The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 2 1 1 $6.02 $6.02 4.02
    Exacta (2)-(2/3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2-4 2 1 $31.24 $31.24 25.24
    Trifecta (2)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-4-3 3 1 $57.42 $57.42 54.42
CD-2   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 1.20
    Exacta (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6-4 2 0 $18.44 $0.00 -4.00
    Daily Double (2)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 2-6 2 1 $10.88 $10.88 8.88
    Daily Double (2)-(5/6) 2-1 2 0 $3.09 $0.00 0.00
CD-3   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.90 $5.90 -0.10
    Exacta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-6 2 0 $21.88 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 5-6-4 3 0 $27.08 $0.00 -3.00
    Daily Double (5/6)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-5 2 1 $7.61 $7.61 1.61
    Pick Three (2)-(5/6)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-6-5 3 1 $16.40 $16.40 13.40
    Pick Three (2)-(5/6)-(2/4/5) 2-1-5 3 0 $4.73 $0.00 0.00
CD-4   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $12.16 $0.00 -6.00
    Exacta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-8 2 0 $21.70 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 7-8-5 3 0 $20.75 $0.00 -3.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 5-7 2 0 $18.97 $0.00 -9.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5)-(1/4/5) 5-6 2 0 $2.82 $0.00 0.00
    Pick Three (5/6)-(2/4/5)-(1/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 6-5-7 3 0 $31.91 $0.00 -9.00
    Pick Three (5/6)-(2/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6-5-6 3 0 $2.74 $0.00 0.00
CD-5   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.04 $9.04 3.04
    Exacta (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-3 2 0 $80.48 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 4-3-1 3 0 $67.74 $0.00 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/4/5)-(1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 7-4 2 0 $34.68 $0.00 -9.00
    Pick Three (2/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 5-7-4 3 0 $76.11 $0.00 -13.50
    Pick Three (2/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/7) 5-6-4 3 0 $5.95 $0.00 0.00
CD-6   Win (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 5.20
    Exacta (3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-8 2 1 $34.28 $34.28 22.28
    Trifecta (3/8)-(1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 3-8-6 3 0 $60.00 $0.00 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/4/7)-(3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-3 2 1 $28.50 $28.50 22.50
    Pick Three (1/4/5)-(1/4/7)-(3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 7-4-3 3 0 $95.57 $0.00 -9.00
CD-7   Win (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.36 $6.36 -1.64
    Exacta (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 5-2 2 1 $17.96 $17.96 -14.04
    Trifecta (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6/9)-(2/4/5/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 5-2-6 3 1 $18.15 $18.15 -5.85
    Daily Double (3/8)-(2/4/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 3-5 2 1 $19.39 $19.39 11.39
    Pick Three (1/4/7)-(3/8)-(2/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4-3-5 3 1 $62.14 $62.14 50.14
CD-8   Win (1/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $3.12 $3.12 -4.88
    Exacta (1/5/7/8)-(1/5/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-8 2 1 $10.90 $10.90 -13.10
    Trifecta (1/5/7/8)-(1/5/7/8)-(1/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 7-8-9 3 0 $10.23 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5/6)-(1/5/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 5-7 2 1 $4.30 $4.30 -11.70
    Pick Three (3/8)-(2/4/5/6)-(1/5/7/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 3-5-7 3 1 $21.45 $21.45 5.45
CD-9   Win (4/6/7/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 0 $19.54 $0.00 -8.00
    Exacta (4/6/7/12)-(4/6/7/11/12) 16 $2.00 $32.00 11-12 2 0 $50.72 $0.00 -32.00
    Trifecta (4/6/7/12)-(4/6/7/11/12)-(4/6/7/11/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 11-12-7 3 0 $49.40 $0.00 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/5/7/8)-(4/6/7/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 7-11 2 0 $13.35 $0.00 -16.00
    Pick Three (2/4/5/6)-(1/5/7/8)-(4/6/7/12) 64 $0.50 $32.00 5-7-11 3 0 $23.47 $0.00 -32.00

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:222 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPERCOOL 2 4 2½ 2½   1nk 1(foley greg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.00 70% 0.40 2.01 W
CHARLIE WHISKEY 4 2 1½ 1½   2nk 2(hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 5.41 P
HAIL ALLEN 3 3 4 3½   32 3(blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 13.85 S
MR. COMMANDER 1 6 52 4   43 4(garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 3.96  
TEXAS TED 7 7 75 67   65(barkley jaso)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.50 3.19  
CHOWMEIN 5 5 64 5   55 6(kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 6.53  
VELOCIMO 6 1 3½ 7   7725¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 10.77  
 
CD-2   05/21/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
:233 :463 1:111     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORY HOUR 4 1 21 23   1nk 1(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 3.00 30% 2.40 1.60 W
RAINDROPS ON ROSES 2 3 42 34   32(huffman pat)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 6.00 6.51  
COMEDY ACT 3 2 11 13   2nk 3(morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 2.50 21% 3.80 1.28 S
TRANSPARENCY 1 4 31 4   47 413 (catalano m)LANERIE J 123 4.00 2.87  
SCR  MUSIC APP               (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 6.00    
SCR  PRECURSORY               (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.50 13% 6.50    
 
CD-3   05/21/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
:23 :461 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIDER'S SPECIAL 4 3 32 3   22 1½ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 16% 5.30 1.95 W
INSOLITO 5 1 1nk 1½   12 2½ (estvanko ric)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.00 2.31  
AMERICAN ICON 3 4 5 5   57 35 (vasquez sr)COURT K 123 12.00 5% 17.90 15.88 S
HOCUS 1 5 2nk 2½   34(thompson michae)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.00 53% 0.90 2.84  
IGNITIS 2 2 4 4   45(lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 4.00 2.96  
SCR  CLASSY SOCKS               (vance d)ROCCO S 123 6.00    
 
CD-4   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
:222 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDWAY MIRACLE 6 4 4 23   22 1½ (lucas wa)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.00 5.08  
KING OF KENTUCKY 7 1 12 13   12 2½ (o'neill doug)HEARD TYLER 118 2.00 0.95  
SCOTCH NO ROCKS 5 3 3 35   38 312¾ (roberson de)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 6% 14.50 9.23 S
GARY'S FLYING LION 4 5 55 59   511 416 (o'connor robert )MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 8.26  
COUSIN ODELL 1 2 22 4   410½ 518¼ (foley greg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 4.31  
LEFT POCKET MONEY 3 6 68 612   613½ 619 (pittman bonnie)CALLEJA ANDRES 124 20.00 36.45  
FULL TIME JOB 2 7 710 717   722½ 748¼ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 7.64  
SCR  WITH PURPOSE               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.80 62% 0.60    
 
CD-5   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
:221 :454 :574     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INFILTRATOR 3 4 42 3   2½ 1(lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 3.50 32% 2.10 3.52 W
VALE 2 3 3 11   1½ 2(forster t)LANERIE J 123 6.00 5.74  
SWITZER 1 6 64 64   45 3(moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 17% 4.90 3.69 S
BABY QUINN 5 2 1½ 21   34 413¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00 9% 9.90 2.80  
LOUISIANIMAL 4 5 53 5   57 514 (foley greg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 21.19  
TOWN BRANCH 6 1 2½ 4   6621 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 2.50 2.09  
SCR  FRENCH COMPOSER               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 123 12.00    
SCR  HAP'S VICTORY               (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 118 4.00    
 
CD-6   05/21/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
:234 :483 1:132 1:25   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENRIETTA TOPHAM 3 4 7 74 6 53 1¼ (mulcahy geoff)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 11% 7.80 3.60 W
FAST AS FLIGHT 8 7 22 21 1nk 12¼ (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 64% 0.60 2.07 P
JUSTIFY MY LOVE (BRZ) 6 5 4 5 32 23½ (lobo paulo )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 12.00 10.14  
ARM CANDY 5 6 65 6 7 42 4½ (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 13.19  
CANDY LIGHT 1 8 8 8 8 85(motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 3.08  
VALENTINA DAY 7 3 5 4 4 66(colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 115 10.00 10.40  
WAVE OF GOODNESS 4 1 12 11 2nk 32 7(hernandez ar)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00 11.90  
INTRIGUE 2 2 33 32 5 786 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00 8.98  
 
CD-7   05/21/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:221 :452 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRITERDAYZAHEAD 5 1 2½ 2nk   11(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 11% 8.50 2.18 W
WILD THINKER 2 2 1½ 1nk   22(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 39% 1.60 2.69 P
LUDWIG 6 3 3 32   33(bauer phili)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 6.00 5% 19.00 9.90 S
TOP SECRET 3 7 88 7   7410¾ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 124 15.00 9.20  
SMOKE WAGON 1 4 65 6   57 512¼ (engler jef)RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00 16.25  
CLOUD WITHOUT REIN 9 5 4 4   47 612¾ (barnett bobby )BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00 49.85  
HOLY MOLY ABRAHAM 8 6 5 5   6715¼ (lovell dennis)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00 78.06  
CUORE SACRO 4 8 9 912¼   913¾ 818¼ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 24% 3.10 3.41  
UNWRAPPED 7 9 1111½ 1113¾   1014¾ 918¾ (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 32.68  
13  SON OF A GRAY 11 11 1010 1012¾   1115¼ 1020½ (pittman bonnie)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 20.00 42.29  
10  BOLT ACTION 10 10 7 8   811¾ 1124¼ (stall m)LANERIE J 118 12.00 13.54  
SCR  STORMIN ARMY               (vance david)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
SCR  ZAPHOD               (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
 
CD-8   05/21/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
:222 :45 1:092     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAUDI CROWN 6 1 11 1nk   1½ 1(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.60 28% 2.60 0.56 W
SWEET CHERRY PIE 7 4 21 2nk   2½ 2(arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 24% 3.10 3.98 P
ANGKOR 8 2 5 32   33 3(bauer a)BEJARANO R 123 12.00 10.60  
GREENER PASTURES 4 3 76 67   54(mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 123 15.00 30.26  
PAGE ONE 1 6 3 43   45 5(lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 123 4.50 18% 4.70 7.07  
BLUE LIGHT 5 5 6 78   6611¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 8% 11.20 12.38  
APPEAL DENIED 2 7 42 55   710½ 716 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 125 15.00 27.63  
CHARTER OAK 3 8 8 810   810½ 824 (vance r)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 30.00 51.43  
SCR  FAVORITE OUTLAW               (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 4.00    
 
CD-9   05/21/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
:231 :481 1:134 1:38   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  TAKING CANDY 11 12 88 8 8 21 1(devaux cher)TORRES A 118 6.00 8.77  
12  ST. NEOTS 12 7 66 5 3½ 11 2(oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 14% 6.00 2.36 P
CAROOM 7 8 7 64 7 63 3(catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.50 28% 2.60 3.30 S
HARRY HOOD 2 5 43 42 4 52 4(brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 4.86  
NOW THAT ICAN ROCK 6 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 35(michael brian)COURT K 118 12.00 14% 6.10 14.78  
10  ROENICK 10 11 1110¾ 97 6 76(corrigan jim)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00 44.08  
ATHENS MOON 9 6 2½ 2nk 2nk 47(stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 52.58  
HIGHEST RATED (IRE) 8 9 1010½ 1110 11 86 8(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 10.45  
BIG ELM 1 2 9 109 12 98 910¼ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 26.09  
CRUSADER CONRAD 5 4 5 7 9 101012¼ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 50.67  
ILLEGAL 3 10 1212¾ 1210¼ 10 1112 1118¼ (medina robe)LEPAROUX R 125 20.00 41.21  
FIGHTERTOWN 4 3 33 3 52 1214 1228¼ (mott i)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 21% 3.70 6.26  
SCR  ACCIDENT               (short thom)RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00    
SCR  DECANTED               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
SCR  MILLERS RITE               (vance thomas)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 12.00    
SCR  OSCARGOT               (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  STAND PROUD               (baker james)TORRES A 125 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.