Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - March 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
TUP-4   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
TUP-5   Win (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 3 1 0 $4.00  
TUP-6   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $16.80  
TUP-7   Win (1/3/5/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
TUP-8   Win (9/2/6/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $6.20 $6.20  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   03/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:211 :44       :502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD BYE CHARLIE 1 3 3     1½ 1 (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.20 61% 0.60 0.30 W
RUN FACTOR 6 1 2nk     2½ 2 (nelson amy)HARVEY B 122 5.00 9.40 P
KIND OF GALLANT 5 2 1nk     3½ 3 (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 122 3.00 5.40 S
FIRECRACKER STAND 2 4 43     44 4 (bullene micha)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.00 15% 5.70 4.30  
JAZZ TOWN 3 6 56     5 57 (finch sherry)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00 20.00  
FREESTONE 4 5 6     611 69 (garcia valenti)BEVERLY JR 122 12.00 19.50  
 
TUP-4   03/08/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:224 :48 1:112     1:292   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKIN SO LUCKY 5 1 1 1   1 1 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 5% 19.00 2.20 W
GYPSY WIFE 1 3 4 4   2 2 (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 122 2.50 2.50 P
IF YOU WANT IT 4 2 2 2   32 33 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 22% 3.60 2.40 S
LADY NOGUEZ 3 5 33 3   4 44 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 8.60  
HURRICAIN HUNTER 2 4 55 5   5 5 (eidschun gregory)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 40% 1.50 2.50  
SCR  TALES OF MAKENNA               (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 3.50    
 
TUP-5   03/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:213 :571         :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS IMPORTANT 3 6 610½ 6   6 1¾ (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 1.00  
J T'S LA NENA 5 2 1½ 1   1½ 2¾ (torres-casas alex)NEGRON LUIS 122 12.00 20.60  
HEART ON THE RUN 2 3 3 32   2½ 3¾ (nunnally je)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 5.00 12.20 S
ELDORADO DREAM 6 1 2½ 2   33 4 (valerio raymon)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 8.00 6.40  
REIGN OF FIRE 1 5 56 5   4 5 (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 69% 0.40 4.00  
SPEEDY GIGI 4 4 42 4   5 65 (brown jared)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 2.10  
SCR  COASTAL RUN               (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50    
 
TUP-6   03/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:214 :441 :554     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J T'S A. T. M. 7 1 1nk 1nk   1 13 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00 7.40  
MISTER MCLEAN 5 2 3 3½   2 23 (sanderson bru)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 9.90 P
PRAYER OF JABEZ 6 6 5 43   3 3 (kereluk edward)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00 4.90  
CANDY ZIP 3 4 43 5   56 4 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 3.90  
STAY HAPPY 2 3 2nk 2nk   4 56 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 59% 0.70 1.30  
MOSQUITO FLEET 4 5 7 710   610 6 (pierce mich)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 12% 7.60 3.30  
FASCINATED 1 7 6 6   711½ 711 (eikl)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00 41.50  
 
TUP-7   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:222 :451 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBROKEN STAR 2 7 6 5   5 1hd (baze lisa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 8% 10.90 1.90 W
CANNONBALL COMIN 3 6 7 6   4 2hd (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 20% 3.90 7.50 P
SWING WEST 6 4 2nk 2nk   2nk 3¾ (nelson amy)BUTTERFLY L 122 5.00 6.60  
LINCHTOWN 4 3 5¾ 72   3½ 4 (esquibel mark)LEON A 122 8.00 7.90  
AWHITESPORTSCOAT 7 5 4¼ 3½   1nk 5 (hedg)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 14% 6.10 4.80  
STAR ENTRY 5 2 3.2 4   6 6 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 16% 5.30 3.20  
SPENDAHOLIC 1 1 1nk 1nk   7 7 (silva jr)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00 21% 3.80 5.10  
 
TUP-8   03/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:221 :45 :572     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUSING RUBBLE 7 4 3.2 1nk   1½ 13 (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 24% 3.10 2.10 W
RINGS OF SATURN 4 5 4¼ 3½   2½ 23 (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 3.30  
GOLDEN COWBOY 3 2 5 5   4 34 (bullene michael)VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00 6% 15.00 7.80 S
WARFRONT FIGHTER 6 3 1nk 2nk   3 4 (baze)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00 2.90  
TUMAC MOUNTAIN 5 1 2nk 41   54 5 (toye joe)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 11.30  
DIAMOND WILLOW 2 6 6 64   6 611¾ (silva-martinez ale)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
ARIMONY 1 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (torres-casas )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 4.00  
SCR  GOT EVEN SMARTER               (fulmer drew)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  HARROVIAN               (villamar candelar)LEON A 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.