Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Thursday - April 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-2   Win (10) 1 $2.00 $2.00
KEE-3   Win (2/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-4   Win (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00
KEE-5   Win (4/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-6   Win (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00
KEE-7   Win (5/3/4/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-8   Win (3/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-9   Win (12/10/2/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIANT AWAKENING Oct02 Aug31 Jul28 Jul08   (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
LEVEL UP Apr13 Nov26 Oct13 Sep10 Aug06 (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00    
KASIMBA         (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.00 66% 0.50    
VALUABLE CARGO Jan06         (hamilton sarah)GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00    
HYPER SPEED Apr08 Feb24 Sep29 Sep05   (zito p)BEJARANO R 118 4.50    
ALL JOKES ASIDE Apr14         (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
PLATINUM GHOST Mar15         (hansen scott)STEVENS C 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
MANCHESTER Mar16 Mar02 Feb16 Jan26   (engler jeff)LANERIE J 125 1.60    
 
KEE-2   04/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPYOURPRANCEON         (mendez luis)STEVENS C 116 10.00    
EARLY MUNNY Apr07         (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00    
THE RUSH IS ON Apr13         (vosler s)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 30.00    
BLAST FURNACE         (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SAINT ROCCO         (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
SCR  ORE MINE Apr13         (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00 22% 3.50    
CALHOUN         (antonacci ph)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  CANDYMAKER         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 27% 2.70    
LAUGH NOW         (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 119 30.00    
10  FANDOM (GB)         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
KEE-3   04/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATIENCE WORTH Mar04 Feb04 Jan07 Dec03 Oct07 (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 120 6.00    
ARDEN'S ASSAULT Mar18         (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.60 27% 2.70    
UNION HARMONY         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00    
MILIEU Mar16 Jan29 Dec11 Oct22 Sep18 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 12% 7.50    
SCR  MO TOWN MAYHEM Apr01         (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
BLUE TOPAZ Mar31         (foley greg)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
FAST N HAPPY Mar25 Feb15       (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 9% 10.00    
 
KEE-4   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRITCATCHER Mar30 Feb24 Feb08 Dec19   (gorder kellyn)LANERIE J 124 15.00    
CAMI CAT Mar30 Mar11 Jan21 Dec08 Nov09 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 126 3.00 9% 10.70    
SOCIAL MANDATE Apr08 Feb22 Jan18 Dec29 Nov27 (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00    
SCR  FAST GAL Jan25 Jan05 Jul17     (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00    
SCR  SONNYNEEDSMONEY Feb04 Jan12       (west w)MORALES EDGAR 124 30.00    
XTRASAUCEWELLDONE Mar18 Feb22 Jan26 Jan01 Dec07 (nihei mich)RODRIGUEZ A 113 50.00    
SWEET BEAUTY Mar03 Jan05 Nov03 Oct08 Jul20 (claire alexis)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.50    
PAPPYSAYSYES Dec28 Sep30 Sep15 Apr10 Feb11 (catalano wayn)PETERSON FERRIN 124 30.00    
SCR  ECONOMIC HANGOVER Mar26 Feb16 Dec26 Nov13 Sep13 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 66% 0.50    
SCR  YOU'RE AVOIDING ME Mar16 Feb23 Dec30 Nov11 Oct13 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 124 6.00    
11  PUGLIA Feb25 Feb01 Jan06 Dec15 Nov09 (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 124 20.00    
 
KEE-5   04/27/2023 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTEN MISCHIEF Jan01 Dec14 Oct26 Sep24 Mar12 (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
BLANKET OF ROSES Mar09 Feb18 Feb04 Dec29 Dec11 (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 118 50.00    
COOL RAGS Mar30 Mar11 Feb22 Jan21 Jan06 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) Feb05 Jan20 Nov25 Oct21 Sep17 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.40 31% 2.30    
WICKED FAST Apr01 Mar04 Jan28 Dec17 Nov19 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 16% 5.30    
SIX MINUS Feb03 Jan01 Oct29 Sep05 May29 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
ENGLISH CONQUEROR Dec04 Nov13 Oct13 Sep09 Aug21 (banach darw)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
MICROPHONE (IRE) Mar02 Feb03 Oct21 Aug28 Jun16 (west w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
SIR FOR SURE Oct02 Sep13 Aug21 Jul24 Jun12 (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
KEE-6   04/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YO PUEDO Mar12 Jul21 Jun10 Apr22   (medina robert)GEROUX FLORENT 125 8.00    
SCR  SHE'S ALL CLASS Mar16 Feb18 Nov27 Nov06 Oct07 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.50    
BYZANTINE Feb17 Jan21 May04 Apr02 Feb19 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 15.00    
SCR  SILVERLEAF Mar25 Oct23 Sep05 Jul09 Jun30 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00    
POUT Mar30 Feb17 Oct19 Aug12   (zito p)BEJARANO R 125 8.00    
PENTAGON Mar23 Jan28 Apr09 Mar18   (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 125 1.80    
LILY'S CREED Mar24 Feb28 Feb09 Jan25 Dec18 (scherer marianne)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
DE JORIA Mar31 Feb16 Dec10 Oct29 Sep22 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 73% 0.40    
 
KEE-7   04/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOUDICA Mar22 Oct08 Sep01 Aug10   (carroll josie)ROSARIO JOEL 117 8.00    
SWEET ALYSSA Mar25 Feb17 Jan21     (pessin neil)LEPAROUX R 117 20.00    
VENENCIA (FR)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 117 2.50 20% 3.90    
GROMANTINE (FR) Mar22         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 117 6.00 18% 4.50    
BE MY SUNSHINE Mar12 Jan08       (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 3.50 24% 3.10    
DESERT TEMPEST Mar18 Feb05 Oct15 Sep01   (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 10.00    
TAMMY TAP TAP TAP Feb11 Jan21       (bauer a)CANNON DECLAN 117 12.00 6% 15.10    
MISS RIDDLER Jul29         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 117 10.00    
CLOUDY BAY Mar12 Feb12 Dec28 Dec04 Oct26 (davis christ)HERNANDEZ J 117 20.00    
10  MISS PEABODY Mar04 Feb03 Jan11 Dec03 Nov12 (newton troy)BEJARANO R 117 20.00 6% 15.40    
11  PUFFIN Mar02 Jan25 Oct22 Sep25   (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 117 30.00    
SCR  MO SHIRO Mar02 Feb05 Dec31 Dec01 Oct30 (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00    
SCR  SILVER STRIPES Mar12 Feb05       (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 117 15.00    
14  CHICA DE ORO Mar31 Feb08 Jan05     (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 117 30.00    
SCR  NEED SOME MONEY Apr07 Feb04 Dec31 Nov18 Oct09 (hamilton sar)HERNANDEZ J 117 20.00    
SCR  JENNY LIND Feb23 Feb01 Nov18     (asmussen s)RODRIGUEZ A 112 15.00    
 
KEE-8   04/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIN'T BROKE Mar15 Feb16 Dec22 Nov27 Oct15 (calhoun b)LANERIE J 118 8.00    
STORY HOUR Mar02 Jan18 Dec29 Nov24 Feb13 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00    
SEND FOR ME Mar30 Feb15 Jan20 Dec14   (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 39% 1.60    
TAKE CARE Nov20 Oct23 Sep18 Aug07 Jul10 (medina robert)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 8% 11.20    
BRAGANZA Feb23 Jan01 Nov16 Oct29 Sep28 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 11% 8.20    
TALES OF HOME Mar16 Feb18 Jan14 Dec19 Nov18 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
NON VIOLENCE Feb12 Jan16 Dec22     (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 15% 5.60    
 
KEE-9   04/27/2023 6270ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GETTLEMAN Mar19         (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
KING CURLIN Mar25 Dec31 Dec03     (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 126 10.00 19% 4.30    
MONJID Mar01 Jan22 Nov30 Oct22 Oct08 (mckeever andre)GEROUX FLORENT 126 15.00    
MIRACLE ON ICE Mar25 Feb16 Jan25 Nov30 Oct05 (hughes g)BEJARANO R 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
SON OF THUNDER Mar25 Mar02 Jan25 Dec11   (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 126 20.00 7% 13.90    
DR KRINGLE Mar17         (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 126 6.00    
QAADER Mar25 Feb16 Jan25 Dec31 Nov11 (trujillo elvis)STEVENS C 116 50.00    
BEE WELL Mar18 Dec10 Nov05     (sisterson jack)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
CAROOM Mar01 Jan22 Dec17 Nov30 Oct22 (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 126 12.00    
10  MISSIONAIRE Mar18 Jan28       (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 23% 3.40    
11  ROENICK Apr01 Mar11 Aug26 Jul31   (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 50.00    
12  BORDER WAR Feb08 Dec21 Oct15 Jan15   (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  PEEK Feb10 Dec29       (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
SCR  BOONE'S PATH Apr15 Mar25 Mar02 Jan25 Dec31 (young r)LANERIE J 126 30.00    
SCR  HIDDEN PATH Mar31         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
SCR  SELF RULE Feb16 Jan25 Dec31 Nov30 Nov02 (preston randy)LEZCANO ABEL 126 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.