Handicappers' Race Results
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Rillito
Saturday - March 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
RIL-3   Win (6/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $4.00  
RIL-4   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
RIL-5   Win (1/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
RIL-6   Win (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
RIL-7   Win (1/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $2.20  
RIL-8   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40
Simulator Race results
 
RIL-3   03/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
1:071         1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HULA KING 3 1 2½ 1nk   11 14¼ (metz jeffre)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 3.00 ★ 1.00  
7  LIL LATIGO 7 3 31½ 2nk   21 24¼ (lavanway dayso)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 5.00 5% 19.00 7.60 P
8  TRACK BOUND 8 5 53½ 4¼   43½ 36¼ (alvarez sergio)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 4.50 14% 6.30 1.80 S
4  BIGGER THAN YOU 4 4 1½ 3.2   31 47 (monteverde alva)BAZAN ANTONIO 121 20.00 21.80  
6  AMITY HARBOR 6 2 41½ 54¼   55 57 (tate mary)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 2.50 47% 1.10 9.00  
2  OUTLAW BY NATURE 2 6 77 810¼   67 69¾ (crotts e)OSUNA JESUS 126 15.00 20.60  
1  MIDNIGHT DRAMA 1 8 66 67¼   79 713¼ (lavanway da)JENSEN P 126 10.00 20.40  
5  HAMMERING LEMON 5 7 88½ 79¼   89¼ 813¼ (megariz eddie)CARBAJAL KEVIN 126 8.00 8% 12.10 14.60  
 
RIL-4   03/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:462         :462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OUR EMPIRE 5 2 1nk     12 12¾ (rosales jorge)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 1.80 35% 1.80 0.60 W
3  EDINBURGH EXPRESS 3 4 2nk     22 22¾ (lucas j)HARVEY B 126 3.00 ★ 5.30 P
1  DARKSABER 1 3 31½     34½ 35 (gilmour jim)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.50 38% 1.60 2.10 S
4  SHELBY R. 4 1 42½     47 47½ (metz jeffre)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 5.00 ★ 13.40  
6  NIGHTHAWK SPECIAL 6 5 58½     512 512 (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 121 8.00 18.20  
2  BECOME AN INSIDER 2 6 69     612½ 614 (salazar michel)SALAZAR TERESA 121 10.00 ★ 36.30  
 
RIL-5   03/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
1:06         1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAINO HOUSE 1 5 1nk 13   15 15¾ (alvarez sergio)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.00 52% 0.90 1.20 W
3  TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY 3 2 32 33½   25 25¾ (alcoverde ernesto)GAMEZ M 126 8.00 8% 12.20 3.40 P
2  SHARK HARBOR 2 1 2nk 23   36 38½ (magrady ronald)OSUNA JESUS 126 12.00 8% 11.50 12.90 S
6  LOST THE MINISTER 6 6 65½ 47   48½ 49 (crotts e)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.00 2.00  
5  SWITCH BACK 5 4 55 68½   613½ 517¼ (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 126 2.50 11% 8.50 7.90  
4  RED HOT CAT 4 3 43 57½   512½ 618½ (hernandez dann)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 6.00 ★ 11.60  
 
RIL-6   03/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:453         1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MIKE OPERATOR 4 3 1½ 1½ 11½ 11 11¾ (nelson amy)HARVEY B 126 4.00 50% 1.00 0.70 W
2  CHEF 2 4 43½ 47 21½ 21 21¾ (tate mary)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.00 13% 6.50 6.30 P
5  STRAUS'S PLACE 5 6 78 710½ 613½ 59 39½ (salas eliaz)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 10.00 27.50  
6  BIG CITY BANE 6 7 67 57½ 45½ 37 413 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 3.50 ★ 5.50  
7  COURAGEOUS 7 1 2½ 2½ 33 48 516 (hop mike)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.50 12% 7.60 3.90  
1  BACK TO BUSINESS 1 2 32 33 57½ 614 626¾ (rosales jorge)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 8.00 8.70  
3  BULLY RIDE 3 5 54 69½ 716 719 736 (ortega monica)GAMEZ M 126 15.00 ★ 17.60  
 
RIL-7   03/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
1:051         1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MINISTERSDON'TLIE 2 1 11 12½   17 111¼ (lewis i)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 1.20 0.10  
1  SAN GIORGIO 1 3 54 44   27 211¼ (warren kayla)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 4.50 49% 1.00 10.50 P
6  OMACHE KID 5 4 32 22½   37½ 313 (wheeler tra)JENSEN P 126 8.00 5% 18.90 17.40 S
4  TIGER BY HIS TAIL 3 5 43 55   49 415¼ (alcoverde ernesto)GAMEZ M 126 3.50 15% 5.80 4.80  
5  TIZ A SPEED BOMB 4 2 21 33   59 524¼ (kern david)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 10.00 ★ 11.00  
SCR  GUARDING ELK CAMP               (leon alexis)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 12.00    
SCR  KICK IT               (lavanway dayson)ELLIS DEVON 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
RIL-8   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
See original race card.
1:15         1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HAYNESPUN 4 1 42 21   2nk 11 (warren kayl)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 3.00 7% 12.40 3.70 W
1  PRINCESS SUGEITH 1 3 1½ 11   1nk 21 (salazar michel)SALAZAR TERESA 121 8.00 ★ 16.90 P
6  KIND BUT SHE LIES 5 2 52½ 31   31 34¾ (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 1.00 40% 1.50 0.30 S
3  LILY PAD LAKE 3 4 32 42   42 417¼ (gilmour jim)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 30% 2.30 5.80  
2  ARCTIC FIRE 2 5 2½ 54½   58 537¾ (gilmour jim)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 15.00 9.40  
SCR  PREDETERMINATION               (ybarra rudy)OSUNA JESUS 126 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.