Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Thursday - April 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $6.56  
KEE-2   Win (8/10/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 1 $3.26 $3.26  
KEE-3   Win (2/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $6.20 $6.20  
KEE-4   Win (9/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $4.28 $4.28 0.28
KEE-5   Win (4/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $8.16 $8.16 0.16
KEE-6   Win (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00 1 1 0 $7.14  
KEE-7   Win (5/3/4/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $23.82  
KEE-8   Win (3/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $9.76 $9.76 1.76
KEE-9   Win (12/10/2/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $41.32  

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANCHESTER 8 8 5 3   2nk 1½ (engler jeff)LANERIE J 125 1.60 2.28  
KASIMBA 3 4 2 21   3.2 2½ (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.00 66% 0.50 2.85 P
ALL JOKES ASIDE 6 1 1 11   1nk 3 (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 8.02  
PLATINUM GHOST 7 2 7 4   5 4 (hansen scott)STEVENS C 118 30.00 5% 19.00 9.41  
HYPER SPEED 5 6 8 66   4 5 (zito p)BEJARANO R 118 4.50 12.24  
VALUABLE CARGO 4 7 6 56   6 6 (hamilton sarah)GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00 4.17  
GIANT AWAKENING 1 3 3 7   7 712½ (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00 5% 19.00 21.09  
LEVEL UP 2 5 4 8   810¾ 822½ (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 8.39  
 
KEE-2   04/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :461 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FANDOM (GB) 8 1 12 1   15 1 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 26% 2.90 0.63 W
BLAST FURNACE 4 5 22 2   25 2 (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 4.10  
SAINT ROCCO 5 8 7 6   47 3 (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 42.77  
EARLY MUNNY 2 3 43 3   3 410½ (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 7.29  
THE RUSH IS ON 3 2 3 55   610½ 514¼ (vosler s)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 30.00 41.65  
CALHOUN 6 6 54 43   59 615¼ (antonacci ph)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 5.69  
KEEPYOURPRANCEON 1 7 8 89   712½ 717 (mendez luis)STEVENS C 116 10.00 31.10  
LAUGH NOW 7 4 6 77   818½ 827¼ (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 119 30.00 26.75  
SCR  CANDYMAKER               (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 27% 2.70    
SCR  ORE MINE               (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00 22% 3.50    
 
KEE-3   04/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:11     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARDEN'S ASSAULT 2 1 11 1   18 111 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.60 27% 2.70 2.10 W
FAST N HAPPY 6 6 67 5   28 211 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 9% 10.00 3.55 P
PATIENCE WORTH 1 4 3 44   313 319 (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 9.71  
BLUE TOPAZ 5 2 55 6   514½ 421 (foley greg)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 26% 2.90 4.90  
MILIEU 4 5 4 34   413 523½ (mott i)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 12% 7.50 3.44  
UNION HARMONY 3 3 21 2   617 631¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 5.19  
SCR  MO TOWN MAYHEM               (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
 
KEE-4   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :464 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMI CAT 2 2 11 13   16 1 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 126 3.00 9% 10.70 1.14 W
SOCIAL MANDATE 3 6 21 23   26 2 (hancock a)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00 4.49 P
SWEET BEAUTY 5 3 42 6   4 3 (claire alexis)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.50 3.80 S
XTRASAUCEWELLDONE 4 4 63 5   5 410 (nihei mich)RODRIGUEZ A 113 50.00 33.23  
11  PUGLIA 7 5 52 4   610 511½ (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 124 20.00 4.36  
SPIRITCATCHER 1 7 7 7   712 612½ (gorder kellyn)LANERIE J 124 15.00 10.93  
PAPPYSAYSYES 6 1 3 33   37 712½ (catalano wayn)PETERSON FERRIN 124 30.00 27.23  
SCR  ECONOMIC HANGOVER               (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 66% 0.50    
SCR  FAST GAL               (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00    
SCR  SONNYNEEDSMONEY               (west w)MORALES EDGAR 124 30.00    
SCR  YOU'RE AVOIDING ME               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 124 6.00    
 
KEE-5   04/27/2023 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:151 1:41 2:053 2:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) 4 7 7 5 42 4¾ 1 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.40 31% 2.30 3.08 W
ENGLISH CONQUEROR 7 2 2½ 2 2½ 2nk 2 (banach darw)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 19.01 P
SIR FOR SURE 9 1 32 33 3½ 3.2 3 (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 25% 3.00 2.47 S
KITTEN MISCHIEF 1 6 67 75 5 5 4 (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 3.61  
MICROPHONE (IRE) 8 42 1½ 1 1½ 1nk 5 (west w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 32.49  
SIX MINUS 6 32 45 6 6 6 6 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 7.37  
WICKED FAST 5 5 57 4 7 7 79 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 16% 5.30 3.71  
COOL RAGS 3 9 911½ 8 8 8 8 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 5% 19.00 56.21  
BLANKET OF ROSES 2 8 810½ 97 910¼ 910¾ 914½ (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 118 50.00 78.16  
 
KEE-6   04/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:15 1:403   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YO PUEDO 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 1 1 (medina robert)GEROUX FLORENT 125 8.00 2.57  
POUT 3 3 21 2½ 2nk 2 2 (zito p)BEJARANO R 125 8.00 11.58  
PENTAGON 4 2 52 5 5 4 3 (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 125 1.80 2.32 S
DE JORIA 6 4 4 31 3 3 49 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 73% 0.40 1.56  
LILY'S CREED 5 6 6 64 6 6 511¾ (scherer marianne)LANERIE J 118 20.00 13.78  
BYZANTINE 2 5 31 4 42 5 613¼ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 15.00 12.63  
SCR  SHE'S ALL CLASS               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.50    
SCR  SILVERLEAF               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00    
 
KEE-7   04/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:132 1:244   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS RIDDLER 8 4 11 11 1nk 1 11 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 117 10.00 10.91  
BE MY SUNSHINE 5 10 63 6 6 34 21 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 3.50 24% 3.10 3.39 P
VENENCIA (FR) 3 12 128 117 9 76 3 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 117 2.50 20% 3.90 1.55 S
10  MISS PEABODY 10 5 5 4 32 44 43 (newton troy)BEJARANO R 117 20.00 6% 15.40 16.26  
GROMANTINE (FR) 4 1 3 32 5 5 5 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 117 6.00 18% 4.50 10.32  
CLOUDY BAY 9 6 21 21 2nk 2 6 (davis christ)HERNANDEZ J 117 20.00 38.98  
DESERT TEMPEST 6 7 7 84 7 87 7 (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 10.00 11.10  
11  PUFFIN 11 9 9 9 8 6 8 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 117 30.00 33.10  
BOUDICA 1 11 117 12 11 10 9 (carroll josie)ROSARIO JOEL 117 8.00 23.88  
TAMMY TAP TAP TAP 7 3 4 53 43 9 10 (bauer a)CANNON DECLAN 117 12.00 6% 15.10 7.84  
SWEET ALYSSA 2 2 10 106 10 1110¾ 119 (pessin neil)LEPAROUX R 117 20.00 33.02  
14  CHICA DE ORO 12 8 8 74 1210¼ 1212¼ 1210¾ (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 117 30.00 43.83  
SCR  JENNY LIND               (asmussen s)RODRIGUEZ A 112 15.00    
SCR  MO SHIRO               (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00    
SCR  NEED SOME MONEY               (hamilton sar)HERNANDEZ J 117 20.00    
SCR  SILVER STRIPES               (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 117 15.00    
 
KEE-8   04/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:104     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAGANZA 5 6 32 3½   13 1 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 11% 8.20 3.88 W
TAKE CARE 4 3 6 54   4 2 (medina robert)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 8% 11.20 10.85 P
TALES OF HOME 6 1 1½ 1nk   23 3 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 3.60  
NON VIOLENCE 7 2 2½ 2nk   3 411 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 15% 5.60 4.28  
STORY HOUR 2 4 54 65   6 515 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00 5.82  
AIN'T BROKE 1 7 7 7   5 616¾ (calhoun b)LANERIE J 118 8.00 3.90  
SEND FOR ME 3 5 42 4   710½ 727 (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 39% 1.60 5.91  
 
KEE-9   04/27/2023 6270ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:224 :474 1:122 1:363   1:543   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONJID 3 2 1½ 1 11 1 1¾ (mckeever andre)GEROUX FLORENT 126 15.00 19.66  
KING CURLIN 2 1 54 5 55 44 2¾ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 126 10.00 19% 4.30 12.12 P
CAROOM 9 8 8 7 77 3 31 (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 126 12.00 20.30  
GETTLEMAN 1 3 3 32 3 2 42 (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 2.70  
MIRACLE ON ICE 4 12 1211½ 1211½ 1111½ 67 5 (hughes g)BEJARANO R 126 20.00 5% 19.00 27.27  
DR KRINGLE 6 9 97 9 9 10 64 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 126 6.00 5.64  
12  BORDER WAR 12 7 7 87 8 11 7 (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 3.50 24% 3.20 3.49  
SON OF THUNDER 5 5 2½ 2 21 55 8 (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 126 20.00 7% 13.90 18.91  
BEE WELL 8 6 64 6 6 8 9 (sisterson jack)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 8.25  
QAADER 7 11 10 10 1011 9 105 (trujillo elvis)STEVENS C 116 50.00 95.77  
10  MISSIONAIRE 10 4 42 43 4 7 11 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 23% 3.40 5.20  
11  ROENICK 11 10 118 1111 1213½ 1210¼ 127 (corrigan jim)CANNON DECLAN 118 50.00 90.74  
SCR  BOONE'S PATH               (young r)LANERIE J 126 30.00    
SCR  HIDDEN PATH               (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
SCR  PEEK               (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
SCR  SELF RULE               (preston randy)LEZCANO ABEL 126 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.