Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise
Sunday - March 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-6   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $20.40 $16.40 410%

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   03/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:212 :45 :571     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEMOCRAT 5 5 4 44   1½ 13 (pe)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50 40% 1.50 1.80 W
SAYERS 2 4 5 5   43 23 (silva pabl)LEON A 122 3.50 2.60  
BUMPY CUP 3 1 1nk 2nk   2½ 3 (potts ashle)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.00 12% 7.60 2.60 S
EZ GUESS 4 3 2nk 1nk   33 4 (guerrero orl)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 13.90  
FLYUNDERTHEGRAYDAR 1 2 3 3   5 510¾ (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 2.50 5% 18.50 2.40  
SCR  FABSTRACTION               (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
TUP-2   03/12/2023 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:114     1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN GRIT 4 1 11 1½   11 11 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 8.00  
LIMITED HEATWAVE 5 3 21 2½   21 21 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 1.00 P
AGADOR SPARTACUS 2 4 42 32   3 34 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 1.60 S
FIRST POINT 1 2 32 42   48 410½ (drysdale ne)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.50 63% 0.60 3.80  
WESTERBERG 3 5 5 55   59 511½ (alvarez sergi)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 2.50 13% 7.00 11.00  
SCR  MY SON CHRIS               (nelson amy)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
 
TUP-3   03/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:122 1:254   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANFORALLSEASONS 7 2 4 42 4 3 1¾ (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 8.00 4.10  
HANKY PRANKY 5 3 3 31 2nk 1nk 2¾ (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 11% 7.80 2.90 P
TAP THE BANK 3 1 11 11 1nk 2nk 3 (garcia valent)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 12% 7.10 7.00 S
UPTOWN RHAPSODY 1 6 8 8 5 5 42 (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 8.00 8.00  
SHADYFIED 8 7 21 21 3.2 42 5 (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00 9% 10.50 20.10  
THIRSTY KISS 6 4 5 5 6 66 6 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.50 20% 3.90 2.60  
ABRIERWIN 2 8 6 7 7 77 710½ (lavanwa)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 15.00 51.90  
SOLANDER 4 5 7 63 8 8 813¼ (leaney patr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 25% 3.00 3.20  
 
TUP-4   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:224 :463 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASSION OF JOE'S 6 1 22 2   1½ 1 (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 5.70  
THE RONALD 2 2 12 1   2½ 2 (buechler si)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 1.60 65% 0.50 0.60 P
SUGAR SHANE 1 6 4 3   36 311 (torres-casas al)LEON A 121 3.00 10% 8.80 3.70 S
MR BIG DEAL 7 5 6 511   511 414¼ (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 3.60  
CORK MASTER 4 4 3 47   4 519½ (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 121 10.00 42.40  
LIL KOWBOY 5 3 57 613   617 622¼ (dillenbeck )WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 12.00 61.80  
I'M MR. SHENANIGAN 3 7 710½ 722   726 730½ (o'brien)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 8.00 20.10  
 
TUP-5   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 F PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:224 :454 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ THE PROSPECT 4 3 1½ 12   1 1 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 121 2.50 57% 0.70 1.10 W
FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY 5 6 6 56   46 2 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 3.50 1.60 P
PRINCESS JAYLEEN 8 5 5 22   2 35 (torres-casas al)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 6.30 S
THE COMRIE RULE 6 2 3 33   3 48 (silva rodri)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 6.00 28.70  
TAKIN SHOTS 2 7 7 710   710 510½ (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 121 10.00 8.70  
MISS CONTINENTAL 7 1 4 66   57 611 (dennison )VALENZUELA A 121 5.00 17% 4.90 17.40  
BABY JOY 3 4 2½ 4   6 714¼ (ortiz manue)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 10.00 15.40  
PARK IN THE DARK 1 8 8 812½   817 822 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 8.00 28.90  
 
TUP-6   03/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 F PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:214 :452       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EDDIE'S ON PATROL 1 3 5 56   3 1¼ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 5.00 24% 3.10 9.20 W
STARDUST DREAMS 3 8 7 6   4 2¼ (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 121 10.00 11.30  
ABOVE THE STARS 4 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 3½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.50 6.00 S
BLESSED ANGEL 9 7 3½ 2nk   1nk 4 (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 8.00 5.70  
BEAUTIFUL MESS 2 6 8 8   8 5 (vanwinkle)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 55% 0.80 4.50  
HERSABIGGIRL 8 5 6 7   7 64 (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 1.70  
GRACIE'S A TIGER 6 4 4 4   6 7 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 7.00  
MISCHIEF MAME 7 2 2½ 3   5 8 (mcfarlane l)LEON A 121 10.00 12.00  
WHEREDIDITGO 5 9 9 913¼   912¼ 914½ (torres-casa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 15.00 18.10  
 
TUP-7   03/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:29
See original race card.
:253 :493 1:122 1:252   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHCUT 6 1 12 1½ 1nk 11 1 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.50 5.60  
CITY AT NIGHT 1 3 3 42 3 21 2 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 2.50 35% 1.80 2.00 P
GIANT PAYDAY 5 4 44 32 4 42 3 (eidschun gregory)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 3.60 S
CONVENTION (IRE) 3 5 5 6 5 6 42 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 3.10  
THE GREEN CRUSADER 2 2 22 2½ 2nk 3 5 (troiani nic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 41% 1.40 3.40  
PLAYOFF BOUND 4 6 6 5 6 52 6 (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 8.60  
 
TUP-8   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:59
See original race card.
:23 :462       1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN ROYALTY 1 7 8 6   4 1hd (van debbi)CORBETT W 124 15.00 42.70  
SEVEN POINTS 8 4 5 32   2½ 2hd (peacock shane)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 23% 3.30 9.80 P
MY EXPRESSION 7 1 1 1   1½ 3 (fulmer drew)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 20.00 93.20  
CHICKS DIG MUNNY 4 9 7 7   74 4 (gale bryce)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00 47.80  
BEAU ROCKS 5 5 4 53   3½ 54 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 35% 1.90 30.80  
PIPER ROSE 3 8 9 99   8 6 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 8.00  
EARLYNTHEMORN 6 3 6 87   96 7 (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00 54.70  
10  FULL OF GRACE 9 2 2 2   5 8 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 0.05  
RAGING LADY 2 6 3 4   63 9 (torres-casas al)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 45.80  
SCR  FUN PADDY               (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 10.00 15% 5.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.