Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1/6/2)-(5/3/1/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(2/4/1/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FON-2   WIN (2/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6/5)-(2/4/1/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/5)-(2/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FON-3   WIN (3/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5/2)-(3/4/1/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/5/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/5/4/3)-(2/1/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-5   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(6/3/1/4/2)-(4/3) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
FON-6   WIN (6/3/1/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/4/2)-(6/3/1/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/4/2)-(6/3/1/4/2)-(6/3/1/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FON-7   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/2/5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/2/5/7)-(4/3/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-8   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1/6/2)-(5/3/1/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(7/6/4/3)-(2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-9   WIN (7/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/4/3)-(2/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
FON-10   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/3/8/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/3/8/4)-(2/7/3/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   02/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIZZA GIRL Sep24         (musquiz j)HAAR NATHAN 121 10.00 9% 10.50    
2  WANDAS CAFE Feb20         (lemburg m)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 ★    
3  DIXIE TRIXIE Sep24 Sep12 Sep05 May28 May14 (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 18% 4.70    
4  POPS GIRL ALEXA Sep26 Sep12 Aug15 Jul26   (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 15.00    
5  LOT'SA SILVER Jan05 Dec19 Nov09     (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.00 48% 1.10    
6  SANDPLUM CREEK Dec16 Nov18 Oct28 Oct13 Sep25 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 2.00 ★    
 
FON-2   02/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM BABY DREAM Jun17 Jun03 May27 May14 Apr30 (sorensen mik)BETHKE A 125 8.00 12% 7.20    
2  O'L RED Oct26 Sep04 Aug08 Jul15 Apr23 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80 31% 2.20    
3  FLY FIRST CLASS Sep04 Jul25 Jul15 Jun27 Jun17 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00    
4  LONE SHOTGUN RIDER Sep26 Sep12 Aug09 Jul19   (ecoffey gilbert)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 27% 2.80    
5  SWISS MINISTER Feb25         (davis j)RAMOS B 125 10.00 ★    
6  EXPECT ROYAL Jun24 Jun11 Jun04     (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 5.00 7% 13.90    
 
FON-3   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUGH COMPANY Jan07 Dec07 Nov25 Oct27 Sep25 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 17% 4.90    
2  HATTIES JEWEL Oct02 Aug27 Aug04 Jul02 Jun11 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 12.00 ★    
3  PRAIRIE SQUALL Dec14 Nov23 Nov04 Oct01 Sep20 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00 33% 2.00    
4  DANCE FOR RANSOM Sep09 Aug08 Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 2.50 18% 4.60    
5  CAESARTHERULER Oct02 Sep23 Aug21 Jul11 Jul01 (condon schuyl)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00 11% 8.40    
6  GOLD BEAR Jan19 Dec03 Jul17 Jun11 May16 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
 
FON-4   02/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHERN MOJO Sep19 Aug29 Aug09 Jun19 May20 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 19% 4.30    
2  BETA CAPO SONG Aug09 Aug02 Jun19 Jun04 May20 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 46% 1.20    
3  KID SLIPPER Sep01 Jul19 Jun20 Jun06 May24 (dunlap m)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 ★    
4  RATHER PRECOCIOUS Nov17 Oct26 Jun09 May28 Apr30 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 ★    
5  GIANT GAMBLE Sep07 Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 May28 (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 125 3.50 ★    
6  THREE TIME CHARMER Nov04 Oct02 Sep04 Jul25 May28 (thompson grady)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 4.50    
 
FON-5   02/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN OF THE ICE Sep26 Sep11 Aug21     (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00 ★    
SCR  FABULOSITY Dec19 Nov18 Nov06 Oct01 Sep01 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 2.50 ★    
3  WUMPMUG Sep19 Aug12 Jul10 Jun13 May27 (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00    
4  DOLLY DIMPLE Jun09 May06 Mar27 Jan30 Jan08 (bliss dean)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 29% 2.50    
5  R ONE WINE         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 1.60 44% 1.30    
6  PRESLEY'S ARTWORK Sep23 Aug12 Jul01 Jun11 May16 (lemburg m)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00 ★    
 
FON-6   02/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKWOULDHAVEIT Jun17         (thomsen paula)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 10% 9.30    
  (by GOLD FOR CASH out of ALEXIS INSPIRES by AFLEET ALEX)
2  SPORTS HIFLYER Jun17         (krause bil)GONZALEZ V 125 12.00 6% 16.10    
  (by SPORTS TALK out of CRESCO HIFLYER by BURBANK (IRE))
3  PAISANO JIM May14 Apr24 Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 22% 3.50    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of SHESALUCKYFLAG by LUCKY LIONEL)
4  LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT Jun17 Jun04 May28 May14 Apr24 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 8% 11.30    
  (by LIQUOR CABINET out of GAMBLING LADY LUCK by POPULAR (SAF))
5  CRAZY STEELE         (krause)FLETCHER D 125 15.00    
  (by MONHOCRACY out of MERRY MARINO by MARINO MARINI)
6  BER MIS BOY May01 Apr16 Mar27 Mar13 Mar06 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 1.80 34% 2.00    
  (by COUGAR CAT out of GOHAR by FOREST DANGER)
SCR  LITTLEBIT DON Apr24 Apr03 Mar20     (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of JOANIE'S BLUFF by SILENT BLUFF)
8  THUNDERSTORMACOMIN Jun17 Jun04 Feb20     (becker steven )ZIEGLER ZACK 125 10.00    
  (by BLUE LION out of STORMIN COUSINS by FLASHY BULL)
 
FON-7   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT ARTIE Feb03 Jan13 Dec21 Dec07 Nov17 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.50    
2  DRINK Dec28 Dec14 Oct11 Sep30 Sep12 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 ★    
3  SMART BATTLE Dec01 Nov08 Oct20 Sep24 Sep15 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 25% 3.00    
4  LITTLE TOE Oct13 Jul11 Jun18 Jun05 May22 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 45% 1.20    
5  FINDING SILVER Dec16 Dec03 Oct28 Oct12 Sep16 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 5.00 ★    
SCR  INSPEIGHTOFTHEDOG Jul24 Jul16 Jul02 Jun18   (ecoffey gilbert)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
7  AWESOME FAMILY Jan08 Dec16 Nov04 Oct16 Oct07 (donlin larry )CARDOSO DAVID 125 6.00 ★    
 
FON-8   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD NOTE Jan11 Nov16 Oct14 Oct04 Sep25 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 10.00 13% 6.90    
1A  CREATIVE LETTERS Jan04 Nov18 Oct22 Aug15 Jul18 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 10.00    
2  GOOD ONE Dec21 Nov30 Oct25 Sep13 May11 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 ★    
3  HE'S PRETTY LUCKY Nov14 Oct28 Sep08 Aug26 Jul24 (bliss dean)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.50 27% 2.80    
4  OLD TRAFFORD Dec16 Dec09 Nov25 Nov08 Oct19 (wise jason)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00    
5  LARCH Dec16 Nov22 Nov03 Oct20 Oct02 (mitzner r)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 32% 2.10    
6  FAKE SOLUTION Sep30 Sep19 Aug22 Jul30 May29 (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 ★    
7  TROY OUNCE Dec09 Oct20 Sep21 Aug26 Jul19 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 12.00    
 
FON-9   02/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MANHATTAN LEGACY Dec31 Dec11       (anderson davi)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00 ★    
2  ADMIRAL'S GARNET Dec11 Nov22 Nov01 Oct20 Oct03 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50    
3  ALWAYS A TIZ Nov15 Oct04 Sep25 Sep04 Jul11 (ibanez alber)BETHKE A 125 15.00 9% 9.60    
4  SABER QUEEN Nov16 Oct28 Aug29 Aug01 Jun25 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 13% 6.60    
5  LOVE TO LEARN Jan13 Dec14 Nov05 Oct13 Aug13 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 12.00    
6  GOODNIGHTSUGAR Sep18 Sep10 Sep05 Aug28 Aug08 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 5.00 26% 2.80    
7  G KATE Sep06 Aug22 Aug07 Jul18 Jul10 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 30% 2.30    
 
FON-10   02/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REACH THE CIRCLE Dec15 Dec03 Sep28 Sep01 Jul19 (gomez jua)MEDINA ANGEL 125 15.00    
2  PREACHER Oct01 Sep20 Aug30 Aug01 Jul05 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.50 50% 1.00    
3  BAOZUN Dec15 Oct12 Mar28     (gomez j)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 12.00 ★    
4  RETALIATED Nov30 Nov23 Oct20 Sep29 Sep18 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 ★    
5  NORTH SIDE Jan29 Jan06 Dec16 Jul17 Jun24 (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50    
6  JUST RIGHT MIKE Dec30 Dec17 Dec03 Nov18 Oct30 (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 6.00    
7  SCOOTER'S BOY Aug30 Aug01 Jul11 May13 Apr23 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 17% 5.00    
8  COLD SNACK THIRTY Sep04 Aug12 Jul25 Jul15 Jun27 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.