Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Hawthorne
Sunday - March 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-3   DD (1/4)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4 $7.80 $1.80 30%
HAW-4   PK3 (1/4)-(5/4/2)-(6/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00  1/2-4/5-3/6 $14.60 $5.60 62%
HAW-8   WIN (3/8/1/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $30.20 $20.20 202%
    EXA (3/8/1/4/6)-(3/8/1/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-3 $106.00 $86.00 430%
    TRI (3/8/1/4/6)-(3/8/1/4/6)-(3/8/1/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-3-1 $135.30 $105.30 351%
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   03/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:224 :46       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PO BOY 3 1 1½ 11   11½ 11¼ (hughes earl )GILES EMMANUEL 115 4.50 ★ 8.70  
5  SHACKLEFORD STRONG 5 4 3½ 21   21½ 21¼ (rosin w)EMIGH A 122 2.50 25% 3.00 0.40 P
6  HINK'S PALADIN 6 6 63 64½   53½ 32½ (johnston reb)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 ★ 16.90 S
4  TAPIT SAM 4 3 41½ 42½   43 42½ (reavis l)FELIX E 122 3.50 17% 4.80 8.80  
1  DEORA STORE 1 5 52½ 54   32 53¾ (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 21% 3.80 6.10  
2  VALLEY VISTA 2 2 2½ 31½   64 66¼ (campbell )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 32.70  
 
HAW-2   03/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:224 :462       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOM'S KINGDOM 1 3 1½ 2½   1½ 1nk (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 124 3.50 61% 0.60 0.80 W
4  TENSE 3 1 2½ 1½   2½ 2nk (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.50 10% 8.90 3.70 P
3  JEMEZ FALLS 2 2 3½ 31½   32 32¾ (kirby j)EMIGH A 124 5.00 ★ 6.90 S
5  PRETTY IN PRADO 4 5 44 46   44½ 46½ (boyce miche)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 5.00 6.30  
6  HOLD HER HOSTAGE 5 4 57½ 59   59½ 510¾ (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 4.00 ★ 8.20  
SCR  PRADA'S MIRACLE               (block chris)FELIX E 124 2.50 ★    
 
HAW-3   03/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:221 :454 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  THE LAST FACT 3 2 1nk 1½   13 16 (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 2.50 24% 3.20 1.10 W
6  K C'S FIRST B M W 4 3 2nk 2½   23 26 (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 ★ 1.30 P
3  KEEP ATTACKING 2 1 34 34½   35 37¼ (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 10.00 ★ 4.20 S
1  CAPTAIN CARNEGIE 1 4 49 411   411 413½ (ryan a)LOPEZ A 122 15.00 22.70  
SCR  ELI'S PROMISE               (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 116 1.60 33% 2.00    
SCR  TOM'S LAST GENERAL               (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
 
HAW-4   03/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:132 1:403   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LORRAINE'S LEGACY 4 2 21 1½ 1nk 14½ 16¾ (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 117 2.50 50% 1.00 1.00 W
  (by INCLUDE out of LOVING LORRAINE by BERNSTEIN)
2  JOYZELLA 2 3 32 2½ 2nk 24½ 26¾ (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 117 5.00 ★ 4.90 P
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TIZ TERESA by TIZNOW)
7  SUFFICE 5 4 42 42 31½ 37 310 (reed r)FELIX E 124 1.60 15% 5.60 1.80 S
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of SUSTAINABLE by SOCIETY MAX)
1  LIL CARRIE D 1 1 11 3½ 42 48½ 410¼ (slager mike)SANCHEZ DIEGO 117 15.00 ★ 7.60  
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of MOONLIGHT ESCAPADE by LION HEART)
5  TAVERN 3 5 53½ 55½ 55 511½ 519¾ (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 110 15.00 34.00  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SOCIAL STATEMENT by SUAVE)
SCR  HURRY UP CHIC CHIC               (reed r)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.00 13% 6.40    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of SNOOZE by FORESTRY)
SCR  SECRET OPERATION               (slager mike)ORM CORY 117 20.00    
  (by BELOMOR out of I'M SO BEAUTIFUL by GRAND SLAM)
 
HAW-5   03/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:12 1:39   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BOURBON DELIGHT 2 2 11½ 11½ 11½ 11½ 15¾ (castro isidr)GILES EMMANUEL 115 15.00 5.20  
1  MY GUITAR 1 1 32 31½ 33½ 33 25¾ (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 3.50 ★ 2.70 P
4  TROY OUNCE 4 3 21½ 21½ 21½ 21½ 36¾ (clay pat)FELIX E 122 15.00 13.50  
7  BEHAVIN MYSELF 6 6 44 44 46 46½ 412½ (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 17% 4.90 1.00  
3  IRISH MAJOR 3 4 56½ 55½ 59½ 57 517½ (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
6  WILLING TO SPEED 5 5 67 68 613½ 614 633¼ (perez manny)LOPEZ A 122 4.00 ★ 8.80  
SCR  KRAMDEN               (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
HAW-6   03/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:222 :452       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ICY RIVER 2 2 11½ 1nk   13½ 13 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 31% 2.20 1.80 W
1  FIRST KITTEN 1 1 42 63¾   56½ 23 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 8% 11.10 3.80 P
9  STORMY EMPIRE 8 7 64 42¼   34 33½ (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 3.00 13% 6.40 2.20 S
5  YO PUEDO 5 5 31½ 32   44 44½ (medina robert)COLON H 122 12.00 9.10  
7  RACEDAY ATTIRE 6 4 21½ 2nk   23½ 57¾ (sanchez oscar)MOJICA O 122 15.00 21.80  
8  RANK AND FILE 7 6 53½ 53¼   79¼ 610 (hughes w)LOPEZ A 122 20.00 73.90  
3  JOURNEYIST 3 3 74¼ 75¼   69 710¼ (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.50 13% 6.90 10.40  
4  TWELVE RED ROSES 4 8 88¾ 87¾   812¾ 815¾ (banks chris)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00 33.80  
SCR  MAYSTART               (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 12.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  SHE'S WANDAFUL               (miller r)BAIRD T 122 15.00    
SCR  TROUBLE FINDS ME               (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 20.00    
 
HAW-7   03/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:223 :453       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  UPBEAT MELODY 2 1 12 1nk   12½ 13½ (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 8.00 ★ 6.10  
5  FOLLOW THE SIGNS 3 3 22 3.2   22½ 23½ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.50 10% 9.20 3.30 P
8  JACK VAN BERG 5 4 32½ 2nk   33½ 37¾ (poulos dee)GILES EMMANUEL 115 8.00 22% 3.60 1.10 S
7  PUBLIC SAFETY 4 5 56½ 53¾   55 49¼ (rosin w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 12.00 8.10  
1  MOVE ON OVER 1 2 42½ 42¼   44 59¼ (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 17% 4.70 3.90  
SCR  CRANKSHAFT               (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 12.00    
SCR  FIGHT ON               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 2.50    
SCR  JAMMING CAMERON               (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  MIND YOUR OWN BIZ               (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
 
HAW-8   03/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
See original race card.
:22 :45       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  W W HOTSHOT 4 4 1½ 11   2½ 1¼ (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 115 8.00 10% 8.60 14.10 W
3  KHOZAN'S VALENTINE 3 2 41½ 42   3½ 2¼ (mosier ha)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 28% 2.50 11.10 P
1  GOLDEN HORNET 1 3 55 64¾   41½ 32½ (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 1.80 11% 8.50 0.60 S
2  MALPAIS 2 1 2½ 31   1½ 43 (villa francis)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 6.00 6.70  
6  KENNESAW 5 5 65¼ 74¾   76½ 55¾ (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 8% 11.40 43.00  
7  STAR OF KODIAK 6 7 76¼ 54½   65½ 66¼ (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 15.00 55.10  
8  BIG SPORT 7 6 3½ 21   54½ 78½ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.50 18% 4.50 3.60  
SCR  LUCKY SHOT               (poulos dee)FELIX E 122 15.00    
 
HAW-9   03/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:06
See original race card.
:223 :60         :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FROSTED ECLAIR 2 6 74¼ 31   11 11¾ (watkins m)FELIX E 124 10.00 6.30  
  (by FROSTED out of ECLAIR DE LUNE by MARCHAND DE SABLE)
4  BE MY BESTIE 4 4 31½ 41¼   41½ 21¾ (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 124 5.00 ★ 15.40 P
  (by LONG ISLAND SOUND out of LOSE NONE by ROYAL ACADEMY)
8  WILDWOOD TRIPLE 8 7 42 51¼   53 31¾ (becker scott)EMIGH A 118 4.50 5% 17.50 2.90 S
  (by GHAALEB out of TRIPLEHOTT by CITY ZIP)
7  FREEDOM ATTACK 7 8 2nk 1nk   31½ 42¼ (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 20.00 93.80  
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of LUCKY LIPSTICK by LUCKY LIONEL)
9  TU ROYAL 9 3 1nk 2nk   21 52½ (manley steve)BAIRD T 118 3.00 25% 2.90 2.80  
  (by TU BRUTUS out of ROYAL POSH by POSH)
6  CANTOO 6 9 912¾ 911¼   99 62¾ (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 111 6.00 ★ 4.40  
  (by CAN THE MAN out of CAUSEGOOD by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
5  MISS MIA 5 5 63¼ 62¾   63½ 73 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 15.00 42.00  
  (by DRILL SERGEANT out of MADAM MIZZEN by MIZZEN MAST)
3  DOMINIQUE 3 1 53 73¼   74 85½ (boyce miche)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 3.50 44% 1.30 5.00  
  (by DOMINUS out of HAPPY HENRIETTA by SUPREMO)
1  AIR GERRI 1 2 84¾ 85¼   87 99¼ (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 12.00 19.20  
  (by JACK MILTON out of AIR FEVER by AIR FORBES WON)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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