Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Sunday - March 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(2/4)-(4/6/3/5/8) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TUP-2   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/5/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/5/6/3)-(2/4/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4)-(4/6/3/5/8) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(4/6/3/5/8)-(2/1) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
TUP-3   WIN (4/6/3/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/5/8)-(4/6/3/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/5/8)-(4/6/3/5/8)-(4/6/3/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/3/5/8)-(2/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/5/8)-(2/1)-(4/7) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/3/7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/3/7/6)-(2/1/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1)-(4/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(4/7)-(2/1) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
TUP-5   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/8/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/7/8/5/6)-(4/7/8/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7)-(2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(2/1)-(2/1) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/8/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/8/4/6)-(2/1/8/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1)-(2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(2/1)-(6/9) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
TUP-7   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/5/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/5/4/3)-(2/1/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1)-(6/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
TUP-8   WIN (6/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/9)-(6/9/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/9)-(6/9/3/4)-(6/9/3/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   03/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLYUNDERTHEGRAYDAR Mar01 Feb21 Feb14 Jan28 Dec13 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 2.50 5% 18.50    
2  SAYERS Mar01 Feb21 Feb04 Dec18 Dec09 (silva pabl)LEON A 122 3.50    
SCR  FABSTRACTION Feb14 Feb04 Jan19 Jan02 Nov19 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
4  BUMPY CUP Feb21 Feb02 Jan19 Jan05 Dec17 (potts ashle)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.00 12% 7.60    
5  EZ GUESS Feb21 Aug26 Aug03 Jun25 May27 (guerrero orl)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 ★    
6  DEMOCRAT Feb14 Jan24 Jan02 Dec15 Sep10 (pe)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50 40% 1.50    
 
TUP-2   03/12/2023 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY SON CHRIS Feb12 Dec17 Nov27 Oct30 Oct08 (nelson amy)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
2  FIRST POINT Feb14 Jan23 Nov26 Nov11 Oct08 (drysdale ne)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.50 63% 0.60    
3  AGADOR SPARTACUS Feb20 Jan30 Jan20 Dec31 Dec16 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 ★    
4  WESTERBERG Feb14 Jan31 Dec20 Dec08 Nov25 (alvarez sergi)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 2.50 13% 7.00    
5  AMERICAN GRIT Mar01 Dec31       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 ★    
6  LIMITED HEATWAVE Feb20 Feb06 Jun05 May08 Apr08 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 ★    
 
TUP-3   03/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPTOWN RHAPSODY Feb19 Feb02 Jan10 Dec10 Nov16 (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 8.00    
2  ABRIERWIN Feb21 Jan23 Dec27 Dec14 Oct22 (lavanwa)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 15.00    
3  TAP THE BANK Feb19 Jan24 Jan10 Dec17 Nov16 (garcia valent)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 12% 7.10    
4  SOLANDER Feb28 Jan24 Dec27 Dec13 Oct02 (leaney patr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
5  HANKY PRANKY Feb01 Jan24 Dec20 Dec08 Oct16 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 11% 7.80    
6  THIRSTY KISS Feb21 Feb01 Jan23 Dec27 Dec08 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.50 20% 3.90    
7  MANFORALLSEASONS Feb01 Jan24 Dec17 Nov30 Sep18 (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 8.00    
8  SHADYFIED Sep12 Aug15 Jul23 Jun25 May07 (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00 9% 10.50    
 
TUP-4   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGAR SHANE Feb28 Feb16 Jan18 Nov27   (torres-casas al)LEON A 121 3.00 10% 8.80    
2  THE RONALD Feb20 Jan05 Nov07     (buechler si)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 1.60 65% 0.50    
3  I'M MR. SHENANIGAN         (o'brien dann)BEVERLY JR 121 8.00 ★    
4  CORK MASTER Feb20 Jan29 Jan02 Dec11 Nov11 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 121 10.00    
5  LIL KOWBOY Feb20 Feb10       (dillenbeck )WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 12.00    
6  PASSION OF JOE'S Jan29 Jan20 Nov20 Oct29 Sep25 (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 ★    
7  MR BIG DEAL Feb10 Nov27       (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARK IN THE DARK         (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 8.00    
2  TAKIN SHOTS         (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 121 10.00    
3  BABY JOY Jan23 Dec20       (ortiz manue)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
4  TIZ THE PROSPECT Jan23 Dec20       (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 121 2.50 57% 0.70    
5  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Feb03 Jan13 Dec02 Oct21 Sep09 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 3.50 ★    
6  THE COMRIE RULE Dec26 Nov30 Sep25 Sep05 Aug12 (silva rodri)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 6.00 ★    
7  MISS CONTINENTAL Feb20 Feb04 Jan03 Dec05 Nov11 (dennison )VALENZUELA A 121 5.00 17% 4.90    
8  PRINCESS JAYLEEN Feb20 Jan28 Jan17 Jan07 Dec20 (torres-casas al)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   03/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDDIE'S ON PATROL Feb13 Jan23 Jan03 Dec15 Nov25 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 5.00 24% 3.10    
2  BEAUTIFUL MESS Jan23 Jan03 Dec08     (vanwinkle)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 55% 0.80    
3  STARDUST DREAMS         (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 121 10.00    
4  ABOVE THE STARS Jan16 Dec26       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.50 ★    
5  WHEREDIDITGO Jan21         (torres-casa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 15.00    
6  GRACIE'S A TIGER Jan10 Dec10 Nov12 Oct04 Sep13 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 ★    
7  MISCHIEF MAME         (mcfarlane l)LEON A 121 10.00    
8  HERSABIGGIRL Feb13 Aug20       (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 ★    
9  BLESSED ANGEL Sep07 Jul16       (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 8.00    
 
TUP-7   03/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY AT NIGHT Feb11 Jan25 Apr04 Feb27 Jan30 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
2  THE GREEN CRUSADER Feb02 Jan09 Dec17 Nov19 Aug24 (troiani nic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
3  CONVENTION (IRE) Feb27 Jan23 Jan03 Nov26 Oct04 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 ★    
4  PLAYOFF BOUND Feb26 Aug03 Jul15 Jun23 May16 (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 ★    
5  GIANT PAYDAY Feb08 Jan09 Dec27 Dec01 Nov21 (eidschun gregory)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 ★    
6  NORTHCUT Feb20 Feb11 Jan25 Dec27 Dec01 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.50    
 
TUP-8   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN ROYALTY Feb27 Feb14 Jan31 Oct16 Oct09 (van debbi)CORBETT W 124 15.00    
SCR  FUN PADDY Feb14 Jan03 Nov19 Oct07 Sep09 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 10.00 15% 5.50    
3  RAGING LADY Feb27 Feb09 Feb01 Jan11 Jan02 (torres-casas al)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 ★    
4  PIPER ROSE Feb14 Feb06 Jan14 Dec19 Nov04 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 ★    
5  CHICKS DIG MUNNY Feb27 Feb09 Jan23 Dec21 Mar30 (gale bryce)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00    
6  BEAU ROCKS Feb15 Jan23 Nov14 Oct15 Oct10 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 35% 1.90    
7  EARLYNTHEMORN Feb21 Feb14 Jan30 Jan04 Aug01 (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00    
8  MY EXPRESSION Feb19 Jan23 Dec26 Nov28 Nov05 (fulmer drew)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 20.00    
9  SEVEN POINTS Feb25 Feb14 Jan14 Dec17 Nov30 (peacock shane)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
10  FULL OF GRACE Feb15 Jan06 Dec17 Nov24 Sep23 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.