Handicappers' Racing Form

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00
CD-2   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-3   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-4   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-6   Win (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-7   Win (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (7/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-9   Win (7/4/12/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. COMMANDER Apr27 Apr18 Jan13     (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50    
SUPERCOOL May30 Mar11 Jan23     (foley greg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.00 70% 0.40    
HAIL ALLEN Apr29 Apr22 Mar10 Feb04 Jan06 (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00    
CHARLIE WHISKEY Apr29 Apr08 Mar09 May27   (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00    
CHOWMEIN Apr29 Apr16 Mar15 Feb22 Feb03 (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
VELOCIMO Apr19 Mar17 Feb24 Jan11 Dec30 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
TEXAS TED Apr29 Apr14 Mar25 Feb24 Jan06 (barkley jaso)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.50    
 
CD-2   05/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRECURSORY Apr13 Mar15 Feb23 Oct14 Aug25 (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.50 13% 6.50    
TRANSPARENCY Mar08 Feb09       (catalano m)LANERIE J 123 4.00    
SCR  MUSIC APP Apr22         (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 6.00    
RAINDROPS ON ROSES Apr27 Mar30 Aug03 Jul05   (huffman pat)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 6.00    
COMEDY ACT Apr30 Mar16 Feb18 Jan21 Dec18 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 2.50 21% 3.80    
STORY HOUR Apr27 Mar02 Jan18 Dec29 Nov24 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 3.00 30% 2.40    
 
CD-3   05/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CLASSY SOCKS Mar23 Mar05 Feb25 Feb04 Jan13 (vance d)ROCCO S 123 6.00    
HOCUS (GB) Apr16         (thompson michae)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.00 53% 0.90    
IGNITIS Apr23 Apr01 Mar05 Feb10 Jan20 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 4.00    
AMERICAN ICON May13 May03 Apr21 Feb24 Feb03 (vasquez sr)COURT K 123 12.00 5% 17.90    
RIDER'S SPECIAL Apr29 Apr01 Jun04 Apr30 Apr02 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 16% 5.30    
INSOLITO Apr14 Mar17 Mar04 Jan26 Dec03 (estvanko ric)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.00    
 
CD-4   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUSIN ODELL         (foley greg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
FULL TIME JOB Apr18         (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
LEFT POCKET MONEY Sep24         (pittman bonnie)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
GARY'S FLYING LION         (o'connor robert )MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCOTCH NO ROCKS Apr29 Feb17 Feb04 Dec30 Dec08 (roberson de)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  WITH PURPOSE Feb04         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.80 62% 0.60    
MIDWAY MIRACLE Apr29 Apr16 Feb09 Jan26 Jan12 (lucas wa)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.00    
KING OF KENTUCKY Apr28 Mar25 Mar10 Feb03   (o'neill doug)HEARD TYLER 118 2.00    
 
CD-5   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWITZER Mar05 Oct16 Sep14 Aug12 Jun22 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  HAP'S VICTORY Apr28 Feb10 Jan28     (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 118 4.00    
VALE Mar18 Feb12 Jan13 Nov23 Oct16 (forster t)LANERIE J 123 6.00    
INFILTRATOR Mar09 Feb20       (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 3.50 32% 2.10    
LOUISIANIMAL Mar31 Nov03 Oct02     (foley greg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
SCR  FRENCH COMPOSER Apr12 Mar10 Feb12 Jan15 Dec31 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 123 12.00    
BABY QUINN Apr12 Jun22 May19 May03   (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00 9% 9.90    
TOWN BRANCH Apr15 Mar05 Feb11 Jan13 Dec17 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 2.50    
 
CD-6   05/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY LIGHT Dec26 Nov13 Oct13 Sep06 Jul14 (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50    
INTRIGUE Apr01 Feb23 Jan26 Dec30 Nov30 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00    
HENRIETTA TOPHAM Apr16 Nov05 Oct08 Sep10 Aug07 (mulcahy geoff)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 11% 7.80    
WAVE OF GOODNESS Jan21 Dec26 Oct23 Sep24 Jun03 (hernandez ar)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00    
ARM CANDY (IRE) Apr21 Apr01 Jan26 Dec15 Oct21 (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
JUSTIFY MY LOVE (BRZ) Apr21 Jan28 Nov19 Oct20 Sep14 (lobo paulo )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 12.00    
VALENTINA DAY Apr21 Mar24 Oct21 Sep24 Aug14 (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 115 10.00    
FAST AS FLIGHT Apr21 Mar04 Jan29 Dec02 Nov03 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 64% 0.60    
 
CD-7   05/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKE WAGON         (engler jef)RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00    
WILD THINKER Apr16 Mar02       (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
TOP SECRET Nov09         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 124 15.00    
CUORE SACRO Aug19         (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 24% 3.10    
BRITERDAYZAHEAD Apr16 Sep03       (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 11% 8.50    
LUDWIG Apr29 May07 Apr02 Feb26   (bauer phili)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
UNWRAPPED         (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
HOLY MOLY ABRAHAM         (lovell dennis)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00    
CLOUD WITHOUT REIN Mar19 Feb11 Jan14 Dec19 Nov19 (barnett bobby )BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00    
10  BOLT ACTION         (stall m)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
SCR  STORMIN ARMY Mar18 Feb25 Jan28 Aug13 Jun30 (vance david)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
SCR  ZAPHOD         (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
13  SON OF A GRAY         (pittman bonnie)REYES FRANK 118 20.00    
 
CD-8   05/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAGE ONE Apr13 Feb24 Jan27 Nov04 Sep22 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 123 4.50 18% 4.70    
APPEAL DENIED Apr21 Feb12 Nov25 Nov04 Sep22 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 125 15.00    
CHARTER OAK Apr22 Apr02 Mar19 Mar03 Feb04 (vance r)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 30.00    
GREENER PASTURES Apr22 Mar10 Jan27 Jun19 May30 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 123 15.00    
BLUE LIGHT Apr08 Mar11       (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  FAVORITE OUTLAW Apr29 Apr01 Mar05 Sep14 Aug20 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 4.00    
SAUDI CROWN Apr16         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.60 28% 2.60    
SWEET CHERRY PIE Apr14 Mar04       (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
ANGKOR May03 Mar25 Feb24 Dec18 Nov25 (bauer a)BEJARANO R 123 12.00    
 
CD-9   05/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG ELM Mar17 Jan28       (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
HARRY HOOD Mar12         (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
ILLEGAL         (medina robe)LEPAROUX R 125 20.00    
FIGHTERTOWN Feb26 Jan21 Dec24 Oct23 Sep03 (mott i)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 21% 3.70    
CRUSADER CONRAD         (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
NOW THAT ICAN ROCK Apr20 Mar25 Feb17     (michael brian)COURT K 118 12.00 14% 6.10    
CAROOM Apr27 Mar01 Jan22 Dec17 Nov30 (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.50 28% 2.60    
HIGHEST RATED (IRE) Apr20         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
ATHENS MOON         (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
10  ROENICK Apr27 Apr01 Mar11 Aug26 Jul31 (corrigan jim)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00    
11  TAKING CANDY Aug20         (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 6.00    
12  ST. NEOTS Apr20 Mar15 Aug27 Jul16   (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  OSCARGOT         (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  ACCIDENT Apr08 Mar04 Feb10 Jan21 Jan07 (short thom)RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00    
SCR  DECANTED Apr08 Feb10 Nov18 Oct16 Sep14 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
SCR  MILLERS RITE May05 Apr08 Dec31 Dec10 Oct30 (vance thomas)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 12.00    
SCR  STAND PROUD Apr22 Mar23 Mar12 Jan27 Dec16 (baker james)TORRES A 125 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.