Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - March 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/1/2/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5)-(4/7/3/1/2) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (5)-(4/7/3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
TUP-2   WIN (4/7/3/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/1/2)-(4/7/3/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/1/2)-(4/7/3/1/2)-(4/7/3/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(7/1/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TUP-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(7/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(7/1/2)-(3/7/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-4   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/6/2/5)-(7/1/6/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(3/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(3/7/1)-(4/8/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-5   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1/4/6)-(3/7/1/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(4/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(4/8/1)-(9/7/3/4/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TUP-6   WIN (4/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/1)-(4/8/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/1)-(4/8/1/6/5)-(4/8/1/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/8/1)-(9/7/3/4/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/8/1)-(9/7/3/4/8)-(7/6/1/5/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TUP-7   WIN (9/7/3/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/3/4/8)-(9/7/3/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/3/4/8)-(9/7/3/4/8)-(9/7/3/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/3/4/8)-(7/6/1/5/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-8   WIN (7/6/1/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/5/3)-(7/6/1/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/5/3)-(7/6/1/5/3)-(7/6/1/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   03/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY HIGH VERONIKA Feb20 Feb01 Jan17 Nov05 Aug29 (leon priscilla)LEON A 124 4.00 ★    
2  LADY CREATIVE Feb20 Feb01 Jan12 Dec22 Sep28 (axmaker w)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.00 ★    
3  TALKINGNONSTOP Jan17 Jan12 Dec15 Nov12 Sep04 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  NATURAL IMMUNITY Mar05 Jan28 Jan07 Dec14 May07 (eidschun gregory)ZUNINO L 118 15.00 12% 7.20    
5  SASSY EINSTEIN Feb20 Feb01 Jan12 Dec14 Nov05 (pierce michae)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.00 55% 0.80    
6  GIROLAMO LUCY Feb20 Feb13 Jan26 Oct08 Sep09 (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 15.00    
 
TUP-2   03/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRE Mar04 Feb19 Feb09 Jan25 Jan12 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.50 6% 15.10    
2  DIAMOND BLITZ Feb19 Jan29 Jan06 Dec09 Nov20 (silva rodriguez)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 6% 16.40    
3  BLUE AZUL Feb22 Feb13 Feb04 Jan23 Jan12 (torres-casas al)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 10% 9.00    
4  PASSED BY PAUL Feb22 Feb14 Feb01 Jan10 Dec26 (matt l)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
5  HELLO HANDSOME Feb28 Jan25 Jan03 Dec19 Nov23 (br)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00    
6  HAVEULOSTYOURMIND Feb14 Jan25 Jan05 Dec10 Nov21 (krasner cind)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00    
7  STALKING SHADOW Feb16 Jan23 Dec22 Dec13 Oct01 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 1.60 23% 3.40    
 
TUP-3   03/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLY THE COBBLER Feb19 Feb06 Jan12 Dec22 Dec10 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
2  DR. TROUTMAN Feb19 Jan25 Dec22 Nov28 Nov07 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 7% 13.20    
3  PERFECT COME BACK Feb19 Jan31 Jan18 Dec10 May07 (woolley bennie )VERGARA P 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
4  PALACE PRINCE Mar04 Jan31 Jan18 Dec26 Dec08 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 6.00    
SCR  BLESSED JOURNEY Feb28 Feb04 Jan12 Dec26 Dec10 (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 ★    
6  SHOTGUN RIDER Feb09 Jan31 Jan18 Jan04 Dec20 (leaney patricia)MAWING A 122 4.50 ★    
7  LOLLY EXPRESS Mar04 Feb19 Feb02 Jan19 Dec22 (bullene micha)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00    
 
TUP-4   03/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETTY'S BAR Feb27 Feb15 Jan30 Sep08 Aug14 (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
2  AKASI Feb02 Jan12 Dec22 Nov12 Sep18 (troiani nic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 6% 16.60    
3  TRINNI SUNSET Feb27 May06 Apr19 Mar31 Mar22 (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
4  CAMDEN HIGH Feb27 Feb06 Jan10 Dec20 Nov25 (birdwell te)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00    
5  EM'S WINAHOLIC Feb16         (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 8.00 ★    
6  MARGOT'S GIRL Feb28 Jan30 Jan08 Nov04 Oct08 (bullene micha)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 ★    
7  TRULY A MESS Mar01 Feb15 Jan30 Jan17 Nov27 (bullene michael)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 36% 1.80    
 
TUP-5   03/13/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPTED MISSION Feb15 Jan24 Dec26 Dec01 Nov09 (eikleberry kevin)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 16% 5.10    
2  TODAY MATTERS Feb04 Dec30 Dec16 Nov05 Sep24 (eidschun gr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00    
3  MOOGIE SON Feb19 Jan30 Jan11 Dec20 Nov23 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00 32% 2.20    
4  GUEST CHECK Feb19 Jan24 Dec27 Dec13 Nov15 (perkinson c)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.50 ★    
5  LITTLE RED RIFLE Feb15 Jan30 Jan07 Dec17 Oct01 (howe s)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00    
6  FAST GALLITO Feb15 Jan11 Apr26 Apr01 Feb21 (o'brien deb)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 ★    
7  LIGHTNING STAR Jan11 Dec20 Nov23 Sep18 Aug05 (simpson s)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
TUP-6   03/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNTER JUMPER Feb01 Nov30 Nov12 Sep27 Sep13 (eidschun gr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 8% 11.80    
2  GABE'S MONSTER Jan24 Jan07 Nov30 Nov12 Aug18 (ybarra )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
3  TANGLED THOUGHTS Jan24 Apr14 Mar18     (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 10.00    
4  ARMAVEER Feb26 Dec16 Nov12 Oct22 Sep25 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
5  DEPUTY KNIGHT Feb19 Dec17 Nov30 Sep03 Apr14 (o'brien dan)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 15.00 ★    
6  ALEX'S DREAM Feb19 Jan24 Dec16 Nov16 Nov06 (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 ★    
7  JOE DID IT Feb19 Feb01 Dec17     (o'brien dann)BEVERLY JR 124 20.00    
8  SUPER CREATIVE Feb19 Jan24 Jan07 Oct22 Sep27 (gleason m)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
TUP-7   03/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASH FLOOD Feb25 Feb11 Jan04 Dec13 Aug27 (as)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00    
SCR  LADY PHYLLIS Feb07 Jan24 Nov30 Nov14 Nov04 (torres-casas al)VERGARA P 124 8.00    
3  BIG CYN Feb27 Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 Dec28 (chamberlin tina)MAWING A 124 5.00 15% 5.60    
4  THATSALOTOFBLING Feb21 Jan30 Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 8% 11.60    
5  TWITTERATI Feb16 Jan31 Jan17 Dec15 Nov15 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
6  DEL MAR FLASH Feb11 Jan06 Dec02 Oct22 Oct01 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00    
7  RED PANTY NIGHT Feb26 Jan26 Dec17 Nov05 Aug18 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 17% 4.80    
8  BRITE TAN Feb21 Feb12 Jan31 Jan06 Nov11 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00 6% 14.60    
9  PIRATES CROSS Feb18 Jan31 Jan11 Dec19 Nov26 (rarick wade)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
TUP-8   03/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SINGANDCRYINDUBAI Feb26 Feb11 Jan10 Dec19 Dec01 (brown jared)MAWING A 124 2.50 9% 10.60    
2  UNCLE FLOYD Feb11 Jan24 Jan12 Dec20 Dec10 (williams dew)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00    
3  DYF Aug21 Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 Jun05 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.50 6% 15.10    
4  W. WHITEHOUSE Feb26 Dec08 Nov29 Sep05 Aug19 (dominguez an)BEVERLY JR 124 20.00    
5  HERBIE Feb11 Jan14 Dec15 Nov15 Jul16 (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 9% 10.80    
6  ECHO ALPHA SIX Feb26 Feb18 Jan30 Dec26 Dec10 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
7  JAKE THE GREAT Feb26 Feb13 Jan24 Apr11 Mar24 (bullene michael)VERGARA P 124 5.00 26% 2.90    
8  LIVING VICARIOUSLY Mar01 Nov05 Oct09 Aug03 Jul20 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
9  DON'TTEASETHETIGER Feb04 Jan10 Dec20 Nov23 Sep17 (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.