Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - March 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (5/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
TUP-3   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $16.80  
TUP-4   Win (2/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
TUP-5   Win (4/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $31.00  
TUP-6   Win (2/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 0.80
TUP-7   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $6.40  
TUP-8   Win (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 4.00

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   03/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 F PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:224 :453 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED MOON 4 6 2½ 2nk   14 1 (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 40% 1.50 1.40 W
RAINBOW STEW 5 1 1½ 1nk   24 2 (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 1.50  
LUTE'S DIAMOND 6 3 31 3   36 3 (person a)VERGARA P 121 10.00 8.20 S
STAR FINALITY 1 4 55 5   5 412 (leaney patricia)CORBETT W 121 5.00 9% 9.60 4.70  
GARBET 3 5 66 6   6 512¼ (vitali j)VALDES ALEXIS 121 3.50 20% 4.00 7.70  
SKEDADDLE'S LEGACY 2 2 4 4   46 613¼ (martinez este)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 6.00 8% 10.80 14.60  
SCR  GLIMPSE OF GOLD               (toye joe)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00    
 
TUP-3   03/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:221 :452       1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SQUARE FOOTAGE 3 2 3 3   22 11 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 7.40  
LOW DOSE 4 1 1 12   12 21 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 4.50 5.30 P
WARREN'S MEMORABLE 5 6 43 44   5 3 (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 7% 12.90 1.40 S
QUEENS RANSOM 1 5 2 22   3 4 (johnston kimb)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 5.20  
YOUONLYLIVETWICE 2 4 6 6   4 5 (silva-martinez )VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 66% 0.50 5.80  
SHOUT IT OUT 6 3 5 54   6 6 (bainum kelly)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 2.80  
SCR  CURIOUS INJI               (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50    
 
TUP-4   03/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 ALL PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:214 :44 :561     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATAR 4 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 12 (owens kory)VERGARA P 121 2.00 19% 4.30 1.10 W
ANOTHERFORBROOKS 5 5 5 45   32 22 (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00 20.60  
JUSTIN AZTECA 6 1 3½ 2nk   2nk 3 (story chad)CORBETT W 121 3.00 16% 5.30 2.60 S
IT'S TURBO 1 6 6 5   43 4 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00 10.10  
RESPECT THE UNION 3 4 2nk 3   5 5 (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 4.00 18% 4.60 9.40  
YANKEE HUMOR 2 3 4¾ 6   612 618 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50 25% 3.00 2.40  
 
TUP-5   03/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:213 :433 1:092     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL MAESTRO 7 3 3 33   3 1½ (buffalo marvi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00 14.50  
OLDER BROTHER 4 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 2½ (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 26% 2.80 2.00 P
YOU SPLIT TENS 3 5 4 4   4 3¾ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 10% 9.00 8.10 S
GOLD CRUSHER 5 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 4¾ (ortiz l)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 8.00 2.10  
XTREME MAYHEM 6 4 55 5   5 51 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 26% 2.80 5.10  
SILVERBULLITBADGER 1 6 6 6   6 6 (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00 23.70  
GRAVES MILL ROAD 2 7 78 7   7 75 (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 122 3.50 15% 5.50 3.10  
 
TUP-6   03/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:214 :444 1:093     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTPHAL 2 7 77 6   5 1 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 33% 2.00 3.40 W
SMILING GOODBYE 7 4 42 5   2 2 (peery debbie)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 3.00 20% 4.10 1.80 P
RONAMO 4 6 64 4   4 3 (barraza s)CORBETT W 122 4.50 13% 6.60 2.50 S
MACCHIATO D'ORO 5 2 1½ 13   1 4 (campo stacy)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 19.90  
BRUIN MAGIC 1 3 2½ 23   33 5 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 5.40  
PURE ROCKET 3 5 5 7   7 6 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 5.40  
INGENIERO 6 1 31 33   6 714 (dominguez ange)BEVERLY JR 122 12.00 12% 7.70 23.20  
 
TUP-7   03/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:24 :463 1:102 1:232   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIPLOMATICA 4 2 1 12 12 13 14 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 124 4.00 2.20  
ALICESHOUSEOFHEART 7 7 710¼ 7 6 56 24 (essex charles)LEON A 122 10.00 19.30  
PRANCE 2 6 6 6 76 4 3 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 6.00 4.10 S
INDY'S STAR 6 4 5 5 43 34 4 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 17% 4.90 2.60  
CINNTE WINNTE (IRE) 5 5 44 4 22 23 5 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 38% 1.60 3.60  
V BUCKS 1 1 2 22 3 6 68 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 122 3.50 5.30  
LILA'S LUCKY LADY 3 3 3 32 5 7 710¼ (asprino alfred)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00 12% 7.10 15.30  
 
TUP-8   03/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:47
See original race card.
:222 :45 :58     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN THE VAULT 2 5 5 31   3.2 1 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00 5% 19.00 4.00 W
WILD ARCH 3 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 2 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.00 43% 1.30 0.50 DQ↓6
BOISTEROUSLY IRISH 8 4 3½ 1nk   2nk 3 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00 5.80 P
GOLDEN HALO 7 6 7 53   5 4 (brinkerhoff v)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 32% 2.20 6.00 S
NO PEOPLE 1 7 6 64   4 55 (ferguson chad)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 17.10  
MANDONA 5 3 42 4   6 6 (barraza s)VERGARA P 124 6.00 16.30  
PARTY DRESS 6 1 1½ 7   7 711 (nelson amy)HARVEY B 122 15.00 61.90  
REALREALGOOD 4 8 812¼ 812½   810¾ 812½ (perkins france)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00 67.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.