Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Zia Park
Monday - November 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ZIA-1   11/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:224 :462       1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  VALENTINO WHO 4 3 42 41   1nk 11½ (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 2.00 25% 2.90 2.00 W
4  HENNESSY LOOKER RF 3 1 2½ 2½   2nk 21½ (lambert case)FUENTES A 120 1.40 23% 3.30 0.50 P
2  PERFECT IMAGE 2 2 1½ 1½   3½ 32½ (riddle e)TOHILL S 120 8.00 ★ 6.10 S
6  EL ZARAPE 5 4 31 31   42½ 47¼ (munoz gua)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 120 12.00 30.10  
1  W F IRON MAIDEN 1 5 58 55   54½ 58¼ (buechler simon)CEBALLOS F 120 8.00 12% 7.30 9.80  
SCR  INDIANOFGOLD               (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  SNOW MARK               (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 5.00 19% 4.40    
 
ZIA-2   11/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:24 :464 1:112 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DIA DE PAGO 6 4 41¾ 32½ 31 13 16¼ (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 2.50 17% 4.90 0.70 W
1  K P AIM HIGH 1 5 2nk 2nk 1½ 23 26¼ (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 123 8.00 6% 15.20 5.40 P
5  MAGIC IS FLYING 4 2 31½ 46½ 54 46 314¾ (gonzalez andres)PEREZ A 123 10.00 ★ 7.10 S
3  AZTEC SUN 3 6 66¼ 68½ 43 35 417¾ (marr h)TOHILL S 121 3.00 10% 9.20 2.80  
2  SMOKE STACK 2 1 1nk 1nk 2½ 57 517¾ (amparan alber)JUAREZ J 123 8.00 10.10  
6  CHARLIE DYNASTY 5 3 52¼ 57½ 68 612 640¾ (quiroz fili)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00 20.20  
SCR  I THINK I'M HERE               (silva lillia)FUENTES A 121 1.80 46% 1.20    
 
ZIA-3   11/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:133 1:254   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  I'MAGAMBLER 5 6 41½ 31 3½ 11 13 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 1.60 32% 2.10 0.70 W
1  BEAR BRIAN 1 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 31 23 (martine)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 12.00 7% 12.90 11.70 P
3  GOLDEN MERGER 3 4 52 51¾ 51¾ 42 34¼ (rojero luis)SCRIVER L 123 3.00 ★ 3.50 S
6  CEDAR EXTRA BOLD 6 1 2½ 2nk 2nk 21 45 (cappellucci j)JUAREZ J 123 10.00 14% 6.20 19.50  
2  FORT STANTON SCOUT 2 8 31½ 41¼ 41½ 52½ 55½ (marquez l)MEDELLIN A 121 10.00 14.50  
8  JUVAL 8 7 63½ 62¾ 62¼ 62¾ 67 (vurgun zaf)RODRIGUEZ H 121 20.00 29.30  
7  SUN TREADER 7 3 73¾ 73¼ 86¼ 85¼ 77 (van robe)CHAVEZ R 123 5.00 19% 4.20 4.90  
4  THE TIME'S RIGHT 4 5 84¼ 84¼ 74¼ 74¼ 87½ (vega v)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 17.50  
 
ZIA-4   11/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:22 :451       1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHAME ON BEA 5 4 1½ 1½   11 1nk (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 1.60 ★ 3.30  
7  INDIAN DIVA 7 1 31 2½   21 2nk (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 123 15.00 17% 4.90 9.70 P
8  TIZ FOR REAL 8 2 86½ 86   75 31½ (carter royc)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 12.00 12.80  
1  SUPERBLEA 1 6 42 64   53 41¾ (sanchez)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 8.00 22% 3.60 2.80  
2  PEGGY B FAST 2 5 52 42½   42½ 52 (rust terri)TOHILL S 123 2.00 27% 2.70 1.40  
6  DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV 6 8 74 53   64½ 66½ (green greg)FUENTES A 123 4.50 6.90  
4  BIND ME UP 4 7 63½ 74½   86 77 (chavez jose)TORRES J 123 30.00 5% 19.00 43.40  
3  SATURNCLOUD 3 3 2½ 31   31½ 87¼ (loma)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 10.00 35.60  
 
ZIA-5   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:223 :452 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASK OFF 1 2 2½ 1½   12 13 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 1.60 34% 2.00 1.00 W
2  RIGHT JAB 2 5 31 31½   32½ 23 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 2.00 41% 1.40 2.60 P
5  WATFORD 5 4 42 53   43 33¾ (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 5.00 ★ 4.70 S
4  SUPER HUNK 4 1 1½ 2½   22 45¼ (eliott roger)CHAVEZ R 121 15.00 35.10  
3  I'M A COOL CAT 3 6 53½ 42½   53½ 55¾ (long)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00 ★ 4.90  
6  DAN WHO 6 7 88 65½   65½ 66¼ (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00 ★ 14.90  
8  REVOLT AND RIOT 8 3 64½ 76   78½ 713 (cross gary)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 20.00 56.60  
7  BINGOS SYSTEM 7 8 76½ 89   813½ 825½ (frias gregorio)BARAJAS J 120 12.00 48.10  
 
ZIA-6   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:224 :452 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JASMINE WHO 2 4 42 31½   3½ 13½ (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 12.00 7.20  
8  OUR ISLAND GIRL 6 5 31 2nk   1nk 23½ (riddle jackie )CEBALLOS F 123 2.50 11% 8.30 0.30 P
6  SHELL GAME 4 1 2nk 1nk   2nk 34 (smith a)SALAZAR TERESA 118 6.00 ★ 3.70 S
1  FLAMING BESITOS 1 3 52¼ 53½   44 47¾ (van robert)TORRES J 123 8.00 20.90  
3  SOUNDOFME NOTCALLN 3 2 1nk 42½   55 58½ (douglas)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 12.00 11% 8.40 15.10  
7  ATTACKING GIRL 5 6 64¾ 67½   68 612 (soto salv)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 12.00 10% 9.30 36.10  
SCR  CURL               (martinez fr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 20.00    
SCR  MISS BRIGHT TOWN               (gonz)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 1.20 39% 1.60    
 
ZIA-7   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($22K) 35 ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:23 :454 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CRYSTAL WHO 2 1 11 11½   14 17¼ (rojero c)PEREZ A 118 3.00 31% 2.20 1.40 W
4  RARE COIN 4 3 32 43½   35 27¼ (barrios ber)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 20.00 ★ 21.30 P
5  FORWARD OBSERVER 5 2 21 21½   24 37¾ (gonzalez sal)MEDELLIN A 121 12.00 7.30  
7  WILD FIREWATER 7 5 52¼ 66½   610 416½ (smith a)SALAZAR TERESA 118 10.00 24.40  
3  LEAF OF WISDOM 3 6 42 33   47½ 516½ (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00 23.80  
1  EL JOKER 1 7 63¼ 55½   59½ 616½ (welch kala)RODRIGUEZ H 121 1.60 34% 2.00 1.50  
6  IMATBTHTWHTSHESAID 6 4 73¼ 78½   720 737 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 121 3.50 13% 6.80 4.30  
SCR  NONAME BANDIT               (henry larry)CHAVEZ R 123 6.00 ★    
 
ZIA-8   11/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.5K) 2 ALL PT- 5:09
See original race card.
:221 :444       1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  DECORATION DAY 8 8 4¼ 1nk   12 1¾ (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 120 3.00 39% 1.60 1.30 W
8  CHRISTIAN D'ORO 7 4 3.2 2nk   22 2¾ (fincher todd)FUENTES A 117 2.50 25% 3.00 2.00 P
7  BLUE JEAN BOURBON 6 2 1nk 4¾   34½ 34¼ (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 14% 6.30 2.70 S
10  ZANARAZZI 9 1 2nk 3½   45½ 46½ (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 117 10.00 8.80  
3  SUPER BESLIU 3 5 87¾ 78¼   67½ 57 (eliott)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 15.00 62.70  
2  PLAIN TAP WATER 2 7 63¾ 65¼   56½ 69 (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 6.00 ★ 18.60  
1  ROCHESTER'S FINEST 1 3 52¼ 54¾   78½ 713 (rust terri)TOHILL S 120 15.00 53.00  
6  BUY NOW 5 9 98¾ 912¾   816½ 827 (esqueda rob)SCRIVER L 120 20.00 94.50  
5  JUST N LOVING 4 6 74¾ 88¾   918½ 931 (munoz gua)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 120 20.00 76.90  
SCR  CAPITAL JOKE               (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 8.00 ★    
 
ZIA-9   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
See original race card.
:221 :451 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BINALLOVERDRINKEN 7 3 2½ 11   11½ 13¾ (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 15.00 28.70  
12  RATIONAL D'ORO 12 4 62½ 31   21½ 23¾ (vaughn )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 8.00 10% 9.30 1.80 P
9  MAX A MILLION RSS 9 7 75 62¾   33½ 35¼ (carter royce )JUAREZ J 123 15.00 12.70  
6  BODIE'SLITTLEGIRL 6 10 119¼ 73¼   55½ 48 (summers nan)SCRIVER L 123 2.50 40% 1.50 3.00  
10  FI FI D'ORO 10 12 1213¼ 117¼   87½ 58¼ (rojero c)PEREZ A 123 12.00 9.60  
11  BERNICE WHO 11 8 87½ 94¼   66½ 68½ (baldwin lynett)CEBALLOS F 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
5  PREMEDITATED LILY 5 5 52 41¼   44½ 711½ (arms)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 8.00 16% 5.30 20.20  
1  HOLLYWOOD PRINCESS 1 2 1½ 52¼   98½ 811½ (gonzal)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 20.00 48.10  
2  GRACEANNE 2 9 98½ 83¾   77 912 (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 123 12.00 41.10  
4  RUN LIKE KATE 4 6 31½ 21   1011 1015½ (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 123 6.00 6.50  
8  DO ME A FAVOR 8 1 41½ 106¼   1121 1132¼ (gomez alfre)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 5.00 9% 10.60 9.00  
3  NAVARONES SPARKLE 3 11 109 1210¼   1227 1241¾ (woolley l)TOHILL S 123 20.00 79.60  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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