Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Rillito
Saturday - March 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
RIL-5   03/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Liz Bracken Memorial Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 6:14
See original race card.
1:081         1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TOOTUFFTOSWALLOW 2 4 2nk 1nk   13 11¼ (silva p)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 1.40 ★ 0.10  
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MISS REMEMBERING by MISREMEMBERED)
5  LILY PAD LAKE 4 2 32½ 34   23 21¼ (gilmour j)JENSEN P 124 12.00 18.10  
  (by DADS CAPS out of LEOPARD PRINT by EYE OF THE LEOPARD)
6  IDA NEEDA DRINK 5 3 44½ 46   45½ 34¾ (alvarez serg)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 4.50 ★ 4.20 S
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of IF ONLY IDA by GRACE UPON GRACE)
1  TECATE GOLD 1 1 1nk 2nk   33½ 47¼ (metz jeff)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 6.00 7.10  
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of EL TECOLOTE by BERTRANDO)
3  WE WANT ANOTHER 3 5 510½ 514   513½ 514 (lavanway day)REYES-FRISBY D 124 20.00 13% 6.90 26.50  
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of TENDER AND TRUE by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  ISLAND BEAUTY               (ortega joe)OSUNA JESUS 124 15.00 14% 6.10    
  (by HONOR CODE out of ISLA by CARNIVALAY)
SCR  SHORT JOURNEY               (rosales jorg)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50 49% 1.00    
  (by CAPITAL ACCOUNT out of FREEDOM JOURNEY by GOOD JOURNEY)
SCR  SMOKEMONTHECLIFF               (metz jeffrey)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00    
  (by SMOKEM out of GUISE CLIFF by DISTANT VIEW)
 
RIL-6   03/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:40
See original race card.
1:064         1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS LONG BOW 1 2 21½ 23   1nk 11½ (warren kayla)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.50 67% 0.50 1.10 W
5  EDINBURGH EXPRESS 4 1 11½ 13   2nk 21½ (gilmour jim)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 6.00 6.80  
7  HARROVIAN 6 4 54 46   44 37¼ (villamar cande)DEONAUTH P 126 4.50 ★ 6.80 S
2  BAD KARMA 2 5 43½ 35   33 49¾ (silva pabl)LEON A 121 3.00 ★ 3.00  
3  ROCKED 3 6 67½ 69   68 511 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.50 11% 8.40 3.50  
6  ROUGE SUNSET 5 3 32½ 56½   57 612 (torres-casas je)ELLIS DEVON 126 12.00 15.80  
SCR  SWITCH BACK               (cruz omar)BEVERLY JR 126 15.00 ★    
 
RIL-7   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
See original race card.
1:123         1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOW DOSE 1 1 11½ 13½   14 17½ (silva pabl)LEON A 126 3.50 ★ 2.90  
5  HUGHIE'S HOLIDAY 4 3 31½ 23½   24 27½ (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.00 24% 3.20 2.50 P
4  JUSTIN'S LADY 3 4 42 35½   39 311¾ (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 1.00 33% 2.00 0.60 S
3  RETURN TO HARBOR 2 2 21½ 46   414 434¾ (kern davi)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 10.00 ★ 8.20  
SCR  PAYNT THE KITTY               (silva )ARRIOLA-SERRANO JOSE 126 6.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  PREDETERMINATION               (ybarra rudy)OSUNA JESUS 126 15.00    
 
RIL-8   03/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:40
See original race card.
1:061         1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEACE OF EKATI 1 6 58½ 34½   33½ 12 (silva pabl)LEON A 126 3.50 14% 6.30 1.20 W
6  ROYAL TAP 5 3 2½ 1½   11 22 (torres-casas)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.00 28% 2.60 3.30 P
4  FIGHT ME 4 1 1½ 2½   21 36¼ (figueroa jua)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 6.00 20% 4.10 7.10 S
3  SHARK HARBOR 3 2 35½ 44½   44½ 47¼ (magrady ronald)OSUNA JESUS 126 15.00 ★ 8.50  
7  LIL LATIGO 6 5 48 55½   56½ 59¼ (lavanway day)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 8.00 9.70  
2  GENERAL THAYER 2 4 612½ 611½   613½ 615¾ (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.50 13% 6.60 2.90  
SCR  HADLEES HONOR               (gilmour j)JENSEN P 124 10.00    
 
RIL-9   03/18/2023 1320ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:23         :23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TIME TO ZOOM 6 1       1nk 1nk (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.00 7% 13.90 1.70 W
1  FIRECRACKER STAND 1 4       3½ 2nk (bullene mich)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 2.00 38% 1.70 1.30 P
7  NORTH DAWN 7 2       2nk 3½ (metz jeffrey)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00 15.70  
3  U S READY 3 5       53 42 (ortega fernando)OSUNA JESUS 121 8.00 24.90  
4  BAPTISM (GB) 4 3       42 53 (torres-casas)CARBAJAL KEVIN 126 4.00 31% 2.30 7.80  
2  ALEX'S GIRL 2 6       63½ 63½ (metz jeff)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 5.00 4.50  
5  CONQUEST MOONMAD 5 7       76 76 (alcoverde ernesto)GAMEZ M 126 10.00 ★ 11.30  
SCR  GOOD OLD FAITHFUL               (ortega joe)BEVERLY JR 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.