Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - April 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   WIN (8/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $10.26 $2.26 28%
CD-4   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $6.64 $0.64 11%
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-1 $23.76 $5.76 32%
CD-5   SFT (7/4/5/1/9)-(7/4/5/1/9)-(7/4/5/1/9)-(7/4/5/1/9) 120 $0.10 $12.00  7-4-1-9 $41.56 $29.56 246%
CD-7   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    PK4 (6/5/3)-(7/4/5/1/9)-(1/9)-(3/5/7) 90 $0.50 $45.00  5-7-1/8/9/10-3 $66.18 $21.18 47%
CD-8   EXA (7/1/9/6/8)-(7/1/9/6/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-8 $40.72 $0.72 2%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   04/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:12     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  INVASIVE 4 4 42½ 32½   1nk 1¾ (kendall elise)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 21.70  
2  TEXAS TED 2 3 32 42½   31 2¾ (barkley ja)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.50 8.08  
5  MY FAVORITE UNCLE 5 6 75 54½   42½ 3¾ (capps a)BEJARANO R 125 5.00 63% 0.60 3.16 S
1  HAIL ALLEN 1 1 11½ 11   2nk 45¼ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 ★ 3.95  
10  SPUNS SON 9 7 87 88¾   66 55½ (taylor brent)GILLIGAN JACK 125 20.00 28.30  
7  BLUEGRASS LUTE 7 8 65 64¾   77½ 69 (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 118 3.00 ★ 4.04  
9  MR. YASUDA 8 9 912 912¾   89 79 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 125 15.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
6  FANEUIL HALL 6 5 54 76¼   910 813¼ (gazzier)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 5.00 11% 8.40 7.00  
3  MILITARY CODE (GB) 3 2 21½ 21   55 919¾ (vaccarezza ca)CANNON DECLAN 125 8.00 12.63  
SCR  SMALL SAILOR               (garcia ge)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
 
CD-2   04/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:11     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ON A SPREE 4 2 52½ 31   16 112¼ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 18% 4.60 4.13 W
5  ONE LAST HAND 5 3 21 41½   37 212¼ (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 118 12.00 9.15  
7  PICASSO 7 5 31 2nk   26 312¼ (walden w)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.50 17% 4.90 5.63 S
1  CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT 1 8 74 75¼   59 413¼ (esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 11% 8.20 10.49  
2  MALIBU TIME 2 4 42 53½   69½ 515¾ (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50 8.28  
8  COVE BLUE 8 1 11 1nk   47 618¼ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.00 28% 2.60 1.70  
3  KEEN ON YOU 3 6 86½ 88¼   712½ 718¾ (cundiff way)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 38.30  
6  GORMLEYS GOT GAME 6 7 63½ 63¾   813½ 831½ (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 118 10.00 4.59  
 
CD-3   04/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:121     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SECRET POCKET 6 4 41½ 42½   33 12¾ (romans dal)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 1.11  
7  STAYINYOURLANE 5 1 31 21½   21½ 22¾ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 4.06  
3  CHOWMEIN 2 3 2nk 11½   11½ 34¼ (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 ★ 4.71 S
10  MIDWAY MIRACLE 8 7 84 64   44½ 45½ (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 125 15.00 10.52  
2  SECRET EDGE 1 8 73½ 74¼   67 58½ (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 20.00 41.82  
6  SCOTCH NO ROCKS 4 5 52 32½   56½ 611¼ (roberson )HERNANDEZ J 125 10.00 9% 9.60 10.05  
5  UNCAPTURED DREAM 3 2 1nk 53   713 729 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 125 3.50 17% 5.00 6.32  
9  SPINSTRAWINTO GOLD 7 6 62½ 84¾   820 845½ (scherer mariann)COHEN DAVID 125 15.00 32.03  
SCR  LUCKY SMILE               (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 125 10.00 ★    
SCR  NARA               (howard d)MCKEE J 125 3.00 50% 1.00    
 
CD-4   04/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
See original race card.
:251 :502 1:144 1:401   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NORDIC LIGHT 5 4 42½ 42 31½ 2nk 11¼ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.50 23% 3.40 2.32 W
1  WRITEITONTHEICE 1 2 32½ 32 43½ 42 21¼ (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 124 5.00 ★ 3.83 P
2  RIGHT OF RUSH 2 1 11 1½ 2nk 3½ 31¾ (brenklin)RODRIGUEZ A 119 5.00 12.01  
4  SPRINKLEHEAD 4 5 21 2½ 1nk 1nk 42½ (miller jerome)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00 3.24  
6  LEVY 6 3 64½ 53½ 57½ 58 59 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 3.50 37% 1.70 3.03  
3  RONITHELIMODRIVER 3 7 54 63¾ 69½ 69½ 612 (leonard georg)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00 16% 5.20 10.36  
7  MONEY PIT 7 6 74¾ 73¾ 710 710½ 713¾ (hill f)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 6.00 16.76  
 
CD-5   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:211 :444 :572     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SIDEKICK 7 2 32 1nk   12 13¾ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 32% 2.10 2.20 W
  (by HONOR CODE out of REUNITED by DIXIE UNION)
4  MAPPER 4 7 66 55   36½ 23¾ (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 21% 3.70 1.72 P
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CLICK YOUR HEELS by PULPIT)
1  LUDWIG 1 6 2nk 2nk   22 34½ (bauer phi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.38 S
  (by MASTERY out of TEXAS GEM by TIZNOW)
9  TESTIMONY TIME 9 5 76½ 66½   710½ 413½ (brumley willia)ELLIOTT JANE 124 20.00 5% 19.00 47.47  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SILVEREST by CONGRATS)
2  ZED 2 1 44 44   58½ 513¾ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 14.85  
  (by ARROGATE out of SHANE'S GIRLFRIEND by ADIOS CHARLIE)
5  SHADY DAREDEVIL 5 4 1nk 31   47 614¾ (casse no)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 16% 5.10 6.68  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SHADY VIOLENCE by VIOLENCE)
6  TIMETOMAKEMISCHIEF 6 3 55½ 77   610 715¾ (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 8.11  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CARRINGTON EVENT by STREET BOSS)
3  SATURDAY LONG LEGS 3 9 910¾ 89   814 826½ (frazier matt)LANERIE J 118 20.00 34.23  
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of CRYING ON SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
8  FLYING HOUDINI 8 10 1013¾ 1016½   1023 936¾ (mardif ja)CORREA L 124 20.00 54.83  
  (by MARK VALESKI out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
10  STIRDATPOT 10 8 86¾ 912½   921 1038 (londono genev)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 35.57  
  (by TRINNIBERG out of CHALLENGE ACCEPTED by VIBANK)
 
CD-6   04/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:144 1:372   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASING THE CROWN 1 3 56½ 58 31 11 14¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 1.40 52% 0.90 0.41 W
5  UNLEASH THE POWER 5 5 12½ 14½ 11 21 24¾ (stall m)LANERIE J 125 8.00 15.16  
4  GO BALI GO 4 1 22½ 24½ 21 33 35¾ (nance jonathan)BEJARANO R 125 10.00 25.79  
2  MAASAI WARRIOR 2 7 67½ 710½ 73½ 46 47¾ (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 125 2.00 ★ 5.64  
3  MODERN SCIENCE (IRE) 3 2 77½ 68½ 42 58½ 511½ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 125 4.50 ★ 5.32  
7  NICHOLAS JONES 7 6 46 46½ 63 69 611½ (miller jer)HERNANDEZ J 125 15.00 15.25  
6  MINISTER FOR MAGIC 6 4 35 36 52½ 79½ 716 (cibelli jane)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 25.08  
SCR  GIANT GAME               (romans dal)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  REDEEMER               (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR               (bauer philip )VELAZQUEZ R 125 2.00 ★    
 
CD-7   04/29/2023 6600ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:142 1:401   2:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PEAK POPULARITY 3 55¼ 54½ 53 31 32 1¼ (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 36% 1.80 2.40 W
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PERAZZI by THORN DANCE)
2  MEDAGLIA FOREVER 2 2nk 2½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 2¼ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 4.75  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of FOREVER UNBRIDLED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  CORSINI 7 32½ 32 31 2nk 1nk 3½ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 15% 5.60 1.53 S
  (by HARD SPUN out of MARIETTA by MACHIAVELLIAN)
1  SHE'S MAGIC 1 42¾ 44 42 75¼ 46 411½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00 23.19  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of WILD SUMMER by WILD AGAIN)
4  ABBREVIATION 4 76¾ 65½ 64 54¾ 57 514 (mott riley)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 ★ 10.06  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of NO ACRONYMS by MILWAUKEE BREW)
5  RAGGITY SAND 5 66¾ 76 74½ 44½ 67½ 617¼ (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 28% 2.60 5.89  
  (by UNION RAGS out of ISLAND SAND by TABASCO CAT)
6  ANGORA DEB 6 1nk 1½ 2nk 64¾ 710½ 728 (stall m)LANERIE J 118 12.00 12.78  
  (by VIOLENCE out of PLAY BALLADO by SAINT BALLADO)
 
CD-8   04/29/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:39
See original race card.
:221 :443 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTA BENE 1 6 54½ 65¾   32½ 11 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 22% 3.50 2.15 W
8  MADRILENA (ARG) 7 2 43 33   2½ 21 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 6.06 P
3  QUICK MUNNY 3 1 11½ 13   1½ 32½ (hartman chr)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 6.84  
9  ATLANTIC STRIKE 8 5 64¾ 55¾   65 43 (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 9% 10.20 12.72  
4  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT 4 4 74¾ 76   54½ 53¼ (cano juan )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00 29.02  
2  FROZEN SOLID 2 7 85¾ 87   76 64 (lynch brian)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 4.10  
5  AWESOME LAWSON 5 8 33 23   44 75¼ (vesty clark)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00 45.78  
7  PARENTS PRIDE 6 3 21½ 45½   8100 8100 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 40% 1.50 2.30  
SCR  AWESOME TREAT               (wojczyns)RODRIGUEZ A 117 10.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  MERCY WARREN               (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00    
 
CD-9   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Roxelana Overnight Purse ($175K) 4UP M/F PT-10:11
See original race card.
:22 :451 :564     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANK'S ROCKETTE 1 3 32 21   11 1¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 0.60 48% 1.10 0.45 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ROCKET TWENTYONE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  LAST LEAF 2 4 43 42½   21 2¾ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 20.00 16.55  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MY MISS KALLIE by PADDY O'PRADO)
5  PRETTY BIRDIE 4 1 11½ 11   33 37¾ (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 11% 8.40 2.94 S
  (by BIRD SONG out of BIRD SENSE by STREET SENSE)
6  COPPELIA 5 2 21½ 32   46 412¾ (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 16% 5.20 5.00  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CRESPANO by MINESHAFT)
3  PRAISE AND HONOR 3 5 54 57   510 520 (wong jonathan)ROCCO S 118 20.00 19.41  
  (by HONOR CODE out of GOING TO KUKARO by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  MY DESTINY               (wilensky he)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00    
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of NORTHERN DESTINY by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR)
 
CD-10   04/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-10:42
See original race card.
:243 :494 1:144 1:392   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NEIGHBOR 2 3 52½ 31 31 1nk 1¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 10.22  
7  PLENTY OF TIME 5 6 21 21 2nk 31 2¾ (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 14.78  
8  KANSAS COMET 6 2 11 11 1nk 2nk 32 (romans dal)CORRALES GERARDO 126 3.00 46% 1.20 5.03 S
9  BOOSTER SHOT 7 5 42 52¼ 41¼ 46½ 412¾ (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 ★ 7.04  
4  CAMBIASO 3 4 64½ 62¼ 73¾ 67¼ 513¾ (garcia ge)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 33.27  
12  T LAW 10 11 85½ 94 53¼ 57 614¼ (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 ★ 27.79  
10  CRONUS 8 9 95½ 84 85¼ 79¼ 716 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 126 6.00 ★ 6.11  
1  DESERT HIGHWAY 1 8 119 119 107½ 912¾ 816 (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00 20.33  
13  SUCCEED 11 7 75 73¾ 95½ 812¼ 919½ (cash l)BEJARANO R 126 3.50 31% 2.30 5.39  
5  TIZ TWENTY TWENTY 4 1 31½ 42 63¾ 1013¼ 1023½ (mccarthy michael )SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 1.94  
11  YES POINT 9 10 107 107 118 1118¼ 1134¼ (mckeever andre)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 44.21  
SCR  CODE OF KINGS               (glyshaw tim)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  NAVY CROSS               (engler jeff)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
SCR  SCHMEAR               (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.