The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Rillito
Saturday - March 18, 2023

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RIL-5   03/18/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Liz Bracken Memorial Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 6:14
1:081         1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOOTUFFTOSWALLOW 2 4 2nk 1nk   13 1(silva pab)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 1.40 0.10  
LILY PAD LAKE 4 2 3 34   23 2(gilmour jim)JENSEN P 124 12.00 18.10  
IDA NEEDA DRINK 5 3 4 46   43(alvarez sergio)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 4.50 4.20 S
TECATE GOLD 1 1 1nk 2nk   34(metz jeffre)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 6.00 7.10  
WE WANT ANOTHER 3 5 510½ 514   513½ 514 (lavanway dayso)REYES-FRISBY D 124 20.00 13% 6.90 26.50  
SCR  ISLAND BEAUTY               (ortega joe)OSUNA JESUS 124 15.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  SHORT JOURNEY               (rosales jorge)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  SMOKEMONTHECLIFF               (metz jeffrey)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00    
 
RIL-6   03/18/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($9.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:40
1:064         1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS LONG BOW 1 2 2 23   1nk 1(warren kayla)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.50 67% 0.50 1.10 W
EDINBURGH EXPRESS 4 1 1 13   2nk 2(gilmour jim)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 6.00 6.80  
HARROVIAN 6 4 54 46   44 3(villamar candela)DEONAUTH P 126 4.50 6.80 S
BAD KARMA 2 5 4 35   33 4(silva pablo)LEON A 121 3.00 3.00  
ROCKED 3 6 6 69   68 511 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.50 11% 8.40 3.50  
ROUGE SUNSET 5 3 3 5   57 612 (torres-casas jesu)ELLIS DEVON 126 12.00 15.80  
SCR  SWITCH BACK               (cruz omar)BEVERLY JR 126 15.00    
 
RIL-7   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($9.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
1:123         1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOW DOSE 1 1 1 1   14 1(silva pablo)LEON A 126 3.50 2.90  
HUGHIE'S HOLIDAY 4 3 3 2   24 2(ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.00 24% 3.20 2.50 P
JUSTIN'S LADY 3 4 42 3   39 311¾ (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 1.00 33% 2.00 0.60 S
RETURN TO HARBOR 2 2 2 46   414 434¾ (kern david)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 10.00 8.20  
SCR  PAYNT THE KITTY               (silva ju)ARRIOLA-SERRANO JOSE 126 6.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  PREDETERMINATION               (ybarra rudy)OSUNA JESUS 126 15.00    
 
RIL-8   03/18/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($9.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:40
1:061         1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACE OF EKATI 1 6 5 3   312 (silva pablo)LEON A 126 3.50 14% 6.30 1.20 W
ROYAL TAP 5 3 2½ 1½   11 22 (torres-casas j)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.00 28% 2.60 3.30 P
FIGHT ME 4 1 1½ 2½   21 3(figueroa juan)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 6.00 20% 4.10 7.10 S
SHARK HARBOR 3 2 3 4   44(magrady ronald)OSUNA JESUS 126 15.00 8.50  
LIL LATIGO 6 5 48 5   55(lavanway dayso)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 8.00 9.70  
GENERAL THAYER 2 4 612½ 611½   613½ 615¾ (wheeler tra)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.50 13% 6.60 2.90  
SCR  HADLEES HONOR               (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 124 10.00    
 
RIL-9   03/18/2023 1320ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
:23         :23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME TO ZOOM 6 1       1nk 1nk (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.00 7% 13.90 1.70 W
FIRECRACKER STAND 1 4       3½ 2nk (bullene michae)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 2.00 38% 1.70 1.30 P
NORTH DAWN 7 2       2nk 3½ (metz jeffrey)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00 15.70  
U S READY 3 5       53 42 (ortega s)OSUNA JESUS 121 8.00 24.90  
BAPTISM 4 3       42 53 (torres-casas j)CARBAJAL KEVIN 126 4.00 31% 2.30 7.80  
ALEX'S GIRL 2 6       66(metz jeffre)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 5.00 4.50  
CONQUEST MOONMAD 5 7       76 76 (alcoverde ernesto)GAMEZ M 126 10.00 11.30  
SCR  GOOD OLD FAITHFUL               (ortega joe)BEVERLY JR 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.