Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - March 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/6/3)-(5/1/4/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(1/4)-(4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
HAW-2   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/4)-(4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(4)-(6/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
HAW-3   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (4)-(6/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (4)-(6/7)-(7/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
HAW-4   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/7/2/1)-(6/7/2/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/7)-(7/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/7)-(7/3)-(2/9/3/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
HAW-5   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/3)-(2/9/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(2/9/3/1)-(8/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-6   WIN (2/9/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/3/1)-(2/9/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/3/1)-(2/9/3/1)-(2/9/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/3/1)-(8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/9/3/1)-(8/1/5)-(3/8/1/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-7   WIN (8/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/5)-(8/1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/5)-(8/1/5/4)-(8/1/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/5)-(3/8/1/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5)-(3/8/1/4/6)-(3/9/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-8   WIN (3/8/1/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/4/6)-(3/8/1/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/4/6)-(3/8/1/4/6)-(3/8/1/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/1/4/6)-(3/9/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HAW-9   WIN (3/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/8)-(3/9/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/8)-(3/9/8/4/6)-(3/9/8/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   03/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEORA STORE Dec30 Dec16 Dec02 Nov12 Nov04 (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
2  VALLEY VISTA Feb16 Jan05 Dec02 Nov18 Oct09 (campbell joe)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00    
3  PO BOY Dec16 Nov18 Oct30 Oct09 Jul01 (hughes earl )GILES EMMANUEL 115 4.50 ★    
4  TAPIT SAM Feb16 Feb03 Dec30 Dec10 Nov27 (reavis l)FELIX E 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
5  SHACKLEFORD STRONG Feb03 Jan07 Sep18 Jun30   (rosin w)EMIGH A 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
6  HINK'S PALADIN Feb10 Dec28 Dec10 Nov17 Aug12 (johnston reb)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 ★    
 
HAW-2   03/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOM'S KINGDOM Dec02         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 124 3.50 61% 0.60    
SCR  PRADA'S MIRACLE Nov27 Oct30 Oct09 Aug23   (block chris)FELIX E 124 2.50 ★    
3  JEMEZ FALLS Dec31 Dec02       (kirby j)EMIGH A 124 5.00 ★    
4  TENSE Dec02 Nov13 Oct21 Sep23 Sep09 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.50 10% 8.90    
5  PRETTY IN PRADO Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 Oct21 Sep30 (boyce miche)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 5.00    
6  HOLD HER HOSTAGE         (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 4.00 ★    
 
HAW-3   03/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTAIN CARNEGIE Dec30 Dec18 Dec04 Nov27 Nov13 (ryan a)LOPEZ A 122 15.00    
SCR  TOM'S LAST GENERAL Dec17 Nov25 Oct30 Oct20 Oct02 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
3  KEEP ATTACKING Dec16 Nov20 Nov04 Oct14 Sep24 (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 10.00 ★    
4  THE LAST FACT Dec30 Nov20       (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  ELI'S PROMISE Feb24 Jan20 Sep30 Aug14 Jul08 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 116 1.60 33% 2.00    
6  K C'S FIRST B M W Dec16 Nov04 Aug11 Jul13 Jun15 (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 ★    
 
HAW-4   03/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL CARRIE D Dec30 Dec16 Nov12 Oct14 Sep23 (slager mike)SANCHEZ DIEGO 117 15.00 ★    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of MOONLIGHT ESCAPADE by LION HEART)
2  JOYZELLA Dec30 Dec03 Nov12 Oct14 Sep23 (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 117 5.00 ★    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TIZ TERESA by TIZNOW)
SCR  HURRY UP CHIC CHIC Feb20 Dec05 Nov02 Sep13 Jul27 (reed r)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.00 13% 6.40    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of SNOOZE by FORESTRY)
SCR  SECRET OPERATION Dec30         (slager mike)ORM CORY 117 20.00    
  (by BELOMOR out of I'M SO BEAUTIFUL by GRAND SLAM)
5  TAVERN Dec30 Dec16 Nov26     (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 110 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SOCIAL STATEMENT by SUAVE)
6  LORRAINE'S LEGACY Dec16 Nov26 Oct15     (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 117 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by INCLUDE out of LOVING LORRAINE by BERNSTEIN)
7  SUFFICE Oct10 Sep08       (reed r)FELIX E 124 1.60 15% 5.60    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of SUSTAINABLE by SOCIETY MAX)
 
HAW-5   03/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY GUITAR Feb16 Jan08 Dec18 Aug06 Jul23 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 3.50 ★    
2  BOURBON DELIGHT Mar05 Jan19 Dec18 Dec10 Nov26 (castro isidr)GILES EMMANUEL 115 15.00    
3  IRISH MAJOR Dec16 Dec02 Nov12 Oct29 Oct09 (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  TROY OUNCE Feb26 Feb11 Dec09 Oct20 Sep21 (clay pat)FELIX E 122 15.00    
SCR  KRAMDEN Feb02 Jan10 Dec18 Dec02 Nov26 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
6  WILLING TO SPEED Dec02 Oct15 Sep30 Jun24 Jun04 (perez manny)LOPEZ A 122 4.00 ★    
7  BEHAVIN MYSELF Jan24 Dec30 Dec16 Dec02 Nov12 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
 
HAW-6   03/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST KITTEN Feb15 Jan19 Jan10 Dec09 Nov27 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 8% 11.10    
2  ICY RIVER Nov30 Nov20 Nov02 Oct01 Sep07 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
3  JOURNEYIST Nov27 Nov11 Oct15     (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.50 13% 6.90    
4  TWELVE RED ROSES Feb12 Jan28 Jun25 Jun03 May06 (banks chris)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00    
5  YO PUEDO Jul21 Jun10 Apr22     (medina robert)COLON H 122 12.00    
SCR  TROUBLE FINDS ME Jun24 May31 Apr30 Apr01 Mar19 (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 20.00    
7  RACEDAY ATTIRE Feb14 Dec18 Dec04 Nov01 Oct11 (sanchez oscar)MOJICA O 122 15.00    
8  RANK AND FILE Dec31 Nov20 Nov13 Oct07 Sep29 (hughes w)LOPEZ A 122 20.00    
9  STORMY EMPIRE Dec31 Dec18 Dec09 Nov25 Nov04 (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 3.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  MAYSTART Nov25 Nov11 Oct30 Sep24 Aug29 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 12.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  SHE'S WANDAFUL Dec31 Dec09 Nov13 Oct16 Oct01 (miller r)BAIRD T 122 15.00    
 
HAW-7   03/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOVE ON OVER Dec30 Dec17 Dec03 Nov06 Oct08 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 17% 4.70    
SCR  FIGHT ON Dec16 Nov18 May24 Apr26 Mar26 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 2.50    
SCR  JAMMING CAMERON Dec06 Nov15 Oct30 Aug30 Jul20 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
4  UPBEAT MELODY Nov13 Oct20 Oct02 Sep05 Aug15 (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 8.00 ★    
5  FOLLOW THE SIGNS Feb02 Dec30 Dec04 Nov13 Oct21 (vanden britt)FELIX E 122 3.50 10% 9.20    
SCR  MIND YOUR OWN BIZ Dec11 Nov18 Oct02 Sep13 Sep02 (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
7  PUBLIC SAFETY Dec30 Oct15 Sep15 Sep04 Aug10 (rosin w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 12.00    
8  JACK VAN BERG Dec31 Dec11 Nov18 Nov06 Oct07 (poulos dee)GILES EMMANUEL 115 8.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  CRANKSHAFT Sep16 Aug27 Jul30 Jul15 Jun28 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 12.00    
 
HAW-8   03/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN HORNET Feb25 Jan06 Dec10 Nov21 Nov06 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 1.80 11% 8.50    
2  MALPAIS Dec31 Nov26 Jun22 Jun04 May17 (villa francis)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 6.00    
3  KHOZAN'S VALENTINE Dec31 Dec11 Nov19 Sep24 Aug20 (mosier harol)TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00 28% 2.50    
4  W W HOTSHOT Nov26 Oct29 Sep24 Aug20 Aug05 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 115 8.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  LUCKY SHOT Dec31 Dec10 Oct30 Jul17 May01 (poulos dee)FELIX E 122 15.00    
6  KENNESAW Feb23 Jan05 Oct30 Oct02 Aug12 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 8% 11.40    
7  STAR OF KODIAK Dec31 Nov26 Oct22 Oct02 Jul21 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 15.00    
8  BIG SPORT Feb09 Dec31 Nov26 Nov04 Sep15 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
 
HAW-9   03/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIR GERRI Dec03 Oct14       (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 12.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of AIR FEVER by AIR FORBES WON)
2  FROSTED ECLAIR Oct21 Sep30       (watkins m)FELIX E 124 10.00    
  (by FROSTED out of ECLAIR DE LUNE by MARCHAND DE SABLE)
3  DOMINIQUE Dec30         (boyce miche)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 3.50 44% 1.30    
  (by DOMINUS out of HAPPY HENRIETTA by SUPREMO)
4  BE MY BESTIE Apr09         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 124 5.00 ★    
  (by LONG ISLAND SOUND out of LOSE NONE by ROYAL ACADEMY)
5  MISS MIA Dec02 Oct14 Sep17     (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 15.00    
  (by DRILL SERGEANT out of MADAM MIZZEN by MIZZEN MAST)
6  CANTOO Dec30 Dec03 Nov12 Sep23 Aug26 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 111 6.00 ★    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of CAUSEGOOD by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
7  FREEDOM ATTACK Sep23 Sep09 Aug12     (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 20.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of LUCKY LIPSTICK by LUCKY LIONEL)
8  WILDWOOD TRIPLE         (becker scott)EMIGH A 118 4.50 5% 17.50    
  (by GHAALEB out of TRIPLEHOTT by CITY ZIP)
9  TU ROYAL Dec30 Dec03       (manley steve)BAIRD T 118 3.00 25% 2.90    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of ROYAL POSH by POSH)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.