The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Turf Paradise
Sunday - March 19, 2023

Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

 
TUP-1   03/19/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
:23 :444 1:084     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSCZECH 3 1 1 1   11(rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 0.80  
LARIMAR 5 2 2 2   22(gutierrez qu)LEON A 122 2.00 23% 3.30 3.60 P
RED NOON RISING 2 3 33 34   36 3(rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 122 2.50 50% 1.00 3.70 S
CHEROKEE PAPOOSE 1 5 5 4   4410¼ (whitehouse )VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 4.20  
MIDNIGHT GARDEN 4 4 4 59   515½ 516¼ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 3.50 7.60  
SCR  CAPITAL HEAT               (belvoir vann)DISDIER NICOLLE 122 8.00    
 
TUP-2   03/19/2023 4950ft TURF FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
:241 :483 1:134     1:324   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZ OUR ARCH 3 4 4 4   1nk 1(diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.50 1.50  
REAL GOOD VYBZ 2 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 2(williams oman)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 18% 4.60 10.90 P
UNUSUAL DANCER 5 5 5 5   3½ 3(dillenbeck bruce)CORBETT W 124 8.00 8.80 S
JERUSALEMA (IRE) 4 2 3 3   44(silva jr)VERGARA P 124 3.00 25% 3.00 2.10  
ROUBAIX 1 1 1½ 1nk   5525 (capestro paul)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.20 26% 2.90 1.70  
 
TUP-3   03/19/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
:224 :461 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON AND WATER 7 2 21 2nk   11 11 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.00 30% 2.30 0.70 W
AMADMADWORLD 5 5 5 3   321 (torres-casas al)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.50 43% 1.30 5.80 P
DEVIL'S OFF DUTY 2 7 4 4   21 3(peery debbie)LEON A 124 5.00 2.50 S
SCRATCH ME 6 4 7 7   54(ybarra ru)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 12.00 41.80  
SUPER INTENSE 1 6 6 6   65(o'brien danny)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 24.40  
WESTERN CHARM 3 3 11 1nk   46(woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 7.70  
CARRIZO SPRINGS 4 1 31 5   7713 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 8.00 12.80  
 
TUP-4   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 F PT- 5:54
:223 :454 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOBY'S CANDY 5 2 2½ 1½   11(metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 5.00 10% 9.30 2.90 W
PEPPER MILL 1 6 53 5   32(kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 7.80  
ELEGANT SWAY 4 4 32 42   55 34 (morgan dan)VERGARA P 121 4.00 11% 8.50 2.90 S
BANGIE GO 3 1 1½ 2½   24(williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 8% 11.20 1.10  
SCATALICIOUS 2 5 64 64   65(rollins scott)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00 15.60  
SHELBY GOLD 6 3 42 32   45 6(lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 8.00  
SCR  CREME DE MENTHE               (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 121 2.50 49% 1.10    
 
TUP-5   03/19/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
:221 :45 1:101     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMILING THUNDER 6 1 1½ 1½   11(nunnally jenn)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 6.70  
MISTY MATT 4 4 42 32   32(matt wendell )CONNING CRYSTAL 124 3.00 19% 4.20 3.50 P
MI REYNA 3 2 32 2½   23(palma milton)CORBETT W 124 4.00 14% 6.20 4.30 S
EVEN PANDURA 5 5 8 87   44(sanderson b)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 9.80  
AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN 2 8 6 7   76 55 (schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 9% 10.50 10.50  
RED VENUS 7 3 7 5   66(vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 29% 2.50 1.50  
CIDSTAYINURLAINE 8 6 5 4   577 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 8.00 6.90  
FLO TIME 1 7 2½ 66   812 824 (martinez a)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00 25.30  
 
TUP-6   03/19/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
:221 :443 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRECEDENT 8 1 1½ 1nk   112 (gleason m)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 42% 1.40 0.80 W
BLUE PARADISE 9 2 5 33   34 22 (asprino alfredo)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 5.80 P
BET ON DAD 7 3 2½ 2nk   23(williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 1.90 S
THIRSTY TIGER 5 5 3½ 4   44 4(grissom w)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 21.70  
SPORT COAT 3 8 9 7   510 58 (perkins france)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 67.70  
BUSTER BURNS 2 7 8 8   612 610 (williams oman)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00 54.30  
IMPASSIONED CLAIM 1 4 41 910¼   815 716¾ (barraza rami)VERGARA P 124 12.00 6% 14.80 13.90  
MIDNIGHT DADDY 6 6 7 5   713 817¾ (baze robert)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 15.00 43.80  
REFUSE TO TESTIFY 4 9 6 68   922 934¼ (oberholtzer k)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 27% 2.80 17.20  
 
TUP-7   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:29
:223 :45 :57     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD RUSH CANDY 8 2 4 1½   13 13 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 68% 0.50 0.90 W
GRAZEN SUN 7 5 6 42   23 23 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00 1.70  
ANNA'S IRON MAN 5 1 3.2 2½   33(hone bart)CORBETT W 122 6.00 15.10  
PHOENICIAN GHOST 3 3 2nk 31   44 411 (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 12.00 36.70  
SARGENT KLINE 2 8 7 8   69 512 (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 18.60  
BESAME MUCHO 6 6 5 53   5612¼ (nunnally jenn)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 9.10  
PARTYOFSIXTEEN 4 7 8 78   710 712¼ (barraza ra)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 12.00 51.20  
A VIEW FROM ABOVE 1 4 1nk 6   811½ 820 (peery debbie)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 8% 11.20 6.70  
SCR  WIND RIVER               (person a)VERGARA P 122 4.00    
 
TUP-8   03/19/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:59
:49 1:133     1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY CAT 6 1 13 1 1 16 1(axmaker w)VERGARA P 122 8.00 3.70  
HEART RIVER 1 7 7 7 5 32(metz jeffrey)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 7% 12.40 3.40 P
AND I KNOW 7 4 6 6 6 538 (mend)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00 48% 1.10 2.80 S
AMERICAN ROYALTY 8 8 8 8 7 64(van horn)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 15.00 23.80  
LUCKY STEPPER 4 6 56 45 45 459 (weaver gordon)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 14.50  
LEXOPHILIA 3 5 33 2 2 26 610½ (gutierrez qu)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 5.20  
ELEMENTAL 2 3 23 3 35 714½ 720 (perkinson cc)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 10.00 32.30  
TICK TOCK 5 2 4 5 86 818 833¾ (hernandez migue)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.50 13% 6.60 2.70  
SCR  SHESAHEATWAVE               (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 11% 7.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.