Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - March 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/4/2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/4/2/5)-(3/6/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(6/1/4)-(1/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-3   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/3)-(6/1/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(1/4/3)-(7/3/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/6/7)-(1/4/3/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(7/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(7/3/5/1)-(7/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-5   WIN (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1/6)-(7/3/5/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/1)-(5/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-6   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1)-(5/4/1)-(8/6/4/7/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TUP-7   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1/2)-(5/4/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(8/6/4/7/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TUP-8   WIN (8/6/4/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/7/9)-(8/6/4/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/7/9)-(8/6/4/7/9)-(8/6/4/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   03/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENDALE ARCH Feb28 Feb14       (lavanwa)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 15.00    
2  PANZER PRIDE Feb20 Dec10 Nov12 Sep19 Aug20 (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00 ★    
3  MY SWEET LORD Mar06 Feb14 Jan31 Dec20 Nov25 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 121 1.20 68% 0.50    
4  JOHN'S KID Mar07 Jan14 Dec20 Nov25 Sep19 (rollins sco)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 ★    
5  WHEREDIDITGO Mar12 Jan21       (torres-casa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 116 12.00 ★    
6  SIX SHOTS OF T Feb28 Feb16 Jan05 Dec08 Oct10 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 2.50 10% 8.70    
 
TUP-3   03/20/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEWEL OF DENIAL Feb27 Feb06 Jan10 Dec20 Nov16 (perkinson c)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
2  RATTLEME Mar01 Feb15 Jan30 Dec14 Oct14 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
3  DRAMADORA Nov12 Aug17 Jun20 Jun12 Jun05 (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00 ★    
4  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Feb27 Jan28 Sep10 Jun06 May20 (moreno ca)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 15% 5.70    
SCR  GOLD COAST GIRL Feb28 Jan07 Sep10 Aug27 Aug14 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.50 ★    
6  MUNNINGS TALE Feb14 Jan31 Jan17 Dec14 Sep17 (essex charles)VERGARA P 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
TUP-4   03/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BECKHAM JAMES Feb18 Feb08 Jan24 Jul09 Jun18 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 3.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  BARBARIAN Feb15 Feb02 Jan11 Dec09 Nov20 (fulmer)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 6.00    
3  EYE CANDY RANDY Mar05 Feb13 Jan08 Oct28 Sep25 (rosales j)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 5% 17.30    
4  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Feb27 Feb07 Jan24 Dec19 Nov19 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.00 19% 4.40    
5  TAP THE BRAKES Dec10 Dec01 Nov18 Oct26 Oct02 (gleason m)CORBETT W 122 5.00    
6  ANDY BOBBY Feb18 Feb08 Jan10 Dec22 Nov30 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 ★    
7  WEARENOTBADPEOPLE Feb27 Feb19 Jan31 Jan19 Dec22 (valerio raymo)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   03/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAYWARD STORM         (perkins fran)BEVERLY JR 124 10.00 11% 8.30    
2  DREAMINGOFBLING Mar07 Feb27 Nov12 Sep17 Sep08 (lawrence heath)ZUNINO L 124 6.00    
3  O SHUGAH MINT Mar28 Mar09 Jan25 Jan06   (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
4  MAMALONA Feb16 Feb04 Jan25 Dec03 Nov13 (soto antoni)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.50    
5  ASK THE KING Mar07 Feb14 Jan09 Aug21   (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
6  THE COMRIE RULE Mar12 Dec26 Nov30 Sep25 Sep05 (silva rodri)CONNING CRYSTAL 118 6.00 ★    
7  MY MOONDANCER Mar11 Feb25 Jan14     (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
TUP-6   03/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPENDAHOLIC Mar08 Feb26 Feb18 Feb06 Jul04 (silva jose )CONNING CRYSTAL 124 5.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  SHORT RIB Mar04 Feb13 Jan23 Jan02 Dec19 (ferguson cu)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 8% 11.00    
3  CANNONBALL COMIN Mar08 Feb25 Feb04 Jan07 Dec20 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 14% 6.30    
4  DURANGO JESS Feb25 Feb06 Jan24 Nov11 Sep22 (wolf ashlee)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00 ★    
5  JAZZ TOWN Mar08 Jan05 Nov25 Nov05 Aug29 (finch sherry)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00    
6  MIAMI CROCKETT Feb09 Jan05 Nov21 Aug31 Aug17 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
7  J T'S A. T. M. Mar08 Feb25 Feb04 Jan26 Jan07 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
8  DUSALUT Feb25 Feb04 Dec20 Sep11 Aug28 (garcia valenti)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00    
 
TUP-7   03/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($25.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COASTAL KID Mar05 Feb11 Jan23 Jan10 Dec21 (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 124 3.00 19% 4.40    
2  THE BLACK STRAT Feb27 Feb07 Jan09 Nov28 Oct07 (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  GRAY MAGICIAN Mar11 Feb27 Feb08 Jan30 Dec20 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  CENTRAL PARK Sep17 Aug27 Jul27 Jun23 Jun04 (bonn rand)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
5  DEPARTURE Aug20 Jul29 Jul09 Jun04 May15 (krasner cindy)VERGARA P 122 4.50 36% 1.80    
6  HIJO GALANTE Feb19 Jan10 Dec20 Nov21 Nov04 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00    
7  CONVENTION (IRE) Mar12 Feb27 Jan23 Jan03 Nov26 (silva jose )MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN MEMORY Mar07 Feb11 Jan13 Mar11 Feb18 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00    
 
TUP-8   03/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVOTED TO YOU Dec11 Nov24 Nov18 Oct21 Sep15 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 10.00    
2  NEWPARK (IRE) Feb19 Aug06 May30 May08 Apr03 (kitchingman ada)VERGARA P 122 3.00    
3  BODEMONSTER Feb28 Jan23 Jan07 Dec20 Nov28 (he)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00    
4  STEAL HOME Mar11 Feb15 Jan26 Jan09 Dec13 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 16% 5.30    
5  MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) Mar01 Feb06 Jan09 Dec26 Nov28 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
6  CATS TOUCH Mar04 Feb13 Feb02 Jan23 Dec15 (oberholtzer)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
7  JOKER MATT Mar07 Feb16 Jan30 Jan07 Dec17 (silva jose )MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 11% 7.80    
8  BOB'S ALL IN Feb28 Feb16 Feb08 Jan09 Dec14 (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
9  COASTAL WATERS Feb28 Feb19 Jan30 Jan07 Dec17 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.