Handicappers' Racing Form
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Rillito
Saturday - March 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
RIL-3   Win (6/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
RIL-4   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
RIL-5   Win (1/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
RIL-6   Win (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
RIL-7   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
RIL-8   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
RIL-3   03/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT DRAMA Mar01 Feb12 Oct01 Sep11 Jul11 (lavanway da)JENSEN P 126 10.00    
2  OUTLAW BY NATURE Feb19 Dec10 Nov19 Sep12 Aug13 (crotts e)OSUNA JESUS 126 15.00    
3  HULA KING Mar05 Feb19 Feb05 Jan16 Dec30 (metz jeffre)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 3.00 ★    
4  BIGGER THAN YOU Feb25 Feb05 Dec17 Nov14 Aug08 (monteverde alva)BAZAN ANTONIO 121 20.00    
5  HAMMERING LEMON Feb12 Jan10 Dec10 Nov30 Jun27 (megariz eddie)CARBAJAL KEVIN 126 8.00 8% 12.10    
6  AMITY HARBOR Feb12 Oct14 Aug26 Aug19 Jul15 (tate mary)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  LIL LATIGO Mar01 Feb18 Feb05 Jan24 Jan10 (lavanway dayso)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
8  TRACK BOUND Mar04 Feb14 Jan28 Dec13 Nov23 (alvarez sergio)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 4.50 14% 6.30    
 
RIL-4   03/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARKSABER Feb19 Feb05 Jan20 Jan02 Dec09 (gilmour jim)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.50 38% 1.60    
2  BECOME AN INSIDER Aug21 May14 Mar13 Feb27 Feb22 (salazar michel)SALAZAR TERESA 121 10.00 ★    
3  EDINBURGH EXPRESS Feb19 Feb04 Dec11 Aug25 Aug14 (lucas j)HARVEY B 126 3.00 ★    
4  SHELBY R. Feb26 Feb18 Feb04 Dec21 Nov28 (metz jeffre)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 5.00 ★    
5  OUR EMPIRE Mar05 Feb21 Feb02 Jan24 Jan04 (rosales jorge)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 1.80 35% 1.80    
6  NIGHTHAWK SPECIAL Mar04 Feb18 Feb05 Apr02 Mar20 (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 121 8.00    
 
RIL-5   03/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAINO HOUSE Mar01 Feb06 Jan14 Jan02 Dec27 (alvarez sergio)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.00 52% 0.90    
2  SHARK HARBOR Mar01 Feb07 Jan26     (magrady ronald)OSUNA JESUS 126 12.00 8% 11.50    
3  TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY Feb26 Feb19 Dec19 Nov28 Nov07 (alcoverde ernesto)GAMEZ M 126 8.00 8% 12.20    
4  RED HOT CAT Feb26 Feb18 Feb04 Jul18 Jul09 (hernandez dann)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 6.00 ★    
5  SWITCH BACK Feb18 Feb12 Apr24 Mar26 Mar20 (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 126 2.50 11% 8.50    
6  LOST THE MINISTER Feb26 Feb11 Jan14 Dec26 Dec13 (crotts e)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.00    
 
RIL-6   03/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACK TO BUSINESS Feb26 Feb14 Jan26 Jan04 Nov26 (rosales jorge)SERRANO KELVIN 121 8.00    
2  CHEF Feb22 Feb14 Jan25 Jan10 Dec10 (tate mary)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.00 13% 6.50    
3  BULLY RIDE Feb21 Feb05 Jan22 Dec14 Dec05 (ortega monica)GAMEZ M 126 15.00 ★    
4  MIKE OPERATOR Feb28 Feb06 Jan25 Jan05 Nov23 (nelson amy)HARVEY B 126 4.00 50% 1.00    
5  STRAUS'S PLACE Feb14 Feb04 Jan25 Jan14 Jan03 (salas eliaz)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 10.00    
6  BIG CITY BANE Feb11 Jan27 Jan07 Dec04 Nov12 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 3.50 ★    
7  COURAGEOUS Feb07 Jan12 Dec19 Dec08 Nov08 (hop mike)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.50 12% 7.60    
 
RIL-7   03/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAN GIORGIO Feb26 Sep10 Jul31 Jul17 Jun26 (warren kayla)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 4.50 49% 1.00    
2  MINISTERSDON'TLIE Feb19 Feb05 Nov05 Sep10 Aug22 (lewis i)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 1.20    
SCR  GUARDING ELK CAMP Feb19 Nov07 Oct11 Sep28 Aug24 (leon alexis)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 12.00    
4  TIGER BY HIS TAIL Feb25 Feb11 Feb04 Nov21 Nov07 (alcoverde ernesto)GAMEZ M 126 3.50 15% 5.80    
5  TIZ A SPEED BOMB Feb26 Feb18 Feb05 Mar26 Mar19 (kern david)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 10.00 ★    
6  OMACHE KID Feb26 Feb18 May15 May01 Apr11 (wheeler tra)JENSEN P 126 8.00 5% 18.90    
SCR  KICK IT Mar05 Feb05 Jan25 Jan12 Jan02 (lavanway dayson)ELLIS DEVON 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
RIL-8   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS SUGEITH Feb26 Feb11 Feb05 Sep28 Aug27 (salazar michel)SALAZAR TERESA 121 8.00 ★    
2  ARCTIC FIRE Feb26 Aug10       (gilmour jim)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 15.00    
3  LILY PAD LAKE Feb26 Feb20 Feb04 Jan16 Dec09 (gilmour jim)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 30% 2.30    
4  HAYNESPUN Feb26 Feb18 Jan24 Jan09   (warren kayl)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 3.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  PREDETERMINATION Feb25 Feb11 Jan24 Jan12 Dec22 (ybarra rudy)OSUNA JESUS 126 10.00 ★    
6  KIND BUT SHE LIES Feb26 Feb11 Jan14 Dec26 Dec10 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 1.00 40% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.