The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Churchill Downs
Saturday - April 29, 2023

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CD-1   04/29/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:231 :462 1:12     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INVASIVE 4 4 4 3   1nk 1¾ (kendall elise)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 21.70  
TEXAS TED 2 3 32 4   31 2¾ (barkley jaso)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.50 8.08  
MY FAVORITE UNCLE 5 6 75 5   43¾ (capps a)BEJARANO R 125 5.00 63% 0.60 3.16 S
HAIL ALLEN 1 1 1 11   2nk 4(blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 3.95  
10  SPUNS SON 9 7 87 8   66 5(taylor brent)GILLIGAN JACK 125 20.00 28.30  
BLUEGRASS LUTE 7 8 65 6   769 (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 3.00 4.04  
MR. YASUDA 8 9 912 912¾   89 79 (maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 125 15.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
FANEUIL HALL 6 5 54 7   910 813¼ (gazzier k)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 5.00 11% 8.40 7.00  
MILITARY CODE 3 2 2 21   55 919¾ (vaccarezza carl)CANNON DECLAN 125 8.00 12.63  
SCR  SMALL SAILOR               (garcia gena)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
 
CD-2   04/29/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:28
:231 :46 1:11     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON A SPREE 4 2 5 31   16 112¼ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 18% 4.60 4.13 W
ONE LAST HAND 5 3 21 4   37 212¼ (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 118 12.00 9.15  
PICASSO 7 5 31 2nk   26 312¼ (walden wil)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.50 17% 4.90 5.63 S
CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT 1 8 74 7   59 413¼ (esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 11% 8.20 10.49  
MALIBU TIME 2 4 42 5   6515¾ (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50 8.28  
COVE BLUE 8 1 11 1nk   47 618¼ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.00 28% 2.60 1.70  
KEEN ON YOU 3 6 8 8   712½ 718¾ (cundiff waylo)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 38.30  
GORMLEYS GOT GAME 6 7 6 6   813½ 831½ (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 118 10.00 4.59  
 
CD-3   04/29/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
:23 :462 1:121     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET POCKET 6 4 4 4   33 1(romans dale)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 1.11  
STAYINYOURLANE 5 1 31 2   22(stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 4.06  
CHOWMEIN 2 3 2nk 1   13(kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 4.71 S
10  MIDWAY MIRACLE 8 7 84 64   44(lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 125 15.00 10.52  
SECRET EDGE 1 8 7 7   67 5(hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 20.00 41.82  
SCOTCH NO ROCKS 4 5 52 3   5611¼ (roberson de)HERNANDEZ J 125 10.00 9% 9.60 10.05  
UNCAPTURED DREAM 3 2 1nk 53   713 729 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 125 3.50 17% 5.00 6.32  
SPINSTRAWINTO GOLD 7 6 6 8   820 845½ (scherer marianne)COHEN DAVID 125 15.00 32.03  
SCR  LUCKY SMILE               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 125 10.00    
SCR  NARA               (howard d)MCKEE J 125 3.00 50% 1.00    
 
CD-4   04/29/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
:251 :502 1:144 1:401   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORDIC LIGHT 5 4 4 42 3 2nk 1(cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.50 23% 3.40 2.32 W
WRITEITONTHEICE 1 2 3 32 4 42 2(fernandez edward)MCKEE J 124 5.00 3.83 P
RIGHT OF RUSH 2 1 11 1½ 2nk 3½ 3(brenklin e)RODRIGUEZ A 119 5.00 12.01  
SPRINKLEHEAD 4 5 21 2½ 1nk 1nk 4(miller f)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00 3.24  
LEVY 6 3 6 5 5 58 59 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 3.50 37% 1.70 3.03  
RONITHELIMODRIVER 3 7 54 6 6 6612 (leonard george )CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00 16% 5.20 10.36  
MONEY PIT 7 6 7 7 710 710½ 713¾ (hill f)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 6.00 16.76  
 
CD-5   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
:211 :444 :572     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIDEKICK 7 2 32 1nk   12 1(asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 32% 2.10 2.20 W
MAPPER 4 7 66 55   32(arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 21% 3.70 1.72 P
LUDWIG 1 6 2nk 2nk   22 3(bauer phili)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.38 S
TESTIMONY TIME 9 5 7 6   710½ 413½ (brumley william )ELLIOTT JANE 124 20.00 5% 19.00 47.47  
ZED 2 1 44 44   5513¾ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 14.85  
SHADY DAREDEVIL 5 4 1nk 31   47 614¾ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 16% 5.10 6.68  
TIMETOMAKEMISCHIEF 6 3 5 77   610 715¾ (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 8.11  
SATURDAY LONG LEGS 3 9 910¾ 89   814 826½ (frazier matt)LANERIE J 118 20.00 34.23  
FLYING HOUDINI 8 10 1013¾ 1016½   1023 936¾ (mardif jame)CORREA L 124 20.00 54.83  
10  STIRDATPOT 10 8 8 912½   921 1038 (londono genevie)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 35.57  
 
CD-6   04/29/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
:241 :494 1:144 1:372   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASING THE CROWN 1 3 5 58 31 11 1(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 1.40 52% 0.90 0.41 W
UNLEASH THE POWER 5 5 1 1 11 21 2(stall m)LANERIE J 125 8.00 15.16  
GO BALI GO 4 1 2 2 21 33 3(nance jonathan)BEJARANO R 125 10.00 25.79  
MAASAI WARRIOR 2 7 6 710½ 7 46 4(leonard george )MORALES EDGAR 125 2.00 5.64  
MODERN SCIENCE (IRE) 3 2 7 6 42 5511½ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 125 4.50 5.32  
NICHOLAS JONES 7 6 46 4 63 69 611½ (miller jerom)HERNANDEZ J 125 15.00 15.25  
MINISTER FOR MAGIC 6 4 35 36 5 7716 (cibelli jane)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 25.08  
SCR  GIANT GAME               (romans dale)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  REDEEMER               (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR               (bauer a)VELAZQUEZ R 125 2.00    
 
CD-7   04/29/2023 6600ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
:24 :484 1:142 1:401   2:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEAK POPULARITY 3 55 53 31 32 1¼ (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 36% 1.80 2.40 W
MEDAGLIA FOREVER 2 2nk 2½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 2¼ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 4.75  
CORSINI 7 332 31 2nk 1nk 3½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 15% 5.60 1.53 S
SHE'S MAGIC 1 444 42 7 46 411½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00 23.19  
ABBREVIATION 4 76 64 5 57 514 (mott riley)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 10.06  
RAGGITY SAND 5 676 7 4 6617¼ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 28% 2.60 5.89  
ANGORA DEB 6 1nk 1½ 2nk 6 710½ 728 (stall m)LANERIE J 118 12.00 12.78  
 
CD-8   04/29/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:39
:221 :443 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTA BENE 1 6 5 6   311 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 22% 3.50 2.15 W
MADRILENA (ARG) 7 2 43 33   2½ 21 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 6.06 P
QUICK MUNNY 3 1 1 13   1½ 3(hartman chris)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 6.84  
ATLANTIC STRIKE 8 5 6 5   65 43 (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 9% 10.20 12.72  
MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT 4 4 7 76   55(cano mu)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00 29.02  
FROZEN SOLID 2 7 8 87   76 64 (lynch a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 4.10  
AWESOME LAWSON 5 8 33 23   44 7(vesty clarke)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00 45.78  
PARENTS PRIDE 6 3 2 4   8100 8100 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 40% 1.50 2.30  
SCR  AWESOME TREAT               (wojczynski)RODRIGUEZ A 117 10.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  MERCY WARREN               (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00    
 
CD-9   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Roxelana Overnight Purse ($175K) 4UP M/F PT-10:11
:22 :451 :564     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANK'S ROCKETTE 1 3 32 21   11 1¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 0.60 48% 1.10 0.45 W
LAST LEAF 2 4 43 4   21 2¾ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 20.00 16.55  
PRETTY BIRDIE 4 1 1 11   33 3(casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 11% 8.40 2.94 S
COPPELIA 5 2 2 32   46 412¾ (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 16% 5.20 5.00  
PRAISE AND HONOR 3 5 54 57   510 520 (wong jonathan)ROCCO S 118 20.00 19.41  
SCR  MY DESTINY               (wilensky herm)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00    
 
CD-10   04/29/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-10:42
:243 :494 1:144 1:392   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEIGHBOR 2 3 5 31 31 1nk 1¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 10.22  
PLENTY OF TIME 5 6 21 21 2nk 31 2¾ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 14.78  
KANSAS COMET 6 2 11 11 1nk 2nk 32 (romans dale)CORRALES GERARDO 126 3.00 46% 1.20 5.03 S
BOOSTER SHOT 7 5 42 5 4 4412¾ (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 7.04  
CAMBIASO 3 4 6 6 7 6513¾ (garcia gena)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 33.27  
12  T LAW 10 11 8 94 5 57 614¼ (beckman wh)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 27.79  
10  CRONUS 8 9 9 84 8 7716 (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 126 6.00 6.11  
DESERT HIGHWAY 1 8 119 119 10 912¾ 816 (antonuik j)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00 20.33  
13  SUCCEED 11 7 75 7 9 812¼ 919½ (cash l)BEJARANO R 126 3.50 31% 2.30 5.39  
TIZ TWENTY TWENTY 4 1 3 42 6 1013¼ 1023½ (mccarthy w)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 1.94  
11  YES POINT 9 10 107 107 118 1118¼ 1134¼ (mckeever andrew)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 44.21  
SCR  CODE OF KINGS               (glyshaw tim)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  NAVY CROSS               (engler jeff)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
SCR  SCHMEAR               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.