Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - April 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   WIN (8/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $10.26 $2.26 28%
CD-4   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $6.64 $0.64 11%
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-1 $23.76 $5.76 32%
CD-5   SFT (7/4/5/1/9)-(7/4/5/1/9)-(7/4/5/1/9)-(7/4/5/1/9) 120 $0.10 $12.00  7-4-1-9 $41.56 $29.56 246%
CD-7   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    PK4 (6/5/3)-(7/4/5/1/9)-(1/9)-(3/5/7) 90 $0.50 $45.00  5-7-1/8/9/10-3 $66.18 $21.18 47%
CD-8   EXA (7/1/9/6/8)-(7/1/9/6/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-8 $40.72 $0.72 2%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   04/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  INVASIVE   (kendall elise)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 21.70  
2  TEXAS TED   (barkley ja)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.50 8.08  
5  MY FAVORITE UNCLE   (capps a)BEJARANO R 125 5.00 63% 0.60 3.16 S
1  HAIL ALLEN   (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 ★ 3.95  
10  SPUNS SON   (taylor brent)GILLIGAN JACK 125 20.00 28.30  
7  BLUEGRASS LUTE   (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 118 3.00 ★ 4.04  
9  MR. YASUDA   (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 125 15.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
6  FANEUIL HALL   (gazzier)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 5.00 11% 8.40 7.00  
3  MILITARY CODE (GB)   (vaccarezza ca)CANNON DECLAN 125 8.00 12.63  
SCR  SMALL SAILOR   (garcia ge)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
 
CD-2   04/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:28
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ON A SPREE   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 18% 4.60 4.13 W
5  ONE LAST HAND   (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 118 12.00 9.15  
7  PICASSO   (walden w)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.50 17% 4.90 5.63 S
1  CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT   (esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 11% 8.20 10.49  
2  MALIBU TIME   (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50 8.28  
8  COVE BLUE   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.00 28% 2.60 1.70  
3  KEEN ON YOU   (cundiff way)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 38.30  
6  GORMLEYS GOT GAME   (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 118 10.00 4.59  
 
CD-3   04/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SECRET POCKET   (romans dal)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 1.11  
7  STAYINYOURLANE   (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 4.06  
3  CHOWMEIN   (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 ★ 4.71 S
10  MIDWAY MIRACLE   (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 125 15.00 10.52  
2  SECRET EDGE   (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 20.00 41.82  
6  SCOTCH NO ROCKS   (roberson )HERNANDEZ J 125 10.00 9% 9.60 10.05  
5  UNCAPTURED DREAM   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 125 3.50 17% 5.00 6.32  
9  SPINSTRAWINTO GOLD   (scherer mariann)COHEN DAVID 125 15.00 32.03  
SCR  LUCKY SMILE   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 125 10.00 ★    
SCR  NARA   (howard d)MCKEE J 125 3.00 50% 1.00    
 
CD-4   04/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NORDIC LIGHT   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.50 23% 3.40 2.32 W
1  WRITEITONTHEICE   (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 124 5.00 ★ 3.83 P
2  RIGHT OF RUSH   (brenklin)RODRIGUEZ A 119 5.00 12.01  
4  SPRINKLEHEAD   (miller jerome)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00 3.24  
6  LEVY   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 3.50 37% 1.70 3.03  
3  RONITHELIMODRIVER   (leonard georg)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00 16% 5.20 10.36  
7  MONEY PIT   (hill f)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 6.00 16.76  
 
CD-5   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SIDEKICK   (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 32% 2.10 2.20 W
  (by HONOR CODE out of REUNITED by DIXIE UNION)
4  MAPPER   (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 21% 3.70 1.72 P
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CLICK YOUR HEELS by PULPIT)
1  LUDWIG   (bauer phi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.38 S
  (by MASTERY out of TEXAS GEM by TIZNOW)
9  TESTIMONY TIME   (brumley willia)ELLIOTT JANE 124 20.00 5% 19.00 47.47  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SILVEREST by CONGRATS)
2  ZED   (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 14.85  
  (by ARROGATE out of SHANE'S GIRLFRIEND by ADIOS CHARLIE)
5  SHADY DAREDEVIL   (casse no)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 16% 5.10 6.68  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SHADY VIOLENCE by VIOLENCE)
6  TIMETOMAKEMISCHIEF   (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 8.11  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CARRINGTON EVENT by STREET BOSS)
3  SATURDAY LONG LEGS   (frazier matt)LANERIE J 118 20.00 34.23  
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of CRYING ON SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
8  FLYING HOUDINI   (mardif ja)CORREA L 124 20.00 54.83  
  (by MARK VALESKI out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
10  STIRDATPOT   (londono genev)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 35.57  
  (by TRINNIBERG out of CHALLENGE ACCEPTED by VIBANK)
 
CD-6   04/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASING THE CROWN   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 1.40 52% 0.90 0.41 W
5  UNLEASH THE POWER   (stall m)LANERIE J 125 8.00 15.16  
4  GO BALI GO   (nance jonathan)BEJARANO R 125 10.00 25.79  
2  MAASAI WARRIOR   (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 125 2.00 ★ 5.64  
3  MODERN SCIENCE (IRE)   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 125 4.50 ★ 5.32  
7  NICHOLAS JONES   (miller jer)HERNANDEZ J 125 15.00 15.25  
6  MINISTER FOR MAGIC   (cibelli jane)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 25.08  
SCR  GIANT GAME   (romans dal)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  REDEEMER   (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR   (bauer philip )VELAZQUEZ R 125 2.00 ★    
 
CD-7   04/29/2023 6600ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PEAK POPULARITY   (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 36% 1.80 2.40 W
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PERAZZI by THORN DANCE)
2  MEDAGLIA FOREVER   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 4.75  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of FOREVER UNBRIDLED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  CORSINI   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 15% 5.60 1.53 S
  (by HARD SPUN out of MARIETTA by MACHIAVELLIAN)
1  SHE'S MAGIC   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00 23.19  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of WILD SUMMER by WILD AGAIN)
4  ABBREVIATION   (mott riley)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 ★ 10.06  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of NO ACRONYMS by MILWAUKEE BREW)
5  RAGGITY SAND   (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 28% 2.60 5.89  
  (by UNION RAGS out of ISLAND SAND by TABASCO CAT)
6  ANGORA DEB   (stall m)LANERIE J 118 12.00 12.78  
  (by VIOLENCE out of PLAY BALLADO by SAINT BALLADO)
 
CD-8   04/29/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:39
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTA BENE   (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 22% 3.50 2.15 W
8  MADRILENA (ARG)   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 6.06 P
3  QUICK MUNNY   (hartman chr)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 6.84  
9  ATLANTIC STRIKE   (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 9% 10.20 12.72  
4  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT   (cano juan )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00 29.02  
2  FROZEN SOLID   (lynch brian)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 4.10  
5  AWESOME LAWSON   (vesty clark)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00 45.78  
7  PARENTS PRIDE   (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 40% 1.50 2.30  
SCR  AWESOME TREAT   (wojczyns)RODRIGUEZ A 117 10.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  MERCY WARREN   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00    
 
CD-9   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Roxelana Overnight Purse ($175K) 4UP M/F PT-10:11
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANK'S ROCKETTE   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 0.60 48% 1.10 0.45 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ROCKET TWENTYONE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  LAST LEAF   (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 20.00 16.55  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MY MISS KALLIE by PADDY O'PRADO)
5  PRETTY BIRDIE   (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 11% 8.40 2.94 S
  (by BIRD SONG out of BIRD SENSE by STREET SENSE)
6  COPPELIA   (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 16% 5.20 5.00  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CRESPANO by MINESHAFT)
3  PRAISE AND HONOR   (wong jonathan)ROCCO S 118 20.00 19.41  
  (by HONOR CODE out of GOING TO KUKARO by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  MY DESTINY   (wilensky he)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00    
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of NORTHERN DESTINY by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR)
 
CD-10   04/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-10:42
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NEIGHBOR   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 10.22  
7  PLENTY OF TIME   (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 14.78  
8  KANSAS COMET   (romans dal)CORRALES GERARDO 126 3.00 46% 1.20 5.03 S
9  BOOSTER SHOT   (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 ★ 7.04  
4  CAMBIASO   (garcia ge)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 33.27  
12  T LAW   (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 ★ 27.79  
10  CRONUS   (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 126 6.00 ★ 6.11  
1  DESERT HIGHWAY   (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00 20.33  
13  SUCCEED   (cash l)BEJARANO R 126 3.50 31% 2.30 5.39  
5  TIZ TWENTY TWENTY   (mccarthy michael )SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 1.94  
11  YES POINT   (mckeever andre)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 44.21  
SCR  CODE OF KINGS   (glyshaw tim)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  NAVY CROSS   (engler jeff)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
SCR  SCHMEAR   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.