Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - March 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 0.60
TUP-3   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TUP-4   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $15.40  
TUP-5   Win (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
TUP-6   Win (7/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
TUP-7   Win (5/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 0.60
TUP-8   Win (8/6/4/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $33.20  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   03/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:223 :474 1:123 1:263   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SWEET LORD 3 5 6 4 4 2½ 1 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 121 1.20 68% 0.50 1.30 W
PANZER PRIDE 2 2 3 3.2 13 1½ 2 (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00 8.90 P
JOHN'S KID 4 3 5 5 23 3 3 (rollins scott)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 1.90 S
SIX SHOTS OF T 6 6 44 62 3 46 414¼ (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 2.50 10% 8.70 2.10  
WHEREDIDITGO 5 4 2nk 1nk 56 5 518¼ (torres-casas )WILLIAMS AJHARI 116 12.00 19.70  
ENDALE ARCH 1 1 1nk 2nk 611 620½ 637½ (lavanway )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 15.00 37.80  
 
TUP-3   03/20/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:234 1:141       1:33   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEWEL OF DENIAL 1 5 512 4   2½ 1 (perkinson cc)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.00 22% 3.50 1.20 W
SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL 4 3 3 3   1½ 2 (moreno carl)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 15% 5.70 1.80 P
RATTLEME 2 1 24 2   31 36 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 5.00  
MUNNINGS TALE 5 4 49 512½   54 4 (essex charles)VERGARA P 124 3.00 30% 2.30 3.50  
DRAMADORA 3 2 14 1   4 513¾ (barrio sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00 10.40  
SCR  GOLD COAST GIRL               (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.50    
 
TUP-4   03/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:213 :433 1:084     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP THE BRAKES 4 3 37 2   11 1 (gleason m)CORBETT W 122 5.00 6.70  
WEARENOTBADPEOPLE 6 2 4 36   21 2 (valerio raymond)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 6.20 P
ABRAAJ MIRAGE 3 6 27 46   4 3 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.00 19% 4.40 1.60 S
ANDY BOBBY 5 4 616 614   6 4 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 6.60  
BECKHAM JAMES 1 5 59 510½   56 5 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 3.50 49% 1.00 6.60  
EYE CANDY RANDY 2 1 17 1   31 613¼ (rosales jor)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 5% 17.30 1.80  
SCR  BARBARIAN               (fulmer d)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 6.00    
 
TUP-5   03/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:222 :452 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASK THE KING 5 1 1nk 2nk   1½ 1 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 17% 4.80 1.90 W
THE COMRIE RULE 6 2 53 5   4 2 (silva rodrigu)CONNING CRYSTAL 118 6.00 8.90 P
MY MOONDANCER 7 5 2nk 1nk   2½ 3 (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 28% 2.60 2.10 S
DREAMINGOFBLING 2 4 31 3   32 4 (lawrence heath)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 8.10  
MAMALONA 4 3 4 4   55 5 (soto antonio)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.50 7.20  
O SHUGAH MINT 3 7 7 7   6 610¼ (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.50 19% 4.30 3.10  
WAYWARD STORM 1 6 6 6   710 713¾ (perkins f)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 10.00 11% 8.30 28.40  
 
TUP-6   03/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:48
See original race card.
:214 :443 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J T'S A. T. M. 6 1 1nk 1nk   12 1 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 40% 1.50 0.30 W
CANNONBALL COMIN 2 7 6 5   33 2 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 14% 6.30 3.10 P
SPENDAHOLIC 1 4 32 33   4 3 (silva jr)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 5.00 9% 9.90 10.40 S
MIAMI CROCKETT 5 2 7 7   56 4 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 20.00  
JAZZ TOWN 4 6 5 6   67 510 (finch sherry)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00 41.20  
DURANGO JESS 3 3 2nk 2nk   22 611 (wolf ashlee)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00 10.30  
DUSALUT 7 5 4 44   7 712½ (garcia valentin )ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00 26.30  
SCR  SHORT RIB               (ferguson curt)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 8% 11.00    
 
TUP-7   03/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($25.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:16
See original race card.
:214 :434 1:083     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEPARTURE 4 4 4 4¾   1½ 1½ (krasner cindy)VERGARA P 122 4.50 36% 1.80 3.30 W
CENTRAL PARK 3 1 32 3½   2½ 2½ (bonn randy)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 20% 4.10 3.40 P
CONVENTION (IRE) 6 5 6 5   45 3 (silva jr)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 9.80  
COASTAL KID 1 2 2nk 1nk   32 45 (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 124 3.00 19% 4.40 0.80  
THE BLACK STRAT 2 3 1nk 2nk   55 5 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 7.00  
HIJO GALANTE 5 6 56 6   6 614¼ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00 20.70  
SCR  GRAY MAGICIAN               (silva jr)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN MEMORY               (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00    
 
TUP-8   03/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:44
See original race card.
:47 1:112 1:244   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) 5 7 7 7 5 4 1¾ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 15.60  
CATS TOUCH 6 4 4 3 33 3 2¾ (oberholtzer k)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 22% 3.60 10.40 P
COASTAL WATERS 9 8 911 911 8 54 3 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 5% 19.00 12.70 S
DEVOTED TO YOU 1 2 22 22 1nk 1nk 4 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 10.00 11.90  
BOB'S ALL IN 8 9 810 8 9 6 5 (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 4.50 23% 3.40 9.20  
BODEMONSTER 3 6 6 6 7 7 63 (hedg)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00 26.40  
NEWPARK (IRE) 2 1 12 12 2nk 2nk 7 (kitchingman adam)VERGARA P 122 3.00 0.70  
JOKER MATT 7 5 55 5 6 9 8 (silva jr)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 11% 7.80 14.40  
STEAL HOME 4 3 3 45 4 8 9 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 16% 5.30 4.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.