Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - March 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-4   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-5   Win (4/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-6   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-7   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-3   03/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG AL'S PRINCESS Mar06 Feb21 Feb06 Jan24 Jan09 (hernandez migue)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.00    
KEBA LUCKY DAY Mar04 Feb16 Jan30 Jan04 Nov25 (bird)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
PALACE STAR Mar06 Feb18 Jan30 Jan11 Dec17 (perkins franc)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
SHOE GAME Mar06 Jan30 Jan11 Jan03 Dec21 (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 32% 2.20    
SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI Feb21 Jan30 Jan17 Jan02 Dec17 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.50    
STRADARI Mar06 Feb18 Feb01 Jan04 Dec14 (soto antonio)HARVEY B 122 5.00    
 
TUP-4   03/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FURY KAP Mar07 Jan15 Nov25 May21 Apr24 (silva jo)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 4.00    
DESCENT Feb08 Jan10 Dec14     (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 4.50    
HIT THE SEAM Jul04 Mar21 Feb17 Jan27 Jan13 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 12% 7.50    
LINCHTOWN Mar08 Feb25 Feb02 Jan12 Dec22 (esquibel mark)LEON A 122 6.00    
DIA DE PAGO Feb08 Jan07 Nov21 Oct31 Oct17 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
TOIL AND TROUBLE Feb27 Feb07 Jan24 Dec28 Sep02 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
 
TUP-5   03/21/2023 4950ft DIRT RC2 GOOD Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALCAZABA (IRE) Sep17 Aug21 Jul01 Jun09   (bonn randy)VALENZUELA A 121 3.00 11% 8.20    
WESTERBERG Mar12 Feb14 Jan31 Dec20 Dec08 (alvarez sergio)VALDES ALEXIS 121 3.50    
CAPIAT Mar06 Jan05       (ortiz s)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 6.00    
TRANSITORY Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Dec09   (freeman edwar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00 46% 1.20    
SMOKIN' GOOD TIME Jan31 Jan05 Dec08 Sep18   (lucarelli fran)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 8.00    
SCR  MISTER MAFIOSO Mar07 Feb26 Feb07 Jan18 Jan05 (baze robert)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
MONGOLIAN APPLE Feb26 Feb14 Jan18 Jan05   (vanwinkle david)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00    
BARON'S SONG Mar06 Feb20 Feb02 Jan14 Dec27 (zimmerman j)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 4.00 13% 6.80    
 
TUP-6   03/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LE TUB Feb19 Feb09 Jan19 Jan02 Dec17 (toye joe)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  FULL OF GRACE Mar12 Feb15 Jan06 Dec17 Nov24 (hernande)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 2.50    
RAGING LADY Mar12 Feb27 Feb09 Feb01 Jan11 (torres-casas )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00    
MAYBEE A DIVA Feb19 Feb09 Nov28 Sep04 Aug22 (williams dewey)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00 16% 5.10    
MY EXPRESSION Mar12 Feb19 Jan23 Dec26 Nov28 (fulmer drew)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50    
ELEGANT CRICKET Feb19 Feb09 Dec19 Nov21 Nov05 (silva pablo)LEON A 124 4.00    
WRIGHT WINGED Feb19 Feb09 Jan02 Dec17 Nov14 (gutierrez qui)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 5% 18.80    
 
TUP-7   03/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAZZ HANDS Mar11 Feb28 Feb18 Feb08 Jan28 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 1.60 14% 6.00    
SCR  POPS AWESOME Mar06 Feb02 Jan24 Dec28 Dec13 (williams dewey)ZUNINO L 122 10.00    
LONELY PRIVATE Feb27 Jan18 Jan03 Nov21 Nov07 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
FIRST CALL Feb25 May03 Apr01 Mar02 Feb10 (owens kory)VERGARA P 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  ALLEVA Feb27 Feb13 Jan26 Jan10 Dec19 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00    
UNSTOPPABLE ME Feb22 Feb08       (ortiz s)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 15.00    
JOCK TALK Jan24         (krasner cindy)CORBETT W 122 12.00    
 
TUP-8   03/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAMOUS ROCK STAR Feb25 Feb04 Jan23 Jan07 Dec26 (hernandez miguel )LEON A 124 4.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  N. K. ROCKET MAN Feb16 Jan14 Dec17 Nov15 May03 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00    
BLUE SKYE JADE Feb04 Jan19 Jan02 Dec22 Dec10 (williams)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 15.00    
SCR  OUR DANDY'S BOY Mar01 Dec10 Nov29 Nov05 Oct07 (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 124 15.00    
THICK HAZE Mar01 Feb08 Jan19 Jan05 Nov28 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 124 6.00    
SCR  PALACE PRINCE Mar13 Mar04 Jan31 Jan18 Dec26 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
UNCLE JEFF Mar11 Feb27 Feb04 Jan07 Nov15 (rosales jorge)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 4.00    
PINTXOS Mar01 Feb06 Jan19 Dec20 Aug25 (van ta)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 27% 2.80    
LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR Mar04 Feb13 Sep28 Sep26 Sep07 (matt l)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.