Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Monday - February 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-1   Win (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TUP-2   Win (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TUP-3   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-4   Win (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TUP-5   Win (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-6   Win (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-7   Win (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-1   02/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 F PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHOENICIAN MAGIC Feb04 Jan03 Dec20 Nov25 Nov07 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 2.00 74% 0.30    
2  LILY PAD LAKE Feb04 Jan16 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 121 1.80 ★    
3  NO CAUSE TO DOUBT         (silva pabl)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 5.00 ★    
4  MISS CONTINENTAL Feb04 Jan03 Dec05 Nov11 Oct13 (dennison da)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 ★    
5  PRINCESS JAYLEEN Jan28 Jan17 Jan07 Dec20 Dec10 (torres-casas alex)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 ★    
6  TECATE GOLD Jan23         (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 6.00    
 
TUP-2   02/20/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAGIC IS FLYING Jan03 Dec19 Nov21 Oct31 Oct05 (silva n)PEREZ A 122 4.00 ★    
2  NORTHCUT Feb11 Jan25 Dec27 Dec01 Sep17 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 ★    
3  BAROSSA Feb11 Jan23 Jan09 Jun12 May18 (hernandez miguel )LEON A 122 2.50 15% 5.70    
SCR  THE GREEN CRUSADER Feb02 Jan09 Dec17 Nov19 Aug24 (troiani nicco)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  ONE FAST BRO Jan21 Nov27 Oct08 Sep09 Jul30 (howey quinn)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 2.00 19% 4.40    
 
TUP-3   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  METAROSE Jan31 Jan14 Jan04 Dec19 Nov25 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  GYPSY WIFE Jan18 Dec26 Nov20 Oct21 Jan06 (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
3  TALES OF MAKENNA Jan14 Jan04 Dec26 Oct19 Sep27 (hone bart)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
4  MIDNIGHT GARDEN Feb06 Jan14 Dec27 Dec17 Nov07 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
5  MI REYNA Jan19 Oct29 Oct08 Aug27 Aug12 (palma milton)CRUZ M 124 6.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  MISSCZECH Feb07 Jan25 Jan09 Dec17 Nov21 (eidschun gregory)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 ★    
SCR  LADY NOGUEZ Feb19 Feb12 Jan31 Jan18 Jan03 (silva pablo)LEON A 124 3.50 ★    
 
TUP-4   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY CREATIVE Feb01 Jan12 Dec22 Sep28 Sep02 (axmaker w)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50    
2  SKY HIGH VERONIKA Feb01 Jan17 Nov05 Aug29 Aug06 (leon priscilla)CRUZ M 124 4.00 ★    
3  SASSY EINSTEIN Feb01 Jan12 Dec14 Nov05 Oct21 (pierce michael )VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 56% 0.80    
4  GIROLAMO LUCY Feb13 Jan26 Oct08 Sep09 Aug27 (dennis cl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
5  IMPULSUS Feb01 Jan24 Dec15 Nov21 Aug18 (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00 ★    
6  EASY DOES IT Feb01 Jan12 Nov12 Sep10 Aug27 (gangidino lisa)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 ★    
7  PRECIOUS ONE Jan17 Nov15 Sep12 Aug27 Aug06 (morales guille)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00    
SCR  BLUE LUNA WHO Feb05 Jan24 Dec05 Nov14 Oct25 (silva n)PEREZ A 124 5.00 15% 5.50    
 
TUP-5   02/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAPIAT Jan05         (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 118 12.00    
2  ROYAL JOKER Jan28 Jan17 Dec26     (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 44% 1.30    
3  ROBIN'S EMPIRE Jan24 Dec26 Dec01 Oct06   (axma)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00    
4  INESPERADO (FR) Jan30 Dec16 Dec03 Jan08   (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 124 3.00 ★    
5  AGADOR SPARTACUS Jan30 Jan20 Dec31 Dec16 Nov26 (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 1.80 ★    
6  DODGER BLUE Jan30 Jan07 Dec01     (rollins sco)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00    
7  LIMITED HEATWAVE Feb06 Jun05 May08 Apr08 Feb20 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 ★    
8  AMADMADWORLD Feb08 Jan24 Jan03 Nov28 Nov09 (torres-casas al)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 33% 2.10    
 
TUP-6   02/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 ALL PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARRIZO SPRINGS Feb02 Jan13 Jan02 Oct23 Aug07 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.00 ★    
2  PANZER PRIDE Dec10 Nov12 Sep19 Aug20 Jul18 (zimmerman p)CRUZ M 121 6.00 ★    
3  LIL KOWBOY Feb10         (dillenbeck br)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 12.00    
4  CAPACITY Oct10 Jul30 Jul02 Jun10   (fales matt)BEVERLY JR 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
5  BARON'S SONG Feb02 Jan14 Dec27     (zimmerman p)ANAYA V 121 3.50 44% 1.30    
6  THE RONALD Jan05 Nov07       (buechler simo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 12.00 6% 14.80    
7  NASHVILLE SKYLINE Feb07 Jul10 Jun24     (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00    
8  CORK MASTER Jan29 Jan02 Dec11 Nov11   (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00    
 
TUP-7   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZATTER Feb02 Jan18 Jan07 Dec13 Sep11 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 3.50 ★    
2  DIAMOND WILLOW Jan24 Jan12 Jan05 Dec13 Nov16 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
3  GOLDEN COWBOY Feb06 Jan23 Jan10 Dec27 Dec13 (bullene micha)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  BODEGA Oct22 Oct08 Aug23 Jul31 Jul16 (ortiz manuel )CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00    
5  FOREVER GOLD Feb04 Jan24 Jan05 Dec15 Nov08 (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 ★    
6  WARFRONT FIGHTER Feb09 Jan10 Dec27 Dec13 Nov05 (baze)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00    
7  THE PUBLIC HALO Jan30 Jan17 Dec20 Nov30 Nov04 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.50 29% 2.50    
8  ARIMONY Feb11 Jan30 Jan12 Nov30 Aug24 (torres-casas )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00    
 
TUP-8   02/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNSINKABLE MOLLY B Jan25 Sep18 Aug27 Aug14 Jul16 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 15.00    
2  BOISTEROUSLY IRISH Jan26 Jan07 Dec20 Nov08 Sep17 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  BARBIE WARS Jan28 Jan09 Dec19 Nov29 Nov07 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
4  FAT AND FURIOUS Jan28 Jan10 Dec13 Nov12 Aug28 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00    
5  LOTSA LACE Jan17 Dec20 Nov23 Jul11 Jun27 (cuccia susan)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00    
6  LADY LANA Jan11 Nov26 Oct18 Sep27 Jun23 (vitali j)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00 6% 15.20    
7  SECRET MISTRESS Jan28 Jan11 Dec19 Nov15 Sep14 (sanderson b)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  MISS GHISLAINE Feb02 Jan10 Jan02 Jul01 Apr20 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
9  FAIRY TALE BLISS Nov18 Oct16 Aug28 Aug07 May20 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.