Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fonner Park
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-2 $33.80 $9.80 41%
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1/6/2)-(5/3/1/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00  5-2-3 $50.20 $14.20 39%
FON-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $6.00 $2.00 50%
Simulator Race results
 
FON-1   02/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:23 :501         :501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LOT'SA SILVER 5 1 13     17 15½ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.00 48% 1.10 1.80 W
2  WANDAS CAFE 2 6 65     27 25½ (lemburg m)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 ★ 6.70 P
3  DIXIE TRIXIE 3 2 33½     47½ 36 (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 18% 4.70 3.10 S
4  POPS GIRL ALEXA 4 3 54½     58½ 47 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 15.00 12.60  
6  SANDPLUM CREEK 6 4 44½     69½ 57 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 2.00 ★ 2.60  
1  PIZZA GIRL 1 5 23     37½ 67¾ (musquiz j)HAAR NATHAN 121 10.00 9% 10.50 5.70  
 
FON-2   02/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
See original race card.
:224 :353       :474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  O'L RED 2 1 12     11½ 1½ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80 31% 2.20 1.20 W
6  EXPECT ROYAL 6 3 33     21½ 2½ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 5.00 7% 13.90 6.50 P
3  FLY FIRST CLASS 3 5 46     34½ 32½ (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 2.30  
5  SWISS MINISTER 5 4 58     44½ 43 (davis j)RAMOS B 125 10.00 ★ 10.90  
1  DREAM BABY DREAM 1 6 612     68 57 (sorensen mik)BETHKE A 125 8.00 12% 7.20 5.10  
4  LONE SHOTGUN RIDER 4 2 22     56 610½ (ecoffey gilbert)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 27% 2.80 9.30  
 
FON-3   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:25 :491       1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUGH COMPANY 1 3 54 31   2nk 1¼ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 17% 4.90 1.50 W
3  PRAIRIE SQUALL 3 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00 33% 2.00 3.50 P
5  CAESARTHERULER 5 4 2½ 2nk   34 31¾ (condon schuyl)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00 11% 8.40 3.60 S
4  DANCE FOR RANSOM 4 1 32 53½   47 47½ (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 2.50 18% 4.60 7.90  
2  HATTIES JEWEL 2 6 65½ 65½   69 58 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 12.00 ★ 8.70  
6  GOLD BEAR 6 5 43 42½   58 68¾ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 12.00 4.50  
 
FON-4   02/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:23 :352       :472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BETA CAPO SONG 2 3 1nk     1nk 1¼ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 46% 1.20 2.00 W
5  GIANT GAMBLE 5 2 2nk     2nk 2¼ (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 125 3.50 ★ 1.70 P
6  THREE TIME CHARMER 6 1 31½     43½ 31¼ (thompson grady)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 4.50 6.90  
1  SOUTHERN MOJO 1 4 42     32 42 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 19% 4.30 11.40  
4  RATHER PRECOCIOUS 4 6 65     66¾ 510 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 ★ 2.90  
3  KID SLIPPER 3 5 54     56½ 612¼ (dunlap m)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 ★ 14.80  
 
FON-5   02/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:224 :35       :47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  R ONE WINE 4 3 21     1nk 1¾ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 1.60 44% 1.30 0.60 W
6  PRESLEY'S ARTWORK 5 1 11     2nk 2¾ (lemburg m)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00 ★ 4.30 P
4  DOLLY DIMPLE 3 5 44½     36 36½ (bliss dean)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 29% 2.50 3.40 S
3  WUMPMUG 2 4 32½     47 410½ (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00 6.80  
1  QUEEN OF THE ICE 1 2 55½     510 512 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00 ★ 10.50  
SCR  FABULOSITY               (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 2.50 ★    
 
FON-6   02/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:233 :361       :473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PAISANO JIM 3 3 1nk     13 17½ (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 22% 3.50 1.60 W
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of SHESALUCKYFLAG by LUCKY LIONEL)
6  BER MIS BOY 6 2 2nk     23 27½ (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 1.80 34% 2.00 2.20 P
  (by COUGAR CAT out of GOHAR by FOREST DANGER)
1  LUCKWOULDHAVEIT 1 7 43½     37 37¾ (thomsen paula)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 10% 9.30 8.90 S
  (by GOLD FOR CASH out of ALEXIS INSPIRES by AFLEET ALEX)
5  CRAZY STEELE 5 1 55     510 412¼ (krause)FLETCHER D 125 15.00 13.00  
  (by MONHOCRACY out of MERRY MARINO by MARINO MARINI)
8  THUNDERSTORMACOMIN 7 6 66     612 516¼ (becker steven )ZIEGLER ZACK 125 10.00 6.10  
  (by BLUE LION out of STORMIN COUSINS by FLASHY BULL)
4  LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT 4 5 33     410 617¾ (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 8% 11.30 4.90  
  (by LIQUOR CABINET out of GAMBLING LADY LUCK by POPULAR (SAF))
2  SPORTS HIFLYER 2 4 7100     7100 7100 (krause bil)GONZALEZ V 125 12.00 6% 16.10 18.70  
  (by SPORTS TALK out of CRESCO HIFLYER by BURBANK (IRE))
SCR  LITTLEBIT DON               (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of JOANIE'S BLUFF by SILENT BLUFF)
 
FON-7   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:023     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DRINK 2 3 66¼ 53¼   43¼ 11 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 ★ 3.10  
7  AWESOME FAMILY 6 4 3½ 2nk   2nk 21 (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 6.00 ★ 4.60 P
1  HOT ARTIE 1 5 1½ 1nk   1nk 31¼ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.50 7.70  
4  LITTLE TOE 4 2 4¾ 41¼   53¼ 45½ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 45% 1.20 4.10  
3  SMART BATTLE 3 1 2½ 31   33 57 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 25% 3.00 1.80  
5  FINDING SILVER 5 6 52¼ 64¼   68¼ 612¾ (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 5.00 ★ 6.00  
SCR  INSPEIGHTOFTHEDOG               (ecoffey gilbert)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
 
FON-8   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:031     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  OLD TRAFFORD 4 2 2½ 1½   1nk 1hd (wise jason)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 7.60  
5  LARCH 6 3 32 42½   2nk 2hd (mitzner r)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 32% 2.10 2.80 P
1  GOLD NOTE 1 4 64½ 87   62½ 36½ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 10.00 13% 6.90 2.90 S
1A  CREATIVE LETTERS 5 6 74¾ 54½   41 46¾ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 10.00 2.90  
2  GOOD ONE 2 1 1½ 31½   3½ 57½ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 ★ 3.60  
6  FAKE SOLUTION 7 7 87¾ 76½   72¾ 68½ (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 ★ 5.40  
3  HE'S PRETTY LUCKY 3 5 52½ 65½   82¾ 79 (bliss )FLETCHER D 125 3.50 27% 2.80 6.10  
7  TROY OUNCE 8 8 42 2½   51½ 819¼ (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 12.00 11.70  
 
FON-9   02/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:232 :354       :472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LOVE TO LEARN 4 2 1½     12 1½ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 12.00 4.80  
4  SABER QUEEN 3 3 32     22 2½ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 13% 6.60 2.90 P
7  G KATE 6 1 2½     33 32½ (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 30% 2.30 2.90 S
3  ALWAYS A TIZ 2 6 52¼     44½ 44¾ (ibanez alber)BETHKE A 125 15.00 9% 9.60 10.60  
6  GOODNIGHTSUGAR 5 4 42     54½ 55 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 5.00 26% 2.80 12.70  
2  ADMIRAL'S GARNET 1 5 65¼     67½ 67½ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50 1.50  
SCR  MANHATTAN LEGACY               (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 ★    
 
FON-10   02/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
See original race card.
:23 :352       :47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REACH THE CIRCLE 1 3 43¼     4¼ 1½ (gomez jua)MEDINA ANGEL 125 15.00 22.00  
8  COLD SNACK THIRTY 8 2 2nk     3.2 2½ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00 ★ 1.20 P
2  PREACHER 2 1 1nk     1nk 31 (rushto)FLETCHER D 125 3.50 50% 1.00 5.40 S
4  RETALIATED 4 4 54¼     55¼ 41½ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 ★ 6.80  
5  NORTH SIDE 5 5 3.2     2nk 52¼ (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 3.30  
6  JUST RIGHT MIKE 6 6 65¾     76¾ 63¾ (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 6.00 9.30  
7  SCOOTER'S BOY 7 7 78¾     65¾ 76¾ (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 17% 5.00 10.40  
3  BAOZUN 3 8 816¾     814¾ 812½ (gomez j)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 12.00 ★ 29.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.