Handicappers' Race Results
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Turf Paradise
Sunday - March 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-1   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $3.60  
TUP-2   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.00  
TUP-3   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TUP-4   Win (7/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $7.80 $7.80  
TUP-5   Win (7/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $15.40  
TUP-6   Win (8/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TUP-7   Win (9/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 9 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TUP-8   Win (7/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $9.40  
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   03/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:23 :444 1:084     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MISSCZECH 3 1 11½ 11½   13½ 16½ (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 0.80  
6  LARIMAR 5 2 21½ 21½   23½ 26½ (gutierrez qu)LEON A 122 2.00 23% 3.30 3.60 P
2  RED NOON RISING 2 3 33 34   36 39½ (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 122 2.50 50% 1.00 3.70 S
1  CHEROKEE PAPOOSE 1 5 56½ 46½   46½ 410¼ (whitehouse )VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 ★ 4.20  
5  MIDNIGHT GARDEN 4 4 45½ 59   515½ 516¼ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 3.50 ★ 7.60  
SCR  CAPITAL HEAT               (belvoir vann)DISDIER NICOLLE 122 8.00 ★    
 
TUP-2   03/19/2023 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:134     1:324   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHEZ OUR ARCH 3 4 45½ 43¾   1nk 11½ (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.50 ★ 1.50  
2  REAL GOOD VYBZ 2 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 21½ (williams oman)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 18% 4.60 10.90 P
5  UNUSUAL DANCER 5 5 58½ 55¼   3½ 34¾ (dillenbeck bruce)CORBETT W 124 8.00 ★ 8.80 S
4  JERUSALEMA (IRE) 4 2 35½ 33½   41½ 48¾ (silva jr)VERGARA P 124 3.00 25% 3.00 2.10  
1  ROUBAIX 1 1 1½ 1nk   55½ 525 (capestro paul)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.20 26% 2.90 1.70  
 
TUP-3   03/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:224 :461 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BOURBON AND WATER 7 2 21 2nk   11 11 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.00 30% 2.30 0.70 W
5  AMADMADWORLD 5 5 52¾ 32½   32½ 21 (torres-casas al)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.50 43% 1.30 5.80 P
2  DEVIL'S OFF DUTY 2 7 42½ 42¾   21 31¾ (peery debbie)LEON A 124 5.00 ★ 2.50 S
6  SCRATCH ME 6 4 76¾ 74¾   54½ 44½ (ybarra ru)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 12.00 41.80  
1  SUPER INTENSE 1 6 63¾ 63¾   64¾ 54¾ (o'brien danny)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 ★ 24.40  
3  WESTERN CHARM 3 3 11 1nk   42½ 66½ (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 7.70  
4  CARRIZO SPRINGS 4 1 31 53¼   78¾ 713 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 8.00 ★ 12.80  
 
TUP-4   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TOBY'S CANDY 5 2 2½ 1½   12½ 12¼ (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 5.00 10% 9.30 2.90 W
1  PEPPER MILL 1 6 53 52½   34½ 22¼ (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 7.80  
4  ELEGANT SWAY 4 4 32 42   55 34 (morgan dan)VERGARA P 121 4.00 11% 8.50 2.90 S
3  BANGIE GO 3 1 1½ 2½   22½ 45¼ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 8% 11.20 1.10  
2  SCATALICIOUS 2 5 64 64   67½ 57¾ (rollins scott)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00 15.60  
6  SHELBY GOLD 6 3 42 32   45 68¼ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 ★ 8.00  
SCR  CREME DE MENTHE (IRE)               (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 121 2.50 49% 1.10    
 
TUP-5   03/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:101     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SMILING THUNDER 6 1 1½ 1½   11½ 11¾ (nunnally jenn)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 ★ 6.70  
4  MISTY MATT 4 4 42 32   31½ 21¾ (matt wendell )CONNING CRYSTAL 124 3.00 19% 4.20 3.50 P
3  MI REYNA 3 2 32 2½   21½ 33¼ (palma milton)CORBETT W 124 4.00 14% 6.20 4.30 S
5  EVEN PANDURA 5 5 83¼ 87   45½ 44¾ (sanderson b)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 9.80  
2  AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN 2 8 62¾ 76½   76 55 (schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 9% 10.50 10.50  
7  RED VENUS 7 3 72¾ 54½   65¾ 66¾ (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 29% 2.50 1.50  
8  CIDSTAYINURLAINE 8 6 52½ 42½   55¾ 77 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 8.00 6.90  
1  FLO TIME 1 7 2½ 66   812 824 (martinez a)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00 25.30  
 
TUP-6   03/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:221 :443 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PRECEDENT 8 1 1½ 1nk   11½ 12 (gleason m)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 42% 1.40 0.80 W
9  BLUE PARADISE (GB) 9 2 51½ 33   34 22 (asprino alfredo)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 ★ 5.80 P
7  BET ON DAD 7 3 2½ 2nk   21½ 33¾ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 ★ 1.90 S
5  THIRSTY TIGER 5 5 3½ 43½   44 44¼ (grissom w)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 21.70  
3  SPORT COAT 3 8 95¾ 78½   510 58 (perkins france)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 67.70  
2  BUSTER BURNS 2 7 83¾ 88¾   612 610 (williams oman)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00 54.30  
1  IMPASSIONED CLAIM 1 4 41 910¼   815 716¾ (barraza rami)VERGARA P 124 12.00 6% 14.80 13.90  
6  MIDNIGHT DADDY 6 6 72¾ 55½   713 817¾ (baze robert)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 15.00 43.80  
4  REFUSE TO TESTIFY 4 9 62½ 68   922 934¼ (oberholtzer k)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 27% 2.80 17.20  
 
TUP-7   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:29
See original race card.
:223 :45 :57     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  GOLD RUSH CANDY 8 2 41¾ 1½   13 13 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 68% 0.50 0.90 W
8  GRAZEN SUN 7 5 63¼ 42   23 23 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00 1.70  
6  ANNA'S IRON MAN 5 1 3.2 2½   33½ 37¼ (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 6.00 15.10  
3  PHOENICIAN GHOST 3 3 2nk 31   44 411 (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 12.00 36.70  
2  SARGENT KLINE 2 8 76¼ 88½   69 512 (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 ★ 18.60  
7  BESAME MUCHO 6 6 52¼ 53   56½ 612¼ (nunnally jenn)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 ★ 9.10  
5  PARTYOFSIXTEEN 4 7 86¾ 78   710 712¼ (barraza ra)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 12.00 51.20  
1  A VIEW FROM ABOVE 1 4 1nk 63½   811½ 820 (peery debbie)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 8% 11.20 6.70  
SCR  WIND RIVER               (person a)VERGARA P 122 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   03/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:59
See original race card.
:49 1:133     1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SASSY CAT 6 1 13 11½ 13½ 16 16¾ (axmaker w)VERGARA P 122 8.00 3.70  
1  HEART RIVER 1 7 77¾ 75¾ 55¼ 36½ 26¾ (metz jeffrey)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 7% 12.40 3.40 P
7  AND I KNOW 7 4 66¼ 65¼ 65¾ 57½ 38 (mend)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00 48% 1.10 2.80 S
8  AMERICAN ROYALTY 8 8 89¾ 88¼ 75¾ 68½ 48¼ (van horn)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 15.00 23.80  
4  LUCKY STEPPER 4 6 56 45 45 47½ 59 (weaver gordon)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 14.50  
3  LEXOPHILIA 3 5 33 21½ 23½ 26 610½ (gutierrez qu)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 ★ 5.20  
2  ELEMENTAL 2 3 23 31½ 35 714½ 720 (perkinson cc)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 10.00 32.30  
5  TICK TOCK 5 2 44½ 55¼ 86 818 833¾ (hernandez migue)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.50 13% 6.60 2.70  
SCR  SHESAHEATWAVE               (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 11% 7.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.