Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Thursday - April 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-3   EXA (2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-7 $13.09 $1.09 9%
KEE-5   EXA (4/9/5/3)-(4/9/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-7 $61.64 $45.64 285%
    PK4 (8/10/6)-(2/6/4/7)-(9/2)-(4/9/5/3) 96 $0.50 $48.00  6/8/10-2/5-2/4/5/9/10-4 $182.64 $134.64 281%
KEE-8   WIN (3/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $9.76 $1.76 22%
    EXA (3/7/5/4)-(3/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-4 $38.47 $26.47 221%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MANCHESTER 8 8 53¾ 33½   2nk 1½ (engler jeff)LANERIE J 125 1.60 ★ 2.28  
3  KASIMBA 3 4 21½ 21   3.2 2½ (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.00 66% 0.50 2.85 P
6  ALL JOKES ASIDE 6 1 11½ 11   1nk 34¾ (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 8.02  
7  PLATINUM GHOST 7 2 74¼ 45½   54¼ 46¼ (hansen scott)STEVENS C 118 30.00 5% 19.00 9.41  
5  HYPER SPEED 5 6 84½ 66   44¼ 56¾ (zito p)BEJARANO R 118 4.50 12.24  
4  VALUABLE CARGO 4 7 64¼ 56   64¾ 67¼ (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00 4.17  
1  GIANT AWAKENING 1 3 31½ 76¼   76¾ 712½ (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00 5% 19.00 21.09  
2  LEVEL UP 2 5 41¾ 88¼   810¾ 822½ (nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 8.39  
 
KEE-2   04/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :461 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FANDOM (GB) 8 1 12 12½   15 16¾ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 26% 2.90 0.63 W
  (by UNKNOWN out of BROGAN by NIJINSKY II)
4  BLAST FURNACE 4 5 22 22½   25 26¾ (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 4.10  
  (by THE FACTOR out of ALIQUIPPA by NATIVE ALLIANCE)
5  SAINT ROCCO 5 8 77½ 66½   47 37¼ (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 42.77  
  (by ACCELERATE out of MAGICAL DANCER by FLAT OUT)
2  EARLY MUNNY 2 3 43 32½   36½ 410½ (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 7.29  
  (by MUNNINGS out of PI BELLA by PIONEERING)
3  THE RUSH IS ON 3 2 32½ 55   610½ 514¼ (vosler eugene)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 30.00 41.65  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CARRIE by GONE ASTRAY)
7  CALHOUN 6 6 54 43   59 615¼ (antonacci )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 ★ 5.69  
  (by UNCLE MO out of LADIES' PRIVILEGE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
1  KEEPYOURPRANCEON 1 7 89½ 89   712½ 717 (mendez luis)STEVENS C 116 10.00 31.10  
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SHES A REAL KEEPER by UNUSUAL HEAT)
9  LAUGH NOW 7 4 65½ 77   818½ 827¼ (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 119 30.00 ★ 26.75  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of LITTLE PAO by TIZNOW)
SCR  CANDYMAKER               (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 27% 2.70    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CURUZU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  ORE MINE               (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00 22% 3.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of GEMSTONE by GEMOLOGIST)
 
KEE-3   04/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:11     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ARDEN'S ASSAULT 2 1 11 12½   18 111 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.60 27% 2.70 2.10 W
  (by VIOLENCE out of CAN'T EXPLAIN by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  FAST N HAPPY 6 6 67 55½   28 211 (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 9% 10.00 3.55 P
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ONE FAST FROG by FIRST SAMURAI)
1  PATIENCE WORTH 1 4 33½ 44   313 319 (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 9.71  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of HYSTERICALADY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  BLUE TOPAZ 5 2 55 66½   514½ 421 (foley greg)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 26% 2.90 4.90  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CAROLINE COUNTY by TAPIZAR)
4  MILIEU 4 5 43½ 34   413 523½ (mott william )ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 12% 7.50 3.44  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SLEW'S QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  UNION HARMONY 3 3 21 22½   617 631¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 5.19  
  (by UNION RAGS out of LESLIE'S HARMONY by CURLIN)
SCR  MO TOWN MAYHEM               (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of TOWN TOUR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
KEE-4   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :464 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CAMI CAT 2 2 11 13   16 18¾ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 126 3.00 9% 10.70 1.14 W
3  SOCIAL MANDATE 3 6 21 23   26 28¾ (hancock john )CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00 ★ 4.49 P
7  SWEET BEAUTY 5 3 42 66¼   47½ 39¼ (claire alex)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.50 ★ 3.80 S
6  XTRASAUCEWELLDONE 4 4 63 55¾   57½ 410 (nihei mi)RODRIGUEZ A 113 50.00 33.23  
11  PUGLIA 7 5 52 45½   610 511½ (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 124 20.00 ★ 4.36  
1  SPIRITCATCHER 1 7 76½ 79¼   712 612½ (gorder kellyn)LANERIE J 124 15.00 10.93  
8  PAPPYSAYSYES 6 1 31½ 33   37 712½ (catalano wa)PETERSON FERRIN 124 30.00 27.23  
SCR  ECONOMIC HANGOVER               (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 66% 0.50    
SCR  FAST GAL               (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00    
SCR  SONNYNEEDSMONEY               (west w)MORALES EDGAR 124 30.00    
SCR  YOU'RE AVOIDING ME               (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 124 6.00    
 
KEE-5   04/27/2023 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:151 1:41 2:053 2:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) 4 76¾ 78½ 54½ 42 4¾ 11¼ (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.40 31% 2.30 3.08 W
7  ENGLISH CONQUEROR 7 21½ 2½ 21½ 2½ 2nk 21¼ (banach da)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 ★ 19.01 P
9  SIR FOR SURE 9 11½ 32 33 3½ 3.2 31½ (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 25% 3.00 2.47 S
1  KITTEN MISCHIEF 1 64¾ 67 75 52¼ 51¾ 42¾ (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 3.61  
8  MICROPHONE (IRE) 8 42 1½ 11½ 1½ 1nk 52¾ (west w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 32.49  
6  SIX MINUS 6 32 45 64½ 63¾ 63¾ 64½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 7.37  
5  WICKED FAST 5 54½ 57 43½ 74¾ 75¼ 79 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 16% 5.30 3.71  
3  COOL RAGS 3 98¾ 911½ 86½ 87¼ 87¼ 89¾ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 5% 19.00 56.21  
2  BLANKET OF ROSES 2 88¾ 810½ 97 910¼ 910¾ 914½ (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 118 50.00 78.16  
 
KEE-6   04/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:15 1:403   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YO PUEDO 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 12½ 13¾ (medina rober)GEROUX FLORENT 125 8.00 2.57  
5  POUT 3 3 21 2½ 2nk 22½ 23¾ (zito p)BEJARANO R 125 8.00 11.58  
6  PENTAGON 4 2 52 52½ 52¼ 45½ 38½ (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 125 1.80 ★ 2.32 S
8  DE JORIA 6 4 41½ 31 31½ 35½ 49 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 73% 0.40 1.56  
7  LILY'S CREED 5 6 63½ 64 64¾ 68½ 511¾ (scherer mariann)LANERIE J 118 20.00 ★ 13.78  
3  BYZANTINE 2 5 31 41½ 42 56½ 613¼ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 15.00 ★ 12.63  
SCR  SHE'S ALL CLASS               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.50    
SCR  SILVERLEAF               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00    
 
KEE-7   04/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:132 1:244   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MISS RIDDLER 8 4 11 11 1nk 12½ 11 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 117 10.00 10.91  
5  BE MY SUNSHINE 5 10 63 63½ 63¾ 34 21 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 3.50 24% 3.10 3.39 P
3  VENENCIA (FR) 3 12 128 117 96¾ 76 31¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 117 2.50 20% 3.90 1.55 S
10  MISS PEABODY 10 5 52½ 42½ 32 44 43 (newton troy)BEJARANO R 117 20.00 6% 15.40 16.26  
4  GROMANTINE (FR) 4 1 31½ 32 53¼ 54½ 53½ (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 117 6.00 18% 4.50 10.32  
9  CLOUDY BAY 9 6 21 21 2nk 22½ 64¼ (davis chri)HERNANDEZ J 117 20.00 38.98  
6  DESERT TEMPEST 6 7 73½ 84 75¾ 87 75¾ (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 10.00 11.10  
11  PUFFIN 11 9 95½ 95½ 85¾ 65½ 86¼ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 117 30.00 33.10  
1  BOUDICA 1 11 117 127¼ 119¾ 108¾ 97½ (carroll josie)ROSARIO JOEL 117 8.00 23.88  
7  TAMMY TAP TAP TAP 7 3 41½ 53 43 97¼ 107½ (bauer philip )CANNON DECLAN 117 12.00 6% 15.10 7.84  
2  SWEET ALYSSA 2 2 106½ 106 108¾ 1110¾ 119 (pessin ne)LEPAROUX R 117 20.00 33.02  
14  CHICA DE ORO 12 8 84½ 74 1210¼ 1212¼ 1210¾ (tomlinson michael )GRAHAM J 117 30.00 43.83  
SCR  JENNY LIND               (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 112 15.00    
SCR  MO SHIRO               (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00    
SCR  NEED SOME MONEY               (hamilton s)HERNANDEZ J 117 20.00    
SCR  SILVER STRIPES               (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 117 15.00    
 
KEE-8   04/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:104     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BRAGANZA 5 6 32 3½   13 17¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 11% 8.20 3.88 W
4  TAKE CARE 4 3 64½ 54   46½ 27¼ (medina robert)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 8% 11.20 10.85 P
6  TALES OF HOME 6 1 1½ 1nk   23 39½ (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 3.60  
7  NON VIOLENCE 7 2 2½ 2nk   34½ 411 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 15% 5.60 4.28  
2  STORY HOUR 2 4 54 65   69½ 515 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00 5.82  
1  AIN'T BROKE 1 7 76½ 75¼   57½ 616¾ (calhoun william)LANERIE J 118 8.00 3.90  
3  SEND FOR ME 3 5 42 42½   710½ 727 (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 39% 1.60 5.91  
 
KEE-9   04/27/2023 6270ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:224 :474 1:122 1:363   1:543   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MONJID 3 2 1½ 11½ 11 13½ 1¾ (mckeever and)GEROUX FLORENT 126 15.00 19.66  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of SUMAYYA by OASIS DREAM (GB))
2  KING CURLIN 2 1 54 54½ 55 44 2¾ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 126 10.00 19% 4.30 12.12 P
  (by CURLIN out of BLINGISMYTHING by ARCH)
9  CAROOM 9 8 86½ 76½ 77 33½ 31 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 126 12.00 20.30  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ELLE BELLE by EL PRADO (IRE))
1  GETTLEMAN 1 3 31½ 32 32½ 23½ 42 (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 2.70  
  (by HARD SPUN out of ESTELLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  MIRACLE ON ICE 4 12 1211½ 1211½ 1111½ 67 52¾ (hughes g)BEJARANO R 126 20.00 5% 19.00 27.27  
  (by DIALED IN out of MAGICAL VICTORY by VICTORY GALLOP)
6  DR KRINGLE 6 9 97 98½ 99½ 108¾ 64 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 126 6.00 5.64  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of HUG DOC by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
12  BORDER WAR 12 7 75½ 87 87½ 118¾ 74¼ (mcgaughey )GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 3.50 24% 3.20 3.49  
  (by WAR FRONT out of HOMEBOUND by DIXIE UNION)
5  SON OF THUNDER 5 5 2½ 21½ 21 55 84½ (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 126 20.00 7% 13.90 18.91  
  (by UNCLE MO out of CHATTERTOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  BEE WELL 8 6 64 65½ 65½ 87¾ 94¾ (sisterson jack)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 8.25  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of BERNARDETTE by A.P. INDY)
7  QAADER 7 11 107½ 109½ 1011 98¼ 105 (trujillo elvis)STEVENS C 116 50.00 95.77  
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of REDINHA by DANSILI (GB))
10  MISSIONAIRE 10 4 42 43 43½ 77¼ 115¼ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 23% 3.40 5.20  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of DIVINITE by MR. SIDNEY)
11  ROENICK 11 10 118 1111 1213½ 1210¼ 127 (corrigan jim)CANNON DECLAN 118 50.00 90.74  
  (by UNION RAGS out of SEE ROCK CITY by TAPIT)
SCR  BOONE'S PATH               (young r)LANERIE J 126 30.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of INDIAN CARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  HIDDEN PATH               (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOTS O' LEX by KITALPHA)
SCR  PEEK               (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of WE USE TO SING by MINESHAFT)
SCR  SELF RULE               (preston randy)LEZCANO ABEL 126 20.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of TEMPERENCE GIFT by KINGMAMBO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.