Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - March 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (5/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-3   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-4   Win (2/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-5   Win (4/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-6   Win (2/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-7   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-2   03/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 F PT- 4:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GLIMPSE OF GOLD Feb01 Jan10       (toye joe)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00    
STAR FINALITY Feb21 Jan25 Jan10 Dec20   (leaney patricia)MAWING A 121 5.00 9% 9.60    
SKEDADDLE'S LEGACY         (martinez este)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 6.00 8% 10.80    
GARBET         (vitali j)VALDES ALEXIS 121 3.50 20% 4.00    
RED MOON         (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
RAINBOW STEW Feb21         (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00    
LUTE'S DIAMOND Jan25 Dec20 Nov29 Jul10 Jun25 (person a)VERGARA P 121 10.00    
 
TUP-3   03/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENS RANSOM Feb25 Feb11 Jan26 Jan11 Dec26 (johnston kimb)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
YOUONLYLIVETWICE Mar05 Feb11 Jan17 Jan04 Nov29 (silva-martinez ale)MAWING A 122 5.00 66% 0.50    
SQUARE FOOTAGE Feb25 Feb06 Jan09 Nov21 Nov12 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
LOW DOSE Feb19 Jan30 Jan14 Jan04 Dec21 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 4.50    
WARREN'S MEMORABLE Mar05 Feb25 Feb13 Jan24 Dec18 (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 7% 12.90    
SHOUT IT OUT Oct15 Sep25 Aug14 Jul02 Jun03 (bainum kelly)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50    
SCR  CURIOUS INJI Mar05 Feb16 Jan30 Jan14 Dec13 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50    
 
TUP-4   03/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 ALL PT- 5:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S TURBO Sep18 Aug07 Jul10 Jun24   (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 121 5.00    
YANKEE HUMOR Feb26         (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
RESPECT THE UNION Feb27 Jan31 Jan05 Sep18 Sep01 (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 4.00 18% 4.60    
KATAR Feb27 Feb13 Dec21 Dec01 Nov12 (owens kory)VERGARA P 121 2.00 19% 4.30    
ANOTHERFORBROOKS Feb14 Jan14 Dec27     (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00    
JUSTIN AZTECA Feb27 Jan28 Nov07 Apr13   (story chad)CORBETT W 121 3.00 16% 5.30    
 
TUP-5   03/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVERBULLITBADGER Feb28 Jan28 Sep14 Aug20 Jul30 (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00    
GRAVES MILL ROAD Feb15 Feb02 Jan19 Dec13 Nov28 (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
YOU SPLIT TENS Feb15 Jan30 Jan19 Dec21 Nov29 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 10% 9.00    
OLDER BROTHER Mar04 Feb19 Feb09 Jan26 Dec26 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
GOLD CRUSHER Jan26 Dec13 Nov14 Sep17 Mar19 (ortiz l)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 8.00    
XTREME MAYHEM Feb25 Jan19 Jan03 Nov29 Nov14 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
EL MAESTRO Feb15 Jan18 Dec20 Nov21 Nov05 (buffalo marvin)MAWING A 122 10.00    
 
TUP-6   03/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRUIN MAGIC Feb19 Jan24 Jan02 Aug15 Aug06 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
WESTPHAL Feb25 Jan07 Nov28 Nov19 Nov04 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
PURE ROCKET Feb22 Jan31 Jan09 Dec13 Nov19 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
RONAMO Feb28 Jan28 Jan10 Nov29 Nov04 (barraza s)MAWING A 122 4.50 13% 6.60    
MACCHIATO D'ORO Feb08 Dec20 Sep19 Sep05 May03 (campo stacy)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
INGENIERO Jan03         (dominguez ange)BEVERLY JR 122 12.00 12% 7.70    
SMILING GOODBYE Feb28 Jan07 Dec14 Aug14 Jul24 (peery debbie)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
 
TUP-7   03/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
V BUCKS Feb16 Jan12 Dec27 Nov21 Nov05 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 122 3.50    
PRANCE Feb26 Jan18 Dec26 Dec13 Nov12 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
LILA'S LUCKY LADY Mar04 Feb21 Feb07 Jan24 Jan14 (asprino alfred)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00 12% 7.10    
DIPLOMATICA Feb21 Feb01 Jan14 Dec26 Dec01 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 124 4.00    
CINNTE WINNTE (IRE) Feb16 Feb01 Nov14 Aug28 Aug06 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
INDY'S STAR Feb08 Jan04 Dec19 Nov07 Aug27 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 17% 4.90    
ALICESHOUSEOFHEART Feb06 Jan07 Dec20 Nov15 Sep17 (essex charles)LEON A 122 10.00    
 
TUP-8   03/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO PEOPLE Feb21 Feb07 Jan24 Jan04 Dec15 (ferguson chad)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
IN THE VAULT Feb07 Jan11 Aug19 Aug06 May29 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
WILD ARCH Feb28 Feb16 Feb07 Jan25 Jan04 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
REALREALGOOD Feb01 Jan04 Sep12 Aug29 Aug12 (perkins france)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00    
MANDONA Feb15 Jan17 Jan02 Dec15 Nov22 (barraza s)VERGARA P 124 6.00    
PARTY DRESS Feb25         (nelson amy)HARVEY B 122 15.00    
GOLDEN HALO Feb27 Feb04 Jan23 Dec09 Nov11 (brinkerhoff v)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 32% 2.20    
BOISTEROUSLY IRISH Feb20 Jan26 Jan07 Dec20 Nov08 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.