Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00  2 $6.02 $4.02 201%
    EXA (2)-(2/3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2-4 $31.24 $25.24 421%
    TRI (2)-(2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-4-3 $57.42 $54.42 1814%
CD-2   DD (2)-(6/5/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00  2-6 $10.88 $7.88 263%
CD-3   PK3 (2)-(6/5/1)-(2/5/4) 9 $0.50 $4.50  2-6-5 $16.40 $11.90 264%
CD-5   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.04 $3.04 51%
CD-6   WIN (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $9.20 $5.20 130%
    EXA (8/3)-(8/3/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-8 $34.28 $22.28 186%
    DD (4/1/7)-(8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-3 $28.50 $22.50 375%
CD-7   DD (8/3)-(2/4/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00  3-5 $19.39 $11.39 142%
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(8/3)-(2/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-3-5 $62.14 $50.14 418%
CD-8   PK3 (8/3)-(2/4/5/6)-(7/8/1/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00  3-5-7 $21.45 $5.45 34%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SUPERCOOL 2 4 2½ 2½   1nk 11½ (foley gre)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.00 70% 0.40 2.01 W
4  CHARLIE WHISKEY 4 2 1½ 1½   2nk 21½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 ★ 5.41 P
3  HAIL ALLEN 3 3 41½ 3½   32 32¼ (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 ★ 13.85 S
1  MR. COMMANDER 1 6 52 42½   43 43¼ (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 3.96  
7  TEXAS TED 7 7 75 67   65½ 54½ (barkley ja)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.50 3.19  
5  CHOWMEIN 5 5 64 54½   55 68¼ (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 ★ 6.53  
6  VELOCIMO 6 1 3½ 77½   79½ 725¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 10.77  
 
CD-2   05/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:111     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STORY HOUR 4 1 21 23   1nk 11¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 3.00 30% 2.40 1.60 W
4  RAINDROPS ON ROSES 2 3 42 34   32½ 21¾ (huffman pat)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 6.00 6.51  
5  COMEDY ACT 3 2 11 13   2nk 34¾ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 2.50 21% 3.80 1.28 S
2  TRANSPARENCY 1 4 31 44½   47 413 (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 123 4.00 2.87  
SCR  MUSIC APP               (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 6.00    
SCR  PRECURSORY               (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.50 13% 6.50    
 
CD-3   05/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RIDER'S SPECIAL 4 3 32 32½   22 1½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 16% 5.30 1.95 W
6  INSOLITO 5 1 1nk 1½   12 2½ (estvanko r)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.00 2.31  
4  AMERICAN ICON 3 4 57¼ 57½   57 35 (vasquez sr)COURT K 123 12.00 5% 17.90 15.88 S
2  HOCUS (GB) 1 5 2nk 2½   32½ 46½ (thompson mich)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.00 53% 0.90 2.84  
3  IGNITIS 2 2 42¼ 43½   46½ 58¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 4.00 2.96  
SCR  CLASSY SOCKS               (vance d)ROCCO S 123 6.00    
 
CD-4   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MIDWAY MIRACLE 6 4 44½ 23   22 1½ (lucas t )RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.00 5.08  
8  KING OF KENTUCKY 7 1 12 13   12 2½ (o'neill doug)HEARD TYLER 118 2.00 0.95  
5  SCOTCH NO ROCKS 5 3 32½ 35   38 312¾ (roberson )HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 6% 14.50 9.23 S
4  GARY'S FLYING LION 4 5 55 59   511 416 (o'connor rober)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 8.26  
1  COUSIN ODELL 1 2 22 47½   410½ 518¼ (foley gre)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 4.31  
3  LEFT POCKET MONEY 3 6 68 612   613½ 619 (pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 124 20.00 36.45  
2  FULL TIME JOB 2 7 710 717   722½ 748¼ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 7.64  
SCR  WITH PURPOSE               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.80 62% 0.60    
 
CD-5   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:221 :454 :574     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  INFILTRATOR 3 4 42 31½   2½ 13¾ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 3.50 32% 2.10 3.52 W
3  VALE 2 3 31½ 11   1½ 23¾ (forster t)LANERIE J 123 6.00 5.74  
1  SWITZER 1 6 64 64   45 39¾ (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 17% 4.90 3.69 S
7  BABY QUINN 5 2 1½ 21   34 413¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00 9% 9.90 2.80  
5  LOUISIANIMAL 4 5 53 53½   57 514 (foley gre)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 21.19  
8  TOWN BRANCH 6 1 2½ 41½   68½ 621 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 2.50 2.09  
SCR  FRENCH COMPOSER               (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 123 12.00    
SCR  HAP'S VICTORY               (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 118 4.00    
 
CD-6   05/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:132 1:25   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HENRIETTA TOPHAM 3 4 76½ 74 64¼ 53 1¼ (mulcahy geoff)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 11% 7.80 3.60 W
8  FAST AS FLIGHT 8 7 22 21 1nk 11½ 2¼ (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 64% 0.60 2.07 P
6  JUSTIFY MY LOVE (BRZ) 6 5 43½ 52½ 32 21½ 3½ (lobo paul)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 12.00 10.14  
5  ARM CANDY (IRE) 5 6 65 63½ 74¾ 42 4½ (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 13.19  
1  CANDY LIGHT 1 8 88½ 85½ 85¾ 83¾ 52¼ (motion g)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 ★ 3.08  
7  VALENTINA DAY 7 3 53½ 42½ 42¼ 63½ 63½ (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 115 10.00 10.40  
4  WAVE OF GOODNESS 4 1 12 11 2nk 32 74½ (hernandez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00 11.90  
2  INTRIGUE 2 2 33 32 52¼ 73¾ 86 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00 ★ 8.98  
 
CD-7   05/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :452 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BRITERDAYZAHEAD 5 1 2½ 2nk   11½ 14¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 11% 8.50 2.18 W
  (by GIRVIN out of PURE GREY by TOO MUCH BLING)
2  WILD THINKER 2 2 1½ 1nk   21½ 24¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 39% 1.60 2.69 P
  (by LORD NELSON out of INVESTED PROSPECT by ABRAAJ)
6  LUDWIG 6 3 31½ 32   34½ 34¼ (bauer phi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 6.00 5% 19.00 9.90 S
  (by MASTERY out of TEXAS GEM by TIZNOW)
3  TOP SECRET 3 7 88 78¼   78¾ 410¾ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 124 15.00 9.20  
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
1  SMOKE WAGON 1 4 65 64¾   57 512¼ (engler j)RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00 16.25  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CRIMINAL MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
9  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN 9 5 42½ 42¼   47 612¾ (barnett bobb)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00 ★ 49.85  
  (by FROSTED out of LITTLE JUDE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  HOLY MOLY ABRAHAM 8 6 54½ 53¾   68½ 715¼ (lovell denn)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00 78.06  
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of REASON TO MEDAL by MEDALLIST)
4  CUORE SACRO 4 8 99½ 912¼   913¾ 818¼ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 24% 3.10 3.41  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BACCHANAL LADY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  UNWRAPPED 7 9 1111½ 1113¾   1014¾ 918¾ (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 32.68  
  (by UNCLE MO out of BELLEOFTHEBEACH by MASTER COMMAND)
13  SON OF A GRAY 11 11 1010 1012¾   1115¼ 1020½ (pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 20.00 42.29  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of JENNIFER ASHTON by BLACK MOONSHINE)
10  BOLT ACTION 10 10 77½ 88¼   811¾ 1124¼ (stall m)LANERIE J 118 12.00 13.54  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of AMERISTRALIA by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
SCR  STORMIN ARMY               (vance dav)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of DREAM SEQUENCE by SMILE)
SCR  ZAPHOD               (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DANCING ANNA by CUVEE)
 
CD-8   05/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:092     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SAUDI CROWN 6 1 11 1nk   1½ 11¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.60 28% 2.60 0.56 W
8  SWEET CHERRY PIE 7 4 21 2nk   2½ 21¾ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 24% 3.10 3.98 P
9  ANGKOR 8 2 52½ 32   33 33¼ (bauer a)BEJARANO R 123 12.00 10.60  
4  GREENER PASTURES 4 3 76 67   56½ 45½ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 123 15.00 30.26  
1  PAGE ONE 1 6 31½ 43   45 59¼ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 123 4.50 18% 4.70 7.07  
5  BLUE LIGHT 5 5 62½ 78   69½ 611¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 8% 11.20 12.38  
2  APPEAL DENIED 2 7 42 55   710½ 716 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 125 15.00 27.63  
3  CHARTER OAK 3 8 86¼ 810   810½ 824 (vance r)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 30.00 51.43  
SCR  FAVORITE OUTLAW               (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 4.00    
 
CD-9   05/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:231 :481 1:134 1:38   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  TAKING CANDY 11 12 88 86½ 83¾ 21 11¾ (devaux ch)TORRES A 118 6.00 ★ 8.77  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TAKING AIM by TRAPPE SHOT)
12  ST. NEOTS 12 7 66 53½ 3½ 11 21¾ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 14% 6.00 2.36 P
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ALLIE by BAYOU HEBERT)
7  CAROOM 7 8 76½ 64 73¼ 63 33¼ (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.50 28% 2.60 3.30 S
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ELLE BELLE by EL PRADO (IRE))
2  HARRY HOOD 2 5 43 42 41½ 52 43¼ (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 4.86  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of DESTINY UNBOUND by GALILEO (ARG))
6  NOW THAT ICAN ROCK 6 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 31½ 55¾ (michael brian)COURT K 118 12.00 14% 6.10 14.78  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of WESTSIDE SINGER by GONE WEST)
10  ROENICK 10 11 1110¾ 97 62¼ 73½ 66½ (corrigan jim)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00 44.08  
  (by UNION RAGS out of SEE ROCK CITY by TAPIT)
9  ATHENS MOON 9 6 2½ 2nk 2nk 41½ 77½ (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 52.58  
  (by NYQUIST out of GASP by TINAJERO)
8  HIGHEST RATED (IRE) 8 9 1010½ 1110 117¼ 86 88¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 10.45  
  (by FRANKEL (GB) out of BELESTA by XAAR (GB))
1  BIG ELM 1 2 99½ 109 129¼ 98 910¼ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 26.09  
  (by KANTHAROS out of HOKEY OKEY by LONHRO (AUS))
5  CRUSADER CONRAD 5 4 54½ 75½ 94¾ 108½ 1012¼ (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 50.67  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GOLDEN SHEBA by CORONADO'S QUEST)
3  ILLEGAL 3 10 1212¾ 1210¼ 105¾ 1112 1118¼ (medina ro)LEPAROUX R 125 20.00 41.21  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ISLAND SCHOOL by A.P. INDY)
4  FIGHTERTOWN 4 3 33 31½ 52 1214 1228¼ (mott william)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 21% 3.70 6.26  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of IN STEP by BAWLD HORNET)
SCR  ACCIDENT               (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
SCR  DECANTED               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of KAHRUMANA by SHAMARDAL)
SCR  MILLERS RITE               (vance thom)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 12.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of ROMANTIC FROLIC by VINDICATION)
SCR  OSCARGOT               (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of WINE AND DYNE by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  STAND PROUD               (baker jam)TORRES A 125 5.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of LIL INDY by BUCKLEY BOY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.