Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Monday - February 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-7   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $11.60 $5.60 93%
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-1 $16.20 $4.20 35%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   02/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:223 :464 :583     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TECATE GOLD 6 1 11½ 1nk   1½ 11 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 6.00 6.00  
1  PHOENICIAN MAGIC 1 2 21½ 3.2   2½ 21 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 2.00 74% 0.30 1.60 P
5  PRINCESS JAYLEEN 5 4 31½ 2nk   3½ 31¼ (torres-casas al)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 ★ 8.10 S
2  LILY PAD LAKE 2 6 43½ 42¾   44 44¼ (van debbie)ZUNINO L 121 1.80 ★ 3.00  
4  MISS CONTINENTAL 4 5 65¼ 54¾   56 54½ (dennison )VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 ★ 3.90  
3  NO CAUSE TO DOUBT 3 3 53¾ 67¼   611 69 (silva pa)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 5.00 ★ 4.30  
 
TUP-2   02/20/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:484 1:113     1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BAROSSA 2 2 21½ 1nk   12½ 1½ (hernandez migue)LEON A 122 2.50 15% 5.70 0.30 W
2  NORTHCUT 1 1 11½ 2nk   22½ 2½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 ★ 0.80 P
SCR  ONE FAST BRO               (howey quinn)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 2.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  THE GREEN CRUSADER               (troiani nic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  MAGIC IS FLYING               (silva n)PEREZ A 122 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:12 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  METAROSE 1 1 21½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 1hd (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 31% 2.20 1.60 W
2  GYPSY WIFE 2 4 53¼ 53½ 41½ 3.2 2hd (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 124 5.00 2.70  
3  TALES OF MAKENNA 3 5 33 3½ 3½ 4¼ 3¼ (hone bart)CORBETT W 124 6.00 4.70  
5  MI REYNA 5 2 11½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 43 (palma milton)CRUZ M 124 6.00 8% 11.10 6.10  
4  MIDNIGHT GARDEN 4 3 43 42 54 54¾ 54½ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.00 33% 2.00 2.30  
SCR  LADY NOGUEZ               (silva pabl)LEON A 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  MISSCZECH               (eidschun gregory)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 ★    
 
TUP-4   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:134 1:261   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  IMPULSUS 5 5 2½ 1nk 1½ 11½ 12 (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00 ★ 3.70  
1  LADY CREATIVE 1 2 41½ 41¼ 2½ 21½ 22 (axmaker w)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 3.50  
6  EASY DOES IT 6 7 74½ 52¼ 44½ 35 33½ (gangidino lisa)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 ★ 4.20 S
3  SASSY EINSTEIN 3 3 52½ 62¼ 55 57 47½ (pierce michae)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 56% 0.80 2.80  
7  PRECIOUS ONE 7 1 31 3.2 32½ 46 58¼ (morales guil)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00 9.30  
2  SKY HIGH VERONIKA 2 4 1½ 2nk 66½ 614 622¼ (leon priscilla)CRUZ M 124 4.00 ★ 2.70  
4  GIROLAMO LUCY 4 6 62½ 75¾ 711½ 715 722¾ (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 45.00  
SCR  BLUE LUNA WHO               (silva n)PEREZ A 124 5.00 15% 5.50    
 
TUP-5   02/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:113 1:234   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  INESPERADO (FR) 3 1 11½ 11 1nk 11½ 12 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 124 3.00 ★ 4.50  
7  LIMITED HEATWAVE 6 3 43½ 33 32½ 33 22 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 ★ 3.40 P
5  AGADOR SPARTACUS 4 2 21½ 21 2nk 21½ 33½ (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 1.80 ★ 0.90 S
8  AMADMADWORLD 7 5 55 54 49½ 417 425 (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 33% 2.10 11.50  
2  ROYAL JOKER 1 4 33½ 43½ 516½ 523 529½ (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 44% 1.30 4.90  
3  ROBIN'S EMPIRE 2 7 66 69 620 627½ 633 (ax)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00 49.70  
6  DODGER BLUE 5 6 731 7100 7100 7100 7100 (rollins s)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00 11.90  
SCR  CAPIAT               (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 118 12.00    
 
TUP-6   02/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:224 :463 :58     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NASHVILLE SKYLINE 7 1 11½ 11½   12 14 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00 6.80  
6  THE RONALD 6 3 31½ 21½   32 24 (buechler si)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 12.00 6% 14.80 2.40 P
5  BARON'S SONG 5 2 21½ 31½   22 34½ (zimmerman jon )ANAYA V 121 3.50 44% 1.30 3.50 S
4  CAPACITY 4 8 69½ 57½   46½ 410 (fales matt)BEVERLY JR 121 2.50 28% 2.60 6.90  
1  CARRIZO SPRINGS 1 4 44½ 46   59 515½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.00 ★ 2.70  
2  PANZER PRIDE 2 5 57 69   713 616 (zimmerman p)CRUZ M 121 6.00 ★ 5.30  
3  LIL KOWBOY 3 7 79¾ 711   611½ 716 (dillenbeck )WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 12.00 57.00  
8  CORK MASTER 8 6 816¾ 817   814½ 818 (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 17.90  
 
TUP-7   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:56
See original race card.
:22 :44 :56     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  THE PUBLIC HALO 6 1 3.2 11½   16 18¼ (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.50 29% 2.50 4.80 W
1  ZATTER 1 5 2nk 31½   36 28¼ (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 3.50 ★ 2.50 P
6  WARFRONT FIGHTER 5 6 52¾ 42   26 39¾ (ba)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00 11.10  
3  GOLDEN COWBOY 3 2 63¾ 66½   510 413 (bullene mic)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 13% 6.60 11.60  
2  DIAMOND WILLOW 2 3 1nk 21½   47 516¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 30% 2.30 3.30  
8  ARIMONY 7 4 75¼ 55½   612½ 617¼ (torres-casa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 3.00  
5  FOREVER GOLD 4 7 42¼ 78   720½ 734½ (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 ★ 5.00  
SCR  BODEGA               (ortiz manue)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00    
 
TUP-8   02/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:26
See original race card.
:222 :464 1:113 1:241   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  FAIRY TALE BLISS 8 7 67½ 43 41 12 14 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 2.10  
7  SECRET MISTRESS 7 4 44 32 2½ 22 24 (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 ★ 7.30 P
4  FAT AND FURIOUS 4 8 88½ 74 62¾ 43½ 34½ (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 2.90  
3  BARBIE WARS 3 6 77½ 85 52½ 53¾ 45½ (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.00 39% 1.60 3.30  
6  LADY LANA 6 2 32½ 1½ 1½ 32 55¾ (vitali marcus)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00 6% 15.20 4.80  
2  BOISTEROUSLY IRISH 2 1 12 2½ 3½ 65¾ 612 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
1  UNSINKABLE MOLLY B 1 5 56 63½ 77¾ 711¾ 717½ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 15.00 16.80  
5  LOTSA LACE 5 3 22 53 819¾ 829¾ 835¾ (cuccia susan)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 22.80  
SCR  MISS GHISLAINE               (si)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.