Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - March 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $8.20  
TUP-3   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 4.20
TUP-4   Win (4/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TUP-5   Win (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $29.40  
TUP-6   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $7.40  
TUP-7   Win (8/4/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 2.80

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   03/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:103 1:244   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARGE'S SERMON 4 5 5 37 36 33 1 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 3.10  
AMERICAN GRIT 2 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 1½ 2 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 45% 1.20 0.80 P
BET ON DAD 1 2 2nk 2nk 2nk 2½ 33 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 4.20  
BLUE PARADISE (GB) 5 4 47 5 5 47 4 (asprino alfredo)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 11.50  
SIXTYFOUR G T O 3 3 36 4 47 511½ 518 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00 20% 3.90 3.80  
SCR  AGADOR SPARTACUS               (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 2.00    
 
TUP-3   03/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:493 1:141 1:27   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POETIC PURSUIT 4 4 52 53 53 2nk 1hd (eidschun gregory)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 13% 6.50 4.10 W
BREAKFAST BALL 5 5 41 42 42 1nk 2hd (whitehouse wilton )MAWING A 124 6.00 6.90 P
TRULY A MESS 2 2 2½ 3 3 3½ 3 (bullene micha)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 38% 1.60 3.40 S
RATTLEME 1 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 4¾ 4 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 11.00  
WALK SOFTLY 3 3 3½ 2nk 1nk 5¾ 56 (martinez esteba)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 24% 3.10 0.50  
SCR  DRAMADORA               (barrio sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00    
 
TUP-4   03/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:18
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:092     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSCZECH 4 1 2nk 2½   21 1nk (eidschun greg)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 15% 5.60 1.00 W
CHEROKEE PAPOOSE 5 4 4 32   4 2nk (whitehouse )VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 8.00 P
MISTY MATT 2 2 32 42   11 3½ (matt wendell )CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00 15.00  
BENGAL TIGER 3 3 1nk 1½   3 4 (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 124 3.00 28% 2.60 6.10  
TICK TOCK 6 6 66 6   68 5 (hernandez migue)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.50 16% 5.10 3.00  
SEVEN SISTERS 1 5 54 5   5 6 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 4.00 16% 5.30 3.60  
SCR  REALREALGOOD               (perkins franc)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
 
TUP-5   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:222 :443 :57     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STYLISH ELEGANCE 4 2 2nk 2   2 1¼ (villamar candelar)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 13.70  
FLYUNDERTHEGRAYDAR 6 1 1nk 1   1 2¼ (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 2.00 1.90 P
IRISH KNIGHT 1 6 4 5   35 31 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 122 6.00 7.80  
SAYERS 5 3 5 46   45 4 (silva pablo)LEON A 124 5.00 3.50  
ELUSIVE LOVE 3 5 713¾ 711¼   6 5 (ortiz manuel )MARTI ALEXANDER 122 12.00 5% 18.30 8.40  
ALPHABETICAL 8 4 3 3   5 6 (alvarez ser)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 65% 0.50 4.90  
ETU BABOU 7 7 6 6   7 7 (hedge rick)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00 3.20  
MARK OF VALOR 2 8 816¾ 814¼   814¾ 810½ (gale bryce)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 12.00 68.20  
 
TUP-6   03/01/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:17
See original race card.
:484 1:133     1:321   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) 2 6 711½ 76   4 12 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 2.70  
PINTXOS 1 1 1 11   1 22 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 47% 1.10 0.80 P
RIVER ROSE 6 5 4 3   2 3 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 4.10  
THICK HAZE 4 3 36 4   32 4 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 124 3.50 12% 7.10 8.10  
GOOD BYE PUTIN 5 7 611 55   5 5 (brown jared)CRUZ M 124 4.50 10% 9.30 11.30  
OUR DANDY'S BOY 3 2 5 6   6 6 (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 55.00  
LIVING VICARIOUSLY 7 4 2 21   77 718 (asprino alfredo)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 18.10  
 
TUP-7   03/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:46
See original race card.
:211 :441       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED BLUE 4 8 7 79   3 1¼ (silva pablo)LEON A 124 4.00 36% 1.80 4.40 W
FOREVER GOLD 1 3 12 14   1 2¼ (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00 4.60  
CAPTAIN N. BARRON 8 5 65 3   2 3 (crotts jame)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 36% 1.70 6.10 S
D K'S CROWN 2 7 8 810½   4 44 (villamar candelar)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 3.40  
TAINO HOUSE 9 4 44 57   515 511¼ (alvarez sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 5% 19.00 4.00  
LIL LATIGO 6 10 1010¾ 916½   623 627 (lavanway dayso)BEVERLY JR 124 15.00 ######  
MIDNIGHT DRAMA 5 9 910½ 1019   724½ 728¼ (lavanway da)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 77.70  
10  MO GEE 10 6 5 6   829½ 842¾ (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 8.30  
STARZAN 7 2 3 47   9100 9100 (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 6.00 8.30  
MYSTICAL IMAGE 3 1 22 24   10100 10100 (garcia l)MAWING A 124 6.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.