Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - March 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TUP-2   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $10.40  
TUP-3   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 4.20
TUP-4   Win (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 4 1 0 $15.00  
TUP-5   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $6.20  
TUP-6   Win (5/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $8.00  
TUP-7   Win (2/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
TUP-8   Win (1/9/6/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $5.80  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   03/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:094     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECHO CANYON 2 6 6 5   45 1½ (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 7% 13.30 0.90 W
NASHVILLE SKYLINE 4 3 1½ 12   1 2½ (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00 9.30 P
BIG CREED 5 1 3 22   2 3 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 3.50 11% 7.90 2.30 S
PASSION OF JOE'S 6 2 2½ 32   34 4 (north mark)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 5.30  
CONRADO 3 4 42 4   55 5 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.50 8.30  
FLASHIN ACES 1 5 52 6   68 6 (belvoir )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 2.50 56% 0.80 8.70  
 
TUP-2   03/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:223 :451 :572     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASING FAME 2 6 3 3   3.2 13 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 3.50 4.20  
ALLEVA 3 3 21 1nk   2nk 23 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 1.40  
BEDROCK (GB) 6 1 5 43   6 3 (christian bil)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 8.00 9% 10.30 9.50 S
GOOD BYE CHARLIE 1 4 11 2nk   1nk 44 (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 57% 0.80 3.70  
HI HO CHEERIO 4 5 4 5   5 54 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 9% 9.80 9.80  
CITY OF CHAMPIONS 7 2 6 6   4 6 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00 35.60  
GATES OF HEAVEN 5 7 7 7   7 77 (eids)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50 3.10  
 
TUP-3   03/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:223 :453 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE SAID MY WAY 4 5 7 58   3 1hd (salinas linda)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 24% 3.20 3.10 W
WHAT A WAY TO GO 3 6 6 35   4 2hd (whitehouse wilt)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 7.80  
PAULINA'S STAR 7 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 3 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00 3.00  
EXTRA SAUCE 5 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 4 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 3.50 2.60  
PRINCESS JAYLEEN 1 7 5 4   5 5 (torres-casas alex)LOPEZ KARLO 118 6.00 13.30  
BOOSICAL LADY 2 4 4 628   629½ 6100 (mcca)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00 2.50  
SENSUOUS KITTY 6 1 3½ 7100   7100 7100 (essex charles)LEON A 124 10.00 26.00  
SCR  STAR SO FAR               (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 118 5.00 48% 1.10    
 
TUP-4   03/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 F PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:11     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICAGO CAT 3 3 5 5   2 13 (silv)DA FAUSTO 121 6.00 6.50  
SASSY TINKERBELL 7 2 2½ 2nk   1 23 (belvoir )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 6.00 2.80 P
FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY 1 7 7 6   43 3 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 8.00 10.80  
HERSABIGGIRL 6 1 3 32   54 4 (chambers mike)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 1.30  
BEAUTIFUL MESS 2 6 65 7   33 5 (vanwinkle d)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 71% 0.40 5.60  
LUTE'S DIAMOND 5 5 4 4   78 610½ (person a)VERGARA P 121 3.50 5.70  
STAR FINALITY 4 4 1½ 1nk   66 711¼ (leaney patricia)CORBETT W 121 5.00 17.70  
SCR  SHORT JOURNEY               (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00    
 
TUP-5   03/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:131     1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BARREL 2 1 11 1½ 12 1 15 (mcfarlane dan)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.00 2.10  
VICTORY BOULEVARD 1 6 4 42 22 2 25 (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00 7% 12.40 2.80 P
PASSED BY PAUL 6 2 3 31 44 56 3 (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 3.90  
ITS BIG 4 4 63 5 54 46 47 (christian bil)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 11.50  
STALKING SHADOW 3 3 21 2½ 3 34 5 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 1.50  
KICK IT 5 5 5 65 611 620 633 (lavanway )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 12.00 62.30  
SCR  MY BOY LOLLIPOP               (sanderson b)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 17% 4.70    
SCR  RUN TAPPY               (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 36% 1.80    
 
TUP-6   03/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:48
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:121 1:244   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIDE STREET DAVE 1 2 3.2 2nk 1½ 14 1 (sanderson bruce)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 3.00  
JAKE THE GREAT 5 1 5 6 43 24 2 (bullene michael)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.50 40% 1.50 2.80 P
THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN 4 7 7 7 6 46 3 (vitali m)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 5.00 1.00 S
DON'TTEASETHETIGER 6 4 1nk 4 3 5 411½ (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 15.80  
TALKIN MALICE 7 5 2nk 1nk 2½ 36 512½ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 10% 8.90 5.00  
FINAL ROSE 2 3 6 5 5 6 617¾ (mccartney jac)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 46.20  
LIL LATIGO 3 6 4 3 7 711¾ 724½ (lavanway dayso)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 12.00 8% 11.00 65.60  
SCR  DYF               (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 10% 8.60    
 
TUP-7   03/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
See original race card.
:214 :453       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH GUNNER 2 5 4 3   2nk 1 (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 74% 0.40 1.20 W
MAKARA 6 3 3 43   4¾ 2 (barraza rafael )ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 5.20  
BLESSED ANGEL 5 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 3 (belvoir )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 113 6.00 2.10  
FLATTER ME ZEN 1 7 7 68   5¾ 4 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 6.00 8.80  
BAKERSFIELD BABE 7 2 1nk 2nk   3.2 59 (simp)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00 7.40  
AMAZING FLYER 3 4 6 710½   7 6 (dillenbec)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 58.90  
TEXAS WENDY 4 6 56 56   6 710½ (denny travis)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00 34.70  
10  COURAGE OF BELLOCQ 8 8 821¾ 822½   813¼ 814 (howey quinn)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 5% 18.30 10.90  
SCR  MARIA KNOWS               (fearon johnathon)LEON A 124 20.00    
SCR  SAVONA (IRE)               (perren lymo)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50    
 
TUP-8   03/27/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:44
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:122     1:311   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INESPERADO (FR) 2 5 34 3   1½ 1 (eikl)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 1.90  
SWEET SAVANT 3 4 810½ 87   6 2 (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 7% 13.00 6.60 P
BIG BROTHER 8 7 5 5   5 3 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.50 26% 2.90 7.90 S
AMERICAN GRIT 1 1 13 11   2½ 46 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 28% 2.60 1.30  
10  NEXT JOURNEY 9 8 7 6   7 5 (rycroft riley)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 6.00 9% 10.20 6.90  
FAST GALLITO 7 6 6 75   8 6 (o'brien debbi)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 ######  
LITTLE RED RIFLE 5 2 23 21   33 7 (howe s)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 13.30  
NOTACRY 6 3 4 4   43 8 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 58.20  
RENEW 4 9 916 910½   9 9 (oberholtzer k)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00 25.90  
SCR  GODGUNSNCOUNTRY               (hernandez miguel )CORBETT W 124 6.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  PHOENICIAN GHOST               (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.