Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - March 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 1.40
TUP-2   Win (4/7/3/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TUP-3   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TUP-4   Win (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TUP-5   Win (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
TUP-6   Win (4/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
TUP-7   Win (9/7/3/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $7.00  
TUP-8   Win (7/6/1/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $22.60  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   03/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:144 1:27   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY EINSTEIN 4 4 5 44 33 33 1hd (pierce michael )VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.00 55% 0.80 1.70 W
LADY CREATIVE 2 1 1 12 11 1 2hd (axmaker w)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.00 0.50 P
TALKINGNONSTOP 3 3 2 22 21 2 3¼ (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 8.60 S
SKY HIGH VERONIKA 1 2 3 33 4 4 4 (leon priscilla)LEON A 124 4.00 7.00  
GIROLAMO LUCY 5 5 4 5 5 59 514¼ (dennis clifton)BEVERLY JR 124 15.00 25.10  
SCR  NATURAL IMMUNITY               (eidschun gregory)ZUNINO L 118 15.00 12% 7.20    
 
TUP-2   03/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:102     1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRE 1 2 513 58 58 44 14 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.50 6% 15.10 1.30 W
DIAMOND BLITZ 2 1 1 1 1 11 24 (silva g)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 6% 16.40 3.50 P
HELLO HANDSOME 5 4 3 3 2 21 3 (brea)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00 31.00  
STALKING SHADOW 7 7 715 712 6 54 45 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 1.60 23% 3.40 2.60  
PASSED BY PAUL 4 5 47 46 46 6 5 (matt l)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 35% 1.90 8.70  
BLUE AZUL 3 3 2 2 3 32 6 (torres-casas alex)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 10% 9.00 4.80  
HAVEULOSTYOURMIND 6 6 613½ 610½ 710 78 711¾ (krasner cindy)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00 21.60  
 
TUP-3   03/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:103 1:234   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLY THE COBBLER 1 5 2 2 2nk 1 13 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 21% 3.70 0.50 W
LOLLY EXPRESS 6 2 3 38 3 3 23 (bullene michael)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00 23.70  
PERFECT COME BACK 3 4 59 410½ 4 43 3 (woolley l)VERGARA P 124 3.50 39% 1.60 3.50 S
DR. TROUTMAN 2 1 1 1 1nk 2 4 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 7% 13.20 3.60  
SHOTGUN RIDER 5 6 6 613½ 5 55 5 (leaney patricia)CORBETT W 122 4.50 8.00  
PALACE PRINCE 4 3 4 512½ 6 6 6 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 6.00 23.10  
SCR  BLESSED JOURNEY               (evans justin)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00    
 
TUP-4   03/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:221 :442 1:084     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AKASI 2 2 1nk 1½   1 1 (troiani nicco)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 6% 16.60 0.90 W
MARGOT'S GIRL 6 3 4 32   2 2 (bullene michael)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 3.90 P
TRULY A MESS 7 1 6 55   5 3 (bullene michael)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 36% 1.80 7.80 S
CAMDEN HIGH 4 6 5 45   35 4 (birdwell tena)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00 5.30  
EM'S WINAHOLIC 5 4 3 66   6 5 (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 8.00 13.00  
BETTY'S BAR 1 5 2nk 2½   45 6 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 124 3.50 29% 2.40 4.10  
TRINNI SUNSET 3 7 7 79   719½ 728 (perkins franc)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 61.20  
 
TUP-5   03/13/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:243 :474 1:122     1:303   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOOGIE SON 3 6 53 42   3.2 1¼ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00 32% 2.20 1.50 W
TEMPTED MISSION 1 5 1½ 1½   1nk 2¼ (eikleberry kevin)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 16% 5.10 4.50 P
GUEST CHECK 4 2 2½ 2½   2nk 31 (perkinson cc)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.50 4.80 S
LITTLE RED RIFLE 5 1 64 64   4 44 (howe s)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00 10.90  
TODAY MATTERS 2 7 7 7   6 5 (eidschun greg)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 2.60  
LIGHTNING STAR 7 3 42 53   5 610 (simpson sha)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50 31% 2.20 6.00  
FAST GALLITO 6 4 3½ 3   712¾ 724 (o'brien debbi)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 43.90  
 
TUP-6   03/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:121 1:26   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARMAVEER 4 3 2 22 3½ 1½ 1¼ (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 45% 1.20 1.50 W
HUNTER JUMPER 1 5 1 12 1½ 2½ 2¼ (eidschun greg)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 8% 11.80 2.10 P
SUPER CREATIVE 8 2 43 33 2½ 3½ 3 (gleason m)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 21% 3.70 1.40 S
DEPUTY KNIGHT 5 1 6 714 610½ 46 4 (o'brien danny)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 15.00 61.60  
ALEX'S DREAM 6 7 7 510½ 59 5 59 (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 12.90  
JOE DID IT 7 8 811¾ 817½ 716½ 713¼ 612 (o'brien danny)BEVERLY JR 124 20.00 50.40  
GABE'S MONSTER 2 6 3 4 4 613 718¾ (ybar)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00 53.10  
TANGLED THOUGHTS 3 4 5 613 818 822¼ 829 (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 10.00 37.50  
 
TUP-7   03/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:16
See original race card.
:232 :452 1:103     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASH FLOOD 1 5 4 3   2½ 1 (aspr)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00 2.50  
BIG CYN 2 3 3 4   1½ 2 (chamberlin ti)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 15% 5.60 19.20 P
DEL MAR FLASH 5 7 5 5   3 3 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 4.80  
TWITTERATI 4 6 7 6   5 4 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 11.30  
PIRATES CROSS 8 8 8 7   7 5 (rarick wade)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 22% 3.50 2.30  
BRITE TAN 7 4 6 8   8 6 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00 6% 14.60 28.90  
RED PANTY NIGHT 6 1 2nk 1nk   42 7 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 17% 4.80 3.00  
THATSALOTOFBLING 3 2 1nk 2nk   6 815½ (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 8% 11.60 8.90  
SCR  LADY PHYLLIS               (torres-casas alex)VERGARA P 124 8.00    
 
TUP-8   03/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:44
See original race card.
1:104         1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVING VICARIOUSLY 8 1 32 2nk   1nk 1nk (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 10.30  
SINGANDCRYINDUBAI 1 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 2nk (brown jared)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.50 9% 10.60 1.70 P
ECHO ALPHA SIX 6 8 8 65   5 3 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.50 22% 3.50 6.50 S
DYF 3 6 43 42   4 43 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.50 6% 15.10 7.60  
UNCLE FLOYD 2 4 2½ 31   3 5 (williams)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 20.00 75.90  
DON'TTEASETHETIGER 9 3 6 5   6 6 (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 14.30  
W. WHITEHOUSE 4 5 7 810½   811¾ 7 (dominguez ange)BEVERLY JR 124 20.00 71.40  
HERBIE 5 7 53 78   710¾ 8 (sanderson b)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 9% 10.80 24.20  
JAKE THE GREAT 7 9 9100 9100   9100 9100 (bullene michael)VERGARA P 124 5.00 26% 2.90 1.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.