Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Sunday - March 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/5/1)-(2/6/5/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/6)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(1/4/2)-(5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-2   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/3/5)-(1/4/2/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(5/7)-(4/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-3   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/2/1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/2/1/4)-(5/7/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(4/5/3)-(7/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-4   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(7/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(7/4/3/2)-(8/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-5   WIN (7/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2/6)-(7/4/3/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/3/2)-(8/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/2)-(8/4/1)-(9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-6   WIN (8/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/1)-(8/4/1/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/1)-(8/4/1/7/9)-(8/4/1/7/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/4/1)-(9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1)-(9/1)-(7/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-7   WIN (9/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/1)-(9/1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/1)-(9/1/7/2)-(9/1/7/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (9/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TUP-8   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   03/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEROKEE PAPOOSE Mar01 Nov30 Sep03 Aug08 Jul09 (whitehous)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 ★    
2  RED NOON RISING Mar04 Feb12 Jan25 Jan04 Dec15 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
3  MISSCZECH Mar01 Feb07 Jan25 Jan09 Dec17 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00    
SCR  CAPITAL HEAT Feb07         (belvoir van)DISDIER NICOLLE 122 8.00 ★    
5  MIDNIGHT GARDEN Feb20 Feb06 Jan14 Dec27 Dec17 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 3.50 ★    
6  LARIMAR Feb22 Jan14 Jan04 Dec10 Nov21 (gutierrez juan )LEON A 122 2.00 23% 3.30    
 
TUP-2   03/19/2023 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROUBAIX Nov04 Sep17 Aug19 Jun11 Apr17 (capestro pa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.20 26% 2.90    
2  REAL GOOD VYBZ Jan30 Jan17 Jan09 Dec19 May14 (williams om)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
3  SHEZ OUR ARCH Feb25 Dec17 Oct30 Oct15 Sep24 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.50 ★    
4  JERUSALEMA (IRE) Feb25 Jan28 Jan07 Dec30 Nov25 (silva jr)VERGARA P 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  UNUSUAL DANCER Feb25 Jan09 Dec14 Jan14   (dillenbeck bruc)CORBETT W 124 8.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   03/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER INTENSE Feb26 Feb13 Jan24 Jan07 May07 (o'brien dan)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 ★    
2  DEVIL'S OFF DUTY Feb08 Jan28 Jan10 Dec20 Jul02 (peery debbie)LEON A 124 5.00 ★    
3  WESTERN CHARM Mar05 Feb08 Dec09 Nov25 Nov12 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
4  CARRIZO SPRINGS Mar06 Feb20 Feb02 Jan13 Jan02 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 8.00 ★    
5  AMADMADWORLD Mar04 Feb20 Feb08 Jan24 Jan03 (torres-casas al)VERGARA P 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
6  SCRATCH ME Feb26 Apr24 Mar19 Mar05 Feb01 (ybarra )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 12.00    
7  BOURBON AND WATER Feb18 Jan28 Jan10 Dec20 Nov28 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
TUP-4   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEPPER MILL Feb26 Feb01 Nov29 Nov04   (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00    
2  SCATALICIOUS Feb13 Jan07 Dec14 Nov29 May07 (rollins scott)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00    
3  BANGIE GO Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Dec10 Nov14 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 8% 11.20    
4  ELEGANT SWAY Jan12 Oct07 Sep22 Sep09 Jul29 (morgan dan)VERGARA P 121 4.00 11% 8.50    
5  TOBY'S CANDY Feb18 Jan23       (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 5.00 10% 9.30    
6  SHELBY GOLD Sep17 Aug28 Aug06 Jul10 Jun25 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) Feb06 Jan12 Dec21 Dec01 Nov04 (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 121 2.50 49% 1.10    
 
TUP-5   03/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLO TIME Mar04 Oct02 Aug14 Jul17   (martinez a)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00    
2  AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN Feb22 Feb07 Sep26 Sep12 Aug22 (schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 9% 10.50    
3  MI REYNA Mar04 Feb20 Jan19 Oct29 Oct08 (palma milton)CORBETT W 124 4.00 14% 6.20    
4  MISTY MATT Mar01 Feb16 Jan24 Dec21 Nov19 (matt wendel)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
5  EVEN PANDURA Feb22 Jan31 Jan14 Dec27 Dec10 (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
6  SMILING THUNDER Mar05 Feb25 Feb11 Jan24 Jan04 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 ★    
7  RED VENUS Feb26 Feb07 Jan24 Jan04 Dec10 (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 29% 2.50    
8  CIDSTAYINURLAINE Feb16 Jan18 Nov30 Sep22 Sep01 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 8.00    
 
TUP-6   03/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPASSIONED CLAIM Feb18 Jan03       (barraza ra)VERGARA P 124 12.00 6% 14.80    
2  BUSTER BURNS Feb19 Feb01 Jan24 Dec17 Apr23 (williams om)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00    
3  SPORT COAT Sep12 Sep03 Aug15 Aug06 Jul23 (perkins fran)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00    
4  REFUSE TO TESTIFY Mar04         (oberholtzer)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 27% 2.80    
5  THIRSTY TIGER Feb18 Feb06       (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 124 5.00    
6  MIDNIGHT DADDY Feb18         (baze robert)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 15.00    
7  BET ON DAD Mar01 Feb06 Jan17 Dec26 Dec01 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 ★    
8  PRECEDENT Feb18 Jan30 Jan07 Dec26 Nov05 (gleason m)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
9  BLUE PARADISE (GB) Mar01 Feb13 Jan28 Jan10 Dec20 (asprino alfre)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A VIEW FROM ABOVE Feb27 Feb07 Jan11 Nov19 Sep17 (peery debbi)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 8% 11.20    
2  SARGENT KLINE Jul10 Jun18 May15 Mar17 Feb16 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 ★    
3  PHOENICIAN GHOST Feb27 Mar11 Jan28     (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 12.00    
SCR  WIND RIVER Feb22 Jan31 Jan12 Dec28 Dec08 (person kenneth )VERGARA P 122 4.00 ★    
5  PARTYOFSIXTEEN Feb22 Feb11 May02 Apr13 Mar24 (barraza sosa )ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 12.00    
6  ANNA'S IRON MAN Feb05 Jan03 Dec14 Nov01 Oct17 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00    
7  BESAME MUCHO Mar06 Feb11 Jan12 Dec20 Nov09 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 ★    
8  GRAZEN SUN Feb20 Feb03 Jan20 Dec11 Nov11 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00    
9  GOLD RUSH CANDY Mar06 Feb22 Feb07 Jan20 Sep03 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 68% 0.50    
 
TUP-8   03/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEART RIVER Feb16 May21 Apr20 Apr06 Mar21 (metz jeffrey)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 7% 12.40    
2  ELEMENTAL Feb07 Dec17 Nov19 Nov04 Sep07 (perkinson c)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
3  LEXOPHILIA Feb26 Feb16 Dec19 Nov12 Oct06 (gutierrez juan )LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 ★    
4  LUCKY STEPPER Feb21 Nov14 Sep19 Sep12 Aug15 (weaver gord)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 15.00    
5  TICK TOCK Mar01 Feb16 Jan24 Jan11 Dec27 (hernandez mig)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.50 13% 6.60    
6  SASSY CAT Feb26 Feb07 Dec14 Nov30 Sep29 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 122 8.00    
7  AND I KNOW Feb21 Feb14 Jan14 Jan03 Dec19 (me)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
8  AMERICAN ROYALTY Mar12 Feb27 Feb14 Jan31 Oct16 (van ho)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 15.00    
SCR  SHESAHEATWAVE Feb21 Feb09 Jan19 Dec26 Sep03 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 11% 7.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.