Handicappers' Race Results
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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - March 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-3   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $11.40  
TUP-4   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $4.40  
TUP-5   Win (4/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
TUP-6   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $3.60  
TUP-7   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
TUP-8   Win (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 4.60
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-3   03/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG AL'S PRINCESS 1 2 1nk 11   11 1¼ (hernandez migue)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.00 ★ 4.70  
5  SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI 5 1 65¾ 64¼   44 2¼ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.50 4.10  
4  SHOE GAME 4 4 51¾ 31   21 3¾ (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 32% 2.20 4.30 S
2  KEBA LUCKY DAY 2 6 41¾ 41¼   31½ 41¼ (bird)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 45% 1.20 1.60  
3  PALACE STAR 3 3 3.2 51¾   54½ 53¾ (perkins france)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 10.00 ★ 10.10  
6  STRADARI 6 5 2nk 21   64½ 66¾ (soto antonio)DEONAUTH P 122 5.00 ★ 3.20  
 
TUP-4   03/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:223 :441 1:08     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FURY KAP 1 4 21 1nk   12½ 13¾ (silva jo)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 4.00 ★ 1.20  
3  HIT THE SEAM 3 1 11 2nk   22½ 23¾ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 12% 7.50 17.10 P
2  DESCENT 2 6 63½ 57½   35½ 34 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 4.50 ★ 12.40 S
4  LINCHTOWN 4 5 52 34   46 46 (esquibel mark)LEON A 122 6.00 6.50  
6  TOIL AND TROUBLE 6 3 41½ 67¾   57 56 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 16% 5.10 4.60  
5  DIA DE PAGO 5 2 31½ 44½   68½ 69¼ (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 43% 1.30 1.60  
 
TUP-5   03/21/2023 4950ft DIRT RC2 GOOD Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:112 1:243   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BARON'S SONG 6 1 21 2½ 1nk 1nk 1¼ (zimmerman j)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 4.00 13% 6.80 4.10 DQ↓2
4  TRANSITORY 3 2 32½ 42 32½ 31½ 2¼ (freeman edwar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00 46% 1.20 1.90 W
7  MONGOLIAN APPLE 5 3 11 1½ 2nk 2nk 32¼ (vanwinkle david)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 6.70  
3  CAPIAT 2 6 56 53½ 44 42 42¾ (ortiz s)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 6.00 2.50  
2  WESTERBERG 1 4 67½ 64½ 68½ 57½ 57¾ (alvarez sergio)VALDES ALEXIS 121 3.50 ★ 4.30  
5  SMOKIN' GOOD TIME 4 5 43 31½ 56 69 610 (lucarelli fran)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 8.00 6.70  
SCR  ALCAZABA (IRE)               (bonn randy)VALENZUELA A 121 3.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  MISTER MAFIOSO               (baze robert)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-6   03/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:222 :452       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ELEGANT CRICKET 5 1 1nk 1½   14 1hd (silva pablo)LEON A 124 4.00 ★ 0.80  
3  RAGING LADY 2 3 33½ 34   24 2hd (torres-casas )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00 ★ 16.30 P
1  LE TUB 1 5 53¾ 57½   46 36 (toye joe)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 48% 1.10 4.60 S
7  WRIGHT WINGED 6 2 2nk 2½   34 46½ (gutierrez qui)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 5% 18.80 2.00  
4  MAYBEE A DIVA 3 4 43¾ 46½   57 57 (williams dewey)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00 16% 5.10 19.60  
5  MY EXPRESSION 4 6 66¼ 610   69 68½ (fulmer drew)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50 8.20  
SCR  FULL OF GRACE               (hernande)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 2.50    
 
TUP-7   03/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:221 :441 1:09     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FIRST CALL 3 1 3½ 1nk   11 12½ (owens kory)VERGARA P 122 3.50 40% 1.50 1.80 W
1  JAZZ HANDS 1 3 2nk 3.2   21 22½ (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 1.60 14% 6.00 0.60 P
7  JOCK TALK 5 5 517½ 517¼   511½ 38¾ (krasner cindy)CORBETT W 122 12.00 9.00  
3  LONELY PRIVATE 2 2 1nk 2nk   33½ 49 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 25% 3.00 4.70  
6  UNSTOPPABLE ME 4 4 43½ 47¼   410½ 515 (ortiz s)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 15.00 20.90  
SCR  ALLEVA               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  POPS AWESOME               (williams dewey)ZUNINO L 122 10.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   03/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:47
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:103 1:234   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PINTXOS 5 1 32 3½ 1nk 1nk 11 (van ta)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 27% 2.80 3.30 W
3  BLUE SKYE JADE 2 3 21 2½ 3.2 2nk 21 (williams)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 15.00 ★ 5.70 P
9  LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR 6 6 66 66 64¼ 52¼ 32¾ (matt l)CORBETT W 124 8.00 11.00  
5  THICK HAZE 3 4 53 53½ 41¼ 42¼ 44½ (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 124 6.00 ★ 1.40  
7  UNCLE JEFF 4 5 43 42½ 52¼ 62½ 55¼ (rosales jorge)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 4.00 ★ 5.90  
1  FAMOUS ROCK STAR 1 2 11 1½ 2nk 32 611 (hernandez miguel )LEON A 124 4.50 45% 1.20 3.00  
SCR  N. K. ROCKET MAN               (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00    
SCR  OUR DANDY'S BOY               (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 124 15.00    
SCR  PALACE PRINCE               (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.