Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - March 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/6/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/6/5/3)-(1/2/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(2/4/5)-(1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(1)-(2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TUP-5   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/2/3/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/2/3/4)-(1/2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (1)-(2/4)-(1/3/5/7/2) 10 $0.50 $5.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/3/5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/3/5/7)-(2/4/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4)-(1/3/5/7/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(1/3/5/7/2)-(9/4/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TUP-7   WIN (1/3/5/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/7/2)-(1/3/5/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/7/2)-(1/3/5/7/2)-(1/3/5/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/5/7/2)-(9/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TUP-8   WIN (9/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/3)-(9/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/4/3)-(9/4/3)-(9/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   03/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD BYE CHARLIE Jan31 Jan18 Jan01 Dec15 Nov25 (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.20 61% 0.60    
2  FIRECRACKER STAND Feb25 Feb09 Jan31 Jan05 Dec13 (bullene mic)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
3  JAZZ TOWN Jan05 Nov25 Nov05 Aug29 Aug15 (finch sherry)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00 ★    
4  FREESTONE Feb13 Sep11 Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 (garcia valentin )MAWING A 122 12.00    
5  KIND OF GALLANT Jan31 Dec19 Jun11 Jun03 Jan22 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 122 3.00 ★    
6  RUN FACTOR Feb25 Nov25 Aug26     (nelson amy)HARVEY B 122 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   03/08/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GYPSY WIFE Feb20 Jan18 Dec26 Nov20 Oct21 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 122 2.50 ★    
2  HURRICAIN HUNTER Jan09 Dec15 Sep18 Aug29 Aug14 (eidschun gregory)MAWING A 122 4.50 40% 1.50    
3  LADY NOGUEZ Feb19 Feb12 Jan31 Jan18 Jan03 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00    
4  IF YOU WANT IT Feb08 Jan18 Dec14 Nov30 Aug28 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
5  LOOKIN SO LUCKY Feb22 Feb11 Jan28 Aug14 Jul30 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TALES OF MAKENNA Feb20 Jan14 Jan04 Dec26 Oct19 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 3.50 ★    
 
TUP-5   03/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REIGN OF FIRE Feb18 Feb09 Jan31 Jan19 Jan03 (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 69% 0.40    
2  HEART ON THE RUN Feb07 Jan02 Dec21 Nov29 Nov15 (nunnally )KELLENBERGER KODY 122 5.00 ★    
3  MISS IMPORTANT Feb22 Jan31 Dec27 Dec15 Nov21 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 ★    
4  SPEEDY GIGI Feb16 Feb01 Jan11 Dec15 Nov23 (brown jared)MAWING A 124 4.00 ★    
5  J T'S LA NENA Feb16 Feb04 Dec14 Nov26 Nov04 (torres-casas al)CRUZ M 122 12.00    
6  ELDORADO DREAM Feb22 Jan26 Jan11 Dec20 Nov23 (valerio raym)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 8.00    
SCR  COASTAL RUN Mar04 Feb19 Feb07 Jan30 Jan11 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 ★    
 
TUP-6   03/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FASCINATED Feb27 Jan25 Dec15 Oct02 May30 (ei)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00    
2  STAY HAPPY Feb25 Feb04 Jan25 Jan09 Dec13 (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 2.50 59% 0.70    
3  CANDY ZIP Feb13 Jan10 Dec13 Nov07 Sep17 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 ★    
4  MOSQUITO FLEET Feb15 Jan19 Dec20 Nov21 Oct08 (pierce mi)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 12% 7.60    
5  MISTER MCLEAN Dec13 Nov23 Nov05 Sep17 Sep02 (sanderson b)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 ★    
6  PRAYER OF JABEZ Feb19 Jan07 Dec20 Nov19 Nov05 (kereluk edwar)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00    
7  J T'S A. T. M. Feb25 Feb04 Jan26 Jan07 Dec13 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPENDAHOLIC Feb26 Feb18 Feb06 Jul04 Jun02 (silva jose )CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00 21% 3.80    
2  UNBROKEN STAR Feb21 Feb04 Jan03 Dec19 Dec10 (baze lisa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 8% 10.90    
3  CANNONBALL COMIN Feb25 Feb04 Jan07 Dec20 Nov23 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 20% 3.90    
4  LINCHTOWN Feb25 Feb02 Jan12 Dec22 Nov29 (esquibel mark)LEON A 122 8.00    
5  STAR ENTRY Feb13 Jan26 Dec27 Nov23 Nov09 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 16% 5.30    
6  SWING WEST Nov17 Nov02 Oct01 Aug27 Aug20 (nelson a)BUTTERFLY L 122 5.00    
7  AWHITESPORTSCOAT Feb25 Feb04 Jan07 Dec01 Aug13 (hedge rick)MAWING A 124 2.50 14% 6.10    
 
TUP-8   03/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARIMONY Feb20 Feb11 Jan30 Jan12 Nov30 (torres-casa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00    
SCR  HARROVIAN Feb26 Feb06 Sep17 Aug29 Aug15 (villamar candel)LEON A 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
3  DIAMOND WILLOW Feb20 Jan24 Jan12 Jan05 Dec13 (silva-martinez a)MAWING A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOLDEN COWBOY Feb20 Feb06 Jan23 Jan10 Dec27 (bullene micha)VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00 6% 15.00    
5  RINGS OF SATURN Feb19 Feb04 Jan23 Jan12 Dec22 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00    
SCR  GOT EVEN SMARTER Feb26 Feb04 Jan12 Dec01 Sep10 (fulmer drew)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00 17% 4.90    
7  TUMAC MOUNTAIN Jan30 Dec26 Dec10 Nov26 Sep17 (toye joe)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00    
8  WARFRONT FIGHTER Feb20 Feb09 Jan10 Dec27 Dec13 (ba)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00    
9  ROUSING RUBBLE Feb06 Jan18 Jan07 Dec13 Nov26 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 5.00 24% 3.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.