Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - February 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 6 1 0 $14.00  
TUP-2   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
TUP-3   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
TUP-4   Win (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $9.40  
TUP-5   Win (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $11.00  
TUP-6   Win (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $15.60  
TUP-7   Win (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 5.60
TUP-8   Win (3/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $6.20  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   02/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:223 :464 :583     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TECATE GOLD 6 1 1 1nk   1½ 11 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 6.00 6.00  
PHOENICIAN MAGIC 1 2 2 3.2   2½ 21 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 2.00 74% 0.30 1.60 P
PRINCESS JAYLEEN 5 4 3 2nk   3½ 3 (torres-casas alex)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 8.10 S
LILY PAD LAKE 2 6 4 4   44 4 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 121 1.80 3.00  
MISS CONTINENTAL 4 5 6 5   56 5 (dennison da)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 3.90  
NO CAUSE TO DOUBT 3 3 5 6   611 69 (silva pabl)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 5.00 4.30  
 
TUP-2   02/20/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:484 1:113     1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAROSSA 2 2 2 1nk   1 1½ (hernandez miguel )LEON A 122 2.50 15% 5.70 0.30 W
NORTHCUT 1 1 1 2nk   2 2½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 0.80 P
SCR  ONE FAST BRO               (howey quinn)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 2.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  THE GREEN CRUSADER               (troiani nicco)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  MAGIC IS FLYING               (silva n)PEREZ A 122 4.00    
 
TUP-3   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:12 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
METAROSE 1 1 2 2½ 2nk 1nk 1hd (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 31% 2.20 1.60 W
GYPSY WIFE 2 4 5 5 4 3.2 2hd (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 124 5.00 2.70  
TALES OF MAKENNA 3 5 33 3½ 3½ 4¼ 3¼ (hone bart)CORBETT W 124 6.00 4.70  
MI REYNA 5 2 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 43 (palma milton)CRUZ M 124 6.00 8% 11.10 6.10  
MIDNIGHT GARDEN 4 3 43 42 54 5 5 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.00 33% 2.00 2.30  
SCR  LADY NOGUEZ               (silva pablo)LEON A 124 3.50    
SCR  MISSCZECH               (eidschun gregory)ZUNINO L 124 4.50    
 
TUP-4   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:134 1:261   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPULSUS 5 5 2½ 1nk 1½ 1 12 (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00 3.70  
LADY CREATIVE 1 2 4 4 2½ 2 22 (axmaker w)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 3.50  
EASY DOES IT 6 7 7 5 4 35 3 (gangidino lisa)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 4.20 S
SASSY EINSTEIN 3 3 5 6 55 57 4 (pierce michael )VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 56% 0.80 2.80  
PRECIOUS ONE 7 1 31 3.2 3 46 5 (morales guille)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00 9.30  
SKY HIGH VERONIKA 2 4 1½ 2nk 6 614 622¼ (leon priscilla)CRUZ M 124 4.00 2.70  
GIROLAMO LUCY 4 6 6 7 711½ 715 722¾ (dennis cl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 45.00  
SCR  BLUE LUNA WHO               (silva n)PEREZ A 124 5.00 15% 5.50    
 
TUP-5   02/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:113 1:234   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INESPERADO (FR) 3 1 1 11 1nk 1 12 (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 124 3.00 4.50  
LIMITED HEATWAVE 6 3 4 33 3 33 22 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 3.40 P
AGADOR SPARTACUS 4 2 2 21 2nk 2 3 (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 1.80 0.90 S
AMADMADWORLD 7 5 55 54 4 417 425 (torres-casas al)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 33% 2.10 11.50  
ROYAL JOKER 1 4 3 4 516½ 523 529½ (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 44% 1.30 4.90  
ROBIN'S EMPIRE 2 7 66 69 620 627½ 633 (axma)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00 49.70  
DODGER BLUE 5 6 731 7100 7100 7100 7100 (rollins sco)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00 11.90  
SCR  CAPIAT               (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 118 12.00    
 
TUP-6   02/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:224 :463 :58     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NASHVILLE SKYLINE 7 1 1 1   12 14 (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00 6.80  
THE RONALD 6 3 3 2   32 24 (buechler simo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 12.00 6% 14.80 2.40 P
BARON'S SONG 5 2 2 3   22 3 (zimmerman p)ANAYA V 121 3.50 44% 1.30 3.50 S
CAPACITY 4 8 6 5   4 410 (fales matt)BEVERLY JR 121 2.50 28% 2.60 6.90  
CARRIZO SPRINGS 1 4 4 46   59 515½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.00 2.70  
PANZER PRIDE 2 5 57 69   713 616 (zimmerman p)CRUZ M 121 6.00 5.30  
LIL KOWBOY 3 7 7 711   611½ 716 (dillenbeck br)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 12.00 57.00  
CORK MASTER 8 6 816¾ 817   814½ 818 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 17.90  
 
TUP-7   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:56
See original race card.
:22 :44 :56     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE PUBLIC HALO 6 1 3.2 1   16 1 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.50 29% 2.50 4.80 W
ZATTER 1 5 2nk 3   36 2 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 3.50 2.50 P
WARFRONT FIGHTER 5 6 5 42   26 3 (baze)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00 11.10  
GOLDEN COWBOY 3 2 6 6   510 413 (bullene micha)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 13% 6.60 11.60  
DIAMOND WILLOW 2 3 1nk 2   47 516¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 30% 2.30 3.30  
ARIMONY 7 4 7 5   612½ 617¼ (torres-casas )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 3.00  
FOREVER GOLD 4 7 4 78   720½ 734½ (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 5.00  
SCR  BODEGA               (ortiz manuel )CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00    
 
TUP-8   02/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:26
See original race card.
:222 :464 1:113 1:241   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAIRY TALE BLISS 8 7 6 43 41 12 14 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 2.10  
SECRET MISTRESS 7 4 44 32 2½ 22 24 (sanderson b)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 7.30 P
FAT AND FURIOUS 4 8 8 74 6 4 3 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 2.90  
BARBIE WARS 3 6 7 85 5 5 4 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.00 39% 1.60 3.30  
LADY LANA 6 2 3 1½ 1½ 32 5 (vitali j)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00 6% 15.20 4.80  
BOISTEROUSLY IRISH 2 1 12 2½ 3½ 6 612 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
UNSINKABLE MOLLY B 1 5 56 6 7 711¾ 717½ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 15.00 16.80  
LOTSA LACE 5 3 22 53 819¾ 829¾ 835¾ (cuccia susan)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 22.80  
SCR  MISS GHISLAINE               (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.