTENANCE by INSTAGRAND)
4  RAMBLIN' MAN Jan28 Dec21 Nov04 Sep19 Aug20 (owens kory)VERGARA P 124 1.80 18% 4.60    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of DOUBLE PUNCH by TWO PUNCH)
5  BRAZEN NOW Feb04 Dec21 Oct04 Sep19 Aug20 (eikleberry )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 ★    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SAINT'S CROWN by TIZNOW)
6  TACTICAL ATTACK Jan28 Jan07       (sepich f)CORBETT W 120 6.00    
  (by EZ DREAMER out of HOLLYWOOD HOTTIE by CITY ZIP)
 
TUP-7   02/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTPHAL Jan07 Nov28 Nov19 Nov04 Oct07 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 ★    
2  TWO GUNS Feb15 Jan19 Nov16 Oct03 Sep23 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
3  STAR SAILOR Feb15 Jan15 Dec30 Nov24 Mar27 (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
4  MR. WHO Feb09 Jan23 Dec08 Nov07 Sep08 (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
5  LIGHT CRUISER Feb09 Jan30 Jan07 Dec17 Nov15 (bullene m)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 6% 16.20    
6  HOODLUM Feb15 Jan21 Jan08 Dec17 Nov27 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
7  PUSH THROUGH Mar25 Feb11 Jan08     (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 31% 2.30    
 
TUP-8   02/25/2023 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBILEE LAKE (GB) Feb05 Jan07 Sep10 Jul30 Jun17 (drysdale ne)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 ★    
2  SHEZ OUR ARCH Dec17 Oct30 Oct15 Sep24 Sep05 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00    
3  EXTRA SAUCE Jan30 Jan09       (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
4  LEGAL MISCHIEF Feb04 Jan17 Dec22 Sep17   (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00    
5  I'LL TAKE THE SOUP Feb14 Jan23 Dec14 Jun11   (kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 10.00 74% 0.30    
6  PAULINA'S STAR Jun10 May02       (miller peter)CRUZ M 124 3.50 ★    
7  UNUSUAL DANCER Jan09 Dec14 Jan14     (dillenbeck )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00 ★    
8  JERUSALEMA (IRE) Jan28 Jan07 Dec30 Nov25 Nov06 (silva jr)VERGARA P 124 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.