The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Turf Paradise
Saturday - March 04, 2023
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
TUP-1   03/04/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming  ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
:222 :45 1:093     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  UPPER ROOM 6 1 11 11   12 12½ (toye joe)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 25% 3.00 3.50 W
5  PARLEY STREET 5 6 32 21   32½ 22½ (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.00 34% 1.90 2.70 P
4  EROTIC 4 3 52½ 41½   42½ 33¾ (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 ★ 3.80 S
3  FULLBRIDLEDPHANTOM 3 2 21 31½   22 44 (vanwinkle d)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 9.50  
2  SPIRE 2 5 65½ 77¼   54½ 54½ (rycroft riley)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 ★ 1.90  
1  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT 1 7 77½ 66¾   66½ 65¾ (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 124 15.00 11% 8.10 15.50  
7  RANCHER 7 4 42 51¾   77½ 710½ (esquibel mark)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00 12.30  
 
TUP-2   03/04/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Mdn Opt Clm  ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
:222 :432 1:074     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BURNLEY 7 1 11 11½   13½ 11¾ (palma milton)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 2.00 49% 1.10 1.30 W
8  ROYAL JOKER 8 2 31½ 34   23½ 21¾ (valerio ray)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 ★ 13.20 P
3  FOREIGN INFLUENCE 3 5 53½ 45½   44½ 34¾ (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 ★ 10.20 S
4  TWICE FOOLED 4 3 21 21½   33½ 46¼ (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 19% 4.30 2.50  
1  STREET HUMOR 1 6 43½ 55½   54¾ 57¾ (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 6.00 3.30  
6  AMADMADWORLD 6 4 76½ 712¾   612¾ 621½ (torres-casas alex)NEGRON LUIS 124 10.00 53.50  
5  REFUSE TO TESTIFY 5 7 811 612½   714¼ 726¼ (oberholtzer kevin)CORBETT W 124 8.00 6.70  
2  CENTAURUS 2 8 66 818¼   826¼ 841¼ (martinez a)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 20.00 10% 8.60 67.90  
 
TUP-3   03/04/2023 4950ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming  ( Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:10
:473 1:111     1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SENSEMAKER 2 1 1½ 11   14½ 1¾ (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 122 10.00 15.70  
3  CATS TOUCH 3 3 43 32   24½ 2¾ (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 21% 3.90 9.40 P
7  MOVE OVER (GB) 7 4 54½ 42   34½ 31½ (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00 ★ 3.10 S
4  OF GOOD REPORT 4 7 64¾ 63¾   54¾ 42 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 33% 2.10 0.50  
5  PALACE PRINCE 5 5 2½ 21   44¾ 53¾ (silva pa)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 3.00 7.40  
1  LOLLY EXPRESS 1 2 75¼ 74¼   67¾ 64¾ (bullene micha)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 8.00 10% 8.60 34.30  
6  UPO 6 6 33 52¼   78¾ 77¼ (hedge rick)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 7% 12.60 14.70  
 
TUP-4   03/04/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming  ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:40
:22 :451       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KEBA LUCKY DAY 6 2 3.2 3.2   2nk 12 (bird)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 67% 0.50 4.20 W
1  MISS AGGIE BLING 1 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 22 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 ★ 4.00 P
8  TIMBERLAKE GAGE 7 4 4¼ 4¼   3½ 32¾ (baze lisa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 ★ 0.90 S
2  DODROPIN 2 5 52¼ 51¾   51½ 43 (toye joe)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 ★ 9.90  
6  BIG BLUE NOTE 5 3 2nk 2nk   41 53½ (hernandez miguel )CORBETT W 124 6.00 7.60  
3  TOTHEMOONANDBACK 3 6 62¾ 64¼   76½ 67¾ (lavanway dayso)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00 10.00  
4  MULLIGAN 4 7 75¼ 75¼   65 78¼ (villamar candelar)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 7% 13.90 15.10  
SCR  NO KITTEN               (denny tra)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 12.00    
 
TUP-5   03/04/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming  ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
:214 :431 1:08     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER DASH 1 4 41 44   33 11¼ (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 124 3.50 12% 7.40 5.00 W
6  THE PUBLIC HALO 5 1 1nk 1nk   12 21¼ (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.00 33% 2.00 1.40 P
7  RECKONING DAY 6 3 3½ 2nk   22 36 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 7% 13.40 1.80 S
2  MAD LUTHER 2 5 63½ 611½   59½ 49½ (matt l)CORBETT W 124 4.50 ★ 7.40  
4  SIR DEPUTY 3 6 52 33½   47½ 512 (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 23% 3.30 7.00  
5  BIG ENDEAVOR 4 2 2nk 55½   612½ 615½ (brow)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 9.80  
SCR  REDACTION               (ortiz frank)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
 
TUP-6   03/04/2023 4950ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming  ( Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:40
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  METAROSE 3 1 21½ 2½   11½ 1¼ (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 32% 2.10 1.50 W
4  APART OF MY CHARM 2 4 42½ 31   21½ 2¼ (fales matt)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 8.00 ★ 4.30 P
3  LILA'S LUCKY LADY 1 3 31½ 42   34 31 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 17% 5.00 1.40 S
7  MS SALLY 5 5 53 53   44½ 41½ (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00 6.70  
6  MI REYNA 4 2 11½ 1½   513½ 513¼ (palma milton)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 6.00 11% 8.40 6.20  
SCR  JOY IN THE BATTLE               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  LOOPY               (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50    
 
TUP-7   03/04/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming  ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:10
:22 :44 1:084     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OLDER BROTHER 5 4 3½ 2nk   1nk 11¼ (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 15% 5.60 1.70 W
3  LAST RENEGADE 3 6 73½ 65¼   42¼ 21¼ (gutierrez jua)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00 12.40  
8  MAJOR MUNNINGS 8 2 5¾ 31   32 31¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 9% 9.90 3.00 S
1  FRANKS FIX IT 1 7 63¼ 43½   54¼ 45½ (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 7.50  
2  JUST PICK IT UP 2 5 2½ 1nk   2nk 56¾ (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 ★ 8.80  
4  LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR 4 8 86½ 88¼   67¼ 67¾ (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 11.60  
7  SHORT RIB 7 1 4¾ 75¾   711¼ 712½ (ferguson cu)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 48% 1.10 7.40  
6  TRY TO CAPTURE 6 3 1½ 53¾   811¼ 814¼ (dennison h)CORBETT W 124 2.50 ★ 5.20  
 
TUP-8   03/04/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm  ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:40
:222 :44 1:081     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DISCERNMENT 7 1 2½ 3½   1½ 11¾ (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.50 19% 4.30 1.80 W
9  LEXINGTON HUMOR 8 3 31 2nk   2½ 21¾ (morgan dan)VERGARA P 122 4.50 17% 5.10 2.10 P
1  MISS GLORIOUS 1 2 1½ 1nk   3½ 34¼ (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.50 12% 7.20 2.00 S
2  ASENA 2 5 51½ 42   42 46 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 11.60  
3  MS PARKSIDE 3 6 41½ 52¼   54½ 57½ (lucarelli fra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 25% 3.00 10.50  
4  BORN TO REIGN 4 4 62½ 66¾   69 610 (martinez a)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 20.00 52.60  
7  SEMI SWEET 6 7 77½ 79¼   712½ 715¾ (ortiz manuel )CONNING CRYSTAL 122 8.00 21.60  
6  FLO TIME 5 8 812½ 816¼   818½ 819¾ (martinez a)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 10.00 34.70  
SCR  LARIMAR               (gutierrez qu)CRUZ M 122 12.00 7% 13.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.