Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - March 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/3)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(2/3/5)-(4/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-3   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/6/1)-(2/3/5/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(4/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(4/7/1/5)-(8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-4   WIN (4/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5/6)-(4/7/1/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/1/5)-(8/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/5)-(8/3)-(1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-5   WIN (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/3)-(8/6/3/7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/3)-(8/6/3/7/5)-(8/6/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/3)-(1/4/5)-(8/4/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-6   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/2/3)-(1/4/5/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(8/4/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(8/4/3/9)-(3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-7   WIN (8/4/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/9)-(8/4/3/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/9)-(8/4/3/9/2)-(8/4/3/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/4/3/9)-(3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
TUP-8   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/1/2/4/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/1/2/4/9)-(3/1/2/4/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   03/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BET ON DAD Feb06 Jan17 Dec26 Dec01   (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50    
2  AMERICAN GRIT Dec31         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
3  SIXTYFOUR G T O Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 Dec11 Nov20 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00 20% 3.90    
4  SARGE'S SERMON Feb01 Jan24 Jan07 Dec17 Jan12 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 ★    
5  BLUE PARADISE (GB) Feb13 Jan28 Jan10 Dec20 Nov28 (asprino alfre)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  AGADOR SPARTACUS Feb20 Jan30 Jan20 Dec31 Dec16 (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 2.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   03/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RATTLEME Feb15 Jan30 Dec14 Oct14 Sep15 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 ★    
2  TRULY A MESS Feb15 Jan30 Jan17 Nov27 Oct30 (bullene mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
3  WALK SOFTLY Feb02 Jan10 Nov19 Oct26 Aug21 (martinez este)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  DRAMADORA Nov12 Aug17 Jun20 Jun12 Jun05 (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00    
5  POETIC PURSUIT Feb02 Jan07 Nov14 Oct02 Jul17 (eidschun gregory)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 13% 6.50    
6  BREAKFAST BALL Feb14 Jan28 Dec22 Nov15 Sep18 (whitehouse wilton )GARCIA F 124 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   03/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVEN SISTERS Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 Dec27 Dec10 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
2  MISTY MATT Feb16 Jan24 Dec21 Nov19 Nov08 (matt wendel)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00    
SCR  REALREALGOOD Feb01 Jan04 Sep12 Aug29 Aug12 (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
4  BENGAL TIGER Jan30 Jan11 Dec27 Nov23 Nov08 (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  MISSCZECH Feb07 Jan25 Jan09 Dec17 Nov21 (eidschun gr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 15% 5.60    
6  CHEROKEE PAPOOSE Nov30 Sep03 Aug08 Jul09 May07 (whitehous)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 ★    
7  TICK TOCK Feb16 Jan24 Jan11 Dec27 Nov19 (hernandez mig)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.50 16% 5.10    
 
TUP-5   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH KNIGHT Jan10 Dec19 Nov29 Sep18 Sep11 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
2  MARK OF VALOR Feb02 Dec13 Nov05 Sep08 Aug27 (gale bryce)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 12.00    
3  ELUSIVE LOVE Feb14 Jan28 Oct16 Oct10 Mar07 (ortiz manue)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 12.00 5% 18.30    
4  STYLISH ELEGANCE Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 Jan02 Aug13 (villamar candel)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
5  SAYERS Feb21 Feb04 Dec18 Dec09 Nov24 (silva pabl)LEON A 124 5.00 ★    
6  FLYUNDERTHEGRAYDAR Feb21 Feb14 Jan28 Dec13 Nov16 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 2.00 ★    
7  ETU BABOU Jan23 Jan14 Dec17 Dec01 Nov21 (hedge rick)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00 ★    
8  ALPHABETICAL Feb18 Feb04 Jan17 Jan03 Dec02 (alvarez s)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 65% 0.50    
 
TUP-6   03/01/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINTXOS Feb06 Jan19 Dec20 Aug25 Aug13 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
2  MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) Feb06 Jan09 Dec26 Nov28 Nov12 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 ★    
3  OUR DANDY'S BOY Dec10 Nov29 Nov05 Oct07 Sep09 (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 ★    
4  THICK HAZE Feb08 Jan19 Jan05 Nov28 Nov12 (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 124 3.50 12% 7.10    
5  GOOD BYE PUTIN Feb06 Jan18 Dec26 Nov19 Nov04 (brown jared)CRUZ M 124 4.50 10% 9.30    
6  RIVER ROSE Feb16 Feb02 Jan17 Jan09 Dec26 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00    
7  LIVING VICARIOUSLY Nov05 Oct09 Aug03 Jul20 Jun17 (asprino alfre)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00    
 
TUP-7   03/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREVER GOLD Feb20 Feb04 Jan24 Jan05 Dec15 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00    
2  D K'S CROWN Feb18 Feb09 Jan18 Jan05 Sep17 (villamar candel)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 ★    
3  MYSTICAL IMAGE Feb13 Jan18       (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  WICKED BLUE Feb19 Feb02 Jan02 Oct28 Oct16 (silva pabl)LEON A 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
5  MIDNIGHT DRAMA Feb12 Oct01 Sep11 Jul11 Jun18 (lavanway )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
6  LIL LATIGO Feb18 Feb05 Jan24 Jan10 Dec20 (lavanway day)BEVERLY JR 124 15.00    
7  STARZAN Feb11 Jan14 Dec26 Nov19 Nov09 (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
8  CAPTAIN N. BARRON Feb09 Sep25 Aug28 Feb20   (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 36% 1.70    
9  TAINO HOUSE Feb06 Jan14 Jan02 Dec27 Dec13 (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  MO GEE Feb11 Jan18 Dec26 Dec13 Nov15 (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00    
 
TUP-8   03/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERSABIGGIRL Feb13 Aug20       (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 ★    
2  STARDUST DREAMS         (guerra ja)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 ★    
3  EDDIE'S ON PATROL Feb13 Jan23 Jan03 Dec15 Nov25 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 4.00 72% 0.40    
4  BLESSED ANGEL Sep07 Jul16       (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 121 5.00 ★    
5  LUTE'S DIAMOND Jan25 Dec20 Nov29 Jul10 Jun25 (person kenneth )VERGARA P 121 12.00    
6  MISCHIEF MAME         (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00    
7  WHEREDIDITGO Jan21         (torres-casas al)CRUZ M 121 8.00    
8  GLIMPSE OF GOLD Feb01 Jan10       (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 6.00    
9  TAKIN SHOTS         (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 121 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.