Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - March 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/3/4)-(1/5/2/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(1/4/6)-(4) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
TUP-2   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/5/2)-(1/4/6/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(4)-(3) 3 $0.50 $1.50 
TUP-3   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/1/2/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/1/2/6)-(4/1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4)-(3) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    PK3 (4)-(3)-(1) 1 $0.50 $0.50 
TUP-4   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/7/5/8) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/7/5/8)-(3/7/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3)-(1) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    PK3 (3)-(1)-(5/8/3) 3 $0.50 $1.50 
TUP-5   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (1)-(5/8/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1)-(5/8/3)-(2/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/3)-(5/8/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/3)-(5/8/3/4)-(5/8/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/8/3)-(2/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3)-(2/10)-(1/9/10/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-7   WIN (2/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/10)-(2/10/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/10)-(2/10/1/8)-(2/10/1/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/10)-(1/9/10/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TUP-8   WIN (1/9/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/10/3)-(1/9/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/10/3)-(1/9/10/3)-(1/9/10/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   03/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHIN ACES Feb18 Jan31 Jan05 Nov30   (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 2.50 56% 0.80    
2  ECHO CANYON Mar11 Feb27 Feb13 Jan26 Dec01 (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 7% 13.30    
3  CONRADO Feb13 Jan08 Dec23 Nov25 Oct23 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.50 ★    
4  NASHVILLE SKYLINE Feb20 Feb07 Jul10 Jun24   (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00 ★    
5  BIG CREED Feb18 Jan26 Jan09 Dec21 Nov30 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 3.50 11% 7.90    
6  PASSION OF JOE'S Mar12 Jan29 Jan20 Nov20 Oct29 (north mar)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00    
 
TUP-2   03/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD BYE CHARLIE Mar08 Jan31 Jan18 Jan01 Dec15 (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 57% 0.80    
2  CHASING FAME Jan30 Dec13 Jul30 Jul09 Apr05 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 3.50 ★    
3  ALLEVA Feb27 Feb13 Jan26 Jan10 Dec19 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00    
4  HI HO CHEERIO Mar05 Feb19 Jan25 Jan09 Dec13 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 9% 9.80    
5  GATES OF HEAVEN Mar05 Jan26 Dec13 Nov19 Nov04 (ei)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50 ★    
6  BEDROCK (GB) Mar11 Feb18 Nov28 Nov07 Jul24 (christian b)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 8.00 9% 10.30    
7  CITY OF CHAMPIONS         (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00    
 
TUP-3   03/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS JAYLEEN Mar12 Feb20 Jan28 Jan17 Jan07 (torres-casas al)LOPEZ KARLO 118 6.00 ★    
2  BOOSICAL LADY Mar07 Jan30 May02 Apr21   (mc)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00 ★    
3  WHAT A WAY TO GO Mar07 Jan30 Jan08 Dec14   (whitehouse wi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
4  SHE SAID MY WAY Feb04 Dec22 Nov09 Sep10 Aug28 (salinas lin)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  STAR SO FAR         (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 118 5.00 48% 1.10    
6  EXTRA SAUCE Feb25 Jan30 Jan09     (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 3.50 ★    
7  SENSUOUS KITTY Feb04 Jan09       (essex charles)LEON A 124 10.00    
8  PAULINA'S STAR Mar07 Feb25 Jun10 May02   (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
 
TUP-4   03/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 F PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHORT JOURNEY Mar12 Feb25 Feb21 Feb13 Jan23 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00 ★    
2  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Mar12 Feb03 Jan13 Dec02 Oct21 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 8.00    
3  BEAUTIFUL MESS Mar12 Jan23 Jan03 Dec08   (vanwinkle)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 71% 0.40    
4  CHICAGO CAT Mar07 Jan29 Dec05     (si)DA FAUSTO 121 6.00    
5  STAR FINALITY Mar14 Feb21 Jan25 Jan10 Dec20 (leaney patricia)CORBETT W 121 5.00 ★    
6  LUTE'S DIAMOND Mar14 Jan25 Dec20 Nov29 Jul10 (person kenneth )VERGARA P 121 3.50    
7  HERSABIGGIRL Mar12 Feb13 Aug20     (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 ★    
8  SASSY TINKERBELL Mar07 Feb10 Jan13 Dec02 Nov05 (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   03/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORY BOULEVARD Feb28 Feb04 Oct26 Oct07 Sep22 (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  RUN TAPPY Feb28 Feb13 Dec26 Nov29 Nov16 (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 36% 1.80    
3  BIG BARREL Feb28 Feb09 Jan10     (mcfarlane l)LEON A 124 4.00 ★    
4  STALKING SHADOW Mar13 Feb16 Jan23 Dec22 Dec13 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 ★    
SCR  MY BOY LOLLIPOP Feb14 Feb06 Jan09 Nov29 Nov07 (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 17% 4.70    
6  ITS BIG Mar06 Feb13 Jan25 Dec10 Nov21 (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00    
7  KICK IT Mar05 Feb05 Jan25 Jan12 Jan02 (lavanwa)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 12.00    
8  PASSED BY PAUL Mar13 Feb22 Feb14 Feb01 Jan10 (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50    
 
TUP-6   03/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIDE STREET DAVE Mar06 Feb26 Jan30 Jan10 Nov30 (sanderson bru)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00    
2  FINAL ROSE Mar06 Feb19 Feb02 Jan17 Dec10 (mccartney j)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00    
3  LIL LATIGO Mar18 Mar11 Mar01 Feb18 Feb05 (lavanway day)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 12.00 8% 11.00    
4  THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN Feb22 Feb04 Jan17 Jan05 Dec22 (vitali)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 5.00 ★    
5  JAKE THE GREAT Mar13 Feb26 Feb13 Jan24 Apr11 (bullene micha)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  DYF Mar13 Aug21 Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 10% 8.60    
7  DON'TTEASETHETIGER Mar13 Feb04 Jan10 Dec20 Nov23 (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 124 8.00    
8  TALKIN MALICE Mar06 Feb13 Jan25 Jan05 Dec20 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 10% 8.90    
 
TUP-7   03/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLATTER ME ZEN         (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 6.00 ★    
2  HIGH GUNNER Mar11 Feb14 Jan23 Dec14   (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 74% 0.40    
3  AMAZING FLYER Dec26         (dillenb)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
4  TEXAS WENDY Feb02         (denny travis)DEONAUTH P 124 20.00    
5  BLESSED ANGEL Mar12 Sep07 Jul16     (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 113 6.00    
SCR  SAVONA (IRE) Mar11         (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 ★    
7  MAKARA Nov13         (barraza rafae)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00    
8  BAKERSFIELD BABE Mar12 Feb25 Feb14 Jan30 Jan09 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  MARIA KNOWS Jul17 May07 Apr11     (fearon johnatho)LEON A 124 20.00    
10  COURAGE OF BELLOCQ         (howey quinn)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 5% 18.30    
 
TUP-8   03/27/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN GRIT Mar12 Mar01 Dec31     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
2  INESPERADO (FR) Mar06 Feb20 Jan30 Dec16 Dec03 (ei)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
3  SWEET SAVANT Feb28 Jan30 Jan07 Dec17 Apr19 (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 7% 13.00    
4  RENEW Feb22 Jan10 Dec20 Apr21 Apr04 (oberholtzer)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00    
5  LITTLE RED RIFLE Mar13 Feb15 Jan30 Jan07 Dec17 (howe s)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00    
SCR  GODGUNSNCOUNTRY Mar05 Feb15 Jan12 Dec20 Nov23 (hernandez migue)CORBETT W 124 6.00 9% 9.80    
7  NOTACRY Jan30 Jan11 Dec17 Sep15 Aug25 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
8  FAST GALLITO Mar13 Feb15 Jan11 Apr26 Apr01 (o'brien deb)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
9  BIG BROTHER Jan28 Jan13 Dec03 Oct28 Oct02 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
10  NEXT JOURNEY Feb28 Feb19 Feb11 Jan20 Dec02 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 6.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  PHOENICIAN GHOST Mar19 Feb27 Mar11 Jan28   (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.